Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$40

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

71.6%

Resolved

988

Trades

2,446

lifetime

Volume

$36.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$15

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-09-05

last 11-04 09:38

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 59 days

Categories

Crypto

99% 75% +$101

Other

1% 41% -$61

Tech

0% 67% $0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

58 active days in 12wk • peak 256 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes		+7	$1	12¢	$1	$0	09-15 09:03

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	5	$1.3K	927	927	+0	Up	-$3	11-02 06:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	5	$617	318	318	+0	Up	+$7	10-29 17:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	4	$613	315	315	+0	Up	+$3	10-28 02:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	5	$605	422	224	+197	Down	-$16	10-22 08:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	4	$602	332	332	+0	Down	-$18	10-30 10:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	3	$581	311	311	+0	Up	-$21	10-27 13:42
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-15 08:45 UTC	4	$580	330	330	+0	Up	-$20	10-15 08:55
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-15 05:45 UTC	7	$573	302	302	+0	Down	-$5	10-15 05:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	2	$557	284	284	+0	Up	-$3	10-23 02:39
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-15 06:45 UTC	10	$460	245	245	+0	Down	-$8	10-15 06:58
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 01:15 UTC	8	$414	324	324	+0	Down	+$52	10-14 01:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	8	$410	394	61	+333	Down	+$7	10-24 15:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	7	$401	236	231	+5	Down	-$11	10-15 11:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	1	$389	393	0	+393	Up	+$4	11-02 02:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	10	$388	316	162	+154	Up	$0	10-15 14:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	1	$383	387	0	+387	Up	+$4	11-04 07:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	2	$380	387	0	+387	Down	+$7	10-30 04:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	3	$377	389	0	+389	Down	+$12	11-02 02:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	1	$368	376	0	+376	Up	+$8	10-30 03:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	4	$342	339	30	+309	Down	+$2	10-26 14:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	3	$332	327	11	+316	Down	+$4	10-24 14:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	10	$332	328	16	+313	Down	+$0	10-24 14:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	6	$332	343	15	+328	Down	+$4	11-01 18:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	1	$330	337	0	+337	Down	+$7	10-29 02:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	3	$329	341	0	+341	Up	+$12	10-27 01:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	1	$329	332	0	+332	Down	+$3	10-27 13:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	1	$329	330	0	+330	Down	+$1	10-29 01:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	1	$325	328	0	+328	Up	+$3	10-28 15:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	6	$323	350	1	+348	Up	+$26	11-03 15:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	3	$323	324	6	+318	Down	+$6	10-23 16:58

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-04 09:38:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xc892da…
11-04 07:12:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	387	99¢	$383	0x452f85…
11-04 06:50:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Up	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0xaa6099…
11-04 03:58:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xfea291…
11-03 15:50:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x018c4a…
11-03 15:48:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	BUY	219	91¢	$200	0x7da284…
11-03 15:48:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	BUY	105	95¢	$100	0x57b4f5…
11-03 15:47:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	BUY	21	94¢	$20	0x55c617…
11-03 15:46:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	82¢	$2	0xb06edf…
11-03 15:46:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	SELL	1	28¢	$0	0x634979…
11-03 15:45:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x9d35bc…
11-03 08:30:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Down	SELL	101	100¢	$101	0xcf829d…
11-03 08:28:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x3586ea…
11-03 02:57:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x1e29a4…
11-03 01:02:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	SELL	9	53¢	$5	0x4a6b56…
11-03 01:02:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0x7a7e0d…
11-03 00:33:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	SELL	11	98¢	$11	0x6ae391…
11-03 00:32:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0x8ecdb5…
11-03 00:28:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	82¢	$2	0x324eff…
11-03 00:17:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	BUY	309	97¢	$300	0x3c3919…
11-03 00:11:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x4906a4…
11-03 00:07:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xf1661a…
11-03 00:07:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	BUY	21	95¢	$20	0x4a8908…
11-03 00:03:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xf61939…
11-02 23:58:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x50ee0a…
11-02 23:58:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	SELL	3	27¢	$1	0xa73f40…
11-02 23:58:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xf072c9…
11-02 23:57:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	SELL	1	71¢	$1	0xb2bb0f…
11-02 23:57:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x88a577…
11-02 15:38:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	SELL	2	14¢	$0	0x8951f9…
11-02 15:38:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x0a34ee…
11-02 12:51:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0xd5d0e6…
11-02 12:33:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Down	SELL	6	97¢	$6	0x90f8e4…
11-02 12:32:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Down	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x8619c9…
11-02 12:13:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	SELL	6	89¢	$5	0x39414f…
11-02 12:12:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0xae4d05…
11-02 12:07:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x10723d…
11-02 12:03:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	SELL	7	38¢	$3	0x7117c1…
11-02 12:02:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0x04f497…
11-02 11:59:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x3d4ff5…
11-02 11:59:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Down	SELL	38	5¢	$2	0xa76b54…
11-02 11:58:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	36	56¢	$20	0xd65607…
11-02 11:58:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	78¢	$2	0xbf1b37…
11-02 11:51:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Up	BUY	12	80¢	$10	0xbeeaa3…
11-02 11:09:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Down	SELL	2	88¢	$2	0x68c1b6…
11-02 11:09:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0xd4da71…
11-02 09:23:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	BUY	303	99¢	$300	0xf8ff7b…
11-02 09:18:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0xad2b86…
11-02 09:13:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x52ae92…
11-02 06:52:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Down	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0x484731…
11-02 06:33:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xed387e…
11-02 06:28:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Down	SELL	12	88¢	$10	0x44aa06…
11-02 06:26:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	12	85¢	$10	0xfb5e44…
11-02 06:23:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Down	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0xe83f80…
11-02 06:09:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Up	SELL	299	64¢	$191	0xafffb7…
11-02 06:09:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Up	SELL	169	22¢	$37	0x732c45…
11-02 06:09:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Up	BUY	468	61¢	$286	0x78a710…
11-02 06:08:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Up	SELL	459	97¢	$445	0x6d1621…
11-02 06:07:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Up	BUY	459	85¢	$390	0x89f09f…
11-02 05:06:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Up	BUY	3	79¢	$2	0x410b1b…
11-02 02:11:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0x879f54…
11-02 02:07:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	BUY	393	99¢	$389	0xb3639d…
11-02 02:03:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Down	BUY	385	97¢	$373	0xa7275a…
11-02 02:02:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0xa487ca…
11-02 02:01:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0xeb0853…
11-02 01:59:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$1	0xf24e67…
11-02 01:57:52	Moody's or S&P downgrades France by November 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	4	10¢	$0	0x82bb59…
11-02 01:56:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x0d92dc…
11-02 01:50:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x8c5c6b…
11-01 18:23:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x834573…
11-01 18:09:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x800880…
11-01 18:07:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x525b84…
11-01 18:06:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x760ef3…
11-01 18:06:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	85¢	$2	0x0e0fe1…
11-01 18:03:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	BUY	306	98¢	$300	0x621e8b…
11-01 18:02:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	BUY	22	93¢	$20	0x16dbc4…
11-01 18:02:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	SELL	8	11¢	$1	0x38e30a…
11-01 18:02:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	8	38¢	$3	0x11d379…
11-01 18:01:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	SELL	7	42¢	$3	0x85d11e…
11-01 18:00:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0x2a37dc…
11-01 17:54:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xae137c…
11-01 17:37:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0xec9a86…
11-01 17:36:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0xfd4071…
11-01 13:14:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x37c58e…
11-01 13:14:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x2b83e0…
11-01 13:08:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	26	76¢	$20	0xd911d1…
11-01 13:08:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0x5ef2f8…
11-01 13:08:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	SELL	15	50¢	$7	0x121fc9…
11-01 13:06:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0xdd952f…
11-01 13:06:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0x30133c…
11-01 13:05:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0xbcca35…
11-01 11:48:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0xdcd094…
11-01 11:48:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	SELL	1	74¢	$1	0xe2305a…
11-01 11:47:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x0f3bc6…
11-01 11:18:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	SELL	12	91¢	$10	0x187522…
11-01 11:18:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x06ddd3…
11-01 11:17:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0xa5422e…
11-01 11:12:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0x2fd866…
11-01 11:08:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x93df18…
11-01 11:07:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x9c3a42…