Limping-Probability — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$613

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

89.2%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$7.95K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$294

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-30

last 05-10 10:24

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 11 days

Categories

Other

100% 94% -$613

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-05-10).

Open positions Resolved markets (16) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on May 1?	2	$1.0K	1,033	+1,033	No	+$21	05-01 14:39
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 15°C on May 7?	7	$959	1,027	+1,027	No	+$68	05-07 10:42
Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on May 10?	2	$857	925	+925	Yes	-$857	05-10 10:20
Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on May 9?	1	$800	816	+816	No	+$16	05-09 14:36
Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on May 8?	2	$760	802	+802	No	+$42	05-08 09:51
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 21°C or higher on April 30?	1	$500	510	+510	No	+$10	04-30 07:09
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 22°C on May 2?	2	$483	491	+491	No	+$8	05-02 13:14
Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on May 2?	1	$479	491	+491	No	+$12	05-02 09:53
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 17°C on May 8?	1	$366	383	+383	No	+$17	05-08 06:33
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 25°C on May 9?	1	$360	370	+370	No	+$10	05-09 16:06
Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on May 10?	1	$350	359	+359	No	+$9	05-10 10:24
Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on May 4?	1	$253	258	+258	No	+$5	05-04 04:10
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 17°C on April 30?	1	$250	259	+259	No	+$9	04-30 07:05
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 19°C on May 4?	2	$223	229	+229	No	+$6	05-04 04:12
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 19°C on May 2?	1	$219	223	+223	No	+$4	05-02 09:04
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C on May 2?	1	$74	79	+79	No	+$5	05-02 09:06

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-10 10:24:19	Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on May 10?	No	BUY	359	97¢	$350	0xe1433c…
05-10 10:20:34	Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on May 10?	No	BUY	120	89¢	$107	0x799c8e…
05-10 10:17:47	Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on May 10?	No	BUY	805	93¢	$750	0x400956…
05-09 16:06:43	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 25°C on May 9?	No	BUY	370	97¢	$360	0xae59dc…
05-09 14:36:03	Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on May 9?	No	BUY	816	98¢	$800	0x2598bf…
05-08 09:51:17	Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on May 8?	No	BUY	378	95¢	$360	0x9e4212…
05-08 09:44:43	Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on May 8?	No	BUY	425	94¢	$400	0xac403a…
05-08 06:33:58	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 17°C on May 8?	No	BUY	383	96¢	$366	0x9e7ffd…
05-07 10:42:43	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 15°C on May 7?	No	BUY	364	96¢	$350	0xb3e1f1…
05-07 09:45:30	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 15°C on May 7?	No	BUY	75	87¢	$65	0x4850e1…
05-07 08:19:34	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 15°C on May 7?	No	BUY	48	88¢	$42	0xd71e4a…
05-07 07:08:17	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 15°C on May 7?	No	BUY	52	88¢	$46	0x641a42…
05-07 06:39:32	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 15°C on May 7?	No	BUY	23	86¢	$20	0xe858af…
05-07 06:12:59	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 15°C on May 7?	No	BUY	196	95¢	$186	0xb79c05…
05-07 06:12:22	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 15°C on May 7?	No	BUY	270	93¢	$250	0x9e94ef…
05-04 04:12:50	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 19°C on May 4?	No	BUY	59	98¢	$58	0x33cd63…
05-04 04:12:34	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 19°C on May 4?	No	BUY	170	97¢	$165	0xb8bc1f…
05-04 04:10:56	Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on May 4?	No	BUY	258	98¢	$253	0xf851c6…
05-02 13:14:12	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 22°C on May 2?	No	BUY	225	99¢	$223	0xe0eca2…
05-02 09:53:18	Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on May 2?	No	BUY	491	97¢	$479	0x84d605…
05-02 09:06:40	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C on May 2?	No	BUY	79	94¢	$74	0x8aa1c0…
05-02 09:04:38	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 22°C on May 2?	No	BUY	266	98¢	$260	0xf4803f…
05-02 09:04:04	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 19°C on May 2?	No	BUY	223	98¢	$219	0x81a173…
05-01 14:39:00	Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on May 1?	No	BUY	518	99¢	$512	0x5d97dc…
05-01 07:49:58	Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on May 1?	No	BUY	515	97¢	$500	0xe46321…
04-30 07:09:20	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 21°C or higher on April 30?	No	BUY	510	98¢	$500	0xdcb382…
04-30 07:05:16	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 17°C on April 30?	No	BUY	259	97¢	$250	0xd0fef0…