Sure-Footed-Nail — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$18

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

99.3%

Resolved

321

Trades

322

lifetime

Volume

$3.49K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$11

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-06

last 11-14 18:09

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 236 days

Categories

Other

94% 100% +$6

Politics

6% 90% -$23

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

74 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 15°C on November 15?	No		+9	$9	100¢	$9	$0	11-14 18:09

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	1	$26	26	+26	No	-$26	05-15 05:06
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 10°C on May 2?	1	$25	25	+25	No	+$0	05-02 15:08
Trump out as President by April 30?	1	$25	25	+25	No	+$0	04-30 08:54
Will Trump visit China by June 30?	1	$25	26	+26	Yes	+$1	05-03 03:38
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 13°C on April 29?	1	$25	25	+25	Yes	+$0	04-29 13:42
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on April 28?	1	$25	25	+25	Yes	+$0	04-28 08:34
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71°F on April 27?	1	$25	25	+25	No	+$0	04-28 01:51
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 16°C on April 27?	1	$25	25	+25	Yes	+$0	04-27 14:17
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 52-53°F on April 26?	1	$25	25	+25	Yes	+$0	04-27 02:11
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 36°C on April 26?	1	$25	25	+25	Yes	+$0	04-26 10:29
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 35°C on April 25?	1	$25	25	+25	Yes	+$0	04-25 15:17
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 24th?	1	$25	25	+25	No	+$0	04-24 09:10
highest temperature in guangzhou on april 23 2026 27c	1	$25	25	+25	Yes	+$0	04-23 10:46
highest temperature in chongqing on april 22 2026 24c	1	$25	25	+25	No	+$0	04-22 10:25
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 21st	1	$23	25	+25	No	+$1	04-21 12:46
highest temperature in los angeles on april 20 2026 72 73f	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	04-21 01:30
highest temperature in tel aviv on april 20 2026 24c	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	04-20 16:54
highest temperature in wellington on april 20 2026 16c	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	04-20 06:22
highest temperature in tel aviv on april 19 2026 24c	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-19 16:23
highest temperature in wellington on april 19 2026 16c	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-19 08:48
highest temperature in shanghai on april 18 2026 22c	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	04-18 08:48
highest temperature in istanbul on april 17 2026 14c	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	04-17 16:05
highest temperature in wellington on april 17 2026 18c	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-17 09:42
highest temperature in guangzhou on april 16 2026 31c	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-16 12:09
highest temperature in los angeles on april 15 2026 68 69f	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-16 04:22
highest temperature in tokyo on april 15 2026 23c	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	04-15 09:11
highest temperature in dallas on april 14 2026 82forhigher	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	04-15 03:52
highest temperature in jeddah on april 14 2026 32c	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-14 16:25
highest temperature in wellington on april 14 2026 20c	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	04-14 05:40
highest temperature in seoul on april 13 2026 20c	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-13 08:50

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-14 18:09:17	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 15°C on November 15?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x468dd6…
11-13 07:58:46	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on November 13?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x846397…
11-12 08:06:58	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 10°C on November 12?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xbf4f82…
11-11 08:15:21	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 26°C on November 11?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x6d7b7b…
11-08 11:39:33	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on November 9?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x0c5594…
11-07 10:55:10	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 4°C or below on November 7?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x866228…
11-06 09:58:28	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on November 6?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x2678cc…
11-05 00:25:42	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 7°C or below on November 5?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x98cade…
11-04 04:25:10	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 2°C on November 4?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x91e83c…
11-03 17:45:49	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 30°C on November 3?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xcbf413…
11-03 07:38:40	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on November 3?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x702e13…
11-02 09:44:21	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on November 2?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x66a50f…
10-31 17:43:06	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 19°C on November 1?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xb00c33…
10-31 04:52:04	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 74-75°F on October 30?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x941ebc…
10-30 08:46:34	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on October 30?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x9e35d2…
10-29 15:29:56	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 17°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x36c3dc…
10-29 06:14:11	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xd1d8d1…
10-28 04:54:29	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 10°C on October 28?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x5a29eb…
10-27 15:56:15	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xde656e…
10-27 07:50:12	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 16°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x6e4044…
10-26 04:03:18	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on October 26?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xdd43cb…
10-24 06:44:14	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 17°C on October 24?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x389b5b…
10-22 09:45:18	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 13°C on October 22?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x06a69d…
10-20 04:31:48	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on October 20?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xc36a84…
10-19 06:21:48	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on October 19?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xc30c59…
10-18 05:41:09	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 24°C on October 18?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xe76862…
10-17 07:16:02	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 23°C on October 17?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x27704c…
10-16 04:30:27	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 88-89°F on October 15?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x8cd11e…
10-15 05:10:01	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 24°C on October 15?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x17b3b7…
10-14 06:46:37	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on October 14?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x5c4e8b…
10-13 13:26:01	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 19°C on October 13?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x9ac966…
10-13 01:04:47	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on October 12?	Yes	BUY	9	98¢	$9	0x78c77b…
10-12 01:05:51	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on October 12?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xbc2520…
10-11 01:05:28	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 25°C or below on October 11?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x45c6d3…
10-08 04:43:43	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on October 8?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xd9b44a…
10-07 08:45:54	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 35°C on October 7?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$8	0x08f7ca…
10-06 14:58:44	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 16°C on October 6?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x44775b…
10-06 05:14:31	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on October 6?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2865db…
10-04 07:50:41	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on October 4?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7e6e5d…
10-03 00:46:56	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 86-87°F on October 2?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x05f267…
10-02 07:16:00	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on October 2?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3a6dec…
10-02 03:08:48	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on October 1?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xcf6990…
10-01 05:46:03	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 23°C on October 1?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x82ba53…
09-30 07:35:35	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on September 30?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6768b0…
09-29 06:41:21	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on September 29?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x05d1d2…
09-28 07:37:30	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on September 28?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd21a7a…
09-27 10:41:08	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 30°C on September 27?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6b6bbb…
09-26 08:22:33	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on September 26?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb013b0…
09-25 01:40:15	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 22°C on September 25?	No	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0xb7dede…
09-24 01:49:07	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 24°C on September 24?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x545448…
09-23 05:10:13	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on September 23?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd613ae…
09-22 01:05:58	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on September 21?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2aa73a…
09-21 06:26:30	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C or below on September 21?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xac8c75…
09-20 02:12:40	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 28°C on September 20?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x22dd43…
09-19 05:39:12	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C or below on September 19?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9750b7…
09-18 09:48:15	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on September 18?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x79c236…
09-18 01:04:03	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on September 17?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x22be96…
09-17 00:55:13	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on September 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x047586…
09-16 07:12:19	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on September 16?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xee867b…
09-15 23:24:42	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 84-85°F on September 15?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x053e58…
09-15 01:03:04	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C or below on September 15?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9606ed…
09-14 00:45:06	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 26°C or below on September 14?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7e6c02…
09-13 12:45:12	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 25°C on September 13?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x070f9d…
09-12 03:30:24	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 24°C on September 12?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xcfa4cc…
09-11 01:07:10	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 70-71°F on September 10?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6849f0…
09-10 01:24:24	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 28°C on September 10?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x06bf72…
09-09 00:50:39	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on September 9?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xcd81c4…
09-08 01:01:36	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on September 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0ec0b4…
09-07 13:30:42	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 28°C on September 7?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf9d143…
09-07 01:38:57	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on September 6?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x471c20…
09-06 17:30:30	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on September 6?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x368931…
09-06 01:04:21	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 25°C or below on September 6?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2c20be…
09-05 08:51:16	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C or below on September 5?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x77f71f…
09-04 08:10:46	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on September 4?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x38c45b…
09-03 01:06:48	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on September 2?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xcd4181…
09-02 11:02:40	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on September 2?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x8a143d…
09-01 01:18:03	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 86-87°F on August 31?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xcb201c…
08-30 00:07:34	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 94-95°F on August 29?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x393957…
08-29 05:45:22	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on August 29?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3a5430…
08-28 01:23:04	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on August 28?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x89d946…
08-27 01:07:09	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on August 27?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xce1190…
08-26 01:17:30	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 32°C on August 26?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x48e0d5…
08-25 01:04:07	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on August 25?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1326f7…
08-24 07:09:33	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C or higher on August 24?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe73c47…
08-23 01:00:30	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 106-107°F on August 22?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6e6ef0…
08-22 01:19:31	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on August 22?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x969773…
08-21 01:13:21	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on August 20?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf4c4c1…
08-20 05:29:00	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on August 20?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x8a8e2d…
08-19 00:19:16	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 31°C on August 19?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x46d082…
08-18 00:10:01	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on August 17?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x052d55…
08-17 05:08:43	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on August 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc38739…
08-16 01:36:42	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on August 16?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x70f717…
08-15 01:16:00	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on August 15?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x30de97…
08-14 01:17:19	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on August 14?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x044549…
08-13 00:11:07	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 94-95°F on August 12?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x30fa02…
08-12 00:11:46	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 100-101°F on August 11?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x99b522…
08-11 00:12:12	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on August 10?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf71bb4…
08-10 00:16:10	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on August 10?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4e9598…
08-09 00:17:42	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 28°C on August 9?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7e7c9f…
08-08 00:14:48	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 26°C or below on August 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xefbb47…