Delirious-Wharf — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$571

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

58.5%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$4.65K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$55

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-03

last 06-15 08:30

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 20 days

Categories

Crypto

79% 33% -$371

Politics

21% 14% -$197

Other

0% 0% -$2

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-15).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	6	$1.3K	1,238	1,238	+0	Up	+$138	06-15 08:15
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-15 08:00 UTC	13	$992	1,368	1,069	+300	Up	+$3	06-15 08:03
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-15 08:05 UTC	4	$761	655	655	+0	Down	-$39	06-15 08:08
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 26?	3	$248	6,171	6,171	+0	No	-$152	05-26 00:44
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 27?	2	$241	223	223	+0	No	+$192	05-25 23:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	1	$224	393	0	+393	Up	-$224	06-15 08:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	1	$200	370	0	+370	Down	-$200	06-15 08:20
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?	3	$104	917	92	+825	No	+$76	05-26 01:50
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	11	$78	28,057	27,557	+500	Yes	-$23	03-03 23:21
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-15 08:15 UTC	3	$78	618	36	+582	Down	-$22	06-15 08:19
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 7, 2026?	1	$65	217	0	+217	No	-$65	05-31 08:29
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	1	$50	625	0	+625	Yes	-$50	06-15 07:19
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	1	$44	1,860	0	+1,860	Yes	-$44	05-26 05:42
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	1	$40	1,007	0	+1,007	No	-$40	05-31 08:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-08 21:20 UTC	2	$33	21	21	+0	Up	+$8	03-08 21:27
will iran strike israel on march 10	2	$26	8,500	0	+8,500	Yes	-$26	03-16 08:03
will israel or the us target isfahan nuclear technology center nuclear facility	2	$24	1,029	0	+1,029	Yes	-$24	04-03 21:17
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-08 21:25 UTC	1	$21	48	0	+48	Down	-$21	03-08 21:28
us strikes iran by february 23 2026 678 563	4	$13	1,413	1,413	+0	No	-$10	02-24 04:27
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-08 12:00 UTC	1	$13	28	0	+28	Up	-$13	03-08 12:01
us strikes iran by february 24 2026	2	$11	322	0	+322	No	-$11	02-24 20:29
Will the US strike Iran next?	1	$7	242	0	+242	No	-$7	03-01 11:16
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-08 11:50 UTC	1	$6	13	0	+13	Up	+$7	03-08 11:53
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-08 11:40 UTC	1	$5	13	0	+13	Down	-$5	03-08 11:41
will the us next strike iran on february 8 2026 et	1	$5	500	0	+500	No	-$5	02-03 07:27
will the us next strike iran on february 5 2026 et	2	$5	225	225	+0	No	+$1	02-04 22:15
will the us next strike iran on february 4 2026 et	2	$4	225	225	+0	No	$0	02-04 00:33
Will the US strike Iran next?	2	$4	1,760	0	+1,760	No	-$4	02-04 22:19
will the us next strike iran on february 10 2026 et	1	$3	358	0	+358	No	-$3	02-03 07:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-08 11:45 UTC	2	$3	128	0	+128	Up	-$3	03-08 11:50

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-15 08:30:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	BUY	393	57¢	$224	0x6236dc…
06-15 08:20:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	BUY	370	54¢	$200	0xead09c…
06-15 08:19:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-15 08:15 UTC	Up	BUY	582	4¢	$25	0xf3a8ff…
06-15 08:18:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-15 08:15 UTC	Down	SELL	36	77¢	$28	0x709c9a…
06-15 08:17:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-15 08:15 UTC	Down	BUY	36	70¢	$25	0x0e1852…
06-15 08:15:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	SELL	253	99¢	$250	0x767c67…
06-15 08:14:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	253	79¢	$200	0xba3df0…
06-15 08:12:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	SELL	465	55¢	$256	0x20e65a…
06-15 08:12:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	465	43¢	$200	0x3e3872…
06-15 08:11:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-15 08:10 UTC	Down	SELL	520	45¢	$232	0x184e59…
06-15 08:10:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-15 08:10 UTC	Down	BUY	520	38¢	$200	0x020a21…
06-15 08:08:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-15 08:05 UTC	Down	SELL	270	95¢	$257	0x717805…
06-15 08:07:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-15 08:05 UTC	Down	BUY	270	74¢	$200	0x5eb75e…
06-15 08:07:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-15 08:05 UTC	Up	SELL	385	27¢	$104	0xb44ec3…
06-15 08:05:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-15 08:05 UTC	Up	BUY	385	52¢	$200	0x8bfe81…
06-15 08:03:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-15 08:00 UTC	Up	SELL	103	98¢	$101	0x2f828d…
06-15 08:03:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-15 08:00 UTC	Up	BUY	103	97¢	$100	0x5d6913…
06-15 08:02:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-15 08:00 UTC	Down	BUY	300	33¢	$100	0xc6b51d…
06-15 08:02:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-15 08:00 UTC	Up	SELL	121	59¢	$72	0xff6a36…
06-15 08:02:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-15 08:00 UTC	Up	BUY	121	57¢	$70	0x636432…
06-15 08:02:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-15 08:00 UTC	Up	SELL	500	33¢	$165	0xfeef0f…
06-15 08:01:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-15 08:00 UTC	Up	BUY	500	20¢	$100	0x2dd42b…
06-15 08:01:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-15 08:00 UTC	Up	SELL	344	46¢	$160	0xba13ab…
06-15 08:00:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-15 08:00 UTC	Up	BUY	66	38¢	$25	0xc487ad…
06-15 08:00:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-15 08:00 UTC	Up	BUY	67	37¢	$25	0x1a6f58…
06-15 08:00:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-15 08:00 UTC	Up	BUY	70	36¢	$25	0xa3de6d…
06-15 08:00:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-15 08:00 UTC	Up	BUY	68	37¢	$25	0x900260…
06-15 08:00:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-15 08:00 UTC	Up	BUY	73	34¢	$25	0x733c31…
06-15 07:19:13	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	625	8¢	$50	0xc05ea6…
05-31 08:29:44	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	217	30¢	$65	0x543ce3…
05-31 08:29:08	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,007	4¢	$40	0x7d3db1…
05-26 05:42:05	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	No	BUY	1,860	2¢	$44	0x83d416…
05-26 01:50:25	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?	Yes	BUY	825	0¢	$4	0x062c6f…
05-26 00:44:16	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 26?	Yes	SELL	6,171	1¢	$48	0x8030bb…
05-25 23:31:01	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 26?	Yes	BUY	4,819	3¢	$149	0xd17692…
05-25 23:25:01	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 26?	Yes	BUY	1,352	4¢	$50	0x447306…
05-25 23:11:15	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 27?	No	SELL	223	97¢	$217	0xbdc891…
05-25 23:08:23	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?	No	SELL	92	98¢	$90	0xc72879…
05-25 21:30:48	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 27?	No	BUY	223	11¢	$25	0xad1208…
05-25 21:30:29	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?	No	BUY	92	11¢	$10	0xffeeb9…
04-03 21:17:27	will israel or the us target isfahan nuclear technology center nuclear facility	No	BUY	381	1¢	$4	0x79a445…
04-03 20:23:27	will israel or the us target isfahan nuclear technology center nuclear facility	No	BUY	648	3¢	$20	0x8e22a4…
03-16 08:03:17	will iran strike israel on march 10	No	BUY	5,167	0¢	$16	0xd94ac7…
03-16 07:44:27	will iran strike israel on march 10	No	BUY	3,333	0¢	$10	0x1840c6…
03-08 21:28:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-08 21:25 UTC	Up	BUY	48	43¢	$21	0x9bfebc…
03-08 21:27:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-08 21:20 UTC	Up	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0x4b5af3…
03-08 21:24:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-08 21:20 UTC	Up	BUY	21	60¢	$13	0x4faf41…
03-08 12:01:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-08 12:00 UTC	Down	BUY	28	47¢	$13	0xf0601d…
03-08 11:53:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-08 11:50 UTC	Up	BUY	13	47¢	$6	0x3c835d…
03-08 11:50:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-08 11:45 UTC	Down	BUY	111	1¢	$1	0x2de844…
03-08 11:49:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-08 11:45 UTC	Down	BUY	17	12¢	$2	0xe66374…
03-08 11:41:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-08 11:40 UTC	Up	BUY	13	40¢	$5	0xbb71cf…
03-03 23:21:13	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	No	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0xca1362…
03-03 23:01:23	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	No	SELL	13,780	0¢	$14	0x5ce325…
03-03 20:59:45	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	No	BUY	13,280	0¢	$13	0xdfe3a7…
03-03 20:43:03	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	No	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0x017d64…
03-03 20:41:11	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	No	SELL	13,777	0¢	$14	0xaae6af…
03-03 04:10:51	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	No	SELL	500	0¢	$0	0xf90d14…
03-03 03:09:51	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	No	BUY	3,993	0¢	$12	0xc23eec…
03-03 03:09:31	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	No	BUY	3,333	0¢	$10	0x62990e…
03-03 00:08:23	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	No	BUY	3,450	0¢	$7	0xbaf0c5…
03-03 00:05:11	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	No	BUY	2,000	0¢	$4	0xee7266…
03-02 23:58:19	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	No	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0x520970…
03-02 23:30:59	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	No	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0x0f094f…
03-02 08:48:47	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	No	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0xb125b9…
03-01 11:20:55	Will the US strike Syria next?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xb14f10…
03-01 11:16:45	Will the US strike Iran next?	Yes	BUY	242	3¢	$7	0x1e8f09…
02-24 20:29:54	us strikes iran by february 24 2026	Yes	BUY	59	2¢	$1	0xaa0846…
02-24 04:27:02	us strikes iran by february 23 2026 678 563	Yes	SELL	1,413	0¢	$1	0xe6ba4b…
02-23 23:48:48	us strikes iran by february 23 2026 678 563	Yes	BUY	513	1¢	$4	0xa43c58…
02-23 23:48:10	us strikes iran by february 23 2026 678 563	Yes	BUY	500	1¢	$4	0xfde354…
02-23 23:47:48	us strikes iran by february 24 2026	Yes	BUY	263	4¢	$10	0x168b89…
02-23 23:47:34	us strikes iran by february 23 2026 678 563	Yes	BUY	400	1¢	$4	0x91c7ff…
02-04 22:19:23	Will the US strike Iran next?	Yes	BUY	1,260	0¢	$3	0x023ca6…
02-04 22:19:03	Will the US strike Iran next?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0x20a1d4…
02-04 22:18:49	Will the US strike Iraq next?	Yes	BUY	360	0¢	$1	0xac4757…
02-04 22:15:25	will the us next strike iran on february 5 2026 et	Yes	SELL	225	1¢	$3	0xac6c43…
02-04 00:33:52	will the us next strike iran on february 4 2026 et	Yes	SELL	225	1¢	$2	0xe5972d…
02-03 07:27:50	will the us next strike iran on february 8 2026 et	Yes	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0x5f3486…
02-03 07:27:30	will the us next strike iran on february 5 2026 et	Yes	BUY	225	1¢	$2	0x6bbd04…
02-03 07:27:16	will the us next strike iran on february 4 2026 et	Yes	BUY	225	1¢	$2	0x2d8a86…
02-03 07:09:54	will the us next strike iran on february 10 2026 et	Yes	BUY	358	1¢	$3	0x3a475c…
02-03 07:09:32	will the us next strike iran on february 6 2026 et	Yes	BUY	60	2¢	$1	0xeb12ef…
02-03 07:09:06	will the us next strike iran in january 2026 et	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x64f455…