Lumbering-Identification — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$160

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

12.9%

Resolved

Trades

1,745

lifetime

Volume

$66.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$38

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-24

last 05-14 06:15

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 25% $-159

Politics

0% 0% $-1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

18 active days in 12wk • peak 410 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
eth updown 5m 1774687800	5	$2.0K	1,210	1,208	+2	open	—	03-28 08:55
eth updown 5m 1774700400	3	$1.7K	1,664	1,020	+644	open	—	03-28 12:25
eth updown 5m 1774677600	3	$1.1K	558	558	+0	open	—	03-28 06:06
eth updown 5m 1774803600	7	$1.1K	787	783	+4	open	—	03-29 17:05
eth updown 5m 1774633200	5	$1.1K	1,140	544	+596	open	—	03-27 17:45
eth updown 5m 1774630200	2	$976	493	493	+0	open	—	03-27 16:55
eth updown 5m 1774629300	4	$923	533	533	+0	open	—	03-27 16:41
eth updown 5m 1774623000	6	$909	479	479	+0	open	—	03-27 14:55
eth updown 5m 1774629900	4	$909	534	533	+1	open	—	03-27 16:50
eth updown 5m 1774631700	5	$903	714	464	+251	open	—	03-27 17:20
eth updown 5m 1774672200	6	$893	649	515	+134	open	—	03-28 04:35
eth updown 5m 1774633800	6	$884	900	418	+482	open	—	03-27 17:55
eth updown 5m 1774700700	7	$842	824	817	+8	open	—	03-28 12:30
eth updown 5m 1774787700	10	$833	724	723	+2	open	—	03-29 12:40
eth updown 5m 1774465800	8	$831	493	492	+1	open	—	03-25 19:15
eth updown 5m 1774466700	5	$769	731	726	+5	open	—	03-25 19:30
eth updown 5m 1774792500	2	$735	372	372	+0	open	—	03-29 14:00
eth updown 5m 1774803900	4	$718	598	596	+2	open	—	03-29 17:10
eth updown 5m 1774633500	5	$704	831	372	+458	open	—	03-27 17:50
eth updown 5m 1774791900	6	$690	393	392	+1	open	—	03-29 13:50
eth updown 5m 1774664700	7	$669	384	345	+39	open	—	03-28 02:30
eth updown 5m 1774686900	3	$645	329	328	+0	open	—	03-28 08:40
eth updown 5m 1774699500	2	$631	648	0	+648	open	—	03-28 12:09
Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	6	$625	442	240	+202	open	—	05-03 05:19
eth updown 5m 1774669200	5	$560	469	283	+186	open	—	03-28 03:45
eth updown 5m 1774466100	9	$560	317	316	+2	open	—	03-25 19:20
eth updown 5m 1774464600	6	$555	331	330	+2	open	—	03-25 18:55
eth updown 5m 1774788600	4	$552	327	327	+0	open	—	03-29 12:56
eth updown 5m 1774623300	7	$552	335	279	+56	open	—	03-27 15:00
eth updown 5m 1774463400	7	$545	344	339	+5	open	—	03-25 18:36

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-14 06:15:53	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Up	BUY	100	30¢	$30	0x984556…
05-14 06:11:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	309	16¢	$50	0xb03ca3…
05-14 06:10:44	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	236	21¢	$50	0x09b7a5…
05-14 06:09:46	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	SELL	40	70¢	$28	0x3ce0bc…
05-14 06:09:18	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	SELL	108	44¢	$47	0x848e05…
05-14 06:08:36	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	BUY	40	25¢	$10	0xa5c122…
05-14 06:06:39	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	BUY	108	93¢	$100	0x3a3573…
05-14 06:04:17	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	SELL	32	97¢	$31	0xc3122c…
05-14 06:03:30	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	BUY	32	78¢	$25	0x800f72…
05-03 09:38:48	Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	BUY	202	99¢	$200	0xd23393…
05-03 08:36:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	BUY	42	12¢	$5	0x1907b8…
05-03 08:32:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	SELL	3	42¢	$1	0x3ba1c1…
05-03 08:31:24	Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xcde725…
05-03 08:29:26	Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	SELL	38	3¢	$1	0xe03a98…
05-03 08:25:28	Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	38	53¢	$20	0x9a54b2…
05-03 08:23:28	Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	SELL	4	2¢	$0	0x2c1f8f…
05-03 08:22:42	Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x6ea7e2…
05-03 08:18:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	SELL	442	29¢	$127	0xbd0644…
05-03 08:17:16	Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	BUY	442	23¢	$100	0x020ac5…
05-03 08:13:38	Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	SELL	50	22¢	$11	0x059408…
05-03 08:10:16	Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	50	40¢	$20	0x35180b…
05-03 08:01:02	Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	SELL	50	75¢	$37	0x232852…
05-03 08:00:26	Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	BUY	50	42¢	$21	0x1ee273…
05-03 07:58:36	Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	SELL	13	35¢	$4	0x5396c0…
05-03 07:56:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	13	47¢	$6	0x450f7e…
05-03 07:54:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Down	BUY	102	99¢	$101	0xc2947f…
05-03 07:53:52	Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	SELL	4	27¢	$1	0x16fa95…
05-03 07:51:48	Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xc5f846…
05-03 07:49:50	Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Up	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xb9282a…
05-03 07:46:40	Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Down	SELL	4	59¢	$2	0x368008…
05-03 07:45:32	Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xdf94e4…
05-03 07:42:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Up	SELL	7	53¢	$4	0x701d96…
05-03 07:41:32	Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0xd0cb48…
05-03 07:37:50	Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Down	SELL	3	26¢	$1	0xe113df…
05-03 07:37:24	Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Down	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x161589…
05-03 07:36:48	Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	SELL	2	51¢	$1	0x14c269…
05-03 07:35:58	Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xa9a663…
05-03 07:32:52	Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Up	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x27a98e…
05-03 07:32:44	Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Up	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xc41d7d…
05-03 07:32:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Up	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x9d7e68…
05-03 07:22:22	Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x456eb8…
05-03 07:17:32	Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x81eab5…
05-03 05:57:40	Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	SELL	2	60¢	$1	0xcde04f…
05-03 05:55:26	Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x0a8115…
05-03 05:49:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x3033e1…
05-03 05:45:56	Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Down	SELL	3	14¢	$0	0x44838c…
05-03 05:45:30	Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x19aed0…
05-03 05:44:18	Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x2883a0…
05-03 05:38:32	Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Down	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x7590bb…
05-03 05:34:22	Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x488faa…
05-03 05:19:24	Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Down	BUY	202	99¢	$200	0x39f145…
05-03 05:19:12	Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Down	SELL	208	96¢	$199	0x680080…
05-03 05:19:02	Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Down	BUY	208	96¢	$200	0x3eafc8…
05-03 05:16:56	Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Down	SELL	32	49¢	$16	0xcb338f…
05-03 05:16:36	Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Down	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x549630…
05-03 05:15:40	Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Down	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0x91ede9…
05-03 05:02:54	Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Down	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x4d9afa…
05-03 04:59:32	Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x7f0d98…
05-03 04:48:38	Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Down	SELL	38	63¢	$24	0x15e2e9…
05-03 04:45:38	Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Down	BUY	38	55¢	$21	0xd3a88b…
05-03 04:44:12	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 3, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x7e0e12…
05-03 04:41:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Up	SELL	60	42¢	$25	0x17ee9a…
05-03 04:40:52	Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	60	33¢	$20	0xbb8112…
05-03 04:39:36	Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Down	SELL	3	37¢	$1	0xc4625f…
05-03 04:38:46	Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xbad6c4…
05-03 04:37:40	Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Up	SELL	3	38¢	$1	0x07ba05…
05-03 04:36:48	Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xc55b9f…
05-03 04:36:12	Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Down	SELL	12	67¢	$8	0xf1c4dc…
05-03 04:35:36	Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Down	BUY	12	49¢	$6	0x0b957d…
05-03 04:34:14	Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Up	SELL	4	29¢	$1	0x0d0eab…
05-03 04:32:56	Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xeba4d9…
05-03 01:33:40	Ethereum Up or Down - May 2, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0x0f7a19…
05-03 01:32:40	Ethereum Up or Down - May 2, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x7898bc…
05-02 15:13:44	Ethereum Up or Down - May 2, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	SELL	2	55¢	$1	0x28f271…
05-02 15:10:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 2, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x7503b8…
05-02 15:07:12	Ethereum Up or Down - May 2, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	195	98¢	$190	0x2c637b…
05-02 15:06:44	Ethereum Up or Down - May 2, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	SELL	55	6¢	$3	0xfd10f9…
05-02 15:06:16	Ethereum Up or Down - May 2, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	BUY	55	36¢	$20	0x72c7c8…
05-02 15:04:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x194a2c…
05-02 15:03:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 2, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	SELL	45	55¢	$25	0x96ecf3…
05-02 15:02:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 2, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	BUY	45	44¢	$20	0x80465b…
05-02 14:47:16	Ethereum Up or Down - May 2, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	BUY	12	85¢	$10	0x79bf3c…
05-02 14:46:16	Ethereum Up or Down - May 2, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	SELL	16	44¢	$7	0xeac1e1…
05-02 14:45:30	Ethereum Up or Down - May 2, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0xfb0599…
05-02 14:43:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 2, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	SELL	2	66¢	$1	0x41f92e…
05-02 14:42:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 2, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xaf9150…
05-02 14:38:54	Ethereum Up or Down - May 2, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	SELL	2	1¢	$0	0x755116…
05-02 14:35:32	Ethereum Up or Down - May 2, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xe09c47…
05-02 14:34:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 2, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	202	99¢	$200	0x63ebf5…
05-02 14:34:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 2, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	SELL	2	16¢	$0	0xe24164…
05-02 14:31:16	Ethereum Up or Down - May 2, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xa565bd…
05-02 14:29:32	Ethereum Up or Down - May 2, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	SELL	6	98¢	$6	0xa9cfa3…
05-02 14:27:28	Ethereum Up or Down - May 2, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x0cc6c9…
05-02 14:27:12	Ethereum Up or Down - May 2, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	SELL	11	16¢	$2	0xc801de…
05-02 14:25:46	Ethereum Up or Down - May 2, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xaf781b…
05-02 14:23:02	Ethereum Up or Down - May 2, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	SELL	32	24¢	$8	0x0984a9…
05-02 14:22:16	Ethereum Up or Down - May 2, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	32	19¢	$6	0x2a3cc1…
05-02 14:07:30	Ethereum Up or Down - May 2, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	SELL	6	82¢	$5	0xcb4ecd…
05-02 14:07:18	Ethereum Up or Down - May 2, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0xf74337…
05-02 14:06:50	Ethereum Up or Down - May 2, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	SELL	13	77¢	$10	0x50a4a7…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0xd901…8e14	587	$102.2K	38,344	05-14 06:18
(anonymous) 0xba67…4727	572	$39.2K	9,308	05-14 06:18
(anonymous) 0x89b5…8beb	568	$135.2K	11,570	05-14 06:18
(anonymous) 0x8852…c569	565	$48.3K	7,654	05-14 06:11
(anonymous) 0x424e…263b	562	$53.5K	15,021	05-14 06:18
All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6	536	$103.5K	4,014	05-14 06:18
(anonymous) 0x09ae…55bc	465	$6.50K	998	04-30 14:45
(anonymous) 0x6cf4…e1fa	456	$735	3,032	05-14 06:19