Thankful-Duck — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$6

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

34.3%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$57

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-05

last 05-16 04:28

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

75% 27% $-6

Politics

18% — —

Other

7% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 20 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (11) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	2	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	05-16 04:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	6	$6	6	3	+3	open	—	05-16 04:10
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?	3	$4	64	64	+0	open	—	05-16 04:03
Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	3	$3	9	2	+7	open	—	05-16 04:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	3	$3	6	2	+4	Down	$-1	05-05 16:43
Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	1	$3	6	0	+6	open	—	05-16 04:28
Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	2	$3	2	2	+0	Down	+$1	05-06 04:19
Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?	2	$3	112	112	+0	open	—	05-15 15:27
Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	2	$2	6	6	+0	Down	+$0	05-06 10:08
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	2	$2	77	77	+0	open	—	05-16 04:03
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 15?	2	$2	76	76	+0	open	—	05-15 15:31
Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	2	$2	9	0	+9	Up	$-2	05-07 06:27
Will Trump announce a Taiwan arms sales halt?	2	$2	28	28	+0	open	—	05-16 04:04
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	2	$2	91	91	+0	open	—	05-16 04:03
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	2	$2	125	125	+0	open	—	05-15 15:49
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 16?	2	$2	50	50	+0	open	—	05-15 15:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	2	$2	50	50	+0	Down	$-0	05-05 16:38
Ethereum Up or Down on May 15?	1	$1	1,000	0	+1,000	open	—	05-15 15:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	1	$1	100	0	+100	Up	$-1	05-05 16:54
Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	1	$1	14	0	+14	Up	$-1	05-06 04:08
Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	Down	$-1	05-07 06:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	1	$1	14	0	+14	Up	$-1	05-05 16:47
Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	Up	+$1	05-06 05:28
Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	1	$1	4	0	+4	Up	$-1	05-06 04:13
Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	05-16 04:11
Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	1	$0	3	0	+3	open	—	05-16 04:04

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-16 04:28:14	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0xfa7cfc…
05-16 04:25:28	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Up	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x0c4a3a…
05-16 04:23:29	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Up	BUY	3	87¢	$3	0x386b61…
05-16 04:18:37	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Down	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x943f57…
05-16 04:17:22	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Up	SELL	2	84¢	$1	0x59775d…
05-16 04:16:47	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0xfa1d4f…
05-16 04:11:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0xe7c39d…
05-16 04:10:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x176934…
05-16 04:09:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Up	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x6b86d5…
05-16 04:08:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Down	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x62d90c…
05-16 04:08:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Up	SELL	2	35¢	$1	0x9a504d…
05-16 04:08:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x8829c3…
05-16 04:06:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x34180b…
05-16 04:04:51	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Down	BUY	3	11¢	$0	0x81b673…
05-16 04:04:26	Will Trump announce a Taiwan arms sales halt?	Yes	SELL	28	3¢	$1	0x4e12c7…
05-16 04:03:55	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	Yes	SELL	91	1¢	$1	0xb71c24…
05-16 04:03:36	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	Yes	SELL	77	2¢	$1	0x982fce…
05-16 04:03:23	Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?	Yes	SELL	64	3¢	$2	0xc8aac9…
05-16 03:57:11	Will Trump announce a Taiwan arms sales halt?	Yes	BUY	28	4¢	$1	0xca696f…
05-16 01:25:52	Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?	Yes	BUY	32	3¢	$1	0xfb2ae7…
05-15 15:49:00	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	Yes	SELL	125	1¢	$1	0x36e14a…
05-15 15:37:22	Ethereum Up or Down on May 15?	Up	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x38c78d…
05-15 15:35:58	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 16?	Yes	SELL	50	1¢	$1	0xa4e91e…
05-15 15:34:09	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 16?	Yes	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x839692…
05-15 15:31:51	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 15?	Yes	SELL	76	2¢	$1	0x171ca6…
05-15 15:29:50	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 15?	Yes	BUY	76	1¢	$1	0x214f49…
05-15 15:27:41	Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?	Yes	SELL	112	1¢	$2	0x7c04fc…
05-15 15:03:14	Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?	Yes	BUY	31	3¢	$1	0x97fee8…
05-15 15:03:00	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	Yes	BUY	77	1¢	$1	0x091b46…
05-15 15:01:49	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	Yes	BUY	91	1¢	$1	0x5dc3c9…
05-15 15:01:31	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	Yes	BUY	125	1¢	$1	0xe77208…
05-15 14:59:41	Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?	Yes	BUY	112	1¢	$1	0x923971…
05-07 06:27:17	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xfb9434…
05-07 06:26:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x9a5aa4…
05-07 06:22:49	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xb7f9ab…
05-06 10:08:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	SELL	6	23¢	$1	0xb62dd2…
05-06 10:06:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x02cb8c…
05-06 05:28:42	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xbaf4d9…
05-06 04:19:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Down	SELL	2	94¢	$2	0xdee04b…
05-06 04:16:56	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xdf1c1a…
05-06 04:13:24	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x5b8e7c…
05-06 04:08:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Down	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x5b1730…
05-05 16:54:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x31d102…
05-05 16:47:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x9bc669…
05-05 16:43:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x4b24c6…
05-05 16:42:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	SELL	2	61¢	$1	0x80f38c…
05-05 16:41:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x62185d…
05-05 16:38:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	SELL	50	1¢	$0	0xb2482c…
05-05 16:38:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x4b1e73…