Frigid-Holiday — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$73

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

59.2%

Resolved

109

Trades

182

lifetime

Volume

$667

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-23

last 09-17 12:35

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 50 days

Categories

Other

89% 44% -$56

Crypto

9% 46% -$11

Sports

2% 0% -$5

Politics

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

13 active days in 12wk • peak 11 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 31°C on August 13?	2	$39	24	24	+0	Yes	+$9	08-13 10:30
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on August 13?	2	$36	22	22	+0	Yes	+$6	08-13 10:30
Will United States win on 2026-06-12?	2	$30	20	20	+0	Yes	+$10	06-13 02:01
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?	2	$24	14	14	+0	Yes	+$4	06-11 23:19
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on August 15?	2	$23	13	13	+0	Yes	+$3	08-15 06:01
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?	1	$20	34	0	+34	No	-$20	06-13 03:06
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 92-93°F on June 28?	3	$17	20	20	+0	No	-$1	06-27 09:38
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on August 13?	2	$17	22	22	+0	No	-$13	08-13 06:43
lol tes ig1 2026 09 17	2	$15	11	11	+0	Top Esports	+$5	09-17 12:35
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on August 12?	3	$15	17	17	+0	No	-$5	08-12 03:35
cs2 ence fal 2026 09 14	2	$14	9	9	+0	ENCE	+$4	09-14 11:01
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on August 19?	2	$14	9	9	+0	Yes	+$4	08-19 12:35
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on August 13?	2	$14	14	14	+0	No	-$6	08-13 04:26
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 37°C on August 13?	2	$13	17	17	+0	No	-$3	08-13 03:45
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 92-93°F on August 22?	2	$12	7	7	+0	Yes	+$2	08-22 22:58
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 29°C on August 26?	2	$12	7	7	+0	No	+$2	08-26 10:11
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on August 26?	2	$12	7	7	+0	Yes	+$2	08-26 10:11
Counter-Strike: largadosypelados vs maybe (BO1) - Roman Imperium Cup Group A	2	$11	6	6	+0	maybe	+$1	09-10 10:37
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11?	2	$11	8	8	+0	Yes	+$5	06-12 03:58
Will the highest temperature in London be 31°C on August 12?	2	$10	10	10	+0	No	+$0	08-12 14:15
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw?	2	$10	11	11	+0	No	+$4	06-12 03:37
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs Luminosity (BO1) - Logitech G Play Connect Group A	1	$10	20	0	+20	GamerLegion	-$10	09-17 04:25
Counter-Strike: NIP vs M80 (BO1) - Logitech G Play Connect Group A	1	$10	18	0	+18	M80	-$10	09-17 04:18
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 27°C on August 26?	1	$10	13	0	+13	No	-$10	08-26 10:19
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on August 17?	2	$10	10	10	+0	No	$0	08-16 04:38
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30?	1	$9	17	0	+17	No	-$9	05-30 16:47
Will AC Sparta Praha win on 2026-09-16?	2	$8	5	5	+0	Yes	+$2	09-16 18:10
Counter-Strike: BakS eSports vs Spirit Academy (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #9 Group Stage	2	$8	5	5	+0	BakS eSports	+$2	09-15 17:17
Will Vissel Kobe win on 2026-09-16?	2	$8	5	5	+0	Yes	+$2	09-16 15:07
Counter-Strike: Noir Verse vs ex-Zero Tenacity - Map 2 Winner	2	$7	9	9	+0	Noir Verse	-$3	09-10 12:02

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-17 12:35:18	lol tes ig1 2026 09 17	Top Esports	SELL	11	91¢	$10	0xa04d22…
09-17 07:11:04	lol tes ig1 2026 09 17	Top Esports	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0x5b9227…
09-17 04:25:24	Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs Luminosity (BO1) - Logitech G Play Connect Group A	Luminosity	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x90097e…
09-17 04:18:34	Counter-Strike: NIP vs M80 (BO1) - Logitech G Play Connect Group A	NIP	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0x4439a6…
09-16 18:10:42	Will AC Sparta Praha win on 2026-09-16?	Yes	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x57812e…
09-16 17:45:37	RC Deportivo A Coruña vs. Sevilla FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	SELL	6	25¢	$1	0x871528…
09-16 16:32:56	Will Real Racing Club win on 2026-09-16?	Yes	BUY	32	3¢	$1	0x24f88e…
09-16 16:16:56	RC Deportivo A Coruña vs. Sevilla FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0x08c980…
09-16 15:56:44	Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-09-16?	Yes	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x75f621…
09-16 15:54:23	Will AC Sparta Praha win on 2026-09-16?	Yes	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x95ab09…
09-16 15:07:09	Will Vissel Kobe win on 2026-09-16?	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x0f7bf7…
09-16 07:48:01	Jeonbuk FC vs. Kashiwa Reysol: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0xf79613…
09-16 07:45:16	Will Vissel Kobe win on 2026-09-16?	Yes	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x6a073a…
09-16 07:12:40	Counter-Strike: Teletubisie vs ex-Zero Tenacity (BO3) - Exort Fiesta Group Stage	ex-Zero Tenacity	BUY	4	76¢	$3	0x2d0d1c…
09-16 03:16:51	cs2 blackp ence 2026 09 16	Black Phoenix	BUY	7	46¢	$3	0x7ac8c4…
09-15 18:20:04	Counter-Strike: FORZE Reload vs UPGRADE (BO3) - CIS LAN Championship Playoffs	FORZE Reload	SELL	5	13¢	$1	0x542553…
09-15 17:17:19	Counter-Strike: BakS eSports vs Spirit Academy (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #9 Group Stage	BakS eSports	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x26e9e5…
09-15 11:03:57	Counter-Strike: BakS eSports vs Spirit Academy (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #9 Group Stage	BakS eSports	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x68ced5…
09-15 11:03:15	Counter-Strike: FORZE Reload vs UPGRADE (BO3) - CIS LAN Championship Playoffs	FORZE Reload	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0xdf6bad…
09-15 03:40:19	Miami Marlins vs. Arizona Diamondbacks	Miami Marlins	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0x70b5f8…
09-14 11:01:52	cs2 ence fal 2026 09 14	ENCE	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x734475…
09-14 04:21:37	cs2 ence fal 2026 09 14	ENCE	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x710f0f…
09-14 04:20:52	Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs BET-M 33 (BO3) - CIS LAN Championship Group B	BET-M 33	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0x9cec07…
09-11 10:13:16	Counter-Strike: B8 vs Inner Circle Esports (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest: European Qualifier Playoffs	B8	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x9b9456…
09-11 08:13:13	cs2 b8 ice 2026 09 11	B8	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xb0461f…
09-11 08:11:58	cs2 mibr all 2026 09 11	MIBR	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x49d72f…
09-11 07:22:45	cs2 mibr all 2026 09 11	MIBR	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x51ba34…
09-10 14:57:33	Counter-Strike: ShindeN vs Turma do Pagode - Map 2 Winner	ShindeN	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x50d1ff…
09-10 13:11:43	Counter-Strike: Revenge vs Legion (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest: West Asian Qualifier Playoffs	Legion	BUY	45	2¢	$1	0x6c753a…
09-10 12:02:03	Counter-Strike: Noir Verse vs ex-Zero Tenacity - Map 2 Winner	ex-Zero Tenacity	SELL	9	27¢	$2	0x8f7979…
09-10 11:54:18	Counter-Strike: Noir Verse vs ex-Zero Tenacity - Map 2 Winner	ex-Zero Tenacity	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0x17cfe2…
09-10 10:37:03	Counter-Strike: largadosypelados vs maybe (BO1) - Roman Imperium Cup Group A	maybe	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xd30812…
09-10 10:18:45	Counter-Strike: largadosypelados vs maybe (BO1) - Roman Imperium Cup Group A	maybe	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x3ca9ec…
09-06 16:42:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0xc03ca8…
08-29 17:23:43	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on August 30?	Yes	SELL	3	15¢	$0	0x611395…
08-29 04:47:45	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on August 30?	Yes	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xa90bcf…
08-29 04:47:43	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on August 30?	Yes	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xc3938a…
08-27 05:42:49	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	26¢	$1	0xaa7d9e…
08-27 05:42:43	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	48¢	$1	0x183249…
08-27 05:42:39	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026?	Yes	SELL	4	20¢	$1	0x95e349…
08-27 05:11:25	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on August 27?	Yes	SELL	5	17¢	$1	0x563d1b…
08-27 01:56:33	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	18¢	$1	0x79a87f…
08-27 01:54:15	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026?	Yes	SELL	9	10¢	$1	0x65cb15…
08-27 01:52:51	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x4c15e2…
08-27 01:52:45	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xc4d5ad…
08-27 01:52:45	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x644724…
08-27 01:18:04	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on August 27?	Yes	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x0bd92a…
08-26 10:19:18	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 27°C on August 26?	Yes	BUY	13	74¢	$10	0x362254…
08-26 10:11:40	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on August 26?	Yes	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0xb6f688…
08-26 10:11:33	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 29°C on August 26?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x8ac023…
08-26 02:59:43	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 29°C on August 26?	No	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0x26b6f3…
08-26 00:47:24	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on August 26?	Yes	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0xab6ad3…
08-24 21:45:12	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 18°C on August 24?	Yes	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0xcccae2…
08-24 12:38:13	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 27°C on August 24?	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x3b8e4b…
08-24 10:34:39	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 18°C on August 24?	Yes	BUY	4	81¢	$3	0x8caf2f…
08-24 10:33:46	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 27°C on August 24?	No	BUY	4	70¢	$3	0x603def…
08-22 22:58:13	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 92-93°F on August 22?	Yes	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0xc187de…
08-22 15:04:27	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 92-93°F on August 22?	Yes	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0x810736…
08-22 15:02:12	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on August 22?	Yes	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0x247a57…
08-22 14:15:28	Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on August 22?	No	SELL	4	56¢	$2	0x6c80ef…
08-22 13:45:28	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 34°C on August 22?	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x2dce41…
08-22 09:56:06	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 34°C on August 22?	No	BUY	4	80¢	$3	0x148803…
08-22 09:54:55	Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on August 22?	No	BUY	4	73¢	$3	0xa550e2…
08-19 12:39:45	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on August 20?	Yes	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0xf1f1d4…
08-19 12:35:57	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on August 19?	Yes	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x1502a9…
08-18 04:20:16	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on August 19?	Yes	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x069271…
08-16 04:38:22	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on August 17?	Yes	SELL	10	52¢	$5	0x50bc44…
08-16 01:46:49	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on August 17?	Yes	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x1ce1ec…
08-15 06:01:57	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on August 15?	Yes	SELL	13	99¢	$13	0xde4f72…
08-15 03:08:25	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on August 15?	Yes	BUY	13	74¢	$10	0xa5b81b…
08-14 04:14:43	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 31°C on August 14?	Yes	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x250af6…
08-14 04:13:27	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on August 14?	Yes	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xceb014…
08-13 10:30:21	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 31°C on August 13?	Yes	SELL	24	100¢	$24	0x753403…
08-13 10:30:06	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on August 13?	Yes	SELL	22	100¢	$21	0x7808f8…
08-13 06:43:49	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on August 13?	Yes	SELL	22	9¢	$2	0xac0aaf…
08-13 04:27:00	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on August 13?	Yes	BUY	22	70¢	$15	0x7bde63…
08-13 04:26:45	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on August 13?	Yes	SELL	14	26¢	$4	0x1a5e4a…
08-13 04:21:49	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on August 13?	Yes	BUY	22	67¢	$15	0x2e35d0…
08-13 04:02:07	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 31°C on August 13?	Yes	BUY	24	63¢	$15	0x74c488…
08-13 03:45:18	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 37°C on August 13?	Yes	SELL	17	28¢	$5	0xc1e9df…
08-13 02:47:46	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on August 13?	Yes	BUY	14	71¢	$10	0x481b85…
08-12 14:15:12	Will the highest temperature in London be 31°C on August 12?	Yes	SELL	10	53¢	$5	0xac40dc…
08-12 06:31:37	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on August 12?	Yes	SELL	9	16¢	$1	0x981433…
08-12 03:35:55	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on August 12?	Yes	BUY	9	46¢	$4	0x52d56d…
08-12 03:35:34	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on August 12?	Yes	SELL	17	30¢	$5	0x6c0b11…
08-11 23:58:54	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 37°C on August 13?	Yes	BUY	17	46¢	$8	0x6c15f3…
08-11 23:57:03	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on August 12?	Yes	BUY	12	59¢	$7	0x43afd4…
08-11 23:56:04	Will the highest temperature in London be 31°C on August 12?	Yes	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x9cb3d6…
08-11 08:16:03	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on August 12?	Yes	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x1d6b7c…
08-11 08:15:21	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on August 11?	Yes	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x91c7fa…
08-10 14:58:15	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on August 11?	Yes	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x60c06d…
08-10 14:48:52	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on August 10?	Yes	SELL	3	98¢	$3	0xc5f6ac…
08-09 08:38:03	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on August 10?	Yes	BUY	3	47¢	$1	0x1068a6…
08-08 04:01:24	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on August 9?	Yes	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xd0ec56…
08-07 04:54:45	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on August 8?	Yes	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0xd55918…
08-07 04:53:13	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 34°C on August 7?	Yes	SELL	3	94¢	$3	0x4d2615…
08-07 00:35:51	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 34°C on August 7?	Yes	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0x40c3aa…
08-07 00:35:17	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on August 7?	Yes	SELL	5	30¢	$1	0x99397e…
08-06 09:01:21	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on August 7?	Yes	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x7ff751…
08-06 08:47:48	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on August 6?	Yes	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x207ab6…