Fatal-Distribution — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$3.37K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

67.5%

Resolved

2,207

Trades

10,200

lifetime

Volume

$66.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-28

last 09-15 10:42

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 91 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 57% +$3,425

Other

0% 50% -$53

Sports

0% 0% -$2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

27 active days in 12wk • peak 145 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 17:00 UTC	6	$453	297	296	+0	Up	+$134	07-18 17:05
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 16:40 UTC	4	$351	208	208	+0	Up	+$52	07-18 16:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 15:00 UTC	3	$269	172	172	+0	Down	+$71	07-18 15:05
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 14:55 UTC	4	$247	162	162	+0	Down	+$48	07-18 14:58
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 16:05 UTC	6	$246	148	148	+0	Up	+$47	07-18 16:10
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 16:55 UTC	6	$227	210	109	+101	Up	-$12	07-18 17:00
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-05 18:45 UTC	61	$210	165	165	+0	Up	+$90	07-05 18:51
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-05 00:50 UTC	20	$203	159	157	+2	Up	+$85	07-05 00:55
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 05:00 UTC	7	$200	190	175	+14	Down	+$42	07-18 05:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 15:30 UTC	5	$199	317	0	+317	Down	-$24	07-18 15:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 17:30 UTC	7	$193	252	128	+125	Up	-$65	07-18 17:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 18:00 UTC	6	$175	106	106	+0	Up	+$35	07-18 18:05
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 15:25 UTC	4	$174	165	75	+90	Down	-$25	07-18 15:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 16:30 UTC	14	$171	340	0	+340	Up	-$74	07-18 16:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	30	$170	369	0	+369	Down	-$170	05-31 15:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-04 13:20 UTC	147	$166	115	115	+0	Down	+$47	07-04 13:25
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 15:35 UTC	2	$160	112	112	+0	Down	+$61	07-18 15:40
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-21 18:55 UTC	15	$160	132	132	+0	Up	+$80	06-21 19:00
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 16:25 UTC	52	$160	230	15	+216	Up	+$77	07-18 16:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-19 08:05 UTC	7	$157	98	98	+0	Down	+$37	07-19 08:10
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 08:10 UTC	2	$157	108	108	+0	Up	+$57	07-18 08:15
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-04 05:30 UTC	8	$156	140	80	+59	Down	+$56	07-04 05:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-12 04:05 UTC	31	$152	115	114	+2	Down	+$54	07-12 04:08
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 16:15 UTC	8	$149	210	0	+210	Down	+$61	07-18 16:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 05:15 UTC	12	$149	129	100	+29	Down	+$78	07-18 05:20
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-19 10:45 UTC	15	$149	135	135	+0	Down	+$30	07-19 10:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-21 00:35 UTC	3	$146	100	100	+0	Up	+$46	06-21 00:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-14 14:10 UTC	9	$145	104	104	+0	Up	+$35	06-14 14:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-30 04:40 UTC	49	$145	119	118	+1	Up	+$87	06-30 04:45
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-28 20:15 UTC	6	$144	106	106	+0	Up	+$24	06-28 20:20

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-15 10:42:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	35	85¢	$30	0x425150…
09-15 00:15:54	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-15 00:15 UTC	Down	BUY	57	52¢	$30	0xc91bae…
09-15 00:11:43	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-15 00:00 UTC	Down	BUY	36	83¢	$30	0x99d4ca…
09-14 23:15:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-14 23:15 UTC	Up	BUY	41	73¢	$30	0xe44c2d…
09-14 03:09:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	31	96¢	$30	0x9fd6bc…
09-13 07:23:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Down	BUY	52	57¢	$30	0x818e94…
09-13 07:00:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	75	40¢	$30	0xe1a920…
09-13 06:29:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	31	96¢	$30	0x985ff5…
09-13 05:50:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	39	77¢	$30	0x8ff7ac…
09-13 05:37:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	34	88¢	$30	0x2adc76…
09-13 03:20:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	56	53¢	$30	0x5c4f41…
09-09 02:04:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	78	64¢	$50	0x299795…
09-09 01:48:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	96	52¢	$50	0x60d2cd…
09-09 01:32:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	81	61¢	$50	0xe758c3…
09-09 01:25:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	90	35¢	$32	0x3857f2…
09-09 01:02:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	99	50¢	$50	0x81b862…
09-09 00:53:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	96	52¢	$50	0x0a8ea1…
09-08 00:30:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	72	69¢	$50	0x39ded9…
09-08 00:21:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	96	52¢	$50	0x03529b…
09-08 00:09:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	59	85¢	$50	0x1de418…
09-07 23:50:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	55	64¢	$35	0x587be1…
09-07 23:50:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	21	71¢	$15	0x159a27…
09-05 23:36:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x9836d1…
09-05 23:36:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	64	55¢	$35	0x63dbeb…
09-05 23:36:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	26	53¢	$14	0x77ec3b…
09-05 23:13:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	60	83¢	$50	0x5a1755…
09-05 22:53:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	97	51¢	$50	0x6b1297…
09-05 22:51:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Down	BUY	92	54¢	$50	0x48a45d…
09-05 22:48:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	BUY	97	51¢	$50	0xd02678…
09-05 19:35:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	49	39¢	$19	0xde2ee0…
09-05 16:54:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	58	34¢	$20	0x702e4c…
09-05 15:09:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	66	30¢	$20	0x05fa0d…
09-05 09:45:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	BUY	36	56¢	$20	0x233c29…
09-05 05:19:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Up	BUY	42	47¢	$20	0xf4d88d…
09-05 05:09:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	44	45¢	$20	0xda1219…
09-04 22:50:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Down	BUY	48	34¢	$16	0x842f6d…
09-04 21:44:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	33	60¢	$20	0x548e5b…
09-04 14:54:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	37	54¢	$20	0x4f8b4a…
09-04 14:49:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	44	45¢	$20	0x032553…
09-04 13:44:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	41	48¢	$20	0xcc8afa…
09-04 12:55:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	22	63¢	$14	0xe768ee…
09-04 12:55:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x2ba1b5…
09-04 12:55:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	7	62¢	$4	0x017e42…
09-04 12:45:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	BUY	36	55¢	$20	0x2855e3…
09-04 11:09:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	39	51¢	$20	0x8be236…
09-04 09:39:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	51	39¢	$20	0x88da96…
09-04 09:19:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Up	BUY	62	32¢	$20	0x1d753c…
09-04 08:34:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	BUY	38	53¢	$20	0x3ba309…
09-03 21:34:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	52	38¢	$20	0x1d13f7…
09-03 21:29:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	BUY	32	57¢	$18	0xde8032…
09-03 21:29:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xa6e9f8…
09-03 16:05:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	BUY	34	58¢	$20	0xf15d86…
09-03 15:09:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	41	48¢	$20	0x4951e5…
09-03 14:59:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	BUY	41	49¢	$20	0x505a28…
09-03 14:50:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	45	44¢	$20	0x9863a7…
09-03 14:30:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	38	52¢	$20	0xcdd0f9…
09-03 14:14:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	43	46¢	$20	0xa4943e…
09-03 02:34:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Down	BUY	37	54¢	$20	0x5b3435…
09-02 19:14:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	BUY	38	52¢	$20	0x3d9d0d…
09-02 16:19:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0xdcf727…
09-02 13:44:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	38	52¢	$20	0x46da06…
09-02 09:24:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	45	44¢	$20	0x88b999…
09-01 19:05:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	49	41¢	$20	0xda6b15…
09-01 18:34:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	BUY	36	55¢	$20	0x4dbadc…
09-01 07:39:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	33	61¢	$20	0xfd6eb0…
08-31 14:59:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-31 15:00 UTC	Up	BUY	45	44¢	$20	0x7f6cc3…
08-31 10:59:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-31 11:00 UTC	Up	BUY	39	51¢	$20	0xced15e…
08-31 05:19:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-31 05:20 UTC	Up	BUY	33	60¢	$20	0x65dc24…
08-30 23:59:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-31 00:00 UTC	Up	BUY	38	53¢	$20	0xc9b7be…
08-30 23:29:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-30 23:30 UTC	Down	BUY	47	42¢	$20	0x78ce8e…
08-30 20:45:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-30 20:45 UTC	Down	BUY	43	46¢	$20	0x56c3ef…
08-30 16:29:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-30 16:30 UTC	Down	BUY	33	61¢	$20	0x0db0bc…
08-30 12:10:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-30 12:10 UTC	Up	BUY	26	76¢	$20	0x61a7ec…
08-30 09:32:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-30 09:30 UTC	Down	BUY	44	45¢	$20	0x249ece…
08-29 23:44:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-29 23:45 UTC	Down	BUY	29	68¢	$20	0x4d1370…
08-29 07:59:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-29 08:00 UTC	Down	BUY	34	59¢	$20	0x85f66e…
08-28 02:29:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-28 02:30 UTC	Down	BUY	38	52¢	$20	0x93b3a8…
08-28 00:14:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-28 00:15 UTC	Down	BUY	35	57¢	$20	0x339239…
08-27 16:44:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 16:45 UTC	Up	BUY	32	63¢	$20	0x73e4f8…
08-27 15:24:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 15:25 UTC	Up	BUY	39	51¢	$20	0x3b475d…
08-27 11:40:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 11:40 UTC	Down	BUY	31	64¢	$20	0x142980…
08-27 11:24:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 11:25 UTC	Up	BUY	41	49¢	$20	0x861ddf…
08-27 08:09:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 08:10 UTC	Up	BUY	34	59¢	$20	0xb67961…
08-27 08:04:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 08:05 UTC	Up	BUY	31	64¢	$20	0x183819…
08-27 00:44:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 00:45 UTC	Up	BUY	28	45¢	$13	0x90d166…
08-27 00:44:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 00:45 UTC	Up	BUY	18	40¢	$7	0x21c77a…
08-26 16:45:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-26 16:45 UTC	Down	BUY	39	51¢	$20	0xae4645…
08-26 15:45:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-26 15:45 UTC	Down	BUY	33	61¢	$20	0xdc2c8d…
08-26 14:54:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-26 14:55 UTC	Down	BUY	36	56¢	$20	0x3e9af8…
08-26 12:24:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-26 12:25 UTC	Down	BUY	38	52¢	$20	0x70d1b5…
08-26 09:44:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-26 09:45 UTC	Down	BUY	30	67¢	$20	0x632de3…
08-26 08:44:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-26 08:45 UTC	Up	BUY	29	69¢	$20	0xb6d269…
08-26 00:55:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-26 00:55 UTC	Down	BUY	41	48¢	$20	0x0b032a…
08-25 20:45:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 20:45 UTC	Down	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0x265d2f…
08-23 14:29:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	38	53¢	$20	0x3abc66…
08-23 14:22:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	14	61¢	$8	0xbb9f8d…
08-23 14:22:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	14	67¢	$9	0x69193a…
08-23 14:22:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x58e3c8…
08-23 14:22:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xb9b5ce…
08-23 10:53:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Down	BUY	6	61¢	$4	0x862c84…