Near-Base — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$20

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

3.4%

Resolved

Trades

182

lifetime

Volume

$321

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-18

last 05-19 15:52

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

79% 11% $-20

Other

13% — —

Politics

7% — —

Sports

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

10 active days in 12wk • peak 41 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (5) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	3	$55	54	30	+24	open	—	04-24 22:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	5	$25	24	16	+8	Up	$-5	05-05 22:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	4	$15	19	8	+11	Down	$-5	05-05 22:19
btc updown 5m 1776804600	9	$11	12	11	+0	open	—	04-21 20:55
btc updown 5m 1776991500	2	$9	23	0	+23	open	—	04-24 00:45
btc updown 5m 1776804300	7	$9	10	9	+0	open	—	04-21 20:50
btc updown 5m 1776548700	3	$8	4	4	+0	open	—	04-18 21:50
btc updown 5m 1776989700	4	$8	8	8	+0	open	—	04-24 00:20
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	2	$8	200	200	+0	open	—	05-19 15:52
btc updown 5m 1776799800	4	$7	5	5	+0	open	—	04-21 19:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	2	$6	4	4	+0	open	—	04-24 22:36
btc updown 5m 1776799500	5	$5	7	4	+3	open	—	04-21 19:28
highest temperature in seoul on april 23 2026 22c	3	$5	3	3	+0	open	—	04-23 07:59
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	1	$5	53	0	+53	Up	$-5	05-05 22:28
btc updown 5m 1776989400	1	$5	10	0	+10	open	—	04-24 00:09
israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 18 2026	4	$5	4,500	0	+4,500	open	—	04-19 22:05
highest temperature in seoul on april 24 2026 20c	4	$5	42	1	+41	open	—	04-24 02:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	3	$4	6	2	+4	Down	$-1	05-06 19:50
btc updown 5m 1776807000	4	$4	4	4	+0	open	—	04-21 21:34
btc updown 5m 1776549000	2	$4	4	3	+0	open	—	04-18 21:55
btc updown 5m 1776543900	4	$4	5	5	+0	open	—	04-18 20:26
btc updown 5m 1776540600	4	$4	4	4	+0	open	—	04-18 19:35
nba atl nyk 2026 04 18	4	$4	5	5	+0	open	—	04-18 23:53
btc updown 5m 1776988500	4	$4	8	0	+8	open	—	04-23 23:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	2	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	05-16 21:55
bitcoin up or down april 21 2026 5pm et	4	$4	4	4	+0	open	—	04-21 21:29
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	3	$4	11	11	+0	open	—	04-18 22:31
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	3	$4	3	2	+2	Down	$-0	05-05 22:40
us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	4	$3	501	501	+0	open	—	04-24 01:16
eth updown 5m 1776792000	3	$3	4	1	+3	open	—	04-21 17:21

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-19 15:52:57	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	200	1¢	$3	0xe1910a…
05-16 21:59:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x3aecc9…
05-16 21:55:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x51018a…
05-16 21:55:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x3fc278…
05-16 21:55:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xc813fc…
05-16 21:54:29	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	200	2¢	$5	0x5e69d3…
05-07 14:20:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0xb8d8d1…
05-07 14:18:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x2d2ed1…
05-06 19:50:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$1	0x939faa…
05-06 19:49:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xa608bf…
05-06 19:47:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0x0fae75…
05-05 22:40:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xcbf9c4…
05-05 22:37:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x92119e…
05-05 22:36:26	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x5e1688…
05-05 22:35:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xcfb995…
05-05 22:35:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x151ef1…
05-05 22:33:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	BUY	243	0¢	$1	0xf6520e…
05-05 22:28:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	53	9¢	$5	0x5fa44f…
05-05 22:25:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0xa1e6ea…
05-05 22:24:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0x3bf213…
05-05 22:22:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	SELL	9	33¢	$3	0x728be2…
05-05 22:20:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x9c9ccd…
05-05 22:20:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0xcbc104…
05-05 22:19:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	SELL	8	62¢	$5	0x2e68d2…
05-05 22:19:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x6a6395…
05-05 22:19:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	1	48¢	$1	0x239c7d…
05-05 22:19:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0xa24ff6…
04-24 22:53:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	BUY	23	81¢	$19	0x0e8cc1…
04-24 22:52:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	SELL	30	65¢	$19	0xf20677…
04-24 22:51:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	BUY	31	54¢	$17	0x9ea7bc…
04-24 22:47:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	BUY	21	12¢	$2	0x7a8e65…
04-24 22:40:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	7	37¢	$2	0x238b0a…
04-24 22:36:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	BUY	6	42¢	$2	0x84e939…
04-24 22:36:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0xcdd1d3…
04-24 22:31:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	BUY	4	68¢	$2	0x35d930…
04-24 02:54:28	highest temperature in taipei on april 24 2026 24corhigher	Yes	BUY	97	3¢	$3	0xc1719e…
04-24 02:36:34	highest temperature in seoul on april 24 2026 21corhigher	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xd61e72…
04-24 02:36:06	highest temperature in seoul on april 24 2026 20c	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xb10b1b…
04-24 02:04:36	highest temperature in seoul on april 24 2026 20c	Yes	BUY	30	5¢	$2	0x69d438…
04-24 02:01:42	highest temperature in seoul on april 24 2026 19c	Yes	BUY	106	1¢	$1	0x660eb7…
04-24 02:01:16	highest temperature in seoul on april 24 2026 21corhigher	No	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x6f3c50…
04-24 02:01:10	highest temperature in seoul on april 24 2026 20c	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xca1998…
04-24 01:59:50	highest temperature in seoul on april 24 2026 19c	Yes	SELL	46	0¢	$0	0x553af7…
04-24 01:17:36	highest temperature in seoul on april 24 2026 18c	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0x4e5281…
04-24 01:16:54	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	Yes	SELL	500	0¢	$0	0x0d4303…
04-24 01:16:52	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x7e7356…
04-24 00:58:52	highest temperature in seoul on april 24 2026 19c	Yes	BUY	49	2¢	$1	0x742dad…
04-24 00:58:40	highest temperature in seoul on april 24 2026 20c	Yes	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x4eea74…
04-24 00:58:38	highest temperature in seoul on april 24 2026 21corhigher	Yes	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xa2a31f…
04-24 00:45:54	btc updown 5m 1776991500	Down	BUY	15	26¢	$4	0x50d663…
04-24 00:45:52	btc updown 5m 1776991500	Up	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0x8390a3…
04-24 00:34:06	sol updown 5m 1776990600	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x22d081…
04-24 00:27:30	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x81db51…
04-24 00:27:26	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0x379281…
04-24 00:22:06	btc updown 5m 1776990000	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xd6a8bf…
04-24 00:21:24	btc updown 5m 1776990000	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x61ae22…
04-24 00:20:28	btc updown 5m 1776989700	Up	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x5f6ffd…
04-24 00:19:50	btc updown 5m 1776989700	Down	SELL	4	1¢	$0	0xdb0e1a…
04-24 00:16:04	btc updown 5m 1776989700	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x373e8c…
04-24 00:15:56	btc updown 5m 1776989700	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x76ab88…
04-24 00:09:36	btc updown 5m 1776989400	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x1109d8…
04-23 23:59:52	btc updown 5m 1776988500	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x0d64fe…
04-23 23:57:48	btc updown 5m 1776988500	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x748cd8…
04-23 23:57:42	btc updown 5m 1776988500	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x581278…
04-23 23:55:04	btc updown 5m 1776988200	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x821f5c…
04-23 23:52:34	btc updown 5m 1776988500	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x89d7fc…
04-23 23:51:00	btc updown 5m 1776988200	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x654835…
04-23 10:34:36	Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xd6edc5…
04-23 10:34:18	Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xaf4784…
04-23 10:26:58	ethereum above 2200 on april 23	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xc25ec2…
04-23 10:26:40	ethereum above 2300 on april 23	Yes	SELL	1	64¢	$1	0x8266c4…
04-23 10:10:48	ethereum above 2400 on april 23	Yes	SELL	9	2¢	$0	0x759edb…
04-23 10:09:44	ethereum above 2500 on april 23	Yes	SELL	103	0¢	$1	0x70a0fa…
04-23 08:04:58	ethereum above 2200 on april 23	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xb37547…
04-23 08:03:32	ethereum above 2300 on april 23	Yes	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x532c37…
04-23 08:03:20	ethereum above 2400 on april 23	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xf13f2b…
04-23 08:03:00	ethereum above 2500 on april 23	Yes	BUY	111	1¢	$1	0xb2e8cf…
04-23 08:02:54	ethereum above 2600 on april 23	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0x86063e…
04-23 08:02:48	ethereum above 2700 on april 23	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xc9825d…
04-23 08:02:46	ethereum above 2800 on april 23	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x16a50e…
04-23 08:00:02	lowest temperature in seoul on april 23 2026 11c	Yes	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xa53759…
04-23 07:59:56	highest temperature in seoul on april 23 2026 22c	Yes	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x9a4a64…
04-23 07:45:32	highest temperature in london on april 23 2026 17c	Yes	SELL	2	44¢	$1	0xef1b16…
04-23 07:44:48	highest temperature in london on april 23 2026 19c	Yes	SELL	18	1¢	$0	0xcd4fb6…
04-23 07:44:36	highest temperature in london on april 23 2026 18c	Yes	SELL	3	36¢	$1	0xdb44a9…
04-23 06:38:18	highest temperature in seoul on april 23 2026 22c	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x15c46c…
04-23 04:56:08	highest temperature in london on april 23 2026 19c	Yes	BUY	19	5¢	$1	0x79c82c…
04-23 04:56:02	highest temperature in london on april 23 2026 18c	Yes	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xa2ce7e…
04-23 04:55:50	highest temperature in london on april 23 2026 17c	Yes	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xe13d36…
04-23 04:53:46	lowest temperature in seoul on april 23 2026 11c	Yes	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xd89071…
04-23 04:36:10	highest temperature in seoul on april 23 2026 23corhigher	Yes	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x6defe6…
04-23 04:35:58	highest temperature in seoul on april 23 2026 22c	Yes	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xfc16bb…
04-23 04:35:38	highest temperature in seoul on april 23 2026 21c	Yes	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x159200…
04-23 04:18:26	highest temperature in seoul on april 23 2026 20c	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x599aac…
04-23 04:16:34	highest temperature in miami on april 22 2026 80 81f	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xbf4b48…
04-23 04:05:14	will bitcoin dip to 77k on april 22	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x7837b1…
04-23 04:03:38	btc updown 5m 1776916800	Down	SELL	1	79¢	$1	0x5c1981…
04-23 04:01:24	btc updown 5m 1776916800	Down	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x43d3c4…
04-23 03:50:00	will bitcoin dip to 77k on april 22	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xef1f2d…
04-23 03:41:04	will bitcoin reach 80k on april 22	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xbbb445…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6	51	$21.2K	708	05-16 22:00
(anonymous) 0x424e…263b	40	$11.4K	2,031	05-16 21:59
(anonymous) 0x89b5…8beb	38	$23.2K	1,342	05-16 21:55
(anonymous) 0xba67…4727	38	$10.5K	1,915	05-16 21:59
(anonymous) 0x38e5…8a4a	38	$8.54K	3,611	05-16 21:59
(anonymous) 0x8852…c569	38	$6.69K	686	05-16 21:59
(anonymous) 0xd901…8e14	37	$8.97K	2,780	05-16 21:59
(anonymous) 0x48ac…4a7e	37	$8.77K	2,730	05-16 21:59