Leading-Possible — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$12.2K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

56.8%

Resolved

324

Trades

2,540

lifetime

Volume

$206.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$81

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-03

last 11-10 02:45

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 140 days

Categories

Sports

54% 58% -$712

Other

35% 54% -$11,518

Crypto

10% 83% -$345

Politics

0% 100% +$330

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

30 active days in 12wk • peak 35 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
cbb miss txam 2026 02 18 spread home 9pt5	25	$7.1K	7,875	6,719	+1,156	Ole Miss Rebels	+$645	02-18 22:22
Spread: Notre Dame (-29.5)	1	$7.0K	14,290	0	+14,290	Michigan State	-$7,002	09-19 22:32
mlb nyy cws 2026 07 30	2	$6.9K	7,000	7,000	+0	Chicago White Sox	+$0	07-30 19:49
Timberwolves vs. Spurs	1	$6.0K	7,300	0	+7,300	Timberwolves	+$1,271	05-05 04:00
Spread: Pistons (-3.5)	21	$5.3K	4,100	4,100	+0	Pistons	+$1,286	05-02 00:43
cbb mich pur 2026 02 17 spread away 2pt5	28	$5.2K	6,252	4,252	+2,000	Michigan Wolverines	+$1,083	02-17 23:36
Colts vs. Commanders	1	$5.0K	7,581	0	+7,581	Colts	+$2,578	10-04 05:43
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Milwaukee Brewers	2	$4.7K	3,129	3,129	+0	Milwaukee Brewers	+$1,533	10-12 03:12
Spread: Miami (FL) (-15.5)	6	$3.5K	4,590	2,400	+2,190	Miami (FL)	-$1,200	10-03 22:46
cfb flst ala 2026 09 19 spread home 18pt5	5	$3.0K	6,280	0	+6,280	Florida State	-$3,046	09-19 21:19
76ers vs. Celtics	25	$2.7K	4,683	1,000	+3,683	76ers	+$1,734	05-03 01:40
mlb mil lad 2026 10 14	3	$2.6K	3,389	3,389	+0	Milwaukee Brewers	-$1,347	10-15 02:12
mlb bos lad 2026 08 01	2	$2.2K	2,343	2,343	+0	Boston Red Sox	-$750	08-02 03:05
lol g2 fox1 2026 03 20	5	$2.2K	1,948	1,030	+918	G2 Esports	-$599	03-20 15:21
nba det nyk 2026 02 19 spread home 4pt5	29	$2.2K	2,150	2,019	+131	Pistons	+$71	02-20 00:01
Pistons vs. Cavaliers	36	$2.1K	3,557	0	+3,557	Cavaliers	+$1,473	05-09 19:15
Spread: Oklahoma (-4.5)	32	$2.0K	4,040	0	+4,040	Michigan	+$2,030	09-12 13:25
Spread: Thunder (-14.5)	1	$2.0K	3,710	0	+3,710	Thunder	+$1,707	05-05 11:00
cfb mia wake 2026 09 18 spread away 23pt5	3	$2.0K	3,390	0	+3,390	Wake Forest	-$2,000	09-19 02:00
bitcoin up or down january 15 12pm et	83	$2.0K	4,440	0	+4,440	Down	+$222	01-15 17:03
Pistons vs. Cavaliers	24	$2.0K	3,611	0	+3,611	Pistons	-$1,980	05-15 23:18
Spurs vs. Thunder	20	$2.0K	3,700	0	+3,700	Spurs	-$1,963	05-31 00:28
nfl hou ne 2026 01 18	1	$1.8K	4,886	0	+4,886	Patriots	-$1,808	01-18 19:07
Spread: Cavaliers (-2.5)	5	$1.8K	3,519	0	+3,519	Knicks	-$1,760	05-23 08:04
Spread: Alabama (-7.5)	15	$1.7K	2,148	2,148	+0	Alabama	-$283	10-03 17:59
nba cle tor 2026 04 23	1	$1.6K	3,091	0	+3,091	Raptors	-$1,638	04-24 02:05
wta pegula eala 2026 08 02 set handicap home 1pt5	3	$1.6K	1,844	1,098	+746	Eala	-$685	08-03 01:12
Spurs vs. Thunder	6	$1.6K	3,000	3,000	+0	Thunder	-$1,040	05-27 02:11
nba phi bos 2026 04 21 spread home 13pt5	6	$1.6K	1,593	1,593	+0	76ers	+$0	04-21 23:11
mlb tex oak 2026 08 15	6	$1.5K	2,370	2,370	+0	Texas Rangers	-$403	08-16 03:32

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-10 02:45:31	Bills vs. Vikings	Bills	BUY	1,325	75¢	$994	0x78b960…
11-08 23:41:21	Packers vs. Patriots	Patriots	SELL	702	5¢	$35	0xd9e0a2…
11-08 23:40:30	Packers vs. Patriots	Patriots	SELL	920	6¢	$55	0x3f7331…
11-08 21:16:27	Packers vs. Patriots	Patriots	BUY	1,622	61¢	$989	0x81247c…
11-07 03:20:22	Trail Blazers vs. Lakers	Lakers	BUY	1,740	55¢	$957	0x1500f1…
11-06 16:51:55	Spread: Minnesota Golden Gophers (-14.5)	Minnesota Golden Gophers	BUY	3	50¢	$1	0x29d07c…
11-06 16:44:51	Spread: Minnesota Golden Gophers (-14.5)	Minnesota Golden Gophers	BUY	19	50¢	$10	0x36c71f…
11-06 14:20:58	Spread: Minnesota Golden Gophers (-14.5)	Minnesota Golden Gophers	BUY	12	50¢	$6	0x8afa86…
11-04 17:44:01	Spread: Thunder (-3.5)	Thunder	BUY	1,000	51¢	$510	0x055057…
11-03 20:07:19	Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	909	75¢	$682	0x85a718…
11-03 20:06:54	Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0x4fc20b…
11-03 20:06:40	Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	87	75¢	$65	0xa4f22d…
11-03 20:06:39	Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	35	75¢	$26	0x7e7d1b…
11-03 20:06:21	Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	18	75¢	$14	0xc6dae6…
11-03 20:06:18	Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	4	75¢	$3	0x7a524c…
11-03 20:06:16	Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	71	75¢	$53	0x7eb930…
11-03 20:06:04	Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	10	75¢	$8	0x1a7b1b…
11-03 20:05:45	Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	4	75¢	$3	0xc72510…
11-03 20:05:45	Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	175	75¢	$131	0x49b762…
11-03 20:05:43	Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	2	75¢	$1	0x0427f1…
11-02 04:15:33	Spread: Commanders (-5.5)	Eagles	SELL	1,000	1¢	$10	0xb40172…
11-01 23:10:28	Spread: Commanders (-5.5)	Eagles	BUY	1,000	50¢	$500	0xc638c7…
11-01 02:18:12	Spread: USC (-7.5)	USC	SELL	1,260	69¢	$870	0xc54c40…
11-01 00:40:57	Spread: USC (-7.5)	USC	BUY	460	40¢	$184	0x04c931…
11-01 00:40:30	Spread: USC (-7.5)	USC	BUY	800	40¢	$320	0xd7093e…
10-22 01:52:08	Spread: Lakers (-6.5)	Warriors	BUY	3,062	49¢	$1,500	0xd449a3…
10-22 01:39:54	Timberwolves vs. Heat	Heat	SELL	2,040	4¢	$82	0x30764e…
10-21 23:52:30	Timberwolves vs. Heat	Heat	BUY	14	49¢	$7	0xf19b15…
10-21 23:52:30	Timberwolves vs. Heat	Heat	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0xeb5687…
10-21 23:52:29	Timberwolves vs. Heat	Heat	BUY	483	49¢	$237	0x96d5cc…
10-21 23:52:29	Timberwolves vs. Heat	Heat	BUY	392	49¢	$192	0x8579a6…
10-21 23:50:12	Timberwolves vs. Heat	Heat	BUY	100	49¢	$49	0x81f8ce…
10-21 23:50:00	Timberwolves vs. Heat	Heat	BUY	94	49¢	$46	0x4319ff…
10-21 23:49:59	Timberwolves vs. Heat	Heat	BUY	137	49¢	$67	0xdf2230…
10-21 23:49:57	Timberwolves vs. Heat	Heat	BUY	9	49¢	$4	0xfebaba…
10-21 23:49:57	Timberwolves vs. Heat	Heat	BUY	798	49¢	$391	0x85d28a…
10-21 23:49:56	Timberwolves vs. Heat	Heat	BUY	7	49¢	$3	0x16603e…
10-18 04:15:17	Nebraska vs. Oregon	Nebraska	BUY	2,234	44¢	$983	0x989983…
10-15 02:12:31	mlb mil lad 2026 10 14	Los Angeles Dodgers	SELL	3,389	18¢	$610	0x2e2327…
10-15 00:17:07	mlb mil lad 2026 10 14	Los Angeles Dodgers	BUY	1,808	54¢	$977	0xdee8b8…
10-14 23:54:40	mlb mil lad 2026 10 14	Los Angeles Dodgers	BUY	1,581	62¢	$980	0xe7a51f…
10-12 03:12:41	Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Milwaukee Brewers	Milwaukee Brewers	SELL	3,129	99¢	$3,098	0x9cb362…
10-11 23:56:00	Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Milwaukee Brewers	Milwaukee Brewers	BUY	3,129	50¢	$1,565	0xeb4fcd…
10-07 15:18:58	Cleveland Guardians vs. Chicago White Sox	Chicago White Sox	BUY	1,836	53¢	$973	0x2b8368…
10-06 21:45:57	Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Atlanta Braves	Los Angeles Dodgers	BUY	1,947	50¢	$973	0x6a4098…
10-05 23:46:08	New York Yankees vs. Tampa Bay Rays	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	2,071	47¢	$973	0x08a5f0…
10-05 23:44:35	New York Yankees vs. Tampa Bay Rays	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xe5826d…
10-04 05:43:31	Colts vs. Commanders	Colts	BUY	7,581	66¢	$5,003	0xef19db…
10-03 22:46:47	Spread: Miami (FL) (-15.5)	Clemson	BUY	2,085	53¢	$1,105	0x8b0408…
10-03 22:43:19	Spread: Miami (FL) (-15.5)	Clemson	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x1e1d9d…
10-03 22:35:58	Spread: Miami (FL) (-15.5)	Clemson	BUY	100	53¢	$53	0x6cf282…
10-03 20:53:46	Spread: Miami (FL) (-15.5)	Miami (FL)	SELL	1,485	48¢	$713	0xc26234…
10-03 20:53:19	Spread: Miami (FL) (-15.5)	Miami (FL)	SELL	915	49¢	$448	0xe9474f…
10-03 20:35:32	Spread: Miami (FL) (-15.5)	Miami (FL)	BUY	2,400	50¢	$1,200	0x1fd34e…
10-03 18:10:06	Spread: Alabama (-10.5)	Alabama	BUY	1,200	59¢	$708	0xfadedd…
10-03 17:59:50	Spread: Alabama (-7.5)	Mississippi State	SELL	2,148	33¢	$709	0xd1b33c…
10-03 16:22:50	Spread: Alabama (-7.5)	Mississippi State	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xf7760f…
10-03 16:22:50	Spread: Alabama (-7.5)	Mississippi State	BUY	0	41¢	$0	0xccc35f…
10-03 16:22:50	Spread: Alabama (-7.5)	Mississippi State	BUY	1,358	41¢	$557	0x56fa58…
10-03 16:22:48	Spread: Alabama (-7.5)	Mississippi State	BUY	200	41¢	$82	0x15ece3…
10-03 15:55:15	Spread: Alabama (-7.5)	Mississippi State	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0x23e91f…
10-03 15:55:03	Spread: Alabama (-7.5)	Mississippi State	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0xf55974…
10-03 15:50:48	Spread: Alabama (-7.5)	Mississippi State	BUY	12	60¢	$8	0xe1d6b6…
10-03 15:41:20	Spread: Alabama (-7.5)	Mississippi State	BUY	170	60¢	$102	0x29d9cc…
10-03 15:41:17	Spread: Alabama (-7.5)	Mississippi State	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x17f80b…
10-03 15:41:14	Spread: Alabama (-7.5)	Mississippi State	BUY	21	60¢	$12	0xc6b3b3…
10-03 15:34:38	Spread: Alabama (-7.5)	Mississippi State	BUY	30	60¢	$18	0x57392b…
10-03 15:34:27	Spread: Alabama (-7.5)	Mississippi State	BUY	4	60¢	$3	0xf8f281…
10-03 15:20:12	Spread: Alabama (-7.5)	Mississippi State	BUY	255	60¢	$153	0xd7c184…
10-03 15:20:08	Spread: Alabama (-7.5)	Mississippi State	BUY	79	60¢	$48	0xd0553d…
09-19 22:32:21	Spread: Notre Dame (-29.5)	Notre Dame	BUY	14,290	49¢	$7,002	0x85e899…
09-19 21:19:15	cfb flst ala 2026 09 19 spread home 18pt5	Alabama	BUY	103	48¢	$50	0x4a962f…
09-19 21:18:48	cfb flst ala 2026 09 19 spread home 18pt5	Alabama	BUY	1,000	48¢	$480	0x1d86cf…
09-19 20:45:05	cfb flst ala 2026 09 19 spread home 18pt5	Alabama	BUY	500	48¢	$240	0xb06fd1…
09-19 20:42:33	cfb flst ala 2026 09 19 spread home 18pt5	Alabama	BUY	1,527	48¢	$733	0xe7ded0…
09-19 19:13:29	cfb flst ala 2026 09 19 spread home 18pt5	Alabama	BUY	3,150	49¢	$1,544	0xfc8756…
09-19 02:00:49	cfb mia wake 2026 09 18 spread away 23pt5	Miami (FL)	BUY	473	59¢	$279	0x3e812d…
09-19 01:19:37	cfb mia wake 2026 09 18 spread away 23pt5	Miami (FL)	BUY	29	59¢	$17	0x640fc2…
09-19 01:18:52	cfb mia wake 2026 09 18 spread away 23pt5	Miami (FL)	BUY	2,888	59¢	$1,704	0xfa1a7e…
09-19 01:13:18	cfb mia wake 2026 09 18 spread away 21pt5	Wake Forest	SELL	1,000	36¢	$360	0x212fe4…
09-19 00:01:24	cfb mia wake 2026 09 18 spread away 21pt5	Wake Forest	BUY	730	50¢	$365	0xc1ab47…
09-19 00:01:24	cfb mia wake 2026 09 18 spread away 21pt5	Wake Forest	BUY	60	50¢	$30	0x6cd904…
09-19 00:01:22	cfb mia wake 2026 09 18 spread away 21pt5	Wake Forest	BUY	200	50¢	$100	0x683907…
09-19 00:01:03	cfb mia wake 2026 09 18 spread away 21pt5	Wake Forest	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x6892c4…
09-14 03:22:34	Cowboys vs. Giants	Cowboys	SELL	1,000	1¢	$10	0x24dc1b…
09-14 02:41:51	Spread: Chiefs (-2.5)	Chiefs	BUY	1	49¢	$1	0xd78a41…
09-14 02:37:43	Spread: Chiefs (-2.5)	Chiefs	BUY	47	49¢	$23	0x21a24b…
09-14 02:37:28	Spread: Chiefs (-2.5)	Chiefs	BUY	98	49¢	$48	0xb590dc…
09-14 02:36:45	Spread: Chiefs (-2.5)	Chiefs	BUY	42	49¢	$21	0xf5111a…
09-14 02:29:24	Spread: Chiefs (-2.5)	Chiefs	BUY	29	49¢	$14	0xf02c4f…
09-14 02:29:24	Spread: Chiefs (-2.5)	Chiefs	BUY	64	49¢	$32	0x920612…
09-14 02:28:16	Spread: Chiefs (-2.5)	Chiefs	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x2c4070…
09-14 02:24:39	Spread: Chiefs (-2.5)	Chiefs	BUY	24	49¢	$12	0x875a41…
09-14 02:20:31	Spread: Chiefs (-2.5)	Chiefs	BUY	28	49¢	$14	0x8749b2…
09-14 02:14:43	Spread: Chiefs (-2.5)	Chiefs	BUY	54	49¢	$27	0x49a887…
09-14 01:40:37	Spread: Chiefs (-2.5)	Chiefs	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x514a82…
09-14 01:33:42	Spread: Chiefs (-2.5)	Chiefs	BUY	9	49¢	$4	0x67cd70…
09-14 01:32:48	Spread: Chiefs (-2.5)	Chiefs	BUY	96	49¢	$47	0x12d8ac…
09-14 01:30:03	Spread: Chiefs (-2.5)	Chiefs	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x354501…
09-14 01:30:01	Spread: Chiefs (-2.5)	Chiefs	BUY	47	49¢	$23	0x0d3d73…