Fortunate-Mouton — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$103

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

63.2%

Resolved

1,021

Trades

1,832

lifetime

Volume

$8.07K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-31

last 10-01 21:32

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 41 days

Categories

Crypto

92% 52% -$56

Other

5% 67% -$41

Sports

3% 30% -$2

Politics

0% 0% -$4

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 21 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
wnba atl wsh 2026 09 30	2	$146	77	77	+0	Atlanta Dream	+$8	10-01 01:20
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 16:15 UTC	1	$100	192	0	+192	Down	-$100	06-09 16:15
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-08 00:20 UTC	9	$94	55	55	+0	Up	+$15	06-08 00:25
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 13:00 UTC	1	$80	107	0	+107	Down	-$80	06-09 13:00
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 16:00 UTC	1	$80	185	0	+185	Down	+$105	06-09 16:00
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-08 23:05 UTC	9	$79	137	0	+137	Up	+$58	06-08 23:05
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 15:10 UTC	1	$79	135	0	+135	Down	+$55	06-09 15:10
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-08 23:55 UTC	1	$78	103	0	+103	Up	+$25	06-08 23:56
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 20:25 UTC	6	$77	52	52	+0	Down	+$27	06-07 20:30
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 00:25 UTC	1	$74	177	0	+177	Down	-$74	06-09 00:26
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-06 17:30 UTC	2	$73	2,526	0	+2,526	Up	-$73	06-06 17:35
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 16:45 UTC	7	$71	41	41	+0	Up	+$11	06-07 16:50
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-08 13:50 UTC	7	$71	41	41	+0	Up	+$11	06-08 13:53
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 14:15 UTC	1	$68	165	0	+165	Down	+$98	06-09 14:15
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 16:25 UTC	1	$63	73	0	+73	Up	-$63	06-09 16:27
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 17:05 UTC	6	$63	38	38	+0	Up	+$13	06-07 17:10
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 17:10 UTC	6	$60	35	35	+0	Up	+$10	06-07 17:15
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 12:55 UTC	2	$60	94	0	+94	Up	-$60	06-09 12:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 15:35 UTC	2	$60	94	0	+94	Down	+$35	06-09 15:37
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 17:00 UTC	6	$59	34	34	+0	Up	+$9	06-07 17:05
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 17:50 UTC	6	$58	35	35	+0	Down	+$8	06-07 17:53
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 19:35 UTC	5	$50	30	30	+0	Down	+$10	06-07 19:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 17:20 UTC	4	$50	35	35	+0	Down	+$20	06-07 17:25
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 14:25 UTC	2	$50	77	0	+77	Down	+$28	06-09 14:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	1	$50	110	0	+110	Down	+$61	06-09 04:41
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 16:10 UTC	1	$49	84	0	+84	Down	-$49	06-09 16:10
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 05:05 UTC	2	$49	83	0	+83	Down	+$34	06-09 05:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	1	$49	51	0	+51	Up	+$2	05-26 20:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 20:10 UTC	5	$46	26	26	+0	Up	+$6	06-07 20:15
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 14:40 UTC	2	$44	140	0	+140	Down	+$96	06-09 14:44

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-01 21:32:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	8	49¢	$4	0x8ea21e…
10-01 04:49:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Up	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0x3162fb…
10-01 04:46:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-01 04:45 UTC	Up	SELL	3	98¢	$3	0xa1074b…
10-01 04:45:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-01 04:45 UTC	Up	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0xc98088…
10-01 04:44:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Up	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0xcf0855…
10-01 04:38:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-01 04:40 UTC	Up	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x8b5a1c…
10-01 04:38:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-01 04:40 UTC	Up	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0xf0a110…
10-01 04:38:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-01 04:35 UTC	Up	SELL	8	98¢	$8	0xcf227a…
10-01 04:34:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-01 04:35 UTC	Up	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x1472a9…
10-01 04:34:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-01 04:35 UTC	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x097c98…
10-01 04:33:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-01 04:30 UTC	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x5ed3ca…
10-01 04:30:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x6ca696…
10-01 04:26:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-01 04:25 UTC	Down	BUY	17	60¢	$10	0x5c1452…
10-01 04:25:41	mlb chc sd 2026 09 30	San Diego Padres	SELL	13	95¢	$12	0xa39e1a…
10-01 02:57:29	Golden State Valkyries vs. Dallas Wings	Golden State Valkyries	BUY	17	60¢	$10	0x997de2…
10-01 02:54:24	mlb chc sd 2026 09 30	San Diego Padres	BUY	13	77¢	$10	0x266042…
10-01 02:50:27	wnba gsv dal 2026 09 30	Golden State Valkyries	BUY	26	76¢	$20	0x3895fa…
10-01 01:24:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-01 01:25 UTC	Down	BUY	49	61¢	$30	0x45910d…
10-01 01:22:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-01 01:20 UTC	Down	BUY	20	74¢	$15	0xe1904b…
10-01 01:20:29	wnba atl wsh 2026 09 30	Atlanta Dream	SELL	77	100¢	$77	0x2edae0…
10-01 00:52:29	wnba atl wsh 2026 09 30	Atlanta Dream	BUY	77	89¢	$69	0xab0059…
09-30 14:31:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 14:30 UTC	Down	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0xe60a8f…
09-30 14:30:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 14:30 UTC	Down	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xff2ac7…
09-30 14:30:44	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 14:30 UTC	Down	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x07b997…
09-30 14:27:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 14:25 UTC	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xfee67b…
09-30 14:27:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 14:25 UTC	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xa56f98…
09-30 14:16:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 14:15 UTC	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xaeb445…
09-30 03:23:56	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 03:25 UTC	Up	BUY	29	51¢	$15	0x91220b…
09-30 03:20:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 03:20 UTC	Up	BUY	16	64¢	$10	0x08f43b…
09-30 02:11:24	wnba min nyl 2026 09 29	New York Liberty	BUY	45	87¢	$39	0x61deff…
09-29 18:05:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 18:05 UTC	Up	BUY	33	60¢	$20	0x01f3c6…
09-29 16:54:27	Will The Odyssey win Best Makeup and Hairstyling at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	SELL	8	25¢	$2	0xee1715…
09-29 16:54:26	will nathan mackinnon record 100 points	No	SELL	15	8¢	$1	0x6c7b44…
09-29 04:21:32	will nathan mackinnon record 100 points	No	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0x86b142…
09-29 04:21:32	will connor mcdavid record 100 points	No	SELL	20	2¢	$0	0x068bbe…
09-29 04:19:39	Will Nathan MacKinnon record 100+ points?	No	BUY	20	16¢	$3	0x1df61b…
09-29 04:19:35	Will Connor McDavid record 100+ points?	No	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0x086030…
09-28 05:52:48	Will the CAQ win fewer than 5 seats in the National Assembly of Quebec in this election?	Yes	SELL	20	30¢	$6	0xa494b3…
09-28 05:50:51	Will the CAQ win fewer than 5 seats in the National Assembly of Quebec in this election?	Yes	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0xbb35cf…
09-28 03:32:57	Will The Odyssey win Best Makeup and Hairstyling at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0x56dea5…
09-28 02:07:15	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $780 in September?	No	SELL	20	83¢	$17	0x213cff…
09-28 01:29:35	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $780 in September?	No	BUY	20	82¢	$16	0x280138…
09-28 00:30:21	Will US GDP growth in 2026 be greater than 2.5%?	Yes	SELL	20	27¢	$5	0xe24e13…
09-27 23:59:56	Will Nolo peak at Category 5?	Yes	SELL	20	38¢	$8	0xa36626…
09-27 23:53:23	Will Nolo peak at Category 5?	Yes	BUY	20	33¢	$7	0xa4d4eb…
09-27 22:33:20	Will US GDP growth in 2026 be greater than 2.5%?	Yes	BUY	20	27¢	$5	0xd2949a…
07-31 21:28:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-31 21:30 UTC	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x5be33b…
07-31 21:28:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-31 21:30 UTC	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xe192e2…
07-31 21:28:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-31 21:30 UTC	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xa3b8b3…
07-31 21:27:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-31 21:25 UTC	Up	SELL	17	4¢	$1	0xa89ffd…
07-31 21:26:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-31 21:25 UTC	Up	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0x47a833…
07-31 21:23:14	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-31 21:20 UTC	Down	SELL	11	11¢	$1	0x043a51…
07-31 21:21:50	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-31 21:20 UTC	Down	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x90bca1…
07-31 21:17:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-31 21:15 UTC	Down	BUY	12	24¢	$3	0xe28b4e…
07-31 04:00:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-31 04:00 UTC	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x6594c7…
07-31 04:00:38	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-31 04:00 UTC	Down	BUY	4	57¢	$2	0xdb1a70…
07-31 03:59:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-31 04:00 UTC	Down	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x5d5ba3…
07-31 03:56:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-31 03:55 UTC	Up	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x49fafc…
07-31 03:52:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-31 03:50 UTC	Up	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xee3c88…
07-31 03:47:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-31 03:45 UTC	Down	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0x9614f4…
07-31 03:47:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-31 03:45 UTC	Down	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x647433…
07-31 03:46:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-31 03:45 UTC	Down	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x4c5944…
07-31 03:40:44	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-31 03:40 UTC	Down	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0x7be68c…
07-31 03:37:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-31 03:35 UTC	Down	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x88f842…
07-31 03:37:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-31 03:35 UTC	Down	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x32df48…
07-31 03:36:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-31 03:35 UTC	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x897870…
07-31 03:35:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-31 03:35 UTC	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xbf11ba…
07-31 03:33:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-31 03:30 UTC	Down	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x8fc035…
07-31 03:32:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-31 03:30 UTC	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x15cb89…
07-31 03:31:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-31 03:30 UTC	Down	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xfb2e81…
07-31 03:30:50	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-31 03:30 UTC	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xc5f7f1…
07-31 03:29:08	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-31 03:25 UTC	Down	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0xbaf1df…
07-31 03:27:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-31 03:25 UTC	Down	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x47b7f5…
07-31 03:27:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-31 03:25 UTC	Down	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x106e5e…
07-31 03:26:26	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-31 03:25 UTC	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xe07cf2…
07-31 03:26:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-31 03:25 UTC	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xf978af…
07-31 03:26:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-31 03:25 UTC	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xb15fb7…
07-31 03:26:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-31 03:25 UTC	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x3a97e9…
07-31 03:22:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-31 03:20 UTC	Down	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x6e4ab2…
07-31 03:15:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-31 03:10 UTC	Up	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0xe1563f…
07-31 03:13:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-31 03:10 UTC	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xd265b1…
07-31 03:13:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-31 03:10 UTC	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x68c8ba…
07-31 03:11:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-31 03:10 UTC	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x7a638f…
07-31 03:09:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0x741984…
07-31 03:01:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-31 03:00 UTC	Down	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0xca97a2…
07-31 03:00:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-31 02:55 UTC	Down	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x208142…
07-31 02:59:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-31 02:55 UTC	Down	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x189954…
07-31 02:59:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-31 02:55 UTC	Down	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x38e5aa…
07-31 02:59:38	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-31 02:55 UTC	Down	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xc2c40c…
07-31 02:59:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-31 02:55 UTC	Down	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x3402c0…
07-25 17:53:43	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-25 17:45 UTC	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x45a5e9…
07-25 17:35:33	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-25 17:30 UTC	Up	SELL	4	73¢	$3	0x4fb3fb…
07-25 17:33:46	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-25 17:30 UTC	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x5997cf…
07-25 17:33:36	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-25 17:30 UTC	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x30ebd9…
07-25 04:34:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-25 04:30 UTC	Down	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x7b7583…
07-25 04:34:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-25 04:30 UTC	Down	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xb2bdb7…
07-25 04:34:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-25 04:30 UTC	Down	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xe2bef3…
07-25 04:34:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-25 04:30 UTC	Down	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xf10647…
07-25 04:34:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-25 04:30 UTC	Down	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xf8c0a7…
07-25 04:34:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-25 04:30 UTC	Down	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x6df851…