Shrill-Guilt — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$322

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

47.5%

Resolved

167

Trades

753

lifetime

Volume

$3.37K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-23

last 05-27 23:32

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 11 days

Categories

Crypto

99% 34% -$281

Other

1% 0% -$21

Politics

1% 0% -$20

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-05-27).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	10	$144	187	164	+23	Up	+$92	04-27 21:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	4	$117	110	103	+7	Down	+$94	04-27 22:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	6	$94	76	72	+4	Down	+$52	04-27 22:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	6	$87	64	61	+3	Up	+$37	04-27 23:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	5	$85	73	69	+4	Up	+$55	04-28 00:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	6	$78	92	61	+31	Down	+$46	04-28 00:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	2	$77	59	56	+3	Down	+$37	04-28 01:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	2	$73	134	0	+134	Down	-$73	04-24 21:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	5	$71	158	48	+110	Up	+$22	04-24 20:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	5	$59	120	44	+76	Up	+$21	04-27 22:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-26 22:05 UTC	4	$49	67	34	+34	Down	+$17	03-26 22:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-27 20:10 UTC	6	$47	34	33	+0	Down	+$20	03-27 20:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	8	$45	142	31	+111	Down	+$15	05-27 22:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	7	$42	96	22	+73	Down	-$12	04-28 00:35
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-26 22:30 UTC	3	$39	28	27	+0	Up	+$15	03-26 22:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	4	$38	114	28	+86	Up	+$18	04-27 23:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	4	$37	92	23	+69	Down	+$7	04-27 21:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-26 23:05 UTC	1	$35	67	0	+67	Down	-$35	03-26 23:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	3	$35	31	29	+2	Up	+$24	04-27 21:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	8	$34	226	0	+226	Down	-$34	04-24 21:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	6	$34	160	12	+148	Down	-$15	04-27 21:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	8	$33	142	0	+142	Down	-$33	04-28 00:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	8	$32	386	0	+386	Up	-$32	04-27 23:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	13	$31	360	0	+360	Down	-$31	04-27 23:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	7	$31	164	0	+164	Down	-$31	04-28 01:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	6	$31	248	12	+236	Down	-$11	05-27 22:58
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-24 00:00 UTC	2	$31	21	21	+0	Up	+$11	03-24 00:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	7	$29	203	20	+183	Up	+$9	05-27 22:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	8	$29	248	0	+248	Up	-$29	04-27 23:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-26 22:50 UTC	1	$29	54	0	+54	Up	+$25	03-26 22:50

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-27 23:32:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Down	BUY	125	8¢	$10	0x56976a…
05-27 23:32:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Down	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xb5d8f8…
05-27 23:32:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Down	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x6d12a9…
05-27 23:31:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Down	BUY	9	36¢	$3	0xa071c4…
05-27 23:29:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x38cecd…
05-27 23:29:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x8cf443…
05-27 23:28:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x16b6fe…
05-27 23:27:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xbbc4a8…
05-27 23:27:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0xe27e74…
05-27 23:27:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x8ade3c…
05-27 23:26:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xfdbaad…
05-27 23:25:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0x017562…
05-27 23:24:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x6a42dd…
05-27 23:22:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xbcad3a…
05-27 23:22:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Up	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x72a5ff…
05-27 23:21:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Up	BUY	66	8¢	$5	0x1db27f…
05-27 23:21:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Up	BUY	45	11¢	$5	0x8419d0…
05-27 23:19:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	BUY	85	1¢	$1	0xd13ee5…
05-27 23:18:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xe69b7b…
05-27 23:18:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x35d0f7…
05-27 23:17:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x78b2ff…
05-27 23:17:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x818b6f…
05-27 23:17:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x3f52d5…
05-27 23:16:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	BUY	33	15¢	$5	0x04c8a2…
05-27 23:15:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0xfccca7…
05-27 23:15:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x6c5bfb…
05-27 23:14:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	SELL	11	97¢	$11	0xa09694…
05-27 23:14:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	120	4¢	$5	0x8ca818…
05-27 23:10:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0x7773a4…
05-27 23:09:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Up	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x6b7690…
05-27 23:09:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Up	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x1e17ae…
05-27 23:09:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Up	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x3c7589…
05-27 23:08:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x0e970f…
05-27 23:08:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xa70cb6…
05-27 23:07:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x1a4f00…
05-27 23:07:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Up	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xf843f7…
05-27 23:06:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x9a6968…
05-27 23:06:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Up	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0xcc1121…
05-27 23:05:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Up	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xd7348b…
05-27 23:05:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xdbe2f1…
05-27 23:04:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x88dc4e…
05-27 23:04:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0xeb9d60…
05-27 23:03:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x94a6b0…
05-27 23:03:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	SELL	13	95¢	$12	0x64a13d…
05-27 23:00:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0x17021d…
05-27 22:58:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x8e93db…
05-27 22:58:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	71	7¢	$5	0x60d580…
05-27 22:56:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	31	16¢	$5	0xbbd94b…
05-27 22:56:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	SELL	12	81¢	$10	0xa90ab4…
05-27 22:56:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	33	15¢	$5	0xfe455b…
05-27 22:55:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0xb2216b…
05-27 22:54:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	BUY	31	3¢	$1	0x8a89c9…
05-27 22:54:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xc41f8d…
05-27 22:54:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x1bb351…
05-27 22:53:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x23cd8c…
05-27 22:53:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x6de51f…
05-27 22:52:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x1f1b40…
05-27 22:52:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x396d86…
05-27 22:51:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xd27fcf…
05-27 22:50:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x25cd52…
05-27 22:49:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x06d776…
05-27 22:48:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x665055…
05-27 22:48:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xa9b85b…
05-27 22:48:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xce1d88…
05-27 22:48:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xaf76c8…
05-27 22:47:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xf2d270…
05-27 22:47:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x39ed90…
05-27 22:47:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x9ec8b4…
05-27 22:47:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x001d7d…
05-27 22:45:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xcb4a18…
05-27 22:44:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x94404e…
05-27 22:43:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x989ef9…
05-27 22:43:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x430def…
05-27 22:43:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x2ddb75…
05-27 22:43:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xa6f871…
05-27 22:42:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x613d40…
05-27 22:42:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x0188c0…
05-27 22:41:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x90a87f…
05-27 22:41:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xee078d…
05-27 22:40:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xb83f11…
05-27 22:39:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x99d710…
05-27 22:39:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x010a8f…
05-27 22:39:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x984df5…
05-27 22:39:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xf91368…
05-27 22:38:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x731b4f…
05-27 22:35:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xcbf104…
05-27 22:34:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0xc81e43…
05-27 22:33:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x5f903c…
05-27 22:32:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xf5d227…
05-27 22:31:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x8f19cb…
05-27 22:31:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xda35b7…
05-27 22:30:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0xb9a0ec…
05-27 22:30:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x4ea526…
05-27 22:29:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xa30e7f…
05-27 22:28:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x322669…
05-27 22:28:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x63acce…
05-27 22:27:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x23cdd2…
05-27 22:27:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x07bac6…
05-27 22:27:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x70b67a…
05-27 22:26:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x6c4a26…