Impressive-Exhibition — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$14

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$164

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-03

last 07-04 09:25

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

57% — —

Politics

29% 100% +$3

Sports

14% 100% +$12

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

8 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?	No		+5	$2	66¢	$3	+$1	05-31 18:05
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	Yes		+5	$2	40¢	$2	$-0	06-18 09:59

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will the government shutdown last 1 day or more 842	2	$44	50	50	+0	open	—	01-29 08:48
will kevin warsh be formally nominated to be chair of the federal reserve by february 6 2026	1	$31	43	0	+43	open	—	02-03 07:58
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?	1	$18	30	0	+30	Yes	+$12	02-12 18:20
iran strike on us military by february 28	1	$16	50	0	+50	open	—	01-29 08:53
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	1	$4	10	0	+10	open	—	02-23 20:37
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	1	$4	5	0	+5	open	—	06-12 19:02
trump x greenland deal signed by march 31	1	$3	5	0	+5	open	—	01-23 15:46
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	1	$3	5	0	+5	open	—	06-12 19:01
us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	1	$3	5	0	+5	open	—	06-26 16:17
will dilution of iranian uranium be in a us iran deal in 2026 20260623023201639	1	$3	5	0	+5	open	—	06-26 07:49
Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $410 in May?	1	$3	5	0	+5	open	—	05-17 10:49
fifwc usa bel 2026 07 06 team to advance	1	$2	5	0	+5	open	—	07-04 09:25
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	1	$2	5	0	+5	open	—	06-18 09:59
us iran final nuclear deal by december 31 2026	1	$2	5	0	+5	open	—	07-04 09:23
will russia enter myrne by july 31 2026	1	$2	5	0	+5	open	—	06-04 21:13
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	1	$2	5	0	+5	Yes	+$3	01-31 13:19
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?	1	$2	5	0	+5	open	—	02-09 12:27
world cup goals h2h messi vspt ronaldo 20260604005506837	1	$2	5	0	+5	open	—	06-05 15:02
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?	1	$2	5	0	+5	open	—	05-31 18:05
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?	1	$2	5	0	+5	open	—	01-23 15:42
will brazil reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120743	1	$1	5	0	+5	open	—	06-05 10:55
us iran final nuclear deal by august 31 2026 20260621201255154	1	$1	5	0	+5	open	—	06-26 07:50
Will Star Wars: The Mandalorian and Grogu have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?	2	$1	50	0	+50	open	—	01-03 15:14
Will Opinion launch a token by March 31, 2026?	1	$1	6	0	+6	open	—	02-18 08:22
will england reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120779	1	$1	5	0	+5	open	—	06-05 19:58
Will no one leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?	1	$1	6	0	+6	open	—	02-18 08:20
Will the US strike Iran next?	1	$1	5	0	+5	open	—	01-31 13:20
will the us strike iran next 433	1	$1	5	0	+5	open	—	01-23 15:47
elon musk of tweets february 13 february 20 320 339	1	$1	7	0	+7	open	—	02-18 08:20

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-04 09:25:37	fifwc usa bel 2026 07 06 team to advance	United States	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xe07984…
07-04 09:23:46	us iran final nuclear deal by december 31 2026	Yes	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xc20422…
06-26 16:17:59	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	Yes	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0xee7d08…
06-26 07:50:26	us iran final nuclear deal by august 31 2026 20260621201255154	Yes	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0xc06ef2…
06-26 07:49:50	will dilution of iranian uranium be in a us iran deal in 2026 20260623023201639	Yes	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x80d041…
06-18 09:59:14	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xf44902…
06-12 19:02:22	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0x278915…
06-12 19:01:34	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0xaa24dc…
06-05 19:58:22	will england reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120779	No	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0x36cf1f…
06-05 15:02:48	world cup goals h2h messi vspt ronaldo 20260604005506837	Ronaldo	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0xf59d9c…
06-05 10:55:52	will brazil reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120743	No	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0xb5168a…
06-04 21:13:09	will russia enter myrne by july 31 2026	No	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0xe0be15…
05-31 18:05:08	Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?	No	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0xd18d0b…
05-17 10:49:44	Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $410 in May?	Yes	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x9d06bf…
02-23 20:37:32	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	Yes	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0x604fbf…
02-18 08:22:58	Will Opinion launch a token by March 31, 2026?	No	BUY	6	19¢	$1	0x72305c…
02-18 08:20:40	elon musk of tweets february 13 february 20 320 339	Yes	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0xf01671…
02-18 08:20:24	Will no one leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?	Yes	BUY	6	19¢	$1	0xf570d4…
02-12 18:20:55	Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?	Yes	BUY	30	61¢	$18	0x40ab9d…
02-09 12:27:19	Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x75e0d5…
02-03 07:58:00	will kevin warsh be formally nominated to be chair of the federal reserve by february 6 2026	No	BUY	43	73¢	$31	0xddb3e1…
01-31 13:20:54	Will the US strike Iran next?	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xf3ed67…
01-31 13:19:12	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0xc4ac9b…
01-29 08:53:04	iran strike on us military by february 28	Yes	BUY	50	33¢	$16	0x8d9589…
01-29 08:48:04	will the government shutdown last 1 day or more 842	Yes	SELL	50	44¢	$22	0x1aff78…
01-29 08:47:36	will the government shutdown last 1 day or more 842	Yes	BUY	50	45¢	$22	0xe5a941…
01-23 15:47:42	will the us strike iran next 433	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x703b14…
01-23 15:46:56	trump x greenland deal signed by march 31	No	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0x3d217e…
01-23 15:42:30	Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?	Yes	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0x4bc500…
01-03 15:14:37	Will Star Wars: The Mandalorian and Grogu have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?	Yes	BUY	37	2¢	$1	0x9c6967…
01-03 13:00:35	Will Star Wars: The Mandalorian and Grogu have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	2¢	$0	0x2d12c8…