Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$191

Unrealized P&L

-$10

Hit rate

58.3%

Resolved

129

Trades

277

lifetime

Volume

$1.46K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-04

last 10-27 11:15

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 26 days

Categories

Crypto

83% 38% -$131

Other

14% 33% -$39

Politics

2% 25% -$21

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 33 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by december 31 983 117	Yes		+56	$10	8¢	$4	-$6	08-02 13:39
gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	Yes		+14	$5	4¢	$1	-$4	08-02 13:32

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-06 12:10 UTC	5	$120	155	64	+91	Down	+$8	07-06 12:15
will to lam be elected general secretary of the vietnamese communist party	2	$103	54	54	+0	Yes	+$3	01-23 03:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	2	$52	27	27	+0	Up	+$2	06-20 17:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	2	$50	50	50	+0	Down	+$48	07-06 05:45
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?	1	$50	0	100	-100	cancelled	+$0	06-20 17:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	5	$42	22	22	+0	Up	+$2	09-04 19:26
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-06 12:15 UTC	3	$31	233	0	+233	Up	-$31	07-06 12:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-20 17:15 UTC	2	$30	750	0	+750	Down	-$30	06-20 17:21
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-06 12:20 UTC	2	$26	85	0	+85	Down	-$26	07-06 12:21
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-06 12:25 UTC	1	$25	55	0	+55	Up	-$25	07-06 12:25
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-20 17:05 UTC	1	$25	38	0	+38	Down	+$13	06-20 17:07
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-20 18:40 UTC	4	$23	16	12	+4	Down	+$1	06-20 18:45
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-02 19:05 UTC	7	$22	18	12	+6	Down	+$2	07-02 19:10
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-06 11:55 UTC	5	$21	366	0	+366	Down	-$21	07-06 11:57
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-20 17:25 UTC	2	$21	16	16	+0	Up	+$11	06-20 17:31
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-02 18:25 UTC	2	$20	15	15	+0	Up	+$10	07-02 18:31
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-06 05:30 UTC	1	$20	24	0	+24	Down	+$4	07-06 05:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	4	$20	28	0	+28	Up	+$8	09-04 19:28
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-20 18:25 UTC	5	$18	14	10	+4	Down	+$2	06-20 18:31
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-02 18:10 UTC	5	$18	19	10	+9	Up	+$2	07-02 18:15
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-20 18:35 UTC	5	$17	13	13	+0	Up	+$9	06-20 18:40
cilia flores released from custody by january 31 2026	1	$17	253	0	+253	No	-$17	01-04 10:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	4	$16	243	0	+243	Up	-$16	09-04 19:03
Will Netherlands vs. Sweden end in a draw?	2	$16	88	88	+0	No	-$14	06-20 18:11
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-02 19:00 UTC	2	$16	11	11	+0	Down	+$6	07-02 19:06
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 13:40 UTC	3	$15	88	0	+88	Up	-$15	08-02 13:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	3	$15	113	0	+113	Down	-$15	09-04 19:12
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-06 12:00 UTC	3	$15	81	0	+81	Down	-$15	07-06 12:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	3	$15	88	0	+88	Up	-$15	09-04 19:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-06 06:15 UTC	2	$14	9	9	+0	Down	+$4	07-06 06:20

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 11:15:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xe75d46…
09-16 13:56:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-16 13:55 UTC	Up	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xee163c…
09-16 10:50:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-16 10:50 UTC	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xf9b51e…
09-04 19:44:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	36	14¢	$5	0x873dde…
09-04 19:43:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0x39f0b0…
09-04 19:42:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	33	15¢	$5	0xf4e314…
09-04 19:35:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0x507f67…
09-04 19:32:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x2af246…
09-04 19:32:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	BUY	167	3¢	$5	0x445e19…
09-04 19:31:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xcc0c06…
09-04 19:28:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0xbabf75…
09-04 19:28:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0x65f696…
09-04 19:27:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0xaec76f…
09-04 19:27:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0xa51b41…
09-04 19:26:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	SELL	22	99¢	$22	0x9abff6…
09-04 19:24:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x4e71d2…
09-04 19:24:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x4cfbdb…
09-04 19:24:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x6bf12c…
09-04 19:24:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x567dec…
09-04 19:18:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x5f2f30…
09-04 19:16:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0x447ca6…
09-04 19:15:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0x4f1939…
09-04 19:12:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	71	7¢	$5	0xe854be…
09-04 19:11:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	29	17¢	$5	0x4a9d67…
09-04 19:10:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0xa19861…
09-04 19:09:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x557aac…
09-04 19:07:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x9ec804…
09-04 19:05:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0x2d90cb…
09-04 19:03:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xe36cac…
09-04 19:01:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	BUY	94	5¢	$5	0x001473…
09-04 19:01:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	BUY	33	15¢	$5	0x183a97…
09-04 19:00:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0x329b92…
09-04 18:59:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x267d84…
09-04 18:58:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x5d50f2…
09-04 18:57:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0xa7b97b…
09-04 18:56:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0x95c4b9…
09-03 16:35:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0x7870af…
09-03 04:21:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Up	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0x826797…
09-02 19:15:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0x52ea5f…
09-02 19:14:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x9a331e…
08-06 17:28:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-06 17:25 UTC	Down	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0x5e5dd6…
08-06 15:00:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-06 15:00 UTC	Down	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x50e6fc…
08-06 14:59:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-06 14:55 UTC	Down	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0xc4fe5f…
08-02 14:21:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 14:20 UTC	Down	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0xdd276f…
08-02 14:12:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 14:10 UTC	Down	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0x3fb4e4…
08-02 14:10:30	will spain accuse morocco of facilitating the ceuta migrant influx by august 31 20260731174220331	Yes	BUY	75	8¢	$6	0x0626da…
08-02 13:41:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 13:40 UTC	Down	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0x9f9f79…
08-02 13:40:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 13:40 UTC	Down	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0x07e5d9…
08-02 13:40:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 13:40 UTC	Down	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0x5094f9…
08-02 13:40:18	wti closes above 80 on august 3 2026	Yes	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xf6492c…
08-02 13:39:02	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by december 31 983 117	Yes	BUY	56	18¢	$10	0x2b7a86…
08-02 13:37:56	will ukraine target moscow by july 31 2026 20260727233336448	Yes	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0xb9dd93…
08-02 13:37:24	will iran target ukraine by september 30 2026 20260727234956918	Yes	BUY	143	7¢	$10	0xe6282a…
08-02 13:33:32	foreign intervention in gaza by august 31	Yes	BUY	104	6¢	$6	0xd417d7…
08-02 13:32:57	gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	Yes	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0xdc9172…
08-02 13:30:50	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 13:30 UTC	Down	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0x2b237b…
08-02 13:29:20	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 13:25 UTC	Up	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0x273a5b…
08-02 13:17:56	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 13:15 UTC	Up	BUY	125	4¢	$5	0x371f06…
07-27 15:00:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-27 15:00 UTC	Down	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0x925ac3…
07-27 14:37:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-27 14:35 UTC	Up	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0xb3e4df…
07-27 14:37:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-27 14:35 UTC	Up	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0x82be9e…
07-24 18:36:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-24 18:35 UTC	Down	BUY	18	27¢	$5	0x3c786a…
07-24 18:36:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-24 18:35 UTC	Down	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0x0151e0…
07-21 16:48:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-21 16:45 UTC	Up	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x5d71bc…
07-21 15:17:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-21 15:15 UTC	Up	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0xc2e6b8…
07-21 14:46:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-21 14:45 UTC	Down	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0xa7e04d…
07-20 19:07:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-20 19:05 UTC	Down	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xa7d471…
07-19 21:28:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-19 21:25 UTC	Up	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0xf91505…
07-18 19:35:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 19:35 UTC	Down	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0xd41676…
07-18 19:20:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 19:20 UTC	Up	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x2ca7c7…
07-18 19:17:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 19:15 UTC	Down	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xdf8c7a…
07-18 19:16:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 19:15 UTC	Down	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x9a5fac…
07-13 18:33:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-13 18:30 UTC	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x4718f4…
07-13 18:33:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-13 18:30 UTC	Up	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x3e82a1…
07-13 18:27:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-13 18:25 UTC	Up	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0xbb73b4…
07-13 18:24:08	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-13 18:20 UTC	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xd4d425…
07-13 18:24:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-13 18:20 UTC	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xe8c221…
07-13 18:21:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-13 18:20 UTC	Down	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0x59b3bc…
07-13 18:19:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-13 18:15 UTC	Up	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xce4cc9…
07-13 18:16:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-13 18:15 UTC	Down	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x38285b…
07-13 18:12:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-13 18:10 UTC	Up	BUY	125	4¢	$5	0x26c081…
07-13 18:12:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-13 18:10 UTC	Up	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0x28af29…
07-13 18:06:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-13 18:05 UTC	Down	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0xe976e6…
07-13 17:45:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-13 17:45 UTC	Down	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0xd8c8ce…
07-13 17:44:38	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-13 17:40 UTC	Down	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x5e8bd9…
07-13 17:43:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-13 17:40 UTC	Down	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x4e17fa…
07-13 17:43:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-13 17:40 UTC	Down	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x37cee5…
07-12 19:51:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-12 19:50 UTC	Down	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0x2b48f2…
07-12 19:48:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-12 19:45 UTC	Down	BUY	42	12¢	$5	0x3ef558…
07-12 19:45:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-12 19:45 UTC	Down	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x169ef0…
07-12 19:44:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-12 19:40 UTC	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xe19739…
07-12 19:43:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-12 19:40 UTC	Up	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0xd5bb55…
07-12 19:43:38	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-12 19:40 UTC	Up	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0x972a85…
07-12 19:38:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-12 19:35 UTC	Up	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0xd4cb65…
07-12 19:36:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-12 19:35 UTC	Down	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0xf4a9fb…
07-12 19:34:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-12 19:30 UTC	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x617cbc…
07-12 19:30:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-12 19:30 UTC	Up	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0x3e818d…
07-12 19:26:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-12 19:25 UTC	Down	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0x8316ce…
07-12 19:23:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-12 19:20 UTC	Down	BUY	56	9¢	$5	0xbfcac3…
07-12 19:22:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-12 19:20 UTC	Down	BUY	31	16¢	$5	0x7d43ab…