Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$16

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

270

lifetime

Volume

$1.38K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-18

last 04-02 21:08

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

53% 100% +$0

Politics

43% 100% +$15

Crypto

3% — —

Tech

1% — —

Sports

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will donald trump announce a new nominee for chair of the federal reserve by january 31 2026 849 849 957 245	7	$121	111	83	+28	open	—	01-30 04:59
bank of england decreases interest rates by 25 bps after march 2026 meeting 384	4	$100	55	55	+0	open	—	03-10 07:42
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?	4	$90	72	58	+14	open	—	01-28 04:53
will the 10 year treasury yield hit 4pt4 by march 31	7	$86	71	71	+0	open	—	03-25 22:14
will monthly inflation increase by 0pt1 or less in january 157	2	$79	53	53	+0	open	—	02-11 01:02
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	5	$59	111	0	+111	open	—	03-31 22:16
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	6	$55	52	60	-8	open	—	01-28 21:41
will donald trump announce a new nominee for chair of the federal reserve by february 6 2026 681	7	$43	46	46	+0	open	—	01-29 19:26
will crude oil cl hit high 150 by end of march 138 937 747	3	$41	23	23	+0	open	—	03-20 22:21
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?	10	$34	72	72	+0	open	—	01-30 17:13
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	8	$32	23	23	+0	open	—	01-29 19:27
no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	1	$30	31	0	+31	open	—	01-18 22:50
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?	4	$30	38	0	+38	open	—	04-01 20:22
will the 10 year treasury yield hit 4pt5 by march 31	2	$24	14	14	+0	open	—	03-18 21:38
spx up or down on january 21 2026	2	$24	14	14	+0	open	—	01-21 16:39
spx opens up or down on march 9 2026	2	$22	13	13	+0	open	—	03-09 08:51
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 15th 962 364 677	6	$22	57	10	+47	open	—	03-31 22:16
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?	6	$18	134	134	+0	open	—	01-28 21:54
Tim Cook out as Apple CEO before 2027?	4	$17	24	20	+4	open	—	03-07 21:20
Will Silver hit 100 or Bitcoin hit 100k first?	3	$17	47	0	+47	open	—	01-21 19:48
fed rate cut by march 2026 meeting	2	$13	8	8	+0	open	—	01-29 19:27
us strikes iran by january 23 2026 494 711 798 734 155	2	$12	13	0	+13	open	—	01-20 22:30
will the reserve bank of australia make no change to the target for the cash rate after the february meeting	2	$11	12	12	+0	open	—	01-26 17:16
will crude oil cl hit high 140 by end of march 934 621	4	$11	6	6	+0	open	—	03-20 22:21
will mara corina machado enter venezuela by march 31 426 698 771	2	$10	14	14	+0	open	—	01-20 19:35
will kevin warsh be formally nominated to be chair of the federal reserve by february 18 2026 264	1	$10	11	0	+11	open	—	02-13 07:13
will anyone audibly fart during trumps wef 2026 speech	1	$10	11	0	+11	open	—	01-18 23:04
will kevin warsh be formally nominated to be chair of the federal reserve by february 2 2026	1	$10	11	0	+11	open	—	02-01 18:58
nvda quarterly earnings nongaap eps 02 25 2026 1pt52	1	$10	11	0	+11	open	—	02-22 22:25
gc hit 5000 high jan 2026 374 153 895 849	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	01-25 21:57

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
04-02 21:08:47	Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be less than 1.0%?	No	SELL	2	93¢	$2	0x00c93e…
04-02 21:07:05	will the us add between 50k and 100k jobs in march	Yes	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x7bd8a1…
04-02 21:06:57	will the us add at least 100k jobs in march	No	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x60f26d…
04-01 20:24:37	US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?	No	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0xe23c6e…
04-01 20:24:05	US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?	No	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x923981…
04-01 20:22:39	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?	Yes	BUY	12	81¢	$10	0x80b681…
03-31 22:16:53	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?	Yes	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x210beb…
03-31 22:16:39	trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 15th 962 364 677	Yes	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0x31af0c…
03-31 22:16:09	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	Yes	BUY	57	53¢	$30	0xb5fb76…
03-31 19:58:09	trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 15th 962 364 677	Yes	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0x3123de…
03-31 19:57:33	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	Yes	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x01c8fa…
03-31 19:57:25	trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 15th 962 364 677	Yes	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0xa4f943…
03-29 20:07:04	Will the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $2.75 (HIGH) by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	4	85¢	$3	0x7c2288…
03-25 22:15:53	trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 15th 962 364 677	Yes	SELL	10	39¢	$4	0x8c9684…
03-25 22:14:31	will the 10 year treasury yield hit 4pt4 by march 31	No	SELL	71	61¢	$44	0x73c70c…
03-25 04:54:49	will the 10 year treasury yield hit 4pt4 by march 31	No	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0xbfb701…
03-23 05:53:23	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?	Yes	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0x18f18b…
03-23 05:53:15	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	Yes	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xb2140e…
03-20 22:28:13	trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 15th 962 364 677	Yes	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0x8bd64a…
03-20 22:27:59	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	Yes	BUY	14	56¢	$8	0x6b36b2…
03-20 22:27:45	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?	Yes	BUY	13	77¢	$10	0x19fa90…
03-20 22:24:03	trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 15th 962 364 677	Yes	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x5a029b…
03-20 22:23:45	trump announces end of military operations against iran by march 31st	Yes	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x316e55…
03-20 22:22:35	Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x9679ad…
03-20 22:21:29	will crude oil cl hit high 140 by end of march 934 621	No	SELL	3	96¢	$3	0x722da7…
03-20 22:21:11	will crude oil cl hit high 150 by end of march 138 937 747	No	SELL	23	98¢	$22	0x33ba4f…
03-20 22:18:51	will the 10 year treasury yield hit 4pt4 by march 31	No	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0x66bedf…
03-18 21:49:37	Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 1?	No	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x715e3f…
03-18 21:47:49	Will the Fed cut rates before Kevin Warsh is confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	BUY	2	87¢	$2	0x5bda4d…
03-18 21:43:25	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	Yes	BUY	11	55¢	$6	0x8c6454…
03-18 21:39:39	will crude oil cl hit high 140 by end of march 934 621	No	SELL	3	89¢	$3	0x986f08…
03-18 21:38:43	will the 10 year treasury yield hit 4pt5 by march 31	No	SELL	14	95¢	$13	0xc8ec8a…
03-18 21:34:07	will france uk or germany strike iran by march 31 929	No	SELL	4	95¢	$4	0x2d3550…
03-16 21:18:07	spx opens up or down on march 17 2026	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x582e3b…
03-16 21:17:43	spx opens up or down on march 17 2026	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xeb4447…
03-16 21:09:13	will the 10 year treasury yield hit 4pt4 by march 31	No	BUY	4	83¢	$3	0x0c3caa…
03-14 21:25:45	will annual inflation increase by 2pt7 in march 892	Yes	SELL	8	1¢	$0	0x763e8d…
03-14 06:19:03	Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by May 30?	Yes	SELL	5	62¢	$3	0x2bd62a…
03-14 06:14:27	Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x2f9a44…
03-10 07:42:41	bank of england decreases interest rates by 25 bps after march 2026 meeting 384	No	SELL	28	89¢	$25	0x6d77b7…
03-10 06:00:41	will the percentage change in the sp 500 in q1 2026 be less than 0	Yes	SELL	3	64¢	$2	0x728868…
03-10 05:58:43	bank of england decreases interest rates by 25 bps after march 2026 meeting 384	No	SELL	28	91¢	$25	0xcd04dc…
03-10 05:56:17	will openai have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 562	Yes	SELL	12	2¢	$0	0x3d42bb…
03-09 19:43:03	will crude oil cl hit high 140 by end of march 934 621	No	BUY	2	85¢	$2	0xf9b29f…
03-09 14:22:59	will crude oil cl hit high 150 by end of march 138 937 747	No	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x9cef83…
03-09 09:52:41	us x iran ceasefire by april 30	Yes	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0xba0d00…
03-09 08:51:35	spx opens up or down on march 9 2026	Down	SELL	13	98¢	$12	0x72c348…
03-09 08:11:59	will crude oil cl hit high 180 by end of march 692	Yes	BUY	13	8¢	$1	0x2730df…
03-09 07:58:03	will the 10 year treasury yield hit 4pt5 by march 31	No	BUY	14	81¢	$11	0xa61e94…
03-09 07:39:11	bank of england decreases interest rates by 25 bps after march 2026 meeting 384	No	BUY	44	90¢	$40	0x0504a6…
03-09 06:18:37	will the 10 year treasury yield hit 4pt4 by march 31	No	BUY	19	64¢	$12	0x56455a…
03-08 21:48:57	Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	BUY	4	73¢	$3	0x0f8c37…
03-08 21:45:15	ndx up or down on march 9 2026	Down	BUY	4	72¢	$3	0x306acf…
03-08 21:10:55	will the percentage change in the sp 500 in q1 2026 be less than 0	Yes	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0x4ee511…
03-08 21:08:37	will the 10 year treasury yield hit 4pt4 by march 31	No	BUY	2	82¢	$2	0x03e8ca…
03-08 21:08:15	bank of england decreases interest rates by 25 bps after march 2026 meeting 384	No	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0x620a0e…
03-08 19:35:01	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0x31cecb…
03-08 19:34:11	spx opens up or down on march 9 2026	Down	BUY	13	79¢	$10	0xb5329e…
03-07 21:20:01	Tim Cook out as Apple CEO before 2027?	Yes	SELL	2	31¢	$1	0x936fbc…
03-07 21:15:47	will openai have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 562	Yes	SELL	16	3¢	$0	0xf98e68…
03-07 09:35:13	will france uk or germany strike iran by march 31 929	No	BUY	4	80¢	$3	0x944773…
03-07 09:32:39	will crude oil cl hit high 140 by end of march 934 621	No	BUY	4	78¢	$3	0x72a2e6…
03-07 09:32:27	will crude oil cl hit high 150 by end of march 138 937 747	No	BUY	18	85¢	$15	0xf930bf…
03-07 09:30:57	Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be less than 1.0%?	No	BUY	2	81¢	$2	0x06f675…
03-07 09:28:07	will the 10 year treasury yield hit 4pt4 by march 31	No	BUY	11	87¢	$10	0x1f0d26…
03-05 21:02:45	lal cel rea 2026 03 07 rea	Yes	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x863545…
03-05 20:56:47	will powell say inflation 50 times during march press conference	No	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xa218f9…
03-05 20:52:17	will openai have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 562	Yes	BUY	13	8¢	$1	0x8b57ce…
03-05 20:49:19	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xb91109…
03-05 20:48:49	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	20¢	$3	0x65dd12…
03-05 20:47:35	will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 6 419 412 158 246 866 876 465	No	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x434d90…
03-05 20:40:19	spx opens up or down on march 6 2026	Up	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x587669…
03-05 20:40:07	spx opens up or down on march 6 2026	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x12c95a…
03-05 20:39:59	spx opens up or down on march 6 2026	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x590f5c…
03-05 20:38:41	will the us add between 100k and 125k jobs in february	No	BUY	3	86¢	$3	0x9a9d76…
03-05 20:38:27	will the us add between 150k and 175k jobs in february	No	BUY	3	97¢	$3	0x9b8513…
03-05 20:38:15	will the us add between 125k and 150k jobs in february	No	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0x6cf016…
02-24 22:26:06	will the us tariff rate on china be between 25 and 35 on march 31	Yes	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x5a8471…
02-24 22:21:16	will trump say supreme court during the 2026 state of the union address	Yes	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x6cfc4d…
02-24 22:20:18	will trump say crypto or bitcoin during the 2026 state of the union address 556	Yes	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x2b9498…
02-24 22:18:46	spx opens up or down on february 25 2026	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xac7f3b…
02-24 22:16:36	Fed rate cut by April 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	3	83¢	$2	0x13b1b7…
02-22 22:33:12	will openai have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 562	Yes	BUY	19	5¢	$1	0x129d2d…
02-22 22:30:02	will silver si hit high 120 by end of february 431 947 594 173 652 316	No	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0x1e407b…
02-22 22:29:46	will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	Yes	SELL	3	91¢	$2	0xfa4fd5…
02-22 22:29:12	will gold gc hit high 5500 by end of february 743 796 985 593 523 417 437	No	SELL	2	91¢	$2	0x093a36…
02-22 22:28:54	will gold gc hit high 5800 by end of february 759 378 429 713 662 579	No	SELL	4	98¢	$4	0xca6120…
02-22 22:28:14	ndx up or down on february 23 2026	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xdae26f…
02-22 22:27:24	spx up or down on february 23 2026	Down	BUY	9	43¢	$4	0xbac396…
02-22 22:26:20	spx opens up or down on february 23 2026	Down	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0xa3a04c…
02-22 22:25:32	nvda quarterly earnings nongaap eps 02 25 2026 1pt52	Yes	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0x6a64d8…
02-22 22:25:06	will monthly inflation increase by 0pt1 in february	No	BUY	3	87¢	$3	0x3eeab9…
02-22 22:21:38	will annual inflation increase by 2pt7 in march 892	Yes	BUY	10	19¢	$2	0x96b5f9…
02-22 22:20:40	will annual inflation increase by 2pt3 in february 467 579 977 165	No	BUY	4	84¢	$3	0x2f0074…
02-22 22:17:48	will the us next strike iran before march 2026 et	No	BUY	4	82¢	$3	0x2e74b3…
02-22 22:16:18	Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by May 30?	Yes	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x300f60…
02-20 11:19:42	will crude oil cl hit low 60 by end of february	Yes	BUY	19	10¢	$2	0x6c7823…
02-19 19:18:10	will crude oil cl hit low 60 by end of february	Yes	BUY	1	10¢	$0	0xf3782c…
02-13 12:07:15	gop uses nuclear option to break filibuster by march 31 2026	No	SELL	2	92¢	$2	0x6f4605…
02-13 07:13:23	will kevin warsh be formally nominated to be chair of the federal reserve by february 18 2026 264	No	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0x7c9de9…