Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$242

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

72.8%

Resolved

Trades

1,120

lifetime

Volume

$12.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$11

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-17

last 03-03 19:47

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 35 days

Categories

Politics

41% 54% +$11

Other

32% 68% +$323

Crypto

26% 64% -$77

Sports

1% 60% -$16

Pop-Culture

0% 100% +$1

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-03-03).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	42	$1.7K	985	985	+0	Yes	+$95	03-03 19:47
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	582	$1.3K	918	915	+4	Yes	+$62	02-03 15:43
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	15	$612	314	314	+0	No	-$2	01-30 10:34
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-27 07:00 UTC	50	$587	309	291	+17	Up	+$5	01-27 07:12
ucl bog1 mnc1 2026 01 20 bog1	3	$522	922	922	+0	Yes	+$12	01-20 18:55
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-23 01:45 UTC	8	$415	282	278	+4	Up	+$103	01-23 01:56
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?	6	$392	221	221	+0	No	-$8	01-30 00:04
bitcoin up or down january 29 6pm et	3	$390	196	196	+0	Up	+$2	01-29 23:56
lal rso bar 2026 01 18 bar	5	$320	411	411	+0	No	-$7	01-18 20:32
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-23 02:30 UTC	4	$290	644	0	+644	Up	-$290	01-23 02:44
will the government shutdown last 7 days or more 188 769 669 728 992	10	$261	228	82	+145	No	+$26	02-01 05:37
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	7	$254	753	753	+0	No	+$114	02-28 18:13
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-29 22:45 UTC	15	$204	172	35	+137	Up	+$2	01-29 22:59
russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	8	$203	737	737	+0	No	+$3	01-27 06:55
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-27 10:30 UTC	1	$194	196	0	+196	Down	+$2	01-27 10:42
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-27 22:30 UTC	18	$191	100	93	+7	Up	-$1	01-27 22:42
will the government shutdown last 1 day or more	3	$184	161	161	+0	No	+$132	02-14 14:35
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-29 23:15 UTC	4	$170	175	0	+175	Up	+$5	01-29 23:25
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-29 23:30 UTC	1	$168	171	0	+171	Up	+$3	01-29 23:43
will khamenei leave iran by march 31 224 161 138 998	16	$166	85	85	+0	No	-$1	02-28 21:51
cbb txs alcst 2026 01 17	3	$154	156	0	+156	Texas Southern Tigers	+$2	01-17 23:47
iran strike on israel by february 28	2	$152	82	82	+0	Yes	+$12	02-28 21:51
epl ast eve 2026 01 18 ast	3	$148	282	0	+282	No	+$16	01-18 17:04
us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	10	$148	89	89	+0	No	+$8	01-27 06:55
israel strikes iran by january 31 2026 894 994 453	2	$147	83	83	+0	No	+$8	01-27 06:55
Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?	3	$144	3,500	3,500	+0	No	-$136	02-12 12:35
will the government shutdown last 14 days or more 343 693 775 861 153	2	$139	74	74	+0	No	-$1	01-31 12:35
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	14	$135	229	229	+0	Yes	+$39	01-30 05:08
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?	55	$129	219	219	+0	No	-$11	02-12 12:35
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	2	$127	73	73	+0	Yes	+$15	02-28 21:51

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
03-03 19:47:59	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	Yes	SELL	463	100¢	$462	0x1c1199…
02-28 22:01:49	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	Yes	BUY	17	97¢	$16	0x117e45…
02-28 22:01:47	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	Yes	BUY	36	97¢	$35	0x7e9f4f…
02-28 22:01:41	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	Yes	BUY	107	97¢	$104	0x03cd8f…
02-28 22:01:11	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	Yes	BUY	107	97¢	$104	0xf7f7ae…
02-28 22:01:11	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x210968…
02-28 22:01:07	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	Yes	BUY	125	97¢	$121	0x6c781b…
02-28 22:01:05	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	Yes	BUY	35	97¢	$34	0x794f73…
02-28 22:01:01	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	Yes	BUY	36	97¢	$35	0x6d3a0f…
02-28 21:51:47	will israel launch a major ground offensive in gaza by march 31	No	SELL	5	88¢	$5	0xcb1f10…
02-28 21:51:47	will khamenei leave iran by march 31 224 161 138 998	No	SELL	73	97¢	$71	0xaf16e5…
02-28 21:51:47	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	Yes	SELL	73	98¢	$71	0x5d3893…
02-28 21:51:45	iran strike on israel by february 28	Yes	SELL	82	100¢	$82	0x39e004…
02-28 21:37:19	will khamenei leave iran by march 31 224 161 138 998	No	SELL	0	97¢	$0	0x5a3d26…
02-28 21:37:11	will khamenei leave iran by march 31 224 161 138 998	No	SELL	2	97¢	$2	0xa20e0b…
02-28 20:57:25	will khamenei leave iran by march 31 224 161 138 998	No	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0xd8d593…
02-28 20:55:25	will khamenei leave iran by march 31 224 161 138 998	No	SELL	0	97¢	$0	0xc7333b…
02-28 20:54:29	will khamenei leave iran by march 31 224 161 138 998	No	SELL	2	96¢	$2	0xe8f809…
02-28 20:48:05	will khamenei leave iran by march 31 224 161 138 998	No	BUY	7	98¢	$7	0x4cab10…
02-28 20:46:21	will khamenei leave iran by march 31 224 161 138 998	No	SELL	2	95¢	$2	0x1a3523…
02-28 20:45:29	will khamenei leave iran by march 31 224 161 138 998	No	SELL	0	95¢	$0	0xcdf6cd…
02-28 20:44:57	will khamenei leave iran by march 31 224 161 138 998	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x488581…
02-28 20:43:05	will khamenei leave iran by march 31 224 161 138 998	No	SELL	0	95¢	$0	0xfa50f4…
02-28 20:42:29	will khamenei leave iran by march 31 224 161 138 998	No	SELL	3	95¢	$3	0x2976d5…
02-28 20:40:19	will khamenei leave iran by march 31 224 161 138 998	No	SELL	0	95¢	$0	0x86f25a…
02-28 20:37:01	will khamenei leave iran by march 31 224 161 138 998	No	SELL	0	94¢	$0	0xf9344a…
02-28 20:23:53	will khamenei leave iran by march 31 224 161 138 998	No	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x1340dd…
02-28 20:05:13	will khamenei leave iran by march 31 224 161 138 998	No	BUY	71	99¢	$70	0xdf9416…
02-28 20:04:51	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	Yes	SELL	254	94¢	$238	0x670c34…
02-28 20:04:29	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	Yes	BUY	16	94¢	$15	0xdd224f…
02-28 20:04:27	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	Yes	BUY	16	94¢	$15	0xbebbcc…
02-28 19:32:39	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	Yes	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0xe2d4ef…
02-28 19:32:35	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	Yes	SELL	4	91¢	$3	0x4c92a6…
02-28 19:32:27	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	Yes	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0xc7295d…
02-28 19:32:27	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	Yes	SELL	4	89¢	$3	0x605781…
02-28 19:32:23	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	Yes	SELL	4	89¢	$3	0x4670a2…
02-28 19:21:13	will israel launch a major ground offensive in gaza by march 31	No	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x1cace1…
02-28 19:02:37	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	Yes	BUY	25	59¢	$15	0x2f5898…
02-28 19:02:35	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	Yes	BUY	36	59¢	$21	0x57efbc…
02-28 18:55:49	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	Yes	SELL	0	61¢	$0	0xfa4a2c…
02-28 18:55:49	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	Yes	SELL	33	61¢	$20	0xb7b1af…
02-28 18:55:45	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	Yes	SELL	5	61¢	$3	0xb06b07…
02-28 18:55:43	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	Yes	SELL	0	63¢	$0	0x7cd4ba…
02-28 18:55:43	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	Yes	SELL	0	61¢	$0	0x25897b…
02-28 18:55:39	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	Yes	SELL	0	61¢	$0	0xca592c…
02-28 18:55:37	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	Yes	SELL	1	60¢	$0	0xdda258…
02-28 18:55:37	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	Yes	SELL	0	60¢	$0	0x5bbace…
02-28 18:55:33	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	Yes	SELL	1	63¢	$1	0x28047c…
02-28 18:55:29	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	Yes	SELL	4	62¢	$3	0x67ca99…
02-28 18:55:29	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	Yes	SELL	27	62¢	$17	0x2366ca…
02-28 18:54:59	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	73	77¢	$56	0x4d71d2…
02-28 18:47:39	iran strike on israel by february 28	Yes	BUY	82	85¢	$70	0xb4c568…
02-28 18:20:27	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	Yes	BUY	123	57¢	$70	0x61d743…
02-28 18:20:25	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	Yes	BUY	123	57¢	$70	0xbc34c2…
02-28 18:13:53	will the us officially declare war on iran by march 31 2026	No	SELL	21	96¢	$21	0xeed14d…
02-28 18:13:53	Labour leadership election scheduled by March 31?	No	SELL	45	94¢	$42	0x30e7aa…
02-28 18:13:51	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	108	16¢	$17	0xd496a5…
02-28 18:13:51	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	Yes	SELL	593	28¢	$167	0x9d727f…
02-28 11:59:41	will the us officially declare war on iran by march 31 2026	No	BUY	21	95¢	$20	0x9ecfe5…
02-28 03:51:25	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	15¢	$2	0xe9d7e3…
02-27 14:06:23	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	Yes	SELL	3	11¢	$0	0xd2703e…
02-27 13:54:09	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	Yes	SELL	28	11¢	$3	0x7c5f44…
02-27 13:46:11	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	Yes	SELL	39	11¢	$4	0x9ec908…
02-26 18:42:36	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	Yes	SELL	75	10¢	$8	0x55df3c…
02-26 18:18:18	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	Yes	SELL	14	10¢	$1	0x70f41e…
02-25 08:54:42	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	Yes	BUY	753	9¢	$70	0x170c03…
02-19 21:27:20	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	19¢	$0	0x3dd693…
02-19 21:23:00	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	19¢	$0	0x2b04ff…
02-19 21:13:50	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	19¢	$2	0xcc138d…
02-17 15:21:45	us strikes iran by february 21 2026	No	BUY	35	94¢	$33	0x82239c…
02-17 15:14:21	us strikes iran by february 21 2026	No	BUY	16	94¢	$15	0xa72729…
02-17 14:55:39	US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	No	SELL	68	62¢	$42	0xd4b90e…
02-17 14:47:11	US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	No	SELL	0	62¢	$0	0xb149d1…
02-17 14:39:45	US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	No	SELL	0	62¢	$0	0x8f774c…
02-17 09:00:23	US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	No	SELL	8	62¢	$5	0xafc7ed…
02-16 06:35:53	US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	No	BUY	49	66¢	$32	0x43a090…
02-16 06:34:11	US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	No	BUY	27	66¢	$18	0x4e0a70…
02-15 17:57:19	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	65	23¢	$15	0x092dc4…
02-15 17:50:43	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	65	23¢	$15	0xa456b3…
02-14 20:26:55	lal rea rso 2026 02 14 rea	Yes	SELL	20	73¢	$15	0xf52912…
02-14 20:26:37	lal rea rso 2026 02 14 rea	Yes	BUY	20	79¢	$16	0xab090b…
02-14 17:26:39	Labour leadership election scheduled by March 31?	No	BUY	16	93¢	$15	0x0c0100…
02-14 17:18:19	us strikes iran by february 20 2026 151 468 624 297 614 778 872 127 349 448 499 337 826 553	No	BUY	17	95¢	$16	0x492ae7…
02-14 17:05:33	Labour leadership election scheduled by March 31?	No	BUY	29	94¢	$27	0xcd879d…
02-14 16:51:25	us strikes iran by february 20 2026 151 468 624 297 614 778 872 127 349 448 499 337 826 553	No	BUY	58	95¢	$55	0x30878b…
02-14 16:18:21	us strikes iran by february 20 2026 151 468 624 297 614 778 872 127 349 448 499 337 826 553	No	BUY	25	95¢	$23	0x4be21d…
02-14 16:13:43	us strikes iran by february 20 2026 151 468 624 297 614 778 872 127 349 448 499 337 826 553	No	BUY	16	95¢	$15	0xec46cf…
02-14 16:02:29	us strikes iran by february 20 2026 151 468 624 297 614 778 872 127 349 448 499 337 826 553	No	BUY	16	95¢	$15	0x9710dd…
02-14 14:35:29	will the government shutdown last 1 day or more	No	SELL	161	98¢	$158	0xdc26ef…
02-14 14:35:29	will france uk or germany strike iran by february 28	Yes	SELL	1,350	1¢	$16	0xd8137e…
02-13 04:03:29	another us government shutdown by february 14	No	SELL	35	4¢	$1	0x549ae0…
02-13 04:02:49	another us government shutdown by february 14	No	SELL	31	3¢	$1	0x2ba69d…
02-13 03:55:09	another us government shutdown by february 14	No	SELL	0	4¢	$0	0x4ed479…
02-13 03:54:07	another us government shutdown by february 14	No	SELL	1	3¢	$0	0x7c4f5a…
02-13 03:34:09	another us government shutdown by february 14	No	SELL	3	3¢	$0	0xe8a0ef…
02-12 21:05:01	cdr atm fcb 2026 02 12 fcb	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x70374f…
02-12 21:04:39	cdr atm fcb 2026 02 12 fcb	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x46020e…
02-12 21:04:27	cdr atm fcb 2026 02 12 fcb	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x0b4e14…
02-12 21:04:21	cdr atm fcb 2026 02 12 fcb	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xa0e908…
02-12 21:04:13	cdr atm fcb 2026 02 12 fcb	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x9416fb…