Likely-Suspension — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$0

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

52.1%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$159

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

3 positions

First seen

2026-03-30

last 08-17 11:27

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 27 days

Categories

Other

48% 17% -$22

Politics

30% 67% +$25

Sports

18% 29% -$5

Tech

2% 0% -$2

Crypto

1% 100% +$3

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
situational awareness announces fund wind down by december 31 2026 20260730183020992	Yes	+45	$5	11¢	$5	+$0	08-02 20:36
gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	No	+3	$2	96¢	$3	+$1	08-02 20:37
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	No	+3	$2	30¢	$1	-$1	08-17 11:27

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	2	$21	17	17	+0	No	+$13	05-21 18:31
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	1	$10	11	0	+11	No	+$1	08-02 20:39
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	1	$10	34	0	+34	Yes	-$10	03-30 10:49
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$9	12	12	+0	Yes	+$5	07-15 12:03
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$6	17	17	+0	No	+$0	07-15 12:04
ODI Series England vs. New Zealand, Women: England vs New Zealand	1	$5	10	0	+10	New Zealand	+$5	05-16 15:41
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-19?	1	$5	9	0	+9	No	-$5	05-15 11:55
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?	1	$5	17	0	+17	Yes	-$5	05-15 12:33
Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?	1	$5	8	0	+8	Yes	+$3	05-15 12:30
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	1	$5	19	0	+19	No	+$14	04-04 17:25
situational awareness announces fund wind down by december 31 2026 20260730183020992	1	$5	45	0	+45	open	—	08-02 20:36
Starmer out by May 31, 2026?	1	$5	42	0	+42	No	-$5	05-15 12:32
Chelsea FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 10.5 Total Corners	1	$5	9	0	+9	Under	-$5	05-16 14:03
Floyd Mayweather vs. Manny Pacquiao 2	1	$5	8	0	+8	cancelled	-$1	06-19 07:34
will starmer say thank 5 times during resignation 20260622052443837	1	$3	5	0	+5	Yes	+$2	06-22 08:24
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	1	$3	7	0	+7	No	+$4	06-19 07:35
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 22?	1	$2	9	0	+9	Yes	-$2	05-21 18:33
will netherlands reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134487	1	$2	5	0	+5	No	-$2	06-09 20:01
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another country?	2	$2	169	0	+169	No	-$2	03-30 10:54
Will the ECB announce no change at the June 2026 meeting?	1	$2	11	0	+11	No	-$2	05-15 12:31
Will Türkiye win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$2	6	0	+6	No	-$2	06-09 19:58
will wti reach 95 in august 2026	1	$2	6	0	+6	No	-$2	08-02 20:37
Israel strike on Yemen by April 30, 2026?	1	$2	9	0	+9	No	+$7	03-30 20:50
Will Bitcoin outperform NVIDIA (NVDA) in April 2026?	1	$2	5	0	+5	No	+$3	04-04 21:49
epl sun tot 2026 04 12 tot	1	$2	5	0	+5	No	-$2	04-03 07:46
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?	1	$2	8	0	+8	No	+$6	05-21 18:35
gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	1	$2	3	0	+3	open	—	08-02 20:37
will wti reach 90 in august 2026	1	$2	4	0	+4	No	-$2	08-02 20:37
No one announced as next James Bond?	1	$2	11	0	+11	Yes	-$2	05-21 18:36
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$2	57	0	+57	No	-$2	05-21 18:38

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-17 11:27:58	Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	No	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0x224b7f…
08-02 20:39:02	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0xaa34db…
08-02 20:37:47	gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	No	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0xe2e67c…
08-02 20:37:12	will wti reach 95 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0x7aebdb…
08-02 20:37:05	will wti reach 90 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x09a549…
08-02 20:36:29	situational awareness announces fund wind down by december 31 2026 20260730183020992	Yes	BUY	45	11¢	$5	0xb6b217…
07-15 12:04:10	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	17	20¢	$3	0x23bfb3…
07-15 12:03:47	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	12	58¢	$7	0xa6cdef…
07-05 20:17:49	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	17	17¢	$3	0xe814c2…
06-22 08:25:40	will starmer say defense during resignation 20260622052443845	No	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0x719e4b…
06-22 08:24:32	will starmer say thank 5 times during resignation 20260622052443837	Yes	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0xf68590…
06-19 07:36:58	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 31	Yes	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xdc10b3…
06-19 07:36:50	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by june 30	Yes	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x66d452…
06-19 07:35:59	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	7	44¢	$3	0x325f68…
06-19 07:35:13	Will Racing 92 win?	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x25b7c1…
06-19 07:35:04	Will the match end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x74cf07…
06-19 07:34:22	Floyd Mayweather vs. Manny Pacquiao 2	Mayweather	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0x7a30d1…
06-09 20:01:18	will netherlands reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134487	Yes	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xbd6f05…
06-09 19:59:49	Will Erling Haaland be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	29	7¢	$2	0xcc7c5f…
06-09 19:58:40	Will Türkiye win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0xaaff26…
06-01 07:47:19	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	Yes	BUY	26	4¢	$1	0xa5322c…
05-29 12:08:22	Will President Trump attend the NBA Finals?	No	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0xd10e1c…
05-29 12:07:58	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	27¢	$2	0x53c13f…
05-23 21:44:23	Glory in Giza: Oleksandr Usyk vs. Rico Verhoeven	Rico	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x681ffc…
05-21 18:38:46	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	12	17¢	$2	0x56c673…
05-21 18:38:30	Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	57	3¢	$2	0x35b83d…
05-21 18:36:33	No one announced as next James Bond?	No	BUY	11	18¢	$2	0xa8259b…
05-21 18:35:16	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?	No	BUY	8	26¢	$2	0xf59962…
05-21 18:33:15	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 22?	No	BUY	9	28¢	$2	0x5f7a0f…
05-21 18:31:42	Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0x557951…
05-16 15:41:23	ODI Series England vs. New Zealand, Women: England vs New Zealand	New Zealand	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x956010…
05-16 15:40:53	Will Chelsea FC vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x9b95b9…
05-16 14:03:24	Chelsea FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 10.5 Total Corners	Over	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x4acdf4…
05-15 12:33:14	Starmer out by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0x5c7f4f…
05-15 12:32:57	Starmer out by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	42	12¢	$5	0xf5f41a…
05-15 12:31:57	Will the ECB announce no change at the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	11	18¢	$2	0x419fc3…
05-15 12:30:49	Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?	Yes	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0xe0becc…
05-15 12:30:07	Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	17	23¢	$4	0x9b0bbd…
05-15 11:55:03	Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-19?	Yes	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0xa3273c…
04-21 13:28:50	will the virginia redistricting referendum pass	No	BUY	12	17¢	$2	0xb3cea1…
04-04 21:49:19	Will Bitcoin outperform NVIDIA (NVDA) in April 2026?	No	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x1c7c64…
04-04 17:25:21	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	No	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0xc8022f…
04-03 07:47:13	chess jzhu rvaish 2026 04 03 draw	Yes	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0xead42f…
04-03 07:46:05	epl sun tot 2026 04 12 tot	Yes	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0xf93480…
03-30 20:50:55	Israel strike on Yemen by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	9	23¢	$2	0xd288d7…
03-30 15:10:11	Cerebras IPO before 2027?	No	BUY	12	9¢	$1	0x6582e7…
03-30 10:55:06	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Saudi Arabia?	Yes	BUY	201	0¢	$1	0x02592b…
03-30 10:54:44	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another country?	Yes	BUY	83	1¢	$1	0x2b5733…
03-30 10:54:28	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another country?	Yes	BUY	85	1¢	$1	0x8fb71b…
03-30 10:49:16	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	34	29¢	$10	0xf900e4…