Grounded-Documentary — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$278

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

64.8%

Resolved

2,972

Trades

3,435

lifetime

Volume

$13.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-16

last 09-19 15:12

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 150 days

Categories

Crypto

99% 63% -$268

Other

1% 47% -$10

Politics

0% 75% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

44 active days in 12wk • peak 26 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	7	$25	35	0	+35	Up	+$10	05-11 08:31
Solana Up or Down - April 30, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	6	$23	15	15	+0	Up	+$6	04-30 12:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	3	$22	14	14	+0	Down	+$4	05-15 14:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	3	$22	14	14	+0	Down	+$4	05-15 13:51
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 76-77°F on May 4?	3	$20	10	10	+0	Yes	$0	05-05 00:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	6	$18	25	0	+25	Up	+$7	05-11 07:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	3	$16	13	6	+6	Down	+$2	05-07 16:09
Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	3	$16	10	10	+0	Up	+$4	05-06 08:59
Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	3	$16	10	10	+0	Up	+$4	05-06 09:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	6	$15	19	0	+19	Down	+$4	05-06 18:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	4	$15	15	15	+0	Up	-$4	05-06 08:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	4	$14	20	0	+20	Up	+$6	05-11 06:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	3	$14	19	0	+19	Down	-$14	05-12 01:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	3	$14	22	0	+22	Down	-$14	05-17 11:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	3	$14	14	14	+0	Up	-$4	05-15 14:32
Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	4	$13	15	15	+0	Down	-$5	05-06 08:39
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	2	$13	5	10	-5	Up	+$1	05-05 14:28
Solana Up or Down - April 26, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	4	$12	14	14	+0	Down	-$3	04-27 01:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	5	$12	15	10	+5	Up	-$5	04-30 11:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	3	$12	15	0	+15	Down	+$4	05-11 08:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	2	$11	6	6	+0	Down	+$1	05-24 14:29
Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	4	$11	13	13	+0	Up	-$5	05-06 08:12
cs2 ts7 vit 2026 04 19	1	$11	15	0	+15	Vitality	+$4	04-19 07:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	3	$11	16	0	+16	Down	+$5	05-22 13:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	2	$11	6	6	+0	Up	+$1	05-07 19:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	2	$11	6	6	+0	Up	+$1	05-07 05:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	2	$11	7	7	+0	Down	+$1	05-07 05:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	2	$11	6	6	+0	Up	+$1	05-07 17:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	3	$11	7	7	+0	Down	+$1	05-07 20:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	3	$11	6	6	-0	Down	+$1	05-07 20:08

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-19 15:12:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-19 15:10 UTC	Down	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0x1cd94f…
09-19 03:22:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	BUY	10	42¢	$4	0x22255b…
09-19 00:02:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	BUY	10	45¢	$4	0x8e923c…
09-18 11:17:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Down	BUY	10	45¢	$4	0xd9b645…
09-18 10:52:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x68ed32…
09-18 10:07:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x57b063…
09-18 07:56:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-18 07:55 UTC	Down	BUY	10	38¢	$4	0xa10ede…
09-18 07:36:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-18 07:35 UTC	Down	BUY	10	47¢	$5	0x090b0f…
09-18 07:27:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-18 07:25 UTC	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x058cb6…
09-18 04:47:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-18 04:45 UTC	Down	BUY	10	47¢	$5	0x15b133…
09-18 03:31:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Up	BUY	10	53¢	$5	0x540e48…
09-18 03:26:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-18 03:25 UTC	Up	BUY	10	39¢	$4	0xb1df06…
09-17 20:51:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-17 20:50 UTC	Down	BUY	10	45¢	$4	0xc86c86…
09-17 17:53:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-17 17:50 UTC	Down	BUY	10	41¢	$4	0xaa04c3…
09-17 17:33:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-17 17:30 UTC	Down	BUY	10	35¢	$4	0x750711…
09-17 17:07:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-17 17:05 UTC	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x9ad8ad…
09-17 16:58:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-17 16:55 UTC	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x05ec8b…
09-17 14:32:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-17 14:30 UTC	Up	BUY	10	37¢	$4	0x84761e…
09-17 13:31:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-17 13:30 UTC	Up	BUY	10	46¢	$5	0xda4090…
09-17 12:46:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-17 12:45 UTC	Up	BUY	10	43¢	$4	0x8095ad…
09-17 12:37:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-17 12:35 UTC	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x027ad6…
09-17 12:23:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-17 12:20 UTC	Down	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x4579a8…
09-17 10:12:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-17 10:10 UTC	Up	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x71c03e…
09-17 05:36:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-17 05:35 UTC	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xa450c9…
09-17 05:02:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-17 05:00 UTC	Up	BUY	10	43¢	$4	0x7c2ee3…
09-17 03:37:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-17 03:35 UTC	Up	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0xcb3cec…
09-17 02:16:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-17 02:15 UTC	Down	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x3b9dc6…
09-17 01:43:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-17 01:40 UTC	Up	BUY	10	37¢	$4	0x9b6dbd…
09-17 00:36:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-17 00:35 UTC	Up	BUY	10	41¢	$4	0x990baa…
09-16 20:23:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-16 20:20 UTC	Down	BUY	10	24¢	$2	0xbe05a0…
09-16 19:42:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-16 19:40 UTC	Down	BUY	10	45¢	$4	0x42f971…
09-16 19:31:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-16 19:30 UTC	Down	BUY	10	46¢	$5	0xda21cd…
09-16 18:56:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-16 18:55 UTC	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x4c7f01…
09-16 18:16:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-16 18:15 UTC	Up	BUY	10	45¢	$4	0x277c55…
09-16 17:51:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-16 17:50 UTC	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xe9c03c…
09-16 17:42:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-16 17:40 UTC	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xf4af96…
09-16 16:26:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-16 16:25 UTC	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xb1c3c1…
09-16 16:11:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-16 16:10 UTC	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xef3f3a…
09-16 03:32:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Up	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x0d406f…
09-16 02:13:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	44¢	$4	0xbba1f8…
09-16 01:03:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	BUY	10	34¢	$3	0xeeeaba…
09-16 00:13:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x37eece…
09-15 15:02:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x7a52f5…
09-15 14:23:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0x266c92…
09-15 14:11:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x16e149…
09-15 09:38:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	BUY	10	46¢	$5	0x598026…
09-15 08:53:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-15 08:50 UTC	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xc3b5ed…
09-15 07:36:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-15 07:35 UTC	Up	BUY	10	46¢	$5	0x346f87…
09-15 07:11:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-15 07:10 UTC	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xda3e3a…
09-14 19:22:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-14 19:20 UTC	Down	BUY	10	35¢	$4	0x0d5e65…
09-14 18:46:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-14 18:45 UTC	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x8b4416…
09-14 16:32:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-14 16:30 UTC	Up	BUY	10	36¢	$4	0x20a6a2…
09-14 16:21:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-14 16:20 UTC	Up	BUY	10	32¢	$3	0x5c2de6…
09-14 16:14:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-14 16:10 UTC	Down	BUY	10	36¢	$4	0x2824ad…
09-14 14:58:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-14 14:55 UTC	Down	BUY	10	34¢	$3	0x6b9b83…
09-14 14:51:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-14 14:50 UTC	Down	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xa95828…
09-14 14:43:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-14 14:40 UTC	Down	BUY	10	58¢	$6	0x1c29fc…
09-14 14:27:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-14 14:25 UTC	Up	BUY	10	44¢	$4	0xda3f46…
09-14 12:58:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-14 12:55 UTC	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x1af062…
09-14 10:23:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-14 10:20 UTC	Up	BUY	10	38¢	$4	0x411136…
09-14 04:16:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 14, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Down	BUY	10	32¢	$3	0x257751…
09-14 01:12:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xaad20e…
09-14 00:53:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x0400cf…
09-14 00:37:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xb594c9…
09-13 23:42:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x4c01d9…
09-13 22:33:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	BUY	10	43¢	$4	0x71bacf…
09-13 22:27:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	53¢	$5	0xa94f94…
09-13 22:12:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	38¢	$4	0xc025a5…
09-13 16:07:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	BUY	10	43¢	$4	0x377764…
09-13 15:26:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	10	46¢	$5	0xb8349c…
09-12 19:41:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	10	41¢	$4	0x1a8b78…
09-12 03:01:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Down	BUY	10	44¢	$4	0x8567c6…
09-11 13:56:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x57b6ea…
09-11 13:11:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	47¢	$5	0xaff118…
09-11 12:21:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	10	45¢	$4	0x9cd935…
09-11 11:36:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Up	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xeb1c8d…
09-11 11:18:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	BUY	10	39¢	$4	0x34d939…
09-11 10:08:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Down	BUY	10	46¢	$5	0xf29162…
09-11 03:41:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0xa07b4a…
09-11 02:06:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x5f1345…
09-11 01:57:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xdf8458…
09-11 01:48:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	BUY	10	57¢	$6	0x021408…
09-10 23:07:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Up	BUY	10	36¢	$4	0x251da7…
09-10 22:03:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xbb4d75…
09-10 21:38:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x4b38b0…
09-10 17:37:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	BUY	10	46¢	$5	0x5e7d7a…
09-10 16:43:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xbe5ea7…
09-10 16:36:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	BUY	10	37¢	$4	0x5f42d5…
09-10 16:32:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	BUY	10	58¢	$6	0xe6c9b1…
09-10 15:52:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x4e6735…
09-10 14:21:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0x313cfd…
09-10 13:56:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	46¢	$5	0x352bd5…
09-10 13:41:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xee5b8d…
09-10 13:28:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	10	57¢	$6	0x247154…
09-10 13:19:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x22188b…
09-10 12:51:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	BUY	10	45¢	$4	0xdd3223…
09-10 12:36:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	BUY	10	44¢	$4	0xcbb5db…
09-10 12:22:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	10	47¢	$5	0x442e94…
09-10 11:11:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	44¢	$4	0x5d1d09…
09-10 11:07:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x85fe04…