Untried-Essay — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$20

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

86.9%

Resolved

Trades

6,878

lifetime

Volume

$77.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$11

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 07-25 21:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

53% 100% +$38

Other

39% — —

Politics

7% 0% $-18

Tech

1% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

27 active days in 12wk • peak 116 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
elon musk of tweets february 16 february 18 90 114	7	$1.2K	1,520	0	+1,520	open	—	02-18 15:21
elon musk of tweets february 21 february 23 65 89	25	$1.0K	1,001	501	+500	open	—	02-23 14:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	4	$976	500	500	+0	open	—	05-29 23:14
elon musk of tweets february 14 february 16 65 89	4	$950	1,000	0	+1,000	open	—	02-16 14:49
elon musk of tweets february 12 february 14 40 64	5	$659	1,005	0	+1,005	open	—	02-14 15:14
elon musk of tweets february 9 february 11 165 189	17	$625	805	300	+505	open	—	02-11 16:24
elon musk of tweets february 10 february 17 240 259	11	$508	1,034	0	+1,034	open	—	02-17 16:20
btc updown 5m 1775351400	4	$499	505	0	+505	open	—	04-05 01:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	2	$494	505	0	+505	open	—	05-29 03:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	3	$494	505	0	+505	open	—	05-30 22:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	9	$494	505	0	+505	open	—	05-31 18:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	3	$493	505	0	+505	open	—	05-30 23:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	2	$491	505	0	+505	open	—	05-30 23:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	7	$490	500	0	+500	open	—	06-03 01:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	5	$490	500	0	+500	open	—	06-02 00:24
btc updown 5m 1780944000	6	$490	500	0	+500	open	—	06-08 18:44
btc updown 5m 1780519800	8	$490	500	0	+500	open	—	06-03 20:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	2	$490	500	0	+500	open	—	05-29 04:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	11	$490	500	0	+500	open	—	06-02 02:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	4	$490	500	0	+500	open	—	05-30 22:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	1	$490	500	0	+500	open	—	06-02 00:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	8	$490	500	0	+500	open	—	05-29 04:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	6	$490	500	0	+500	open	—	06-02 01:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	6	$490	500	0	+500	open	—	05-29 22:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	1	$490	500	0	+500	open	—	05-31 19:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	5	$490	500	0	+500	open	—	06-01 22:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	1	$490	500	0	+500	open	—	06-02 22:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	8	$490	500	0	+500	open	—	05-31 18:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	5	$490	500	0	+500	open	—	06-03 01:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	1	$490	500	0	+500	open	—	06-02 01:54

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-25 21:00:42	btc updown 15m 1785013200	Up	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0x79a950…
07-25 20:45:15	btc updown 15m 1785012300	Up	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0x7d43ad…
07-25 20:42:15	btc updown 15m 1785012300	Down	BUY	6	45¢	$3	0x28812d…
07-25 20:30:55	btc updown 15m 1785011400	Up	BUY	1	47¢	$0	0xc427c4…
07-25 20:30:55	btc updown 15m 1785011400	Up	BUY	0	47¢	$0	0x353578…
07-25 20:30:09	btc updown 15m 1785011400	Down	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0xdeead1…
07-25 20:30:03	btc updown 15m 1785011400	Up	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x6a3c2c…
07-25 01:09:45	btc updown 15m 1784941200	Up	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0x33fa83…
07-25 00:58:22	btc updown 15m 1784941200	Down	BUY	6	46¢	$3	0x2162ad…
07-25 00:45:21	btc updown 15m 1784940300	Up	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0xa97dcd…
07-25 00:43:30	btc updown 15m 1784940300	Down	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0x52cc14…
07-25 00:30:09	btc updown 15m 1784939400	Up	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0x9eb1f7…
07-25 00:30:09	btc updown 15m 1784939400	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x8baf55…
07-25 00:30:04	btc updown 15m 1784939400	Down	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0xe95704…
07-25 00:19:52	btc updown 15m 1784938500	Up	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0x88f5dd…
07-25 00:15:03	btc updown 15m 1784938500	Down	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0xa7e9f4…
07-24 20:47:18	btc updown 15m 1784925900	Up	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0xdb9f69…
07-24 20:47:18	btc updown 15m 1784925900	Up	BUY	0	47¢	$0	0x408f72…
07-24 20:45:04	btc updown 15m 1784925900	Down	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0x08f0a5…
07-24 19:45:49	btc updown 15m 1784922300	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xf29912…
07-24 19:45:48	btc updown 15m 1784922300	Up	BUY	0	47¢	$0	0xe0a530…
07-24 19:45:42	btc updown 15m 1784922300	Up	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0x827de4…
07-24 19:45:40	btc updown 15m 1784922300	Up	BUY	0	47¢	$0	0x370624…
07-24 19:45:22	btc updown 15m 1784922300	Down	BUY	1	47¢	$0	0x5e666e…
07-24 19:45:18	btc updown 15m 1784922300	Down	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0xbd41ba…
07-24 19:03:07	bitcoin up or down july 24 2026 3pm et	Up	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xf3322c…
07-24 18:59:49	btc updown 15m 1784919600	Up	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0xe75d90…
07-24 02:05:00	btc updown 15m 1784858400	Up	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0xf3f0c9…
07-24 02:00:09	btc updown 15m 1784858400	Down	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x186f66…
07-24 01:30:13	btc updown 15m 1784856600	Down	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x214b00…
07-24 01:29:25	btc updown 15m 1784856600	Up	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0xa884d3…
07-24 01:28:03	btc updown 15m 1784855700	Up	BUY	40	98¢	$39	0x4116fe…
07-24 01:16:25	btc updown 15m 1784855700	Down	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x8d61cc…
07-24 01:15:06	btc updown 15m 1784855700	Up	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x2057c6…
07-24 01:10:49	btc updown 15m 1784854800	Up	BUY	40	98¢	$39	0x0987c3…
07-24 01:02:06	btc updown 15m 1784854800	Down	BUY	3	46¢	$1	0xf006f6…
07-24 01:02:06	btc updown 15m 1784854800	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x4ab993…
07-24 01:02:06	btc updown 15m 1784854800	Down	BUY	0	46¢	$0	0x070cc4…
07-24 01:00:06	btc updown 15m 1784854800	Up	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0xe4deff…
07-24 00:45:04	btc updown 5m 1784853900	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xf6161b…
07-24 00:45:03	btc updown 5m 1784853900	Down	BUY	3	49¢	$1	0xc9d362…
07-24 00:30:45	btc updown 5m 1784853000	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x3b7462…
07-24 00:29:58	btc updown 5m 1784853000	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x4e0cd3…
07-24 00:29:06	btc updown 15m 1784852100	Down	BUY	40	99¢	$40	0x29048f…
07-24 00:28:58	btc updown 15m 1784852100	Down	BUY	40	99¢	$40	0x6c7600…
07-24 00:10:24	btc updown 5m 1784851800	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x457b1a…
07-23 23:55:28	btc updown 5m 1784850900	Up	BUY	0	50¢	$0	0xc7d2b6…
07-23 23:55:28	btc updown 5m 1784850900	Up	BUY	1	50¢	$1	0x011604…
07-23 23:55:27	btc updown 5m 1784850900	Up	BUY	3	50¢	$2	0xc8b996…
07-23 23:54:36	btc updown 5m 1784850900	Down	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0xf4c735…
07-23 23:50:19	btc updown 5m 1784850600	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xb1b042…
07-23 23:49:18	btc updown 5m 1784850600	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x69119b…
07-23 23:45:03	btc updown 5m 1784850300	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xc0f8ff…
07-23 23:45:03	btc updown 5m 1784850300	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x983218…
07-23 23:25:16	btc updown 5m 1784849100	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xb74335…
07-23 23:25:06	btc updown 5m 1784849100	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xedb475…
07-23 23:14:57	btc updown 15m 1784847600	Down	BUY	40	18¢	$7	0x2c80d7…
07-23 22:59:51	btc updown 15m 1784846700	Down	BUY	40	99¢	$40	0xb1629e…
07-23 22:59:33	bitcoin up or down july 23 2026 6pm et	Up	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0xc35177…
07-23 22:59:24	bitcoin up or down july 23 2026 6pm et	Up	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0x4aa238…
07-23 01:58:12	btc updown 15m 1784771100	Up	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0xf87bd3…
07-23 01:58:06	btc updown 15m 1784771100	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x8bdebd…
07-23 01:26:40	btc updown 15m 1784769300	Down	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0xd96fb6…
07-23 01:24:42	btc updown 5m 1784769600	Up	BUY	20	91¢	$18	0x215e3e…
07-23 01:14:52	btc updown 15m 1784768400	Down	BUY	20	97¢	$19	0x0d44cb…
07-23 00:59:30	bitcoin up or down july 22 2026 8pm et	Down	BUY	20	90¢	$18	0x279eed…
07-23 00:49:57	btc updown 5m 1784767500	Up	BUY	20	20¢	$4	0xc0b970…
07-23 00:44:34	btc updown 5m 1784767200	Down	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x344568…
07-23 00:34:58	btc updown 5m 1784766600	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x0b576c…
07-23 00:29:57	btc updown 5m 1784766300	Down	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xb15e96…
07-23 00:24:00	btc updown 5m 1784766000	Up	BUY	20	91¢	$18	0x46c2a8…
07-23 00:11:45	btc updown 15m 1784764800	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x1618b0…
07-23 00:08:43	btc updown 5m 1784765100	Up	BUY	20	97¢	$19	0x740937…
07-22 23:59:30	btc updown 5m 1784764500	Up	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0xe7990c…
07-22 23:39:27	btc updown 5m 1784763300	Up	BUY	20	87¢	$17	0x19b28d…
07-22 23:34:57	btc updown 5m 1784763000	Down	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x9f29fe…
07-22 23:29:46	btc updown 5m 1784762700	Up	BUY	20	97¢	$19	0xf710ab…
07-22 23:23:21	btc updown 5m 1784762400	Up	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x7f1218…
07-22 22:59:58	btc updown 5m 1784760900	Up	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x0f87ba…
07-22 22:55:01	btc updown 5m 1784760600	Up	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0xbb410b…
07-21 19:59:48	btc updown 15m 1784663100	Down	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x4cab89…
07-21 19:49:51	btc updown 5m 1784663100	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xbbb358…
07-21 19:49:31	btc updown 5m 1784663100	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xaafa41…
07-21 19:19:16	btc updown 5m 1784661300	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x9c20d9…
07-21 19:09:55	btc updown 5m 1784660700	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xd22b61…
07-21 18:59:40	btc updown 15m 1784659500	Up	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xcd132b…
07-21 18:54:43	btc updown 5m 1784659800	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xfa8abe…
07-21 18:44:19	btc updown 15m 1784658600	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x9e8b1a…
07-21 18:30:00	btc updown 5m 1784658300	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xc1c79e…
07-21 18:29:12	btc updown 15m 1784657700	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xb13e2e…
07-21 18:24:13	btc updown 5m 1784658000	Up	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x338c9b…
07-20 21:15:28	btc updown 15m 1784581200	Down	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x8188ff…
07-20 20:33:36	btc updown 5m 1784579400	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x4050d2…
07-20 20:24:57	btc updown 5m 1784578800	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x398fb8…
07-20 18:18:31	bitcoin up or down july 20 2026 2pm et	Up	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0xfc891b…
07-20 18:18:31	bitcoin up or down july 20 2026 2pm et	Up	BUY	5	70¢	$3	0xc48a76…
07-20 18:18:31	bitcoin up or down july 20 2026 2pm et	Up	BUY	0	70¢	$0	0x281db7…
07-20 03:59:57	bitcoin up or down july 19 2026 11pm et	Down	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0xeed91a…
07-19 18:33:19	bitcoin up or down july 19 2026 2pm et	Down	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0x16d585…
07-19 17:51:27	bitcoin up or down july 19 2026 1pm et	Up	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0xea982c…