Windy-Embellishment — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$0

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

97.0%

Resolved

1,952

Trades

1,997

lifetime

Volume

$9.90K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-03-16

last 10-31 16:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 215 days

Categories

Other

80% 98% -$2

Sports

16% 100% +$2

Crypto

3% 97% +$0

Tech

1% 100% +$0

Politics

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

70 active days in 12wk • peak 12 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes		+5	$5	100¢	$5	+$0	10-31 16:00

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will wti reach 90 in july 2026 from july 27	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	+$0	07-31 21:47
Will Haiti win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	+$0	06-30 14:02
Map Handicap: DRIP (-1.5) vs m1x (+1.5)	2	$10	5	5	+0	m1x	+$0	05-07 11:00
lib cru cat1 2026 04 15 total 1pt5	2	$10	5	5	+0	Over	+$0	04-17 00:15
Will Kai and Speed have between 30 and 49 total in-game deaths during their Minecraft marathon?	2	$10	5	5	+0	Yes	+$0	08-13 02:05
atp stricke grenier 2026 02 23 set totals 2pt5	2	$10	5	5	+0	Under 2.5	+$0	03-19 05:02
Will FK Shakhtar Donetsk win on 2026-08-03?	2	$10	5	5	+0	Yes	+$0	08-03 23:14
Counter-Strike: Passion Academy vs LPH Gaming - Map 2 Winner	2	$10	5	5	+0	LPH Gaming	+$0	05-10 14:38
alien abduction at brazil vs scotland game in miami 20260624221224553	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	+$0	06-25 02:00
highest temperature in milan on april 5 2026 17c	2	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	04-05 08:56
Will Backpack launch a token by December 31, 2026?	2	$10	5	5	+0	Yes	+$0	03-23 13:53
LoL: GTZ Esports vs The Otter Side (BO1) - LPLOL Regular Season	2	$10	5	5	+0	The Otter Side	+$0	05-24 16:03
wta dilek falkows 2026 07 14	2	$10	5	5	+0	Weronika Falkowska	+$0	07-14 15:36
Will Spencer Roach be the Republican nominee for FL-19?	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	+$0	08-25 15:37
chris moneymaker 20260707142702023	2	$10	5	5	+0	Yes	+$0	07-24 05:33
Over $8M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	+$0	04-01 01:24
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on May 2?	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	+$0	05-02 01:35
Will Kai and Speed have between 50 and 69 total in-game deaths during their Minecraft marathon?	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	+$0	08-12 22:39
highest temperature in shanghai on april 9 2026 28c	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	+$0	04-09 07:11
Will Frances Tiafoe win the 2026 Men's French Open?	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	+$0	06-01 23:08
Will Bob Rommel be the Republican nominee for FL-19?	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	+$0	08-25 15:37
T20 World Cup, Sub Regional Africa, Qualifier A: Ivory Coast vs Mali	2	$10	5	5	+0	Mali	+$0	06-03 04:48
ITF Men Luan: Completed Match: Eric Jr Olivarez vs Xiaofei Wang	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	+$0	05-30 04:48
Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: August Holmgren vs Daniel Jade	2	$10	5	5	+0	August Holmgren	+$0	05-30 04:48
blast open rotterdam 2026 will a player break something during a game	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	+$0	03-31 04:00
fl1 psg nan 2026 04 22 total 1pt5	2	$10	5	5	+0	Over	$0	04-22 17:37
Istanbul: Laura Pigossi vs Lucia Cortez Llorca	2	$10	5	5	+0	Laura Pigossi	$0	05-05 15:54
Over $7M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	2	$10	5	5	+0	Yes	$0	04-01 01:53
bitcoin above 78k on april 24	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	$0	04-24 17:14
highest temperature in paris on april 15 2026 18c	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	$0	04-15 20:58

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-31 16:00:27	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xaf8e3f…
10-30 23:39:01	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in October?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x63b6f4…
10-29 15:14:13	Erste Bank Open: Cameron Norrie vs Daniil Medvedev	Daniil Medvedev	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x21a132…
10-27 13:12:03	Guangzhou Open: Xinran Sun vs Mananchaya Sawangkaew	Xinran Sun	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xcc1c05…
10-25 09:31:00	Ningbo: Semen Pankin vs Maxim Zhukov	Semen Pankin	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xe5fc4e…
10-24 13:22:20	Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x7b51fb…
10-23 16:52:29	Lyon Open: Daniel Altmaier vs Taylor Fritz	Taylor Fritz	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x2edc44…
10-23 06:10:02	Japan Women's Open: Talia Gibson vs Ashlyn Krueger	Ashlyn Krueger	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x5f3e6a…
10-21 17:08:39	Lyon Open: Corentin Moutet vs Felix Balshaw	Corentin Moutet	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xe3b2b9…
10-20 18:47:45	Will Sabah FK win on 2026-10-20?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x7d1c8c…
10-20 18:40:29	Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-10-20?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x1e5b81…
10-18 03:35:39	Notre Dame vs. BYU	BYU	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x0c3c57…
10-15 19:37:40	Santa Cruz 2: Guido Justo vs Juan Manuel La Serna	Juan Manuel La Serna	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x1ed1b8…
10-14 20:56:42	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-14?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xe717b9…
10-14 13:12:35	wta krueger tararud 2026 10 14	Ashlyn Krueger	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xd13b39…
10-14 11:41:29	atp medvede tsitsip 2026 10 13	Daniil Medvedev	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xb3fba7…
10-13 20:58:52	Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-10-13?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x1c00f9…
10-13 14:15:22	Catania: Enrico Dalla Valle vs Federico Bondioli	Enrico Dalla Valle	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x65949e…
10-12 16:35:42	Olbia: Lorenzo Carboni vs Mackenzie McDonald	Lorenzo Carboni	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xf16f5a…
10-12 09:04:15	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Jiri Lehecka vs Rafael Jodar	Rafael Jodar	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xc59279…
10-11 20:16:10	Bengals vs. Dolphins	Bengals	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x45aed9…
10-09 02:09:54	Missouri State vs. Western Kentucky	Western Kentucky	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xbb91ed…
10-07 10:16:24	Samsun: Elena Pridankina vs Anna Blinkova	Anna Blinkova	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x467332…
10-06 20:46:23	Will Spain win on 2026-10-06?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x6262c6…
10-06 16:07:30	Palermo: Kalin Ivanovski vs Alejandro Moro Canas	Alejandro Moro Canas	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xd11006…
10-04 23:23:16	LoL: Team Liquid vs LYON - Game 1 Winner	Team Liquid	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x947a06…
10-04 20:17:37	Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs Astralis (BO5) - Stake Ranked Episode 4 Playoffs	Astralis	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xb96885…
10-03 18:38:03	Curitiba: Guido Justo vs Tomas Barrios	Guido Justo	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x36ef4f…
10-03 14:50:27	China Open: Elena Rybakina vs Alina Charaeva	Alina Charaeva	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x5c791b…
10-03 02:53:00	Pittsburgh vs. Virginia Tech	Pittsburgh	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x28b19b…
10-02 14:13:38	Will Bolivia vs. Gambia end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x2cef02…
10-01 20:46:20	Will Portugal win on 2026-10-01?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x2b2013…
10-01 14:13:02	atp giustin donald 2026 10 01	Matthew William Donald	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x8a17e9…
10-01 12:04:56	atp grieksp rublev 2026 09 29	Andrey Rublev	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xbf3b1b…
10-01 06:03:11	Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xa7e927…
09-30 23:54:44	Will China PR vs. Turkmenistan end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x99d0ca…
09-30 01:53:45	Canadiens vs. Maple Leafs	Canadiens	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x8ca119…
09-29 13:58:54	atp cretu rocha 2026 09 28	Henrique Rocha	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x3d5166…
09-29 13:16:00	atp medvede rublev 2026 09 29	Daniil Medvedev	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xa59dde…
09-28 20:43:08	atp zink krueger 2026 09 28	Mitchell Krueger	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x7fb628…
09-28 10:07:57	atp vallejo daniel 2026 09 28	Adolfo Vallejo	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x0478af…
09-27 20:13:29	Chargers vs. Bills	Bills	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x22e22d…
09-27 13:31:17	atp harri hurkacz 2026 09 27	Hubert Hurkacz	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x25406a…
09-27 12:29:15	atp safiull bu 2026 09 27	Roman Safiullin	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x829e4b…
09-27 02:13:38	UFC Fight Night: Norma Dumont vs. Ailin Perez (Women's Bantamweight, Prelims)	Ailin Perez	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x43dd3f…
09-26 19:53:26	Texas vs. Tennessee	Texas	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xe7135c…
09-26 12:18:23	wta fernand chwalin 2026 09 26	Leylah Fernandez	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xaf42e2…
09-25 10:39:23	atp marozsa daniel 2026 09 25	Fabian Marozsan	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xf51e26…
09-24 20:45:14	Will Norway win on 2026-09-24?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xc46f27…
09-23 22:37:46	mlb min sf 2026 09 23	Minnesota Twins	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x75d0a7…
09-21 18:44:36	wta naito aksu 2026 09 21	Ayla Aksu	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x5da9ef…
09-21 13:01:35	Solana Up or Down - September 21, 8AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xe8b3e8…
09-20 22:25:38	Browns vs. Buccaneers	Browns	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x32dcf8…
09-20 21:08:28	Will CD Leganés vs. Granada CF end in a draw?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x2854ee…
09-20 06:45:36	Will Houston Dynamo win on 2026-09-19?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xfc6df6…
09-20 02:59:40	will ethereum dip to 2600 in september 2026	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xb7a509…
09-20 01:26:39	Florida State vs. Alabama	Alabama	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xca10a4…
09-19 20:39:11	NC State vs. Vanderbilt	Vanderbilt	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x800a73…
09-19 01:39:46	Kansas City Royals vs. Pittsburgh Pirates	Pittsburgh Pirates	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x1aec2a…
09-18 19:32:19	Will AC Oulu win on 2026-09-18?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x7dcf24…
09-17 17:27:48	lol ckz esb 2026 09 19 game1	CITA Kaizen	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x0c197d…
09-17 17:00:22	ethereum up or down september 17 2026 12pm et	Up	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xcd0b8b…
09-17 14:00:55	bitcoin up or down september 17 2026 9am et	Down	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xe85bd7…
09-17 00:30:54	Counter-Strike: Bounty Hunters Esports vs Yawara Esports - Map 2 Winner	Bounty Hunters Esports	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x3eada7…
09-16 19:24:21	Will FK Rodina Moskva win on 2026-09-16?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xc3cb28…
09-16 11:00:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 6AM ET	Down	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x6ee782…
09-16 06:37:39	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 100-101°F on September 15?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x38da34…
09-16 01:32:15	Tiburon: Michael Zheng vs Evan Zhu	Michael Zheng	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x91a228…
09-16 00:09:52	Set 1 Winner: Diane Parry vs Peyton Stearns	Peyton Stearns	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x4e305a…
09-15 17:49:16	will wti reach 105 in september 2026	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xe1c1be…
09-14 14:28:55	Will FK Dynamo Kyiv win on 2026-09-14?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xe4ef7b…
09-14 04:36:54	atp peliwo ziegann 2026 09 13	Filip Peliwo	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x76f4f8…
09-14 01:22:55	wta bucsa andrees 2026 09 13	Cristina Bucsa	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xdb91a8…
09-13 21:07:07	PSV leading at halftime?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x6e4ee7…
09-13 20:13:30	Set 2 Winner: Zverev vs Shelton	Zverev	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x82a847…
09-13 20:06:10	Buccaneers vs. Bengals	Bengals	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x6f5110…
09-13 14:59:07	atp zhukov loof 2026 09 13	Thijmen Loof	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x3ace4e…
09-13 14:20:55	Will Kalmar FF win on 2026-09-13?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xaef628…
09-13 02:51:25	Iowa State vs. Iowa	Iowa	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xef00b1…
09-12 20:46:25	cs2 saw2 6666 2026 09 12 game2	6666	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xb5cc6b…
09-12 13:05:42	Will Tegevajaro Miyazaki win on 2026-09-12?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x644625…
09-12 12:52:27	European T20 Premier League: Belfast Wolves vs Rotterdam Dockers	Rotterdam Dockers	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xa526ae…
09-12 03:12:31	US Open ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Ben Shelton	Ben Shelton	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x1254b5…
09-11 21:06:33	Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-09-11?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xddb190…
09-11 20:32:57	Counter-Strike: Phantom Academy vs KAMUI (BO3) - Exort Fiesta Group Stage	Phantom Academy	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x24a551…
09-11 19:25:48	Will SV Ried win on 2026-09-11?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x5428cc…
09-11 13:25:24	Valorant: FunPlus Phoenix vs Any Questions Gaming (BO3) - China Evolution Series Act 3 Playoffs	FunPlus Phoenix	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x617d8e…
09-11 10:50:06	Cassis: Ugo Blanchet vs Daniel Masur	Daniel Masur	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xc873b8…
09-11 02:58:33	Phan Thiet 3: Philip Sekulic vs Koki Matsuda	Philip Sekulic	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xcec020…
09-10 18:48:13	LoL: Zena Esports vs Aeterna Esports - Game 1 Winner	Aeterna Esports	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xbf7589…
09-10 17:31:46	Sher-E-Punjab T20: Fazilka Falcons vs Bathinda Royals	Fazilka Falcons	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x250767…
09-10 16:47:46	Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 60% or higher?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x52b6e5…
09-10 12:35:22	Montreux: Fiona Ferro vs Barbora Palicova	Fiona Ferro	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x70cd6a…
09-10 12:07:15	M25 Plaisir + H: Adan Freire Da Silva vs Nikola Slavic	Nikola Slavic	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xca3ce8…
09-10 01:18:24	Cleveland Guardians vs. Baltimore Orioles	Baltimore Orioles	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x0ba3ac…
09-09 22:45:54	US Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Alexander Blockx	Karen Khachanov	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x980f21…
09-09 18:51:10	Apple Announces Foldable iPhone at “Surprise and Shine” Event?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xb15100…
09-09 07:42:06	cs2 tyloo the9 2026 09 09	TYLOO	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x8238d2…
09-09 00:21:48	Barranquilla: Cadence Brace vs Sara Sorribes Tormo	Sara Sorribes Tormo	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x550b86…
09-08 23:11:40	atp tiafoe michels 2026 09 08	Frances Tiafoe	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xbdea4c…