Elastic-Pie — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$19.7K

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

72.2%

Resolved

185

Trades

1,058

lifetime

Volume

$161.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$153

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-15

last 10-26 14:56

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 59 days

Categories

Other

74% 54% -$22,638

Crypto

14% 100% +$1,048

Sports

12% 57% +$1,924

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

14 active days in 12wk • peak 21 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Khamzat Chimaev be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026?	Yes		-3	-$1	2¢	$-0	+$1	05-20 11:43

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
penguin listed on binance by march 31	59	$23.5K	16,586	16,726	-140	No	+$1,048	01-28 22:26
atp alcaraz zverev 2026 01 30	26	$8.9K	6,608	6,057	+550	Alcaraz	+$515	01-30 09:14
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Men's French Open?	84	$8.6K	12,415	0	+12,415	No	-$8,580	05-28 13:12
will carlos alcaraz win the 2026 australian open	23	$7.8K	9,117	9,117	+0	Yes	+$312	01-30 12:50
lal bar ovi 2026 01 25 bar	3	$6.3K	3,395	3,395	+0	Yes	+$438	01-25 16:55
atp djokovi sinner 2026 01 30	26	$4.4K	5,205	0	+5,205	Djokovic	-$4,369	01-30 14:10
atp darderi sinner 2026 01 25	10	$4.1K	2,082	2,082	+0	Sinner	+$77	01-26 09:22
atp shelton sinner 2026 01 28	9	$4.0K	4,459	0	+4,459	Sinner	+$457	01-28 06:57
atp alcaraz paul 2026 01 25	2	$3.7K	2,000	2,000	+0	Alcaraz	+$258	01-25 05:36
West Indies Tour of India T20s: India vs West Indies	3	$3.3K	2,873	2,873	+0	cancelled	-$431	10-17 18:36
Will Tottenham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?	12	$3.3K	2,300	2,300	+0	No	+$694	05-23 10:05
Will Oviedo be relegated from La Liga after the 2025–26 season?	3	$3.0K	1,576	1,576	+0	Yes	+$98	05-10 23:10
Will Nottingham Forest reach the UEFA Europa League final?	9	$3.0K	2,035	2,035	+0	No	+$1,097	05-07 21:25
atp alcaraz minaur 2026 01 27	3	$2.8K	3,350	0	+3,350	Alcaraz	+$514	01-27 09:09
Will Aston Villa win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?	37	$2.6K	1,500	1,500	+0	Yes	+$433	05-20 21:51
wta sabalen rybakin 2026 01 31	5	$2.4K	2,655	1,328	+1,328	Rybakina	-$757	01-31 10:40
will bodglimt advance to the round of 16	10	$2.2K	3,964	0	+3,964	Yes	-$2,183	02-24 19:57
atp spizzir sinner 2026 01 24	10	$2.2K	2,734	0	+2,734	Sinner	+$583	01-24 04:15
ucl fcb1 kob1 2026 01 28 fcb1	23	$2.0K	2,426	0	+2,426	Yes	+$415	01-28 20:09
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?	10	$1.7K	251	2,185	-1,934	Yes	-$591	06-03 17:38
atp zverev cerundo 2026 01 25	11	$1.7K	1,000	1,000	+0	Zverev	+$279	01-25 08:33
Dota 2: Mena Warriors vs Dawn Bulls (BO3) - DreamLeague Western Europe Open Qualifier 2 Playoffs	4	$1.7K	1,084	1,084	+0	Dawn Bulls	+$243	10-12 12:13
Will Real Madrid win the 2025-26 Euroleague?	14	$1.6K	1,000	1,000	+0	No	+$100	05-24 19:58
ucl rma1 bay1 2026 04 07 bay1	1	$1.6K	2,734	0	+2,734	Yes	-$1,613	04-07 18:48
Counter-Strike: Alter Ego vs Chinggis Warriors (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Asia-Pacific Cup #3 Playoffs	2	$1.6K	2,684	0	+2,684	Alter Ego	-$1,610	10-12 10:04
Will Khamzat Chimaev win by KO or TKO?	20	$1.5K	1,889	0	+1,889	No	+$397	05-09 21:57
CA San Telmo vs. CA Defensores de Belgrano: O/U 0.5	14	$1.5K	2,138	0	+2,138	Under	-$1,459	10-19 17:20
Roland Garros ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo	18	$1.5K	2,261	0	+2,261	Juan Manuel Cerundolo	-$1,454	05-28 13:06
atp alcaraz sinner 2026 04 12	2	$1.4K	1,701	677	+1,024	Jannik Sinner	+$647	04-12 15:17
will magnus carlsen win the 20252026 speed chess championship	12	$1.4K	1,000	1,000	+0	Yes	$0	01-25 04:12

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-26 14:56:17	Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win on 2026-10-27?	Yes	BUY	2	72¢	$1	0xa4877d…
10-26 14:34:03	Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win on 2026-10-27?	Yes	BUY	113	72¢	$81	0x4bffd5…
10-26 13:26:56	Aquila Basket Trento vs. Buducnost Podgorica	Aquila Basket Trento	BUY	45	47¢	$21	0xbf3109…
10-26 13:15:17	Aquila Basket Trento vs. Buducnost Podgorica	Aquila Basket Trento	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0xba01b6…
10-26 11:55:47	Aquila Basket Trento vs. Buducnost Podgorica	Aquila Basket Trento	BUY	117	47¢	$55	0x1da417…
10-26 09:51:47	Aquila Basket Trento vs. Buducnost Podgorica	Aquila Basket Trento	BUY	7	47¢	$3	0x439223…
10-26 08:45:06	Aquila Basket Trento vs. Buducnost Podgorica	Aquila Basket Trento	BUY	196	46¢	$90	0x5c62fc…
10-26 08:27:51	Aquila Basket Trento vs. Buducnost Podgorica	Aquila Basket Trento	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x182419…
10-26 08:20:06	Aquila Basket Trento vs. Buducnost Podgorica	Aquila Basket Trento	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xc935a3…
10-26 08:20:06	Aquila Basket Trento vs. Buducnost Podgorica	Aquila Basket Trento	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x8b988b…
10-26 08:20:06	Aquila Basket Trento vs. Buducnost Podgorica	Aquila Basket Trento	BUY	195	47¢	$92	0x01f76d…
10-25 21:12:24	FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	62	74¢	$46	0x426b58…
10-25 21:11:24	FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	38	74¢	$28	0xdfb69f…
10-25 17:46:20	Mitre Santiago del Estero vs. CD Godoy Cruz: Both Teams to Score	No	BUY	7	60¢	$4	0x84cf38…
10-25 17:46:20	Mitre Santiago del Estero vs. CD Godoy Cruz: Both Teams to Score	No	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x689a26…
10-25 17:00:09	Mitre Santiago del Estero vs. CD Godoy Cruz: Both Teams to Score	No	BUY	142	60¢	$85	0x30fe0c…
10-25 16:53:54	Motherwell FC vs. Heart of Midlothian FC: O/U 3.5	Under	SELL	413	100¢	$413	0xf27d1a…
10-25 13:53:17	Motherwell FC vs. Heart of Midlothian FC: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	413	62¢	$256	0xb0f76e…
10-25 13:38:42	Atalanta BC vs. Frosinone Calcio: O/U 10.5 Total Corners	Under	BUY	609	49¢	$298	0xa7552f…
10-24 21:31:45	Rainbow Six Siege: FURIA Esports vs Fluxo W7M (BO3) - Challenger League Playoffs	FURIA Esports	SELL	604	100¢	$603	0xbc29df…
10-24 15:45:08	Rainbow Six Siege: FURIA Esports vs Fluxo W7M (BO3) - Challenger League Playoffs	FURIA Esports	BUY	604	53¢	$320	0x317681…
10-22 11:48:03	OFI vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total Corners	Over	BUY	60	63¢	$38	0x938eb7…
10-21 20:19:08	Will Sporting CP win on 2026-10-21?	Yes	BUY	30	50¢	$15	0x0531be…
10-21 17:03:20	Hapoel Tel Aviv vs. Virtus Bologna	Hapoel Tel Aviv	BUY	30	35¢	$10	0x77cf27…
10-21 15:04:27	Counter-Strike: BBL vs Heroic (BO3) - DraculaN Playoffs	Heroic	BUY	29	73¢	$21	0x9efe9c…
10-21 15:04:26	Counter-Strike: BBL vs Heroic (BO3) - DraculaN Playoffs	Heroic	BUY	524	73¢	$383	0x9b0200…
10-20 20:46:33	Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 5.5	Over	BUY	39	50¢	$20	0x1f04c9…
10-20 20:45:33	Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 3.5	Over	SELL	118	100¢	$118	0xfcdebb…
10-20 20:38:00	Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	118	63¢	$74	0x493918…
10-20 20:20:59	Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Barcelona: Both Teams to Score	Yes	SELL	76	100¢	$76	0x3ad659…
10-20 19:15:06	Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Barcelona: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	76	77¢	$59	0x5ecfe8…
10-20 19:12:47	Will Al Nassr Saudi Club win on 2026-10-20?	Yes	BUY	8	55¢	$4	0x1790f2…
10-20 19:11:48	Will Al Nassr Saudi Club win on 2026-10-20?	Yes	BUY	142	55¢	$78	0x380c05…
10-20 19:08:30	AS Roma leading at halftime?	Yes	BUY	100	73¢	$73	0xfd4bc1…
10-20 18:14:06	Fenerbahçe SK vs. SK Slavia Praha: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	99	66¢	$66	0xc86c28…
10-20 18:13:45	Sabah FK vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	100	63¢	$63	0x737770…
10-20 16:51:53	Sabah FK vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: 1st Half O/U 0.5	Over	BUY	100	77¢	$77	0x8149b9…
10-20 16:46:51	Will National Bank of Egypt Club win on 2026-10-20?	Yes	SELL	714	32¢	$228	0x9eb07e…
10-20 16:31:23	Will National Bank of Egypt Club win on 2026-10-20?	Yes	BUY	822	35¢	$288	0x7e1c05…
10-20 15:02:15	Spread: AS Roma (-2.5)	ŠK Slovan Bratislava	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0xc679d7…
10-20 15:01:09	Spread: AS Roma (-2.5)	ŠK Slovan Bratislava	BUY	908	47¢	$427	0xa8eb32…
10-20 14:33:53	Counter-Strike: Nice Try vs aimclub (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 6: Closed Qualifier Playoffs	aimclub	SELL	1,099	40¢	$440	0x21b247…
10-20 14:12:26	Counter-Strike: Nice Try vs aimclub (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 6: Closed Qualifier Playoffs	aimclub	BUY	489	39¢	$191	0x55f442…
10-20 14:11:59	Counter-Strike: Nice Try vs aimclub (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 6: Closed Qualifier Playoffs	aimclub	BUY	610	37¢	$226	0xa4ecb2…
10-20 11:44:20	Levanga Hokkaido vs. Toyama Grouses	Levanga Hokkaido	BUY	56	81¢	$45	0xee42fb…
10-20 11:44:17	Levanga Hokkaido vs. Toyama Grouses	Levanga Hokkaido	BUY	144	81¢	$117	0x4506d9…
10-20 11:11:21	Saga Ballooners vs. Nagasaki Velca	Nagasaki Velca	BUY	457	70¢	$320	0xac6c2a…
10-19 17:20:57	CA San Telmo vs. CA Defensores de Belgrano: O/U 0.5	Over	BUY	25	69¢	$17	0xa8d1b5…
10-19 17:14:12	CA San Telmo vs. CA Defensores de Belgrano: O/U 0.5	Over	BUY	14	69¢	$9	0x688a17…
10-19 16:21:33	CA San Telmo vs. CA Defensores de Belgrano: O/U 0.5	Over	BUY	101	69¢	$70	0x3546d5…
10-19 16:21:33	CA San Telmo vs. CA Defensores de Belgrano: O/U 0.5	Over	BUY	155	69¢	$107	0x30f428…
10-19 16:21:33	CA San Telmo vs. CA Defensores de Belgrano: O/U 0.5	Over	BUY	63	69¢	$43	0x179798…
10-19 16:16:29	CA San Telmo vs. CA Defensores de Belgrano: O/U 0.5	Over	BUY	777	69¢	$536	0xa8b4c7…
10-19 16:09:26	CA San Telmo vs. CA Defensores de Belgrano: O/U 0.5	Over	BUY	60	69¢	$41	0x041e8a…
10-19 16:07:32	CA San Telmo vs. CA Defensores de Belgrano: O/U 0.5	Over	BUY	39	71¢	$28	0xab690e…
10-19 16:00:15	CA San Telmo vs. CA Defensores de Belgrano: O/U 0.5	Over	BUY	26	69¢	$18	0xf543c4…
10-19 15:55:36	CA San Telmo vs. CA Defensores de Belgrano: O/U 0.5	Over	BUY	35	69¢	$24	0x1b0387…
10-19 15:55:36	CA San Telmo vs. CA Defensores de Belgrano: O/U 0.5	Over	BUY	23	69¢	$16	0x09704b…
10-19 15:52:45	CA San Telmo vs. CA Defensores de Belgrano: O/U 0.5	Over	BUY	60	69¢	$42	0x1d1cb0…
10-19 15:38:21	CA San Telmo vs. CA Defensores de Belgrano: O/U 0.5	Over	BUY	110	64¢	$70	0x78fb56…
10-19 15:29:35	CA San Telmo vs. CA Defensores de Belgrano: O/U 0.5	Over	BUY	650	67¢	$438	0x0cf2f2…
10-18 17:04:17	Real Madrid CF vs. Sevilla FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	190	51¢	$97	0x361e76…
10-18 17:03:32	Real Madrid CF vs. Sevilla FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x7cb151…
10-18 17:00:18	Real Madrid CF vs. Sevilla FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	22	51¢	$11	0x136469…
10-18 16:17:35	Real Madrid CF vs. Sevilla FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	36	51¢	$18	0xe9ed11…
10-17 23:13:48	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Rafael Jodar	Rafael Jodar	BUY	135	56¢	$76	0x68fb53…
10-17 18:40:03	Will AS Roma win on 2026-10-17?	Yes	BUY	200	61¢	$122	0xcdddfe…
10-17 18:36:51	West Indies Tour of India T20s: India vs West Indies	India	SELL	2,873	50¢	$1,436	0xfe5b2b…
10-17 08:43:44	West Indies Tour of India T20s: India vs West Indies	India	BUY	11	65¢	$7	0x289fab…
10-17 08:42:59	West Indies Tour of India T20s: India vs West Indies	India	BUY	2,862	65¢	$1,860	0xfa2642…
10-14 19:51:01	ucl mnc psg 2026 10 14 total 4pt5	Over	BUY	96	64¢	$62	0x1187c8…
10-14 19:47:57	ucl bet por 2026 10 14 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	71	55¢	$39	0x05ddad…
10-14 19:47:55	ucl bet por 2026 10 14 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	99	55¢	$55	0x9dfdd2…
10-14 19:40:33	ucl bet por 2026 10 14 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0xde5c30…
10-14 17:52:12	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-14?	Yes	BUY	192	50¢	$96	0xea9219…
10-14 12:21:26	elc lin whu 2026 10 14 btts	Yes	BUY	314	52¢	$163	0xa74817…
10-14 12:12:00	Aston Villa FC vs. Fenerbahçe SK: Aston Villa FC 2nd Half O/U 1.5	Under	BUY	24	65¢	$15	0x23cb25…
10-14 11:11:10	Portsmouth FC vs. Sheffield United FC: O/U 8.5 Total Corners	Over	BUY	384	69¢	$265	0xed1963…
10-13 22:57:06	O/U 1.5 Rounds	Under	BUY	416	59¢	$243	0x5fd4d6…
10-13 21:33:09	O/U 1.5 Rounds	Under	BUY	444	53¢	$235	0x0ab467…
10-13 15:48:06	Arsenal FC vs. Lille OSC: O/U 9.5 Total Corners	Over	BUY	53	45¢	$24	0x890753…
10-13 12:23:47	Fight to Go the Distance?	Yes	BUY	529	35¢	$185	0x57ac91…
10-12 22:48:57	Rainbow Six Siege: Black Dragons e-Sports vs FURIA Esports (BO3) - South America League Stage 2 Playoffs	FURIA Esports	BUY	860	71¢	$611	0x6670c6…
10-12 18:50:33	Spread: Knicks (-5.5)	Knicks	BUY	70	37¢	$26	0x71e0fc…
10-12 16:42:33	CS 2 de Mayo vs. Sportivo Ameliano: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	409	44¢	$180	0x2459a7…
10-12 12:13:45	Dota 2: Mena Warriors vs Dawn Bulls (BO3) - DreamLeague Western Europe Open Qualifier 2 Playoffs	Dawn Bulls	SELL	211	85¢	$179	0x5112cb…
10-12 11:51:41	Dota 2: Mena Warriors vs Dawn Bulls (BO3) - DreamLeague Western Europe Open Qualifier 2 Playoffs	Dawn Bulls	SELL	10	87¢	$9	0x756148…
10-12 11:44:09	Game Handicap: Dawn Bulls (-1.5) vs Mena Warriors (+1.5)	Mena Warriors	BUY	13	26¢	$3	0x4e4031…
10-12 11:43:05	Game Handicap: Dawn Bulls (-1.5) vs Mena Warriors (+1.5)	Mena Warriors	BUY	800	30¢	$243	0x6e7f33…
10-12 11:25:51	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Zizou Bergs vs Carlos Alcaraz	Carlos Alcaraz	BUY	200	66¢	$132	0xc3c185…
10-12 11:04:54	Dota 2: Mena Warriors vs Dawn Bulls (BO3) - DreamLeague Western Europe Open Qualifier 2 Playoffs	Dawn Bulls	SELL	864	88¢	$760	0x31112b…
10-12 11:01:45	Dota 2: Mena Warriors vs Dawn Bulls (BO3) - DreamLeague Western Europe Open Qualifier 2 Playoffs	Dawn Bulls	BUY	1,084	65¢	$705	0x05ca4e…
10-12 10:41:20	Map Handicap: NTR (-1.5) vs XI Esport (+1.5)	XI Esport	BUY	334	27¢	$90	0xf6beb5…
10-12 10:04:05	Counter-Strike: Alter Ego vs Chinggis Warriors (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Asia-Pacific Cup #3 Playoffs	Chinggis Warriors	BUY	1,342	60¢	$805	0x1f2baa…
10-12 09:54:50	Red Bull Bragantino vs. Cruzeiro EC: O/U 11.5 Total Corners	Under	BUY	152	62¢	$94	0x5dd238…
10-11 18:45:19	Spread: CA Patronato Parana (-1.5)	CA Guemes	BUY	900	52¢	$468	0x19a0a0…
10-11 13:39:34	ES Troyes AC vs. Olympique de Marseille: O/U 10.5 Total Corners	Under	BUY	420	69¢	$290	0x760411…
10-11 13:08:15	Counter-Strike: ARGOS vs aimclub (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 6: Open Qualifier Playoffs	aimclub	BUY	721	43¢	$310	0xccba01…
10-11 12:25:12	ES Troyes AC vs. Olympique de Marseille: O/U 10.5 Total Corners	Under	BUY	100	67¢	$67	0x65830d…
10-11 11:58:57	ES Troyes AC vs. Olympique de Marseille: O/U 9.5 Total Corners	Under	BUY	590	57¢	$336	0xfd138b…