Eminent-Atheist — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$9

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

70.2%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$154

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$22

4 positions

First seen

2026-05-09

last 05-10 07:06

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

67% 60% $-9

Politics

33% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 15 trades/day

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1AM ET	Down	-14	$-6	100¢	$-14	$-8	05-10 05:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3AM ET	Up	+8	$5	100¢	$8	+$3	05-10 07:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2AM ET	Down	-30	$-11	0¢	$-0	+$11	05-10 06:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3AM ET	Down	+15	$5	0¢	$0	$-5	05-10 07:03

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	1	$50	50,000	0	+50,000	open	—	05-09 18:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	5	$32	27	22	+5	Up	+$3	05-10 06:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	3	$12	10	15	-5	Down	$-13	05-10 05:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	2	$11	7	7	+0	Up	+$1	05-10 05:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2AM ET	1	$11	0	30	-30	open	—	05-10 06:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	1	$11	0	12	-12	Down	$-2	05-10 05:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	1	$10	11	0	+11	Up	+$1	05-09 21:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3AM ET	2	$10	23	0	+23	open	—	05-10 07:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1AM ET	1	$6	0	14	-14	open	—	05-10 05:33

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-10 07:06:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3AM ET	Up	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0xfc9001…
05-10 07:03:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3AM ET	Down	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0xea5e90…
05-10 06:48:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2AM ET	Down	SELL	30	36¢	$11	0xf77e57…
05-10 06:13:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x5611e6…
05-10 06:11:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Down	SELL	8	55¢	$5	0x425121…
05-10 06:08:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Up	SELL	14	87¢	$12	0xfa405c…
05-10 06:03:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	14	73¢	$10	0x711066…
05-10 05:57:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0xd5aa24…
05-10 05:52:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Down	SELL	12	87¢	$11	0xc77d69…
05-10 05:48:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Down	SELL	15	47¢	$7	0x9b4b68…
05-10 05:46:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Up	SELL	0	69¢	$0	0xc44282…
05-10 05:43:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xe6352b…
05-10 05:37:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	SELL	7	87¢	$6	0x94f986…
05-10 05:36:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0xc4a68a…
05-10 05:33:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1AM ET	Down	SELL	14	44¢	$6	0x252974…
05-09 21:14:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0xb501e9…
05-09 18:56:28	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	50,000	0¢	$50	0x892bce…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0xe907…cff6	9	$1.57K	83	05-10 08:01
Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30	5	$1.17K	117	05-10 06:13
Upset-Sight 0xe022…6603	5	$699	81	05-10 06:12
Incompatible-Coincidence 0x8f15…0d75	4	$595	41	05-10 07:59
Lively-Authenticity 0xb55f…64d4	3	$5.66K	88	05-10 07:59
(anonymous) 0x5456…689c	3	$2.69K	4	05-10 07:11
Exotic-Utility 0xa806…2c7c	3	$991	10	05-10 07:53
Buttery-Trace 0xb021…ebd9	3	$808	112	05-10 07:59