Poised-Flan — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$3

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

51.6%

Resolved

Trades

123

lifetime

Volume

$1.04K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-30

last 05-08 21:46

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 38% $-3

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

6 active days in 12wk • peak 41 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (14) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	4	$51	41	41	+0	open	—	05-03 14:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	5	$50	65	35	+30	Up	$-8	05-08 14:09
Solana Up or Down - May 8, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	4	$49	36	36	+0	Down	+$9	05-08 17:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	2	$48	40	40	+0	Down	+$28	05-08 05:19
XRP Up or Down - May 3, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	4	$33	23	23	+0	open	—	05-03 13:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	3	$31	62	19	+43	Up	$-18	05-08 18:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	2	$29	18	18	+0	Down	+$6	05-04 21:59
Solana Up or Down - May 3, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	2	$29	22	22	+0	open	—	05-03 13:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	2	$28	19	19	+0	open	—	05-01 13:38
Solana Up or Down - May 2, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	2	$28	18	18	+0	open	—	05-03 03:10
XRP Up or Down - May 4, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	2	$27	38	38	+0	Down	$-27	05-04 22:17
Ethereum Up or Down - April 30, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	3	$27	35	21	+14	open	—	04-30 23:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	2	$27	18	18	+0	Down	+$6	05-04 22:08
XRP Up or Down - May 2, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	2	$25	18	18	+0	open	—	05-03 03:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	4	$25	27	27	+0	Up	$-3	05-08 05:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	2	$25	17	17	+0	open	—	05-01 14:10
Solana Up or Down - May 2, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	2	$25	25	25	+0	open	—	05-03 03:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	2	$24	71	71	+0	Down	+$14	05-08 00:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	2	$24	15	15	+0	Up	+$6	05-04 21:49
Solana Up or Down - May 3, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	2	$23	17	17	+0	open	—	05-03 18:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	3	$21	14	14	+0	open	—	05-03 13:48
XRP Up or Down - May 1, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	2	$18	10	10	+0	open	—	05-01 13:50
Solana Up or Down - April 30, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	2	$17	12	12	+0	open	—	04-30 21:54
XRP Up or Down - May 7, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	2	$16	11	11	+0	Down	+$6	05-08 00:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	4	$16	23	23	+0	Up	$-1	05-04 22:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	2	$15	11	11	+0	open	—	05-03 03:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	3	$14	24	17	+8	Up	+$3	05-08 05:29
Ethereum Up or Down - April 30, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	2	$14	10	10	+0	open	—	04-30 22:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	3	$13	28	13	+16	Up	$-7	05-08 13:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	2	$12	20	20	+0	open	—	05-03 13:57

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-08 21:46:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0x495ade…
05-08 18:17:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	BUY	43	33¢	$14	0x4301c1…
05-08 18:16:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	SELL	19	35¢	$7	0x6f95a3…
05-08 18:15:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0x993a30…
05-08 17:27:47	Solana Up or Down - May 8, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	SELL	16	1¢	$0	0x2c0d9e…
05-08 17:26:48	Solana Up or Down - May 8, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	16	13¢	$2	0x5765c0…
05-08 17:24:33	Solana Up or Down - May 8, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	SELL	15	79¢	$12	0x68098c…
05-08 17:24:12	Solana Up or Down - May 8, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0xb7c8b5…
05-08 17:23:51	Solana Up or Down - May 8, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	SELL	20	84¢	$17	0x0c3a18…
05-08 17:22:59	Solana Up or Down - May 8, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x1732df…
05-08 17:21:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	SELL	15	24¢	$4	0x69a5a2…
05-08 17:20:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0x769dcc…
05-08 17:18:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xdecb15…
05-08 14:09:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0x267320…
05-08 14:07:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	SELL	15	66¢	$10	0xd02888…
05-08 14:07:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	15	61¢	$9	0x568b1e…
05-08 14:05:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	SELL	20	56¢	$11	0x2b41ab…
05-08 14:04:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x85f089…
05-08 13:58:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0xfa3102…
05-08 13:58:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	SELL	13	27¢	$3	0x185901…
05-08 13:56:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0xc727fa…
05-08 05:31:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	SELL	26	8¢	$2	0x0ec21a…
05-08 05:30:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0x886c15…
05-08 05:29:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	8	8¢	$1	0x57cd22…
05-08 05:28:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Down	SELL	17	51¢	$9	0x0918f1…
05-08 05:25:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0xf70106…
05-08 05:23:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Down	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0x6ecde8…
05-08 05:21:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Down	BUY	10	60¢	$6	0x85fddc…
05-08 05:19:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Down	SELL	40	94¢	$38	0xb649bc…
05-08 05:17:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Down	BUY	40	25¢	$10	0x08a4fb…
05-08 05:13:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Down	SELL	13	49¢	$7	0x1300f5…
05-08 05:12:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Up	SELL	13	34¢	$5	0x9bd137…
05-08 05:11:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	13	75¢	$10	0xc59f88…
05-08 05:10:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	13	30¢	$4	0xb63a81…
05-08 05:08:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Up	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0x68ba08…
05-08 04:59:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	SELL	15	31¢	$5	0xf7a61d…
05-08 04:58:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0xe485e7…
05-08 00:45:31	XRP Up or Down - May 7, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0x030aa7…
05-08 00:44:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Up	SELL	71	27¢	$19	0xaab50a…
05-08 00:44:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	71	7¢	$5	0xc9cfad…
05-08 00:43:25	XRP Up or Down - May 7, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0x656f03…
05-04 22:17:58	XRP Up or Down - May 4, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	SELL	38	1¢	$0	0x42affa…
05-04 22:16:14	XRP Up or Down - May 4, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	38	71¢	$27	0x144477…
05-04 22:14:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	SELL	5	13¢	$1	0x4c9790…
05-04 22:13:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x74ca2d…
05-04 22:12:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	SELL	18	38¢	$7	0xd6c914…
05-04 22:11:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	18	42¢	$8	0xd469a1…
05-04 22:08:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	SELL	18	90¢	$16	0x78d2ef…
05-04 22:05:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	18	59¢	$11	0xeda963…
05-04 21:59:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	SELL	18	98¢	$18	0x25a1bb…
05-04 21:58:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	18	63¢	$11	0xdb830b…
05-04 21:53:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	BUY	18	49¢	$9	0xf98621…
05-04 21:53:40	Solana Up or Down - May 4, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	SELL	15	8¢	$1	0xae6d6a…
05-04 21:51:06	Solana Up or Down - May 4, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	BUY	15	59¢	$9	0xe6b3e6…
05-04 21:49:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0xbe139e…
05-04 21:47:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	15	61¢	$9	0xa85b3f…
05-03 18:15:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	BUY	17	63¢	$11	0x4c2428…
05-03 18:13:12	Solana Up or Down - May 3, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	SELL	17	69¢	$12	0x512682…
05-03 18:11:26	Solana Up or Down - May 3, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	17	63¢	$11	0x0ef4b3…
05-03 18:08:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	BUY	21	42¢	$9	0xa9765e…
05-03 18:02:32	Solana Up or Down - May 3, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	BUY	14	63¢	$9	0x0862fb…
05-03 14:18:50	Solana Up or Down - May 3, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	11	84¢	$9	0x1f305e…
05-03 14:17:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	44	23¢	$10	0x3ccd1c…
05-03 14:16:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	SELL	19	99¢	$18	0x4d33b1…
05-03 14:14:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0x4ad0fb…
05-03 14:14:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	SELL	23	55¢	$12	0x03109c…
05-03 14:10:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0x638c64…
05-03 14:09:28	Solana Up or Down - May 3, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	SELL	16	10¢	$2	0xb8f638…
05-03 14:08:14	Solana Up or Down - May 3, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	16	64¢	$10	0x862766…
05-03 13:57:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	SELL	20	11¢	$2	0x8b13db…
05-03 13:53:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x2bdd17…
05-03 13:48:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	SELL	9	79¢	$7	0xcbc01b…
05-03 13:48:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	SELL	5	70¢	$4	0xde9e64…
05-03 13:47:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	14	72¢	$10	0xc62444…
05-03 13:47:24	Solana Up or Down - May 3, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	SELL	22	86¢	$19	0x4441b3…
05-03 13:46:40	Solana Up or Down - May 3, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	22	46¢	$10	0xbbafa2…
05-03 13:42:52	XRP Up or Down - May 3, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	SELL	16	94¢	$15	0x231b4d…
05-03 13:41:52	XRP Up or Down - May 3, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	16	64¢	$10	0xa5fcd7…
05-03 13:41:36	XRP Up or Down - May 3, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	SELL	7	53¢	$4	0x94155d…
05-03 13:41:32	XRP Up or Down - May 3, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	7	54¢	$4	0xb9cdbc…
05-03 03:41:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	11	38¢	$4	0x3e5488…
05-03 03:37:46	Solana Up or Down - May 2, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Up	BUY	18	54¢	$10	0x45ea8d…
05-03 03:29:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0x082e91…
05-03 03:26:14	Ethereum Up or Down - May 2, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0x243974…
05-03 03:24:20	Solana Up or Down - May 2, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Down	SELL	25	77¢	$20	0x34a032…
05-03 03:22:32	Solana Up or Down - May 2, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Down	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0xaade7a…
05-03 03:17:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Down	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0xf8e29c…
05-03 03:13:18	XRP Up or Down - May 2, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Down	SELL	18	85¢	$15	0x58fe16…
05-03 03:11:24	XRP Up or Down - May 2, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0xd989f1…
05-03 03:10:08	Solana Up or Down - May 2, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Up	SELL	18	98¢	$18	0xfd407f…
05-03 03:08:10	Solana Up or Down - May 2, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Up	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0xd92180…
05-03 03:04:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Down	SELL	11	96¢	$10	0x69dd56…
05-03 03:02:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Down	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0xdb4438…
05-02 19:49:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	13	77¢	$10	0xe11061…
05-01 14:10:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	SELL	17	99¢	$17	0x08a3fd…
05-01 14:07:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	17	47¢	$8	0xc7cdbb…
05-01 13:57:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0x57107b…
05-01 13:50:40	XRP Up or Down - May 1, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xe7a5ca…
05-01 13:49:06	XRP Up or Down - May 1, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	10	77¢	$8	0xd4218d…
05-01 13:40:50	Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	16	64¢	$10	0x935c05…