Untidy-Ligand — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$685

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

65.9%

Resolved

3,908

Trades

17,533

lifetime

Volume

$46.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-15

last 10-28 18:33

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 64 days

Categories

Crypto

97% 64% -$652

Other

2% 37% -$30

Politics

1% 25% -$4

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 63 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	58	$194	178	194	-16	Up	-$7	05-08 20:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	11	$194	153	153	+0	Up	+$20	05-19 18:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	51	$190	156	174	-18	Up	+$5	05-08 19:43
Will Rowenna Davis win the 2026 London Borough of Croydon mayoral election?	2	$143	100	100	+0	No	-$1	05-05 14:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	50	$124	142	141	+0	Up	-$13	05-08 16:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	8	$117	3	184	-180	Up	+$14	05-09 22:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	26	$113	114	60	+54	Up	+$1	06-01 17:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	33	$106	114	125	-11	Down	-$11	05-08 16:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	23	$97	11	111	-100	Down	-$15	05-10 00:04
Will Nationalist Party win the most seats in the House of Representatives in the 2026 Maltese general election?	2	$95	50	50	+0	No	-$1	05-05 05:32
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 37°C on May 5?	5	$93	50	50	+0	Yes	+$1	05-05 05:39
Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	3	$92	50	50	+0	No	-$1	05-05 05:39
Florentino Perez out as Real Madrid president by December 31, 2026?	2	$87	50	50	+0	open	—	06-04 07:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	59	$87	110	110	+0	Up	-$10	05-08 15:59
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on June 4?	7	$86	50	50	+0	No	+$1	06-04 04:12
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-03 20:50 UTC	15	$86	150	10	+140	Down	-$1	06-03 20:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	8	$82	139	0	+139	Up	+$3	05-12 09:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	22	$81	70	86	-16	Up	+$4	05-08 19:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	32	$77	104	132	-29	Down	-$8	05-08 12:39
Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $138 in May?	3	$74	50	50	+0	Yes	+$0	05-05 13:30
Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on May 4?	2	$71	50	50	+0	Up	+$0	05-04 18:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	16	$70	60	74	-14	Up	-$4	05-08 19:54
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 30 to June 1, 2026?	2	$70	50	50	+0	Yes	+$0	05-31 22:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	53	$67	48	110	-62	Down	+$6	05-08 13:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	6	$66	68	36	+32	Up	+$11	05-19 16:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	35	$65	142	0	+142	Down	-$5	04-30 02:49
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-17 19:40 UTC	1	$65	67	0	+67	Up	+$2	04-17 19:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	38	$65	80	60	+20	Down	+$3	05-09 17:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	26	$64	130	0	+130	Down	+$1	04-28 03:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	47	$63	39	125	-87	Up	-$14	05-08 13:49

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 18:33:40	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	SELL	5	46¢	$2	0x365575…
10-28 18:33:11	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x3a73f4…
10-28 18:27:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x48f2bc…
10-28 18:18:55	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x20f49d…
10-28 18:18:53	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xd9c3d2…
10-28 18:14:16	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xdcf9e6…
10-28 18:14:08	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x9c3980…
10-28 18:07:35	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x60d923…
10-28 18:02:53	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x7090b0…
10-28 17:58:07	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 28, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x7f451c…
10-28 17:42:49	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x966ae6…
10-28 17:23:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xa32fca…
10-28 17:10:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x0bda84…
10-28 16:54:34	XRP Up or Down - October 28, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x11401e…
10-28 16:08:34	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	SELL	7	59¢	$4	0xaf94b0…
10-28 16:07:59	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	BUY	7	97¢	$7	0x1e4440…
10-28 15:39:29	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x141a3f…
10-28 15:31:19	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	BUY	7	98¢	$7	0xce8871…
10-28 15:23:53	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x945ab0…
10-28 15:02:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x2849f6…
10-28 14:48:28	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	BUY	7	98¢	$7	0xdc6258…
10-28 14:41:59	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x867241…
10-28 14:38:43	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xfc02fd…
10-28 14:38:43	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x9b7a53…
10-28 14:22:41	XRP Up or Down - October 28, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	7	97¢	$7	0xa37349…
10-28 14:18:01	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	7	97¢	$7	0x26508e…
10-28 11:23:23	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x02c4e6…
10-28 10:38:50	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Down	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x25aa6e…
10-28 10:07:02	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x861e9a…
10-28 09:53:31	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x65ef2d…
10-28 09:48:50	XRP Up or Down - October 28, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xba126a…
10-28 09:43:44	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x21d491…
10-28 09:39:41	XRP Up or Down - October 28, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xf9cc45…
10-28 09:22:55	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-28 09:20 UTC	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x90b81d…
10-28 08:58:05	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xd54270…
10-28 08:50:49	XRP Up or Down - October 28, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xe1fead…
10-28 08:36:35	XRP Up or Down - October 28, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xeeb0b2…
10-28 08:34:34	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x8e3114…
10-28 08:26:40	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x86ebb5…
10-28 08:02:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xcd63dd…
10-28 07:58:47	XRP Up or Down - October 28, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xc7c0f1…
10-28 06:03:52	XRP Up or Down - October 28, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x7e59fd…
10-28 04:32:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x44cb68…
10-28 04:23:08	XRP Up or Down - October 28, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x87862b…
10-28 04:07:41	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Down	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0xd89fdd…
10-28 04:07:41	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x732bd7…
10-28 03:31:25	XRP Up or Down - October 27, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x7b4e1a…
10-28 03:23:40	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xb563ab…
10-28 02:51:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x41609c…
10-28 02:43:03	Solana Up or Down - October 27, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x65b662…
10-28 02:23:11	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x6d64f9…
10-28 02:17:35	XRP Up or Down - October 27, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x38bbec…
10-28 01:57:53	XRP Up or Down - October 27, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x41bd9d…
10-28 01:49:11	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xf991b9…
10-28 01:44:35	XRP Up or Down - October 27, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x9da6db…
10-28 01:44:29	XRP Up or Down - October 27, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x640f2a…
10-28 01:37:50	XRP Up or Down - October 27, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xee4cb2…
10-28 01:28:23	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xb17fc7…
10-28 01:28:12	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xbdafc8…
10-28 01:23:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xc9863d…
10-28 01:02:11	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xcb0689…
10-28 00:08:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xaaa4df…
10-28 00:02:17	XRP Up or Down - October 27, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x5e7ae0…
10-27 23:47:32	Solana Up or Down - October 27, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x269f59…
10-27 23:38:11	XRP Up or Down - October 27, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x925701…
10-27 23:27:23	XRP Up or Down - October 27, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x09778b…
10-27 23:13:24	XRP Up or Down - October 27, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x444375…
10-27 23:03:32	XRP Up or Down - October 27, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x3060e1…
10-27 22:38:11	Solana Up or Down - October 27, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x1de292…
10-27 22:09:14	Solana Up or Down - October 27, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0xe12587…
10-27 22:09:11	Solana Up or Down - October 27, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xa6e8bd…
10-27 22:03:48	XRP Up or Down - October 27, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x87cca3…
10-27 21:53:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x1ba7bf…
10-27 21:48:35	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xe2be9e…
10-27 21:42:42	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x672e77…
10-27 21:31:36	XRP Up or Down - October 27, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xb62bef…
10-27 21:09:23	Solana Up or Down - October 27, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x4d1af4…
10-18 15:38:59	Counter-Strike: UPGRADE vs Lavked (BO3) - CyberClash Closed Qualifier Group C	UPGRADE	BUY	6	22¢	$1	0x38dd2b…
10-18 15:38:53	Counter-Strike: UPGRADE vs Lavked (BO3) - CyberClash Closed Qualifier Group C	UPGRADE	BUY	7	22¢	$1	0xf935fb…
10-18 15:20:47	Counter-Strike: ex-6666 vs Privateer Gaming - Map 2 Winner	ex-6666	SELL	5	86¢	$4	0xe29f23…
10-18 15:16:00	Counter-Strike: ex-6666 vs Privateer Gaming - Map 2 Winner	ex-6666	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0x722f60…
07-03 00:41:13	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on July 2?	Yes	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x28ee90…
07-02 02:18:59	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on July 2?	Yes	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0xcf5bd0…
07-02 02:18:59	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on July 2?	Yes	BUY	4	44¢	$2	0xafbbb5…
07-02 02:18:59	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on July 2?	Yes	BUY	6	45¢	$3	0x3cbfe6…
07-02 02:18:59	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on July 2?	Yes	BUY	4	43¢	$2	0x2f468f…
07-02 00:49:28	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on July 2?	Yes	BUY	3	41¢	$1	0x3e7786…
07-01 22:34:34	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on July 2?	Yes	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x691f86…
07-01 22:14:49	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on July 2?	Yes	BUY	3	43¢	$1	0xd85912…
07-01 22:14:49	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on July 2?	Yes	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xcbc81b…
07-01 22:14:49	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on July 2?	Yes	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xb2252e…
06-28 15:52:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-28 15:50 UTC	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x760b8f…
06-28 15:36:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-28 15:35 UTC	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xa1b0e4…
06-18 21:04:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-18 21:00 UTC	Up	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x3dbed3…
06-18 21:04:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-18 21:00 UTC	Up	BUY	2	76¢	$1	0xa2c3e3…
06-18 21:04:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-18 21:00 UTC	Down	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x6671dc…
06-18 21:04:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-18 21:00 UTC	Down	BUY	2	23¢	$1	0x8a9c1d…
06-18 21:04:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-18 21:00 UTC	Down	BUY	2	23¢	$1	0x29a5a6…
06-18 21:04:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-18 21:00 UTC	Down	BUY	3	25¢	$1	0x41e694…
06-18 21:04:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-18 21:00 UTC	Down	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0x0c84f4…