Fair-Anxiety — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

96.9%

Resolved

2,067

Trades

2,126

lifetime

Volume

$20.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$10

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-03-20

last 10-29 15:14

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 209 days

Categories

Other

81% 98% -$3

Sports

15% 100% +$3

Crypto

3% 97% +$1

Tech

1% 100% +$0

Politics

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

70 active days in 12wk • peak 11 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $60M?	Yes		+5	$5	100¢	$5	+$0	10-30 16:44

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-30 16:44:27	Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $60M?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x1be6b6…
10-29 15:14:14	Erste Bank Open: Cameron Norrie vs Daniil Medvedev	Daniil Medvedev	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe789cb…
10-27 13:12:03	Guangzhou Open: Xinran Sun vs Mananchaya Sawangkaew	Xinran Sun	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x432e43…
10-25 09:31:00	Ningbo: Semen Pankin vs Maxim Zhukov	Semen Pankin	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x9d2465…
10-24 13:22:20	Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xd1d243…
10-23 16:52:29	Lyon Open: Daniel Altmaier vs Taylor Fritz	Taylor Fritz	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd7ca3f…
10-23 07:20:57	Ningbo Open: Sara Bejlek vs Marie Bouzkova	Marie Bouzkova	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x87cdd5…
10-23 06:10:03	Japan Women's Open: Talia Gibson vs Ashlyn Krueger	Ashlyn Krueger	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xd147b4…
10-20 18:47:45	Will Sabah FK win on 2026-10-20?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xbaa787…
10-20 18:45:42	Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-10-20?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x0fc4de…
10-18 03:35:38	Notre Dame vs. BYU	BYU	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x823646…
10-15 20:32:42	W35 Heraklion: Juliette Mazzoni vs Miriam Bianca Bulgaru	Juliette Mazzoni	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x028e0d…
10-15 19:37:38	Santa Cruz 2: Guido Justo vs Juan Manuel La Serna	Juan Manuel La Serna	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x83678d…
10-15 15:13:04	Wuhan Tennis Open: Ann Li vs Janice Tjen	Ann Li	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x6a1dcb…
10-14 20:56:48	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-14?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x126b90…
10-14 11:41:29	atp medvede tsitsip 2026 10 13	Daniil Medvedev	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x65e2ef…
10-13 21:12:07	Santa Cruz 2: Luis Guto Miguel vs Murkel Dellien	Luis Guto Miguel	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x6322d0…
10-13 20:58:55	Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-10-13?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xed5139…
10-13 14:15:20	Catania: Enrico Dalla Valle vs Federico Bondioli	Enrico Dalla Valle	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x1cb3cf…
10-13 01:39:53	Thunder vs. Hawks	Hawks	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x5e770b…
10-12 09:05:03	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Jiri Lehecka vs Rafael Jodar	Rafael Jodar	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x577e50…
10-11 20:16:12	Bengals vs. Dolphins	Bengals	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf3689a…
10-11 10:49:50	Olbia: Dimitar Kuzmanov vs Ryan Peniston	Dimitar Kuzmanov	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xe02669…
10-11 10:26:14	Olbia: Mario Gonzalez Fernandez vs Viktor Durasovic	Viktor Durasovic	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa12463…
10-10 12:54:19	China Open: Qinwen Zheng vs Elise Mertens	Qinwen Zheng	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x7b6c42…
10-10 11:08:45	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Learner Tien vs Zachary Svajda	Learner Tien	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x373a49…
10-09 02:09:53	Missouri State vs. Western Kentucky	Western Kentucky	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x34a155…
10-08 07:41:16	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Hamad Medjedovic	Thiago Agustin Tirante	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x572624…
10-07 14:42:14	Villena: Edas Butvilas vs Max Hans Rehberg	Max Hans Rehberg	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0xfb381d…
10-07 13:53:46	Samsun: Polina Iatcenko vs Dalma Galfi	Polina Iatcenko	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x361df8…
10-07 06:29:17	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Adrian Mannarino vs Nikoloz Basilashvili	Adrian Mannarino	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x0fc949…
10-07 05:49:08	W15 Maanshan: Anna Yang vs Darja Suvirdjonkova	Anna Yang	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xb3bba1…
10-06 22:12:08	Antofagasta: Guido Justo vs Francisco Comesana	Guido Justo	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe78b04…
10-06 20:46:26	Will Spain win on 2026-10-06?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x248701…
10-06 16:07:30	Palermo: Kalin Ivanovski vs Alejandro Moro Canas	Alejandro Moro Canas	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x4404d5…
10-06 13:20:18	Samsun: Lola Radivojevic vs Oksana Selekhmeteva	Oksana Selekhmeteva	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x348497…
10-04 23:23:13	LoL: Team Liquid vs LYON - Game 1 Winner	Team Liquid	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x1d157e…
10-04 20:22:58	Rams vs. Eagles	Rams	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xfc31d5…
10-04 20:17:43	Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs Astralis (BO5) - Stake Ranked Episode 4 Playoffs	Astralis	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x5c1195…
10-04 07:45:11	Wuning 3: Ryan Seggerman vs Naoki Tajima	Ryan Seggerman	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xcb72aa…
10-03 14:50:32	China Open: Elena Rybakina vs Alina Charaeva	Alina Charaeva	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xac57bc…
10-03 06:15:48	Montana State vs. Idaho	Idaho	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x20bfc5…
10-03 02:52:57	Pittsburgh vs. Virginia Tech	Pittsburgh	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x47a80c…
10-02 18:11:15	Columbus: Darwin Blanch vs Dylan Dietrich	Dylan Dietrich	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x15986b…
10-02 14:15:35	Will Bolivia win on 2026-10-04?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe1cb80…
10-02 14:13:38	Will Bolivia vs. Gambia end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x478dfa…
10-02 13:22:56	Mouilleron-Le-Captif: Lucas Poullain vs Joel Schwaerzler	Joel Schwaerzler	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x028997…
10-01 22:20:05	atp dias olivier 2026 10 01	Pedro Boscardin Dias	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x0c4375…
10-01 20:46:20	Will Portugal win on 2026-10-01?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd3128a…
10-01 20:36:05	Will Wales vs. Norway end in a draw?	No	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0xeb67f8…
10-01 14:13:02	atp giustin donald 2026 10 01	Matthew William Donald	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x40bf98…
10-01 12:04:12	atp grieksp rublev 2026 09 29	Andrey Rublev	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x8fd639…
10-01 11:29:44	wta dart qu 2026 09 30	Harriet Dart	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x1d74a4…
10-01 07:27:03	atp buse halys 2026 09 29	Quentin Halys	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc34ed3…
10-01 05:13:27	mlb chc sd 2026 09 30	San Diego Padres	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x769b59…
10-01 04:48:39	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x58a8b8…
09-30 23:54:44	Will China PR vs. Turkmenistan end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x964587…
09-30 12:27:57	atp kuzmano sachko 2026 09 30	Vitaliy Sachko	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xb06c52…
09-30 08:51:35	wta bai fruhvir 2026 09 30	Linda Fruhvirtova	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x3109da…
09-30 06:59:57	atp struff tirante 2026 09 29	Jan-Lennard Struff	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x61ad47…
09-30 01:55:50	Canadiens vs. Maple Leafs	Canadiens	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x16bf1e…
09-29 13:58:59	atp cretu rocha 2026 09 28	Henrique Rocha	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x58dd67…
09-29 13:20:14	atp medvede rublev 2026 09 29	Daniil Medvedev	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x85541e…
09-29 13:18:54	atp giustin sperle 2026 09 29	Lorenzo Giustino	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0xaf9f9d…
09-27 20:32:17	Chargers vs. Bills	Bills	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x7bc5b0…
09-27 14:05:48	atp droguet mayot 2026 09 27	Titouan Droguet	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x4b81db…
09-27 13:31:20	atp harri hurkacz 2026 09 27	Hubert Hurkacz	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x5930d3…
09-27 12:11:59	atp safiull bu 2026 09 27	Roman Safiullin	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xca988c…
09-26 23:23:51	Oklahoma vs. Georgia	Georgia	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe1af0e…
09-26 20:01:35	Columbia vs. Georgetown	Columbia	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xe159f2…
09-26 19:53:24	Texas vs. Tennessee	Texas	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe02e56…
09-26 12:18:26	wta fernand chwalin 2026 09 26	Leylah Fernandez	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x63019d…
09-25 22:57:44	atp prado barrena 2026 09 25	Alex Barrena	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xd5d5db…
09-25 10:39:23	atp marozsa daniel 2026 09 25	Fabian Marozsan	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x7e369a…
09-24 20:45:14	Will Norway win on 2026-09-24?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x33bde4…
09-24 09:44:06	Singapore Open: Xinyu Wang vs Joanna Garland	Xinyu Wang	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x0b2e67…
09-23 22:37:46	mlb min sf 2026 09 23	Minnesota Twins	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x8dbe31…
09-23 16:22:07	bitcoin above 84k on september 23 2026	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9ae167…
09-23 04:45:10	wta tararud park 2026 09 22	Lanlana Tararudee	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x254616…
09-21 18:44:33	wta naito aksu 2026 09 21	Ayla Aksu	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xbe9d65…
09-21 13:01:33	Solana Up or Down - September 21, 8AM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xdc5e9b…
09-21 02:19:43	Milwaukee Brewers vs. Baltimore Orioles	Milwaukee Brewers	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x8a3afe…
09-20 22:25:40	Browns vs. Buccaneers	Browns	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x681428…
09-20 21:08:28	Will CD Leganés vs. Granada CF end in a draw?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x5b7be0…
09-20 02:59:34	will ethereum dip to 2600 in september 2026	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x265a90…
09-20 02:45:48	Houston Christian vs. Incarnate Word	Incarnate Word	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x84fd34…
09-20 01:26:39	Florida State vs. Alabama	Alabama	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf11d10…
09-19 01:39:48	Kansas City Royals vs. Pittsburgh Pirates	Pittsburgh Pirates	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xde6b24…
09-18 20:03:36	Will Manchester City WFC win on 2026-09-18?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x3fd935…
09-17 17:27:43	lol ckz esb 2026 09 19 game1	CITA Kaizen	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x7eb54a…
09-17 17:00:22	ethereum up or down september 17 2026 12pm et	Up	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x2e77de…
09-17 14:00:49	bitcoin up or down september 17 2026 9am et	Down	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x257810…
09-17 00:30:51	Counter-Strike: Bounty Hunters Esports vs Yawara Esports - Map 2 Winner	Bounty Hunters Esports	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x63cc89…
09-16 21:21:06	Will Olympiakós SFP win on 2026-09-16?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x5667de…
09-16 11:00:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 6AM ET	Down	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x6ee782…
09-16 06:37:40	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 100-101°F on September 15?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x702fc6…
09-16 01:32:15	Tiburon: Michael Zheng vs Evan Zhu	Michael Zheng	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xfe8fbb…
09-16 00:09:52	Set 1 Winner: Diane Parry vs Peyton Stearns	Peyton Stearns	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa8a1a7…
09-15 18:32:06	crint ind afg 2026 09 15	India	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x6403fb…
09-15 09:42:03	Guangzhou: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Pavel Kotov	Pavel Kotov	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x5ffc1d…

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will wti reach 90 in july 2026 from july 27	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	07-31 21:47
Will Haiti win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	06-29 14:02
Map Handicap: DRIP (-1.5) vs m1x (+1.5)	2	$20	10	10	+0	m1x	+$0	05-07 11:00
Will Kai and Speed have between 30 and 49 total in-game deaths during their Minecraft marathon?	2	$20	10	10	+0	Yes	+$0	08-12 23:04
Will Lorenzo Musetti be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?	2	$20	20	0	+20	No	+$0	06-18 06:41
Counter-Strike: Passion Academy vs LPH Gaming - Map 2 Winner	2	$20	10	10	+0	LPH Gaming	+$0	05-10 14:38
alien abduction at brazil vs scotland game in miami 20260624221224553	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	06-25 02:00
atp mena aboian 2026 04 15 match total 21pt5	2	$20	10	10	+0	Over	+$0	04-26 02:50
Will Backpack launch a token by December 31, 2026?	2	$20	10	10	+0	Yes	+$0	03-23 13:54
LoL: GTZ Esports vs The Otter Side (BO1) - LPLOL Regular Season	2	$20	10	10	+0	The Otter Side	+$0	05-24 16:02
wta dilek falkows 2026 07 14	2	$20	10	10	+0	Weronika Falkowska	+$0	07-14 15:36
Will Spencer Roach be the Republican nominee for FL-19?	3	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	08-25 15:37
Notts County FC vs. Salford City FC: O/U 2.5	2	$20	10	10	+0	Over	+$0	05-30 04:47
chris moneymaker 20260707142702023	2	$20	10	10	+0	Yes	+$0	07-24 05:32
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on May 2?	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	05-02 01:35
Will Kai and Speed have between 50 and 69 total in-game deaths during their Minecraft marathon?	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	08-12 22:39
Exact Score: Notts County FC 3 - 0 Salford City FC?	2	$20	10	10	+0	Yes	+$0	05-28 16:30
highest temperature in shanghai on april 9 2026 28c	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	04-09 07:11
Will Frances Tiafoe win the 2026 Men's French Open?	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	06-01 23:08
Will Bob Rommel be the Republican nominee for FL-19?	3	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	08-25 15:37
atp mena aboian 2026 04 15 match total 22pt5	2	$20	10	10	+0	Under	+$0	04-26 02:50
crint ivo mli 2026 05 25	2	$20	10	10	+0	Mali	+$0	06-04 04:48
ITF Men Luan: Completed Match: Eric Jr Olivarez vs Xiaofei Wang	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	05-30 04:47
Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: August Holmgren vs Daniel Jade	2	$20	10	10	+0	August Holmgren	+$0	05-30 04:47
Will FK Shakhtar Donetsk win on 2026-08-03?	2	$20	10	10	+0	Yes	+$0	08-03 23:15
Will CXMT’s market cap be 400 billion yuan or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2026?	2	$20	20	0	+20	Yes	+$0	07-27 07:31
blast open rotterdam 2026 will a player break something during a game	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	03-31 03:59
fl1 psg nan 2026 04 22 total 1pt5	2	$20	10	10	+0	Over	$0	04-22 17:37
Istanbul: Laura Pigossi vs Lucia Cortez Llorca	2	$20	10	10	+0	Laura Pigossi	$0	05-05 15:54
Over $1M committed to the Pharos public sale?	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	$0	04-25 16:26