Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$5

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

89.6%

Resolved

Trades

165

lifetime

Volume

$3.38K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$21

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-23

last 04-08 21:40

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

76% — —

Other

23% 0% $-2

Sports

1% 100% +$7

Pop-Culture

1% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

19 active days in 12wk • peak 22 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	17	$737	402	402	+0	open	—	03-28 09:40
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	7	$692	526	197	+329	open	—	04-08 21:40
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	10	$334	516	80	+436	open	—	04-07 23:03
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	4	$216	218	10	+208	open	—	04-05 03:54
iran x israelus conflict ends by march 31	4	$176	178	0	+178	open	—	03-30 09:13
US forces enter Iran by December 31?	7	$171	118	118	+0	open	—	03-29 16:47
will project hail mary score at least 70 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer	2	$130	130	0	+130	open	—	03-22 23:18
will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	3	$100	50	50	+0	open	—	03-24 02:19
will one battle after another win best picture at the 98th academy awards	8	$80	97	0	+97	open	—	03-16 01:10
will project hail mary be the highest grossing movie this weekend	2	$60	30	30	+0	open	—	03-24 02:36
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by April 30, 2026?	5	$55	38	38	+0	open	—	04-05 11:43
will marty supreme win best picture at the 98th academy awards	2	$40	21	21	+0	open	—	03-13 13:22
will jesse plemons win outstanding performance by a male actor in a leading role at the 2026 sag awards	2	$40	41	0	+41	open	—	03-01 21:02
will sinners win best original score at the 98th academy awards	2	$40	21	21	+0	open	—	03-16 00:11
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by March 31, 2026?	5	$38	20	20	+0	open	—	04-02 21:20
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?	3	$30	43	0	+43	open	—	02-23 21:41
will paul thomas anderson win best director at the 98th academy awards	3	$28	30	0	+30	open	—	03-11 06:32
will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	7	$23	99	37	+62	open	—	03-22 14:45
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?	2	$21	27	27	+0	open	—	03-29 16:50
will sean penn win best supporting actor at the 98th academy awards	3	$21	13	13	+0	open	—	03-16 00:25
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	3	$21	12	12	+0	open	—	04-07 22:49
will jessie buckley win best actress at the 98th academy awards	1	$20	22	0	+22	open	—	02-23 06:54
will jacob elordi win best supporting actor at the 98th academy awards	1	$20	21	0	+21	open	—	02-23 11:31
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	4	$19	10	10	+0	open	—	03-24 02:27
Will Sean Strickland become UFC champion in 2026?	2	$17	13	13	+0	Yes	+$7	03-15 23:13
will marty supreme win exactly 1 award at the oscars	1	$16	0	33	-33	open	—	03-02 07:41
will jessie buckley win best actress in a motion picture at the 2026 sag awards	1	$15	16	0	+16	open	—	02-23 00:18
sp 500 all time high by march 31 2026	3	$14	8	8	+0	open	—	03-19 22:14
iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by march 31	2	$14	8	8	+0	open	—	03-28 08:44
ufc cha1 max1 2026 03 07	2	$12	9	9	+0	open	—	03-08 07:25

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
04-08 21:40:15	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	No	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0xf8f3f6…
04-07 23:03:17	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	BUY	131	5¢	$6	0x7903a7…
04-07 22:58:09	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	BUY	77	6¢	$5	0x0958b3…
04-07 22:57:35	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x82953c…
04-07 22:52:19	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	BUY	13	25¢	$3	0x8ab6bc…
04-07 22:51:13	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	BUY	13	37¢	$5	0xe4adfd…
04-07 22:50:09	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	No	BUY	17	66¢	$11	0xcd09dd…
04-07 22:49:51	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	No	SELL	12	93¢	$11	0x1a03df…
04-07 22:49:35	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	BUY	20	33¢	$7	0x9af993…
04-06 10:49:43	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	No	BUY	113	98¢	$110	0x6645f3…
04-05 11:58:05	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	BUY	182	99¢	$181	0x3e77ec…
04-05 11:43:41	Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	38	66¢	$25	0xa53144…
04-05 03:54:23	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	No	BUY	208	96¢	$200	0x89a80a…
04-04 05:48:49	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x6e0095…
04-02 21:26:13	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	No	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0x2259fd…
04-02 21:25:23	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	No	SELL	197	99¢	$194	0xa542a1…
04-02 21:22:31	Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0x69c29f…
04-02 21:21:49	Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0xb63273…
04-02 21:20:37	Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by March 31, 2026?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x8bec6a…
04-02 11:20:29	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	No	BUY	6	78¢	$4	0x3365e3…
04-02 04:52:59	will the super mario galaxy movie score at least 45 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer	Yes	SELL	16	15¢	$2	0x641190…
04-02 04:47:29	will the super mario galaxy movie score at least 45 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer	Yes	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0x4cd115…
04-01 22:14:45	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	No	BUY	18	94¢	$17	0x4d456d…
04-01 12:21:07	trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 7th 659	No	SELL	6	90¢	$5	0x79a2ff…
03-31 20:17:23	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	No	BUY	62	92¢	$57	0xce590c…
03-30 09:13:06	iran x israelus conflict ends by march 31	No	BUY	156	99¢	$155	0x9612d2…
03-30 06:08:12	Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by March 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x96819f…
03-30 06:08:10	Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	13	77¢	$10	0xce8889…
03-29 23:36:08	will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	Yes	BUY	2	86¢	$2	0xd7a973…
03-29 22:14:30	Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	14	74¢	$10	0x75837d…
03-29 16:56:00	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	No	SELL	10	87¢	$8	0xb2c458…
03-29 16:55:08	us x iran ceasefire by april 15	No	SELL	4	86¢	$4	0x265c73…
03-29 16:50:54	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?	No	SELL	27	41¢	$11	0x736fd5…
03-29 16:49:52	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?	No	SELL	8	74¢	$6	0x9f11bd…
03-29 16:47:48	US forces enter Iran by December 31?	Yes	SELL	113	75¢	$85	0x7d8fbb…
03-29 14:37:44	will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	Yes	SELL	1	80¢	$1	0x4cc706…
03-29 14:03:44	will project hail mary 2nd weekend box office be between 50m and 54m	Yes	BUY	11	19¢	$2	0x21d063…
03-29 11:03:12	US forces enter Iran by December 31?	Yes	BUY	13	75¢	$10	0x7d7a21…
03-29 04:19:28	US forces enter Iran by December 31?	Yes	BUY	70	71¢	$50	0x3afcaf…
03-29 04:18:12	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	No	BUY	312	96¢	$300	0x390cec…
03-28 21:38:38	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	No	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0x83cb18…
03-28 13:02:17	US forces enter Iran by December 31?	Yes	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0x4307e4…
03-28 12:18:39	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?	No	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0xa880f2…
03-28 12:01:31	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?	No	BUY	27	37¢	$10	0x9d72d1…
03-28 11:42:53	trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 7th 659	No	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0xa162ae…
03-28 10:57:15	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	SELL	40	89¢	$36	0x086ce8…
03-28 09:40:17	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	No	SELL	201	97¢	$195	0x2166bc…
03-28 08:44:59	iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by march 31	No	SELL	8	99¢	$7	0xb7fc27…
03-28 08:28:01	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	No	SELL	201	97¢	$195	0xd5b810…
03-28 08:27:45	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	SELL	40	89¢	$36	0x812b27…
03-27 13:55:29	iran x israelus conflict ends by march 31	No	BUY	13	96¢	$13	0xc990ee…
03-27 13:42:41	US forces enter Iran by December 31?	Yes	BUY	21	70¢	$15	0x86c382…
03-25 01:53:23	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	No	BUY	12	82¢	$10	0xe2dadc…
03-24 22:10:53	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	BUY	51	70¢	$36	0x49739b…
03-24 22:10:29	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	BUY	29	69¢	$20	0xa0b77a…
03-24 04:27:57	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	No	BUY	63	88¢	$56	0xbbea5a…
03-24 02:39:37	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	No	BUY	7	86¢	$6	0xb1e6cc…
03-24 02:37:31	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	No	BUY	38	86¢	$33	0xe729de…
03-24 02:36:33	will project hail mary be the highest grossing movie this weekend	Yes	SELL	30	99¢	$30	0x38343a…
03-24 02:28:23	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	No	BUY	11	86¢	$9	0x641f7c…
03-24 02:27:55	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	No	SELL	10	98¢	$9	0x5c64e9…
03-24 02:26:15	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	No	BUY	14	86¢	$12	0xada0ae…
03-24 02:25:57	netanyahu out by march 31 854	No	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x92f2a2…
03-24 02:23:49	Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by March 31, 2026?	No	SELL	10	94¢	$9	0x2ad6c6…
03-24 02:22:45	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	No	BUY	58	86¢	$50	0x57a120…
03-24 02:21:53	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	No	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0xae4c90…
03-24 02:20:47	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	No	BUY	23	86¢	$20	0x73dd23…
03-24 02:19:31	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	No	BUY	58	86¢	$50	0xf19b5f…
03-24 02:19:15	will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	No	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0x1ca9a9…
03-24 02:18:03	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	No	BUY	19	86¢	$17	0x523a08…
03-24 02:17:47	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	No	BUY	70	86¢	$60	0xca0807…
03-24 02:14:15	iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by march 31	No	BUY	8	93¢	$7	0x40c17b…
03-24 02:13:33	Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by March 31, 2026?	No	BUY	3	95¢	$3	0xe8bc61…
03-24 02:13:09	Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by March 31, 2026?	No	BUY	3	96¢	$3	0xdabe03…
03-24 02:08:33	will project hail mary be the highest grossing movie this weekend	Yes	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x226efc…
03-23 11:30:27	will crude oil cl hit high 105 by end of march 881	Yes	SELL	5	23¢	$1	0x6b9665…
03-23 03:51:01	will crude oil cl hit high 105 by end of march 881	Yes	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x62d896…
03-23 01:40:53	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	No	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0xe8c776…
03-23 01:31:29	US forces enter Iran by December 31?	Yes	SELL	5	70¢	$3	0xeacbab…
03-22 23:18:27	will project hail mary score at least 70 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer	Yes	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x06e8b1…
03-22 14:58:55	will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	Yes	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x19fddc…
03-22 14:55:13	will iran be said on the first joe rogan experience episode of the week march 29	Yes	BUY	2	82¢	$2	0x6a3515…
03-22 14:49:33	will russia capture rodynske by march 31	No	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xc39794…
03-22 14:45:17	will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	No	BUY	62	2¢	$1	0x2113db…
03-20 15:11:31	will russia capture rodynske by march 31	No	BUY	4	81¢	$3	0x5f306f…
03-20 14:57:01	Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by March 31, 2026?	No	BUY	7	89¢	$6	0xc77095…
03-19 22:14:17	sp 500 all time high by march 31 2026	No	SELL	8	99¢	$7	0x69af61…
03-18 05:57:03	will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x7886d4…
03-18 05:52:27	iran x israelus conflict ends by march 31	No	BUY	3	93¢	$3	0xf888d5…
03-18 05:52:15	iran x israelus conflict ends by march 31	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xc5b11b…
03-18 05:52:11	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	No	BUY	4	76¢	$3	0x011871…
03-18 05:44:17	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	No	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xed9cf0…
03-18 05:42:47	Will the Reserve Bank of Australia make no change to the target for the cash rate after the May Meeting?	Yes	BUY	4	57¢	$2	0x550892…
03-18 05:38:43	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	No	BUY	3	96¢	$3	0xe6531c…
03-18 05:06:51	will israel launch a major ground offensive in gaza by march 31	No	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0xcde7df…
03-18 05:05:13	trump announces end of military operations against iran by march 31st	No	BUY	3	88¢	$3	0xe75adc…
03-18 04:52:17	will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	No	BUY	40	99¢	$40	0x71f684…
03-18 04:50:55	will project hail mary score at least 70 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer	Yes	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x2a2ae9…
03-18 04:48:01	will undertone opening weekend box office be between 8m and 9m	No	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x5cf4ca…
03-18 04:22:49	military action against iran continues through march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	3	89¢	$3	0xa55e4b…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Faraway-Seaside 0xf0b0…8cab	57	$350.4K	28,346	04-27 15:52
(anonymous) 0xd6ee…37a2	55	$99.7K	9,661	03-28 07:39
Fragrant-Dandelion 0x1408…b4f8	55	$44.4K	9,062	04-27 16:24
Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595	50	$480.6K	30,780	04-26 17:23
Full-Bow 0x59fe…14fd	50	$15.3K	6,550	04-20 21:34
Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71	49	$767.2K	13,771	04-27 16:15
Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3	46	$127.8K	944	04-26 17:24
Naive-Waterwheel 0x10b2…4ceb	46	$10.1K	751	05-01 06:00