Big-Mess — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$133

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

53.0%

Resolved

Trades

148

lifetime

Volume

$2.06K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$14

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-16

last 10-28 19:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 18 days

Categories

Politics

63% 50% -$52

Other

35% 45% +$193

Sports

1% 0% -$8

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

27 active days in 12wk • peak 16 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (23) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Trump say "Island" during his Midterm Rally in North Carolina?	7	$163	367	15	+352	Yes	-$147	10-20 23:29
Will the next governing coalition of Sweden include M + KD + L + C?	6	$158	94	94	+0	open	—	10-03 01:15
Will Trump say "Drag Show" during his Midterm Rally in Kansas?	10	$117	197	197	+0	No	-$13	10-19 18:20
will trump say iran during his midterm rally in arizona october 14	2	$116	70	70	+0	Yes	+$24	10-14 22:03
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	1	$111	152	0	+152	Yes	+$41	07-29 16:19
Will Łukasz Gibała win the 2026 Kraków mayoral election?	7	$95	60	60	+0	Yes	+$2	09-21 09:15
Will the Greenland agreement text be released by September 23, 2026? (copy) (copy)	4	$93	186	1	+185	Yes	+$94	09-22 15:18
Will the next governing coalition of Sweden include S + MP?	10	$92	453	0	+453	open	—	10-27 06:19
Will Monika Piątkowska win the 2026 Kraków mayoral election?	16	$87	270	270	+0	No	-$1	09-27 15:36
Will Trump say "Fentanyl" or "Deport" or "Deported" during his Midterm Rally in Georgia?	2	$86	50	50	+0	No	+$14	10-16 23:03
will trump say border during his midterm rally in arizona october 14	3	$77	52	52	+0	Yes	+$28	10-14 22:03
Will Slovenia participate in Eurovision 2027?	2	$67	68	68	+0	open	—	10-11 20:01
will trump say bull during his midterm rally in kentucky october 17	3	$62	90	0	+90	Yes	-$62	10-17 14:17
Will Trump pardon anyone by December 31?	3	$61	40	40	+0	open	—	10-28 19:00
Will the next governing coalition of Sweden include S + MP + C?	5	$59	249	160	+89	open	—	10-15 16:41
will trump say ass during his midterm rally in kentucky october 17	2	$44	50	50	+0	Yes	-$5	10-16 23:04
Will Trump say "Hormuz" or "Blockade" during his Midterm Rally in Georgia?	1	$42	100	0	+100	Yes	-$42	10-16 17:45
Will Trump pardon anyone by October 31?	6	$42	32	32	+0	open	—	10-24 15:41
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 17?	2	$39	20	20	+0	Yes	+$1	10-17 10:25
will trump say forest during his midterm rally in montana october 14	3	$37	50	50	+0	No	-$3	10-14 22:32
will trump say data center during his midterm rally in kentucky october 17	1	$35	100	0	+100	No	+$65	10-17 16:51
will trump say hormuz during his midterm rally in arizona october 14	2	$33	25	25	+0	Yes	+$16	10-14 22:03
Will Bulgaria be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	3	$26	30	30	+0	Yes	-$1	05-16 19:04
Will Israel be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?	4	$25	56	0	+56	Yes	+$31	05-16 18:52
Will Bad Bunny rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People in the US of 2026?	2	$24	20	20	+0	open	—	10-18 07:02
will trump say russia during his midterm rally in kentucky october 17	2	$24	30	30	+0	Yes	-$1	10-16 15:08
Will Trump say "Animal" during his Midterm Rally in Kansas?	1	$24	59	0	+59	No	+$35	10-19 10:23
will trump say ass during his midterm rally in georgia october 16	1	$23	60	0	+60	Yes	-$23	10-15 07:26
will trump say healthcare during his midterm rally in arizona october 14	1	$22	50	0	+50	No	+$28	10-14 16:47
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$19	329	329	+0	No	$0	07-08 22:21

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 19:00:22	Will Trump pardon anyone by December 31?	Yes	SELL	15	72¢	$11	0x2dc7ac…
10-27 06:19:35	Will the next governing coalition of Sweden include S + MP?	Yes	BUY	16	21¢	$3	0x08c4a3…
10-26 10:17:57	Will the next governing coalition of Sweden include S + MP?	Yes	BUY	8	21¢	$2	0xfe427a…
10-26 10:17:57	Will the next governing coalition of Sweden include S + MP?	Yes	BUY	7	21¢	$1	0x9b8f16…
10-26 10:17:57	Will the next governing coalition of Sweden include S + MP?	Yes	BUY	9	21¢	$2	0x8e7fe0…
10-25 20:54:53	Will Trump say "Osama Bin Laden" during his Midterm Rally in Michigan?	Yes	BUY	7	98¢	$7	0xf86249…
10-25 16:02:15	Will Trump pardon anyone by December 31?	Yes	SELL	25	86¢	$22	0x37fe85…
10-24 15:41:15	Will Trump pardon anyone by October 31?	No	SELL	12	83¢	$10	0x3961cf…
10-24 11:44:45	Will Trump pardon anyone by October 31?	No	SELL	20	86¢	$17	0x272ee3…
10-22 09:47:06	Will Trump say "SI" or "Super Intelligence" during his Midterm Rally in Iowa?	Yes	BUY	16	65¢	$10	0xfc1ad3…
10-21 15:15:06	Will Trump say "Iran" 5+ times during his Midterm Rally in South Carolina?	Yes	BUY	14	57¢	$8	0x2f9b71…
10-20 23:29:20	Will Trump say "Island" during his Midterm Rally in North Carolina?	No	SELL	15	54¢	$8	0xe50f03…
10-20 19:51:53	Will Trump say "Island" during his Midterm Rally in North Carolina?	No	BUY	19	40¢	$8	0xd8c9ae…
10-20 18:12:18	Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez Democratic nomination odds leader on October 31?	No	SELL	10	68¢	$7	0xa4b6c5…
10-20 16:16:53	Will Trump say "Island" during his Midterm Rally in North Carolina?	No	BUY	18	38¢	$7	0x2eeb89…
10-20 15:56:18	Will Trump say "Island" during his Midterm Rally in North Carolina?	No	BUY	9	40¢	$4	0x29b985…
10-20 15:55:27	Will Trump say "Island" during his Midterm Rally in North Carolina?	No	BUY	10	36¢	$4	0xac7c73…
10-20 15:53:51	Will Trump say "Island" during his Midterm Rally in North Carolina?	No	BUY	300	43¢	$129	0x0aad25…
10-20 14:57:30	Will Trump say "Island" during his Midterm Rally in North Carolina?	No	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0x5a6448…
10-19 18:20:47	Will Trump say "Drag Show" during his Midterm Rally in Kansas?	No	SELL	91	28¢	$26	0xd5e8a2…
10-19 18:18:47	Will the next governing coalition of Sweden include S + MP?	Yes	BUY	31	20¢	$6	0x2f07bd…
10-19 16:48:29	Will Trump say "Drag Show" during his Midterm Rally in Kansas?	No	SELL	7	28¢	$2	0x7b477d…
10-19 16:13:20	Will Trump say "Drag Show" during his Midterm Rally in Kansas?	No	SELL	98	25¢	$24	0x54fda9…
10-19 12:36:06	Will Trump say "Drag Show" during his Midterm Rally in Kansas?	No	BUY	100	32¢	$32	0x36f40c…
10-19 11:26:35	Will the next governing coalition of Sweden include S + MP?	Yes	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0x76d1fc…
10-19 10:59:45	Will Trump say "Drag Show" during his Midterm Rally in Kansas?	No	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0x2b3629…
10-19 10:53:23	Will Trump say "Drag Show" during his Midterm Rally in Kansas?	No	BUY	20	35¢	$7	0xb97142…
10-19 10:49:03	Will Trump say "Drag Show" during his Midterm Rally in Kansas?	No	BUY	42	35¢	$15	0xd27267…
10-19 10:47:51	Will Trump say "Drag Show" during his Midterm Rally in Kansas?	No	BUY	0	32¢	$0	0xe263a9…
10-19 10:38:24	Will Trump say "Drag Show" during his Midterm Rally in Kansas?	No	BUY	20	32¢	$6	0x019a85…
10-19 10:23:12	Will Trump say "Animal" during his Midterm Rally in Kansas?	No	BUY	59	40¢	$24	0x5a2b9f…
10-19 10:16:24	Will Trump say "Drag Show" during his Midterm Rally in Kansas?	No	BUY	9	32¢	$3	0x4e600b…
10-18 18:43:57	Will the next governing coalition of Sweden include S + MP?	Yes	BUY	59	20¢	$12	0xc70c28…
10-18 15:26:24	Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez Democratic nomination odds leader on October 31?	No	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x1580fc…
10-18 07:02:54	Will Bad Bunny rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People in the US of 2026?	No	SELL	20	77¢	$15	0x01d48f…
10-17 17:06:54	will trump say si during his midterm rally in kentucky october 17	Yes	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x86bb56…
10-17 16:51:21	will trump say data center during his midterm rally in kentucky october 17	No	BUY	100	35¢	$35	0x9ef8ed…
10-17 14:17:45	will trump say bull during his midterm rally in kentucky october 17	No	BUY	25	64¢	$16	0x8f949c…
10-17 10:47:03	will trump say america first during his midterm rally in kentucky october 17	Yes	BUY	20	45¢	$9	0xa400d6…
10-17 10:25:50	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 17?	Yes	SELL	20	98¢	$20	0x43dffa…
10-16 23:07:53	will trump say bull during his midterm rally in kentucky october 17	No	BUY	55	70¢	$38	0xfed598…
10-16 23:04:00	will trump say ass during his midterm rally in kentucky october 17	No	SELL	50	39¢	$20	0x56eba5…
10-16 23:03:15	Will Trump say "Fentanyl" or "Deport" or "Deported" during his Midterm Rally in Georgia?	No	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0xbd1486…
10-16 17:45:26	Will Trump say "Hormuz" or "Blockade" during his Midterm Rally in Georgia?	No	BUY	100	42¢	$42	0x07d7a3…
10-16 17:38:18	Will Trump say "Ceasefire" during his Midterm Rally in Georgia?	Yes	SELL	48	5¢	$2	0x461e4a…
10-16 17:28:09	Will Trump say "Ceasefire" during his Midterm Rally in Georgia?	Yes	BUY	50	7¢	$4	0x2cb871…
10-16 17:27:50	Will Trump say "Ceasefire" during his Midterm Rally in Georgia?	Yes	BUY	50	7¢	$4	0x105176…
10-16 17:25:12	Will Trump say "Russia" or "Ukraine" during his Midterm Rally in Georgia?	No	SELL	8	33¢	$3	0x5e8be6…
10-16 16:52:13	will trump say ass during his midterm rally in kentucky october 17	No	BUY	50	49¢	$24	0x7e4124…
10-16 16:45:27	Will Trump say "Fentanyl" or "Deport" or "Deported" during his Midterm Rally in Georgia?	No	BUY	50	72¢	$36	0xf0ffb3…
10-16 15:08:55	will trump say russia during his midterm rally in kentucky october 17	No	SELL	30	39¢	$12	0xadbc53…
10-16 14:30:51	will trump say russia during his midterm rally in kentucky october 17	No	BUY	30	41¢	$12	0xa8248a…
10-16 14:21:19	will trump say bull during his midterm rally in kentucky october 17	No	BUY	10	69¢	$7	0xbab048…
10-16 14:07:00	Will Trump say "Russia" or "Ukraine" during his Midterm Rally in Georgia?	No	BUY	8	34¢	$3	0x3defc8…
10-15 20:47:08	Will Trump pardon anyone by December 31?	Yes	BUY	40	71¢	$28	0xd70f57…
10-15 20:33:39	Will Trump pardon anyone by October 31?	No	BUY	8	46¢	$4	0x936a9a…
10-15 20:30:33	Will Trump pardon anyone by October 31?	No	BUY	8	46¢	$4	0x5c5a04…
10-15 20:29:41	Will Trump pardon anyone by October 31?	No	BUY	8	45¢	$4	0xb0ec82…
10-15 20:29:32	Will Trump pardon anyone by October 31?	No	BUY	8	45¢	$4	0x6d3200…
10-15 16:41:16	Will the next governing coalition of Sweden include S + MP + C?	Yes	SELL	160	12¢	$19	0x07ade3…
10-15 09:01:26	us x iran ceasefire continues through october 17	Yes	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0x9af9f3…
10-15 07:26:56	will trump say ass during his midterm rally in georgia october 16	No	BUY	60	39¢	$23	0xf4f23f…
10-14 22:32:57	will trump say forest during his midterm rally in montana october 14	Yes	SELL	20	33¢	$7	0xe2b63b…
10-14 22:29:06	will trump say forest during his midterm rally in montana october 14	Yes	SELL	30	34¢	$10	0x80e48d…
10-14 22:21:15	will trump say forest during his midterm rally in montana october 14	Yes	BUY	50	40¢	$20	0xff4be3…
10-14 22:03:49	will trump say hormuz during his midterm rally in arizona october 14	Yes	SELL	25	100¢	$25	0x3abaa9…
10-14 22:03:21	will trump say border during his midterm rally in arizona october 14	Yes	SELL	52	100¢	$52	0x9ef224…
10-14 22:03:01	will trump say iran during his midterm rally in arizona october 14	Yes	SELL	70	100¢	$70	0xac0886…
10-14 16:49:31	will trump say hormuz during his midterm rally in arizona october 14	Yes	BUY	25	34¢	$8	0xc38817…
10-14 16:47:52	will trump say healthcare during his midterm rally in arizona october 14	No	BUY	50	43¢	$22	0x6084b3…
10-14 16:42:40	will trump say iran during his midterm rally in arizona october 14	Yes	BUY	70	66¢	$46	0x05fa52…
10-14 16:23:27	will trump say border during his midterm rally in arizona october 14	Yes	BUY	40	47¢	$19	0x969dd6…
10-14 16:23:09	will trump say border during his midterm rally in arizona october 14	Yes	BUY	12	46¢	$6	0x9242fe…
10-13 19:24:16	Will Kylian Mbappé finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	66	23¢	$15	0xdceb73…
10-13 18:30:43	Will Bad Bunny rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People in the US of 2026?	No	BUY	20	44¢	$9	0x1d0133…
10-11 20:01:10	Will Slovenia participate in Eurovision 2027?	No	SELL	68	73¢	$50	0xaa1b10…
10-07 16:05:11	Will the next governing coalition of Sweden include S + MP?	Yes	BUY	60	25¢	$15	0xbc37f3…
10-07 14:20:02	Will the next governing coalition of Sweden include S + MP + C?	Yes	BUY	25	11¢	$3	0x4c3519…
10-07 14:15:01	Gemini 4.0 released by November 30, 2026?	No	SELL	41	2¢	$1	0x0657e6…
10-05 16:24:35	Will the next governing coalition of Sweden include S + MP?	Yes	BUY	16	24¢	$4	0x23e831…
10-05 16:23:17	Will the next governing coalition of Sweden include S + MP + C?	Yes	BUY	17	10¢	$2	0x517131…
10-04 17:39:34	Will Belgium participate in Eurovision 2027?	No	SELL	6	24¢	$1	0xf413ad…
10-04 17:19:32	Gemini 4.0 released by November 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	3¢	$0	0x9b7f27…
10-04 17:18:40	Gemini 4.0 released by November 30, 2026?	No	BUY	40	3¢	$1	0xb9332f…
10-04 17:08:59	Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released between October 26 and November 1, 2026?	Yes	BUY	93	2¢	$2	0xd2bd28…
10-04 16:52:26	Will the next governing coalition of Sweden include S + MP + C?	Yes	BUY	39	12¢	$5	0x9cca18…
10-04 16:10:31	Will Jude Bellingham rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2026?	No	BUY	20	75¢	$15	0xd6c387…
10-03 01:15:17	Will the next governing coalition of Sweden include M + KD + L + C?	No	SELL	1	89¢	$1	0x20e1d8…
10-03 01:15:15	Will the next governing coalition of Sweden include M + KD + L + C?	No	SELL	9	89¢	$8	0xa09379…
10-01 14:41:41	Will the next governing coalition of Sweden include M + KD + L + C?	No	SELL	62	89¢	$55	0xa05e23…
10-01 12:24:14	Will the next governing coalition of Sweden include M + KD + L + C?	No	SELL	6	89¢	$5	0x245383…
10-01 10:59:48	Will the next governing coalition of Sweden include M + KD + L + C?	No	SELL	16	89¢	$14	0xe3008f…
09-28 22:42:09	Will the next governing coalition of Sweden include S + MP + C?	Yes	BUY	168	18¢	$30	0x76edf9…
09-28 22:29:39	Will the next governing coalition of Sweden include S + MP?	Yes	BUY	237	19¢	$45	0x7f8b21…
09-28 21:46:51	Will the next governing coalition of Sweden include M + KD + L + C?	No	BUY	94	80¢	$75	0x487e90…
09-28 14:51:26	Will Iceland participate in Eurovision 2027?	No	BUY	20	14¢	$3	0xc44e0c…
09-28 14:51:11	Will Iceland participate in Eurovision 2027?	No	BUY	20	13¢	$3	0x185068…
09-27 15:36:51	Will Monika Piątkowska win the 2026 Kraków mayoral election?	Yes	SELL	262	16¢	$42	0x280b6e…
09-27 14:21:15	Will Monika Piątkowska win the 2026 Kraków mayoral election?	Yes	SELL	6	16¢	$1	0x1b4f84…
09-27 14:21:03	Will Monika Piątkowska win the 2026 Kraków mayoral election?	Yes	SELL	1	16¢	$0	0x00207b…