Bowed-Appearance — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2.42K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

64.5%

Resolved

2,627

Trades

8,950

lifetime

Volume

$77.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-05

last 10-02 20:27

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 151 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 51% -$2,425

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

46 active days in 12wk • peak 441 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin up or down june 29 2026 4pm et	4	$496	496	496	+0	Down	+$96	06-29 20:36
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-07 02:00 UTC	4	$474	463	463	+0	Down	+$74	07-07 02:09
bitcoin up or down june 9 2026 3pm et	8	$436	451	451	+0	Up	+$89	06-09 19:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1PM ET	9	$402	495	495	+0	Down	+$59	06-03 17:46
bitcoin up or down june 29 2026 2pm et	3	$366	322	322	+0	Down	+$88	06-29 18:32
bitcoin up or down march 4 1pm et	31	$354	1,400	300	+1,100	Up	-$26	03-04 18:54
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-07 02:15 UTC	3	$318	406	179	+227	Down	-$82	07-07 02:18
bitcoin up or down february 25 4pm et	13	$287	270	270	+0	Down	+$150	02-25 21:52
bitcoin up or down june 29 2026 3pm et	2	$284	519	519	+0	Up	+$84	06-29 19:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 2PM ET	5	$278	324	324	+0	Up	+$38	06-03 18:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	4	$277	226	226	+0	Up	+$21	10-01 21:58
bitcoin up or down june 9 2026 4pm et	6	$268	298	298	+0	Up	+$28	06-09 20:57
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-25 16:30 UTC	9	$267	217	214	+3	Down	+$67	03-25 16:41
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-29 17:15 UTC	3	$262	281	281	+0	Up	+$69	06-29 17:23
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-01 00:40 UTC	4	$253	185	185	+0	Up	+$24	10-01 00:42
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-29 19:45 UTC	3	$251	286	286	+0	Down	+$51	06-29 19:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1PM ET	8	$251	171	171	+0	Up	+$44	06-02 17:50
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-07 01:45 UTC	3	$250	296	230	+65	Down	-$10	07-07 01:58
bitcoin up or down february 17 6pm et	8	$249	300	300	+0	Down	+$79	02-17 23:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	4	$248	144	144	+0	Up	+$8	10-01 11:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 3PM ET	7	$241	268	268	+0	Down	+$44	05-30 19:47
bitcoin up or down june 30 2026 7am et	4	$236	305	305	+0	Down	+$45	06-30 11:32
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-08 15:30 UTC	2	$235	202	202	+0	Down	+$35	07-08 15:33
bitcoin up or down june 19 2026 4pm et	5	$225	495	495	+0	Up	-$188	06-19 20:47
bitcoin up or down june 19 2026 12pm et	13	$222	200	200	+0	Down	+$70	06-19 16:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	4	$219	178	178	+0	Up	+$40	09-13 23:22
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-01 01:20 UTC	2	$217	163	163	+0	Up	+$17	10-01 01:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	4	$214	158	158	+0	Down	+$18	09-15 20:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-09 19:45 UTC	2	$214	194	194	+0	Up	+$74	06-09 19:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9PM ET	13	$214	541	541	+0	Up	+$44	05-31 01:45

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-02 20:27:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0x864fa2…
10-02 20:26:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	SELL	7	74¢	$5	0xb9293d…
10-02 20:25:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0x4224bf…
10-02 20:23:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	SELL	5	94¢	$5	0xd695dd…
10-02 20:23:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0x3394ca…
10-02 20:22:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	SELL	10	19¢	$2	0x48dd02…
10-02 20:21:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x9ecdc2…
10-02 20:13:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	SELL	6	90¢	$6	0x63edb7…
10-02 20:13:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x533b4b…
10-02 20:12:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	SELL	8	81¢	$7	0x181595…
10-02 20:11:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	8	74¢	$6	0x903ee4…
10-02 20:09:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xc790bd…
10-02 20:09:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xfcd9b7…
10-02 20:00:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	SELL	8	77¢	$6	0x2cbfc1…
10-02 19:59:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0x3f7ba4…
10-02 19:53:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	SELL	7	78¢	$6	0x268313…
10-02 19:52:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0x01fca5…
10-02 19:45:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	SELL	7	78¢	$5	0x81f764…
10-02 19:44:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	7	56¢	$4	0xd11558…
10-02 19:43:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	SELL	2	95¢	$2	0xe6ffc9…
10-02 19:43:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0xcb6170…
10-02 19:42:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	SELL	5	78¢	$4	0x8cdc0f…
10-02 19:42:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x0a8c31…
10-02 19:41:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	SELL	5	70¢	$3	0xf9ab32…
10-02 19:41:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x449f3a…
10-02 19:40:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	SELL	4	60¢	$2	0x48e471…
10-02 19:40:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x2ada77…
10-02 19:38:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0x9a9b71…
10-02 19:37:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0x1e9bf3…
10-02 19:36:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	SELL	3	84¢	$2	0x9e78de…
10-02 19:35:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	3	75¢	$2	0x2e78f8…
10-02 19:34:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x9f4a91…
10-02 19:33:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0x12988e…
10-02 19:32:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	SELL	6	35¢	$2	0x374b59…
10-02 19:31:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	BUY	6	69¢	$4	0xa2bcf0…
10-02 19:26:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	SELL	6	72¢	$4	0xaa8ba7…
10-02 19:26:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	6	69¢	$4	0x822051…
10-02 19:26:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	SELL	7	66¢	$5	0xa56c3c…
10-02 19:25:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	7	56¢	$4	0x95f69e…
10-02 19:22:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	SELL	4	74¢	$3	0x13e44a…
10-02 19:20:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	4	76¢	$3	0x55a44f…
10-02 19:16:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	SELL	12	26¢	$3	0x6e89bb…
10-02 19:15:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0xb65d29…
10-02 19:14:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	SELL	5	39¢	$2	0x0044f9…
10-02 19:13:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x86c97e…
10-02 19:12:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	SELL	6	88¢	$6	0x44a661…
10-02 19:12:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0x32d870…
10-02 19:11:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	SELL	10	62¢	$6	0xb0b2cb…
10-02 19:10:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xb89706…
10-02 19:04:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0xea3dc7…
10-02 19:04:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x7cbd43…
10-02 18:14:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x080779…
10-02 18:12:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	SELL	7	52¢	$3	0x225d00…
10-02 18:10:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0x909405…
10-02 18:08:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	SELL	7	72¢	$5	0x451470…
10-02 18:07:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0x41cdae…
10-02 18:07:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	SELL	11	47¢	$5	0x94facd…
10-02 18:07:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x76d90c…
10-02 18:04:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xce4388…
10-02 18:03:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xc8246d…
10-02 18:03:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	SELL	5	88¢	$4	0x06744a…
10-02 18:01:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x41d38c…
10-02 18:00:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	SELL	4	83¢	$4	0x476a74…
10-02 18:00:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0xedd8c8…
10-02 17:58:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x11dca5…
10-02 17:57:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	SELL	7	71¢	$5	0x7927a9…
10-02 17:56:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0xa106f2…
10-02 17:54:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	SELL	8	98¢	$8	0x25d2e8…
10-02 17:52:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	BUY	8	77¢	$6	0x9552b2…
10-02 17:51:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	SELL	3	79¢	$2	0x8e9778…
10-02 17:51:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x32e548…
10-02 17:50:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x214661…
10-02 17:46:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xc79e62…
10-02 17:43:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x50c869…
10-02 17:42:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	SELL	8	77¢	$6	0xa45c2f…
10-02 17:39:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	8	58¢	$5	0xefeab2…
10-02 17:32:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	SELL	7	46¢	$3	0x52f91c…
10-02 17:30:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0x762c78…
10-02 17:28:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	SELL	6	91¢	$5	0x80ac58…
10-02 17:27:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x9c8f40…
10-02 17:26:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	SELL	1	75¢	$1	0xfa479b…
10-02 17:25:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x41227c…
10-02 17:22:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	SELL	8	77¢	$6	0x88b1a0…
10-02 17:22:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0xd8d290…
10-02 17:17:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0xd4a492…
10-02 17:16:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x78faf7…
10-02 16:32:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Down	SELL	7	78¢	$5	0x08f423…
10-02 16:32:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Down	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0x39eed3…
10-02 16:28:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	SELL	6	87¢	$5	0xbbaa75…
10-02 16:27:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0x53346f…
10-02 16:23:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	SELL	4	97¢	$4	0x0f1881…
10-02 16:22:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	4	89¢	$4	0x4c2b5d…
10-02 16:21:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	SELL	10	37¢	$4	0x070379…
10-02 16:20:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x051205…
10-02 16:17:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	SELL	6	84¢	$5	0xe5a19b…
10-02 16:17:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x28be4c…
10-02 16:16:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	SELL	9	64¢	$6	0xfc461b…
10-02 16:15:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x44f2e8…
10-02 16:15:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	SELL	9	63¢	$5	0x6484e0…
10-02 16:15:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0x494586…