Esteemed-Ambience — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$115

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

41.8%

Resolved

355

Trades

1,420

lifetime

Volume

$4.54K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-07

last 10-30 22:58

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 50 days

Categories

Crypto

84% 54% -$155

Sports

11% 38% +$51

Other

5% 57% -$11

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

12 active days in 12wk • peak 254 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$290	249	249	+0	Yes	+$207	07-20 00:38
cfb navy uab 2026 09 25	44	$142	274	0	+274	UAB	-$4	09-26 00:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	43	$141	271	0	+271	Up	-$14	05-08 08:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-25 18:50 UTC	36	$114	223	0	+223	Down	-$5	09-25 18:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-25 18:45 UTC	37	$95	210	0	+210	Down	+$6	09-25 18:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	39	$93	186	0	+186	Up	-$3	05-21 02:29
DOGE Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-18 02:30 UTC	32	$90	166	0	+166	Down	-$12	10-18 02:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-05 22:15 UTC	33	$88	163	0	+163	Down	-$15	04-05 22:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-17 03:00 UTC	34	$86	183	0	+183	Down	-$5	04-17 03:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	24	$80	156	0	+156	Down	-$3	05-08 06:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	27	$78	166	0	+166	Up	-$3	05-08 04:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-25 19:00 UTC	29	$77	148	0	+148	Down	-$4	09-25 19:03
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-31 00:55 UTC	29	$77	147	0	+147	Up	-$4	03-31 00:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-25 18:15 UTC	20	$72	149	0	+149	Up	-$2	09-25 18:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	25	$67	139	0	+139	Up	+$2	05-08 03:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-25 18:25 UTC	23	$65	125	0	+125	Down	+$1	09-25 18:28
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-25 18:40 UTC	20	$58	118	0	+118	Up	-$6	09-25 18:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	8	$57	0	105	-105	Down	-$3	10-30 17:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-25 18:30 UTC	21	$56	107	0	+107	Up	+$0	09-25 18:33
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 17:25 UTC	21	$54	100	0	+100	Up	-$5	09-30 17:29
Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	19	$53	107	0	+107	Up	-$6	05-08 04:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	11	$52	0	90	-90	Up	+$7	10-30 17:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-05 18:35 UTC	25	$51	102	0	+102	Up	-$4	04-05 18:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	14	$51	0	90	-90	Up	+$6	10-30 17:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	14	$50	101	0	+101	Down	+$0	05-08 04:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	9	$47	0	90	-90	Down	+$2	10-30 22:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	13	$47	0	90	-90	Up	+$2	10-30 16:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	11	$47	0	87	-87	Up	+$5	10-30 17:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	17	$47	0	90	-90	Down	+$2	10-29 20:38
XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-13 01:45 UTC	19	$46	92	0	+92	Up	-$3	04-13 01:49

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-30 22:58:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	SELL	45	4¢	$2	0x839cd9…
10-30 22:58:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	SELL	45	9¢	$4	0xe19f74…
10-30 22:53:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Down	SELL	45	6¢	$3	0x4d1198…
10-30 22:48:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	SELL	18	98¢	$18	0xa0066e…
10-30 22:48:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x9c5678…
10-30 22:48:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	SELL	9	97¢	$9	0x7f3541…
10-30 22:48:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	SELL	17	97¢	$16	0x6ec6e2…
10-30 22:48:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	SELL	12	5¢	$1	0x0a059b…
10-30 22:48:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	SELL	22	9¢	$2	0xc69c80…
10-30 22:48:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	SELL	11	9¢	$1	0x174d51…
10-30 22:48:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	SELL	0	9¢	$0	0xb562dd…
10-30 22:48:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	SELL	0	9¢	$0	0x1a5440…
10-30 22:43:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	SELL	45	9¢	$4	0xc9e6df…
10-30 22:38:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	SELL	45	1¢	$0	0x93904a…
10-30 22:38:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	SELL	9	97¢	$9	0xe2a7e9…
10-30 22:38:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	SELL	8	97¢	$7	0xd45799…
10-30 22:38:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	SELL	2	96¢	$2	0xf812f5…
10-30 22:38:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	SELL	2	96¢	$2	0xb5b360…
10-30 22:38:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	SELL	6	95¢	$5	0x213217…
10-30 18:55:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	SELL	6	89¢	$6	0x4c2bdf…
10-30 18:55:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	SELL	5	89¢	$4	0x4a7343…
10-30 18:51:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	SELL	5	79¢	$4	0x1edd5d…
10-30 18:48:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	SELL	5	94¢	$5	0x9648c3…
10-30 18:48:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	SELL	6	94¢	$5	0x5dbaf7…
10-30 18:48:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	SELL	5	94¢	$5	0xfae3c2…
10-30 18:48:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	SELL	6	94¢	$5	0xc7c791…
10-30 18:48:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	SELL	5	94¢	$5	0x4168b2…
10-30 18:48:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	SELL	6	89¢	$5	0xec3a9a…
10-30 18:48:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	SELL	2	89¢	$2	0x8acbd6…
10-30 18:48:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	SELL	2	89¢	$1	0x7dcfc8…
10-30 18:48:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	SELL	0	89¢	$0	0x5f6f38…
10-30 18:48:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	SELL	0	89¢	$0	0x15d3e7…
10-30 18:48:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	SELL	45	17¢	$8	0x796d54…
10-30 18:48:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	SELL	0	84¢	$0	0xe03217…
10-30 18:48:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	SELL	2	84¢	$1	0xd1a0f3…
10-30 18:48:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	SELL	1	84¢	$1	0x6dd561…
10-30 18:48:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	SELL	2	84¢	$2	0x178f02…
10-30 18:44:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	SELL	17	94¢	$16	0xb1ad65…
10-30 18:44:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	SELL	10	97¢	$10	0x8e35ec…
10-30 18:44:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	SELL	3	94¢	$3	0x4ac2ee…
10-30 18:43:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	SELL	45	3¢	$1	0x5b3b67…
10-30 18:42:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	SELL	10	89¢	$9	0x806c56…
10-30 18:42:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	SELL	0	89¢	$0	0x23df7d…
10-30 18:41:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	SELL	5	79¢	$4	0x54d47e…
10-30 18:39:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	SELL	40	1¢	$0	0x6e1072…
10-30 18:38:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	SELL	5	79¢	$4	0xb47eb4…
10-30 18:38:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	SELL	45	24¢	$11	0xaa5210…
10-30 18:33:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	SELL	45	4¢	$2	0xd4880c…
10-30 18:32:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	SELL	5	79¢	$4	0xb2f9f6…
10-30 18:28:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	SELL	45	1¢	$0	0x65b4a3…
10-30 18:27:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0xf5e5ad…
10-30 18:27:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0xe33f8a…
10-30 18:27:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	SELL	2	97¢	$2	0xca66e2…
10-30 18:27:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x90632a…
10-30 18:27:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	SELL	2	97¢	$2	0x4bbe68…
10-30 18:27:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x450b0d…
10-30 18:27:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x323f35…
10-30 18:27:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	SELL	10	97¢	$10	0x3207bd…
10-30 18:27:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x31ad9e…
10-30 18:26:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	SELL	5	79¢	$4	0x77565a…
10-30 18:23:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	SELL	45	2¢	$1	0x1ad07c…
10-30 18:23:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	SELL	40	97¢	$39	0xd93a76…
10-30 18:23:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	SELL	3	79¢	$3	0xef9870…
10-30 18:23:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	SELL	2	79¢	$1	0x12ed07…
10-30 18:16:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	SELL	10	89¢	$9	0xd12cd8…
10-30 18:16:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	SELL	5	79¢	$4	0xc273f5…
10-30 18:13:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	SELL	8	89¢	$7	0xf3c5e3…
10-30 18:13:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	SELL	45	20¢	$9	0x1049e2…
10-30 18:12:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	SELL	10	89¢	$9	0xa647fb…
10-30 18:12:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	SELL	5	79¢	$4	0x3638cf…
10-30 18:06:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	SELL	5	84¢	$4	0xc9ee61…
10-30 18:03:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	SELL	45	5¢	$2	0x64dcf9…
10-30 18:02:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	SELL	11	89¢	$10	0xc93881…
10-30 18:01:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	SELL	1	79¢	$1	0x55b799…
10-30 17:59:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	SELL	11	97¢	$11	0x877102…
10-30 17:59:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	SELL	2	94¢	$2	0xfb9dc5…
10-30 17:59:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	SELL	0	94¢	$0	0x5c7386…
10-30 17:59:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	SELL	21	94¢	$20	0x350f3f…
10-30 17:58:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	SELL	10	89¢	$9	0xc6f1ae…
10-30 17:58:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	SELL	1	89¢	$1	0xbd02cf…
10-30 17:58:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	SELL	4	23¢	$1	0xa1c44e…
10-30 17:58:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	SELL	3	23¢	$1	0x656665…
10-30 17:58:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	SELL	28	23¢	$7	0x536eef…
10-30 17:58:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	SELL	2	23¢	$0	0x27c766…
10-30 17:58:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	SELL	9	23¢	$2	0x19a80c…
10-30 17:48:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	SELL	45	5¢	$2	0xca9d2c…
10-30 17:48:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	SELL	8	94¢	$8	0xfe2b19…
10-30 17:48:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	SELL	10	94¢	$9	0x6bc785…
10-30 17:48:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	SELL	6	94¢	$5	0x36b498…
10-30 17:48:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	SELL	5	84¢	$4	0xb07d3b…
10-30 17:48:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	SELL	5	79¢	$4	0xa728e2…
10-30 17:44:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	SELL	10	89¢	$9	0xe3a838…
10-30 17:43:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	SELL	13	22¢	$3	0x158349…
10-30 17:43:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	SELL	5	79¢	$4	0xd05263…
10-30 17:41:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	SELL	27	94¢	$25	0xf37924…
10-30 17:41:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	SELL	1	79¢	$1	0xaac716…
10-30 17:41:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	SELL	4	79¢	$3	0x87a609…
10-30 17:39:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	SELL	3	13¢	$0	0x9ff771…
10-30 17:39:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	SELL	37	13¢	$5	0x0b2bb3…
10-30 17:39:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	SELL	11	94¢	$10	0xc934dd…