Realized P&L
-$2
Unrealized P&L
—
Hit rate
65.2%
Resolved
38
Trades
101
lifetime
Volume
$3.73K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$37
Open exposure
—
0 positions
First seen
2026-01-02
last 05-12 15:41
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 26 days
Categories
Politics
74%
67%
+$51
Other
24%
40%
-$32
Crypto
2%
0%
-$16
Tech
0%
0%
-$3
Sports
0%
0%
-$2
Activity
No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-05-12).
| Market | Outcome | Mid 30D | Net shares | Cost basis | Current mid | Current value | Unrealized P&L | Last trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound. | ||||||||
| Market | Trades | Volume USD | Bought | Sold | Net shares | Resolution | P&L | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US forces enter Iran by April 30? | 14 | $612 | 1,034 | 1,034 | +0 | Yes | -$197 | 04-03 22:29 |
| us x iran ceasefire by april 30 | 7 | $448 | 360 | 360 | +0 | Yes | +$48 | 04-07 15:16 |
| will another country strike iran by march 31 833 | 5 | $310 | 217 | 217 | +0 | No | +$110 | 03-30 14:46 |
| will russia capture all of huliaipole by february 28 | 3 | $254 | 160 | 160 | +0 | No | +$54 | 02-27 11:05 |
| us x iran ceasefire by april 15 | 3 | $241 | 150 | 150 | +0 | Yes | +$41 | 04-03 11:59 |
| will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31 | 6 | $185 | 303 | 303 | +0 | Yes | -$67 | 03-16 21:32 |
| will a gulf state strike iran by march 7 | 2 | $163 | 105 | 105 | +0 | No | +$43 | 03-07 22:21 |
| deepseek v4 released by march 31 446 353 924 266 292 | 5 | $155 | 114 | 114 | +0 | No | +$55 | 03-15 13:34 |
| will another country strike iran by march 7 528 | 2 | $138 | 86 | 86 | +0 | No | +$28 | 03-07 22:22 |
| will iran strike cyprus in march | 2 | $127 | 81 | 81 | +0 | No | +$27 | 03-08 11:30 |
| us x iran ceasefire by march 31 | 2 | $124 | 79 | 79 | +0 | No | +$24 | 03-19 16:07 |
| israel strike on yemen by march 31 2026 | 2 | $120 | 82 | 82 | +0 | No | +$20 | 03-30 14:47 |
| us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519 | 4 | $120 | 91 | 91 | +0 | No | +$20 | 03-24 17:21 |
| Iran leadership change by April 30? | 2 | $91 | 80 | 80 | +0 | No | -$9 | 03-14 10:06 |
| Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch? | 6 | $74 | 168 | 168 | +0 | Yes | -$16 | 03-24 19:19 |
| Nothing Ever Happens: March | 2 | $59 | 51 | 51 | +0 | Nothing | -$1 | 03-19 16:17 |
| deepseek v4 released by april 15 787 | 2 | $53 | 47 | 47 | +0 | No | +$3 | 03-24 17:24 |
| Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Astralis (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Group A | 1 | $50 | 109 | 0 | +109 | Astralis | -$50 | 04-30 10:51 |
| cs2 mouz navi 2026 02 20 | 2 | $50 | 109 | 0 | +109 | MOUZ | -$50 | 02-20 12:54 |
| cs2 aur1 prv 2026 01 29 | 2 | $40 | 25 | 25 | +0 | PARIVISION | +$10 | 01-29 15:51 |
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31? | 1 | $40 | 93 | 0 | +93 | Yes | -$40 | 03-02 22:14 |
| cs2 faze hero 2026 02 14 game2 | 2 | $33 | 23 | 23 | +0 | FaZe | +$13 | 02-14 14:26 |
| cs2 cs1 ice 2026 02 11 | 2 | $31 | 21 | 21 | +0 | Inner Circle Esports | +$11 | 02-11 17:07 |
| cs2 nip pssnua 2026 01 29 game1 | 2 | $29 | 19 | 19 | +0 | Passion UA | +$9 | 01-29 16:22 |
| cs2 navi prv 2026 01 31 | 2 | $28 | 38 | 38 | +0 | Natus Vincere | -$12 | 01-31 16:22 |
| grok 4pt20 released by february 28 844 | 2 | $27 | 19 | 19 | +0 | Yes | +$7 | 02-16 12:03 |
| will apple announce the iphone 17e by february 28 | 2 | $17 | 26 | 26 | +0 | No | -$3 | 02-13 20:20 |
| cs2 ts7 ast10 2026 01 31 game2 | 1 | $15 | 44 | 0 | +44 | Spirit | -$15 | 01-31 18:16 |
| cs2 g2 mglz 2026 01 31 | 1 | $15 | 36 | 0 | +36 | G2 | -$15 | 01-31 13:00 |
| cs2 furia fut 2026 02 15 game2 | 1 | $13 | 36 | 0 | +36 | FURIA | -$13 | 02-15 14:54 |
| Wallet | Shared markets | Overlap volume | Overlap trades | Last seen |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Open this tab to load correlated wallets… | ||||