Untried-Essay — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$20

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

86.9%

Resolved

Trades

6,790

lifetime

Volume

$76.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$11

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 07-21 18:30

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

52% 100% +$38

Other

40% — —

Politics

7% 0% $-18

Tech

1% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

41 active days in 12wk • peak 116 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
elon musk of tweets february 16 february 18 90 114	7	$1.2K	1,520	0	+1,520	open	—	02-18 15:21
elon musk of tweets february 21 february 23 65 89	25	$1.0K	1,001	501	+500	open	—	02-23 14:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	4	$976	500	500	+0	open	—	05-29 23:14
elon musk of tweets february 14 february 16 65 89	4	$950	1,000	0	+1,000	open	—	02-16 14:49
elon musk of tweets february 12 february 14 40 64	5	$659	1,005	0	+1,005	open	—	02-14 15:14
elon musk of tweets february 9 february 11 165 189	17	$625	805	300	+505	open	—	02-11 16:24
elon musk of tweets february 10 february 17 240 259	11	$508	1,034	0	+1,034	open	—	02-17 16:20
btc updown 5m 1775351400	4	$499	505	0	+505	open	—	04-05 01:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	2	$494	505	0	+505	open	—	05-29 03:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	3	$494	505	0	+505	open	—	05-30 22:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	9	$494	505	0	+505	open	—	05-31 18:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	3	$493	505	0	+505	open	—	05-30 23:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	2	$491	505	0	+505	open	—	05-30 23:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	5	$490	500	0	+500	open	—	06-02 00:24
btc updown 5m 1780944000	6	$490	500	0	+500	open	—	06-08 18:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	7	$490	500	0	+500	open	—	06-03 01:03
btc updown 5m 1780519800	8	$490	500	0	+500	open	—	06-03 20:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	1	$490	500	0	+500	open	—	05-31 19:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	6	$490	500	0	+500	open	—	06-02 01:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	8	$490	500	0	+500	open	—	05-29 04:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	5	$490	500	0	+500	open	—	06-01 22:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	4	$490	500	0	+500	open	—	05-30 22:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	11	$490	500	0	+500	open	—	06-02 02:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	8	$490	500	0	+500	open	—	05-31 18:34
btc updown 5m 1780524600	1	$490	500	0	+500	open	—	06-03 22:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	1	$490	500	0	+500	open	—	06-02 01:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	1	$490	500	0	+500	open	—	06-02 22:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	1	$490	500	0	+500	open	—	06-02 01:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	5	$490	500	0	+500	open	—	06-03 01:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	1	$490	500	0	+500	open	—	05-29 22:50

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-21 19:59:48	btc updown 15m 1784663100	Down	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x4cab89…
07-21 19:49:51	btc updown 5m 1784663100	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xbbb358…
07-21 19:49:31	btc updown 5m 1784663100	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xaafa41…
07-21 19:19:16	btc updown 5m 1784661300	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x9c20d9…
07-21 19:09:55	btc updown 5m 1784660700	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xd22b61…
07-21 18:59:40	btc updown 15m 1784659500	Up	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xcd132b…
07-21 18:54:43	btc updown 5m 1784659800	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xfa8abe…
07-21 18:44:19	btc updown 15m 1784658600	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x9e8b1a…
07-21 18:30:00	btc updown 5m 1784658300	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xc1c79e…
07-21 18:29:12	btc updown 15m 1784657700	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xb13e2e…
07-21 18:24:13	btc updown 5m 1784658000	Up	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x338c9b…
07-20 21:15:28	btc updown 15m 1784581200	Down	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x8188ff…
07-20 20:33:36	btc updown 5m 1784579400	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x4050d2…
07-20 20:24:57	btc updown 5m 1784578800	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x398fb8…
07-20 18:18:31	bitcoin up or down july 20 2026 2pm et	Up	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0xfc891b…
07-20 18:18:31	bitcoin up or down july 20 2026 2pm et	Up	BUY	5	70¢	$3	0xc48a76…
07-20 18:18:31	bitcoin up or down july 20 2026 2pm et	Up	BUY	0	70¢	$0	0x281db7…
07-20 03:59:57	bitcoin up or down july 19 2026 11pm et	Down	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0xeed91a…
07-19 18:33:19	bitcoin up or down july 19 2026 2pm et	Down	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0x16d585…
07-19 17:51:27	bitcoin up or down july 19 2026 1pm et	Up	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0xea982c…
07-18 22:51:13	bitcoin up or down july 18 2026 6pm et	Up	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0xd29045…
07-12 00:45:37	bitcoin up or down july 11 2026 8pm et	Down	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0xa13fff…
07-12 00:41:29	bitcoin up or down july 11 2026 8pm et	Down	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0x7ec7d6…
07-12 00:38:35	bitcoin up or down july 11 2026 8pm et	Down	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x64d160…
07-12 00:31:10	bitcoin up or down july 11 2026 8pm et	Down	BUY	3	56¢	$2	0xdcde98…
07-12 00:31:10	bitcoin up or down july 11 2026 8pm et	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x323ca6…
07-12 00:31:07	bitcoin up or down july 11 2026 8pm et	Down	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0xca5608…
07-12 00:26:59	bitcoin up or down july 11 2026 8pm et	Down	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0x5d44b9…
07-12 00:23:17	bitcoin up or down july 11 2026 8pm et	Down	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0x6ce23c…
07-12 00:07:58	bitcoin up or down july 11 2026 8pm et	Down	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x0ca24a…
07-09 19:50:52	bitcoin up or down july 9 2026 3pm et	Down	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x62d70a…
07-09 19:44:05	bitcoin up or down july 9 2026 3pm et	Down	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xacc9c7…
07-09 19:35:19	bitcoin up or down july 9 2026 3pm et	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x019e2e…
07-09 19:24:19	bitcoin up or down july 9 2026 3pm et	Down	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x0d98b9…
07-09 19:16:02	bitcoin up or down july 9 2026 3pm et	Down	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x31ca86…
07-09 19:09:23	bitcoin up or down july 9 2026 3pm et	Up	SELL	5	50¢	$2	0x4a906a…
07-09 19:08:32	bitcoin up or down july 9 2026 3pm et	Up	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0xe08b53…
07-09 18:43:11	bitcoin up or down july 9 2026 2pm et	Up	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0xe19111…
07-09 18:37:28	bitcoin up or down july 9 2026 2pm et	Up	BUY	10	86¢	$9	0x8562d6…
07-09 18:10:52	bitcoin up or down july 9 2026 2pm et	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x1a06c3…
07-09 18:09:07	bitcoin up or down july 9 2026 2pm et	Down	BUY	5	18¢	$1	0x854848…
07-09 03:22:22	bitcoin up or down july 8 2026 11pm et	Down	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0x05a09d…
07-09 03:17:53	bitcoin up or down july 8 2026 11pm et	Down	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0xc8a72e…
07-09 02:50:17	bitcoin up or down july 8 2026 10pm et	Down	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x5e4e82…
07-09 02:50:14	bitcoin up or down july 8 2026 10pm et	Down	BUY	4	92¢	$4	0xbdcc71…
07-09 02:34:46	bitcoin up or down july 8 2026 10pm et	Down	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xd48bf5…
07-08 19:11:23	btc updown 5m 1783537800	Up	BUY	5	16¢	$1	0x553091…
07-08 19:00:41	btc updown 5m 1783537200	Down	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0x428595…
07-08 18:52:13	btc updown 5m 1783536600	Down	BUY	5	7¢	$0	0x201f14…
07-08 18:46:31	btc updown 5m 1783536300	Down	BUY	5	12¢	$1	0x4a209d…
07-08 18:35:25	btc updown 5m 1783535700	Up	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0xcd4fdd…
07-08 18:30:53	btc updown 5m 1783535400	Up	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0x084ed5…
07-08 18:21:02	btc updown 5m 1783534800	Up	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0x473544…
07-08 18:10:52	btc updown 5m 1783534200	Down	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x691f75…
07-08 18:05:40	btc updown 5m 1783533900	Up	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0xe87789…
07-08 18:05:38	btc updown 5m 1783533900	Up	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0xcf0086…
07-08 18:00:44	btc updown 5m 1783533600	Down	BUY	1	25¢	$0	0x719c6f…
07-08 18:00:44	btc updown 5m 1783533600	Down	BUY	9	25¢	$2	0x4e595d…
07-08 17:51:32	btc updown 5m 1783533000	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x579ca6…
07-08 17:51:32	btc updown 5m 1783533000	Up	BUY	1	25¢	$0	0x2e6507…
07-08 17:45:49	btc updown 5m 1783532700	Up	BUY	3	25¢	$1	0x91ee4b…
07-08 17:45:49	btc updown 5m 1783532700	Up	BUY	2	25¢	$1	0x5f736e…
07-08 17:40:37	btc updown 5m 1783532400	Up	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0xf0c048…
07-08 17:36:37	btc updown 5m 1783532100	Down	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0xe17d03…
07-08 17:20:43	btc updown 5m 1783531200	Down	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0x47566e…
07-08 17:16:10	btc updown 5m 1783530900	Down	BUY	11	20¢	$2	0xd903eb…
07-08 17:16:10	btc updown 5m 1783530900	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x5be74b…
07-08 17:16:10	btc updown 5m 1783530900	Down	BUY	4	20¢	$1	0x009ca7…
07-08 17:11:13	btc updown 5m 1783530600	Up	BUY	2	20¢	$0	0xb68604…
07-08 17:11:13	btc updown 5m 1783530600	Up	BUY	8	20¢	$2	0x6fe835…
07-08 17:06:35	btc updown 5m 1783530300	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xec7118…
07-08 17:03:47	btc updown 5m 1783530000	Up	SELL	5	27¢	$1	0xd08949…
07-08 17:03:23	btc updown 5m 1783530000	Up	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0x08fe6a…
07-08 16:55:46	btc updown 5m 1783529700	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x4f809f…
07-08 16:40:53	btc updown 5m 1783528800	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xa4dc44…
07-08 16:37:11	btc updown 5m 1783528500	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x85a728…
07-08 16:37:11	btc updown 5m 1783528500	Up	BUY	0	20¢	$0	0x20de55…
07-08 16:27:25	btc updown 5m 1783527900	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x8ebc8b…
07-08 16:20:55	btc updown 5m 1783527600	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x7ad00b…
07-08 16:16:16	btc updown 5m 1783527300	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xa5c226…
07-08 16:12:35	btc updown 5m 1783527000	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x6615c3…
07-08 16:05:26	btc updown 5m 1783526700	Down	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xe1b88f…
07-08 16:00:55	btc updown 5m 1783526400	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x084905…
07-08 15:57:55	btc updown 5m 1783526100	Up	BUY	2	20¢	$0	0x7c32af…
07-08 15:57:55	btc updown 5m 1783526100	Up	BUY	2	20¢	$0	0x4aa03b…
07-08 15:52:05	btc updown 5m 1783525800	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x7cd5a3…
07-07 21:35:38	btc updown 5m 1783460100	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xec9153…
07-07 21:30:17	btc updown 5m 1783459800	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xc6a6b4…
07-07 21:20:32	btc updown 5m 1783459200	Up	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0xad94c9…
07-07 21:15:13	btc updown 5m 1783458900	Up	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0x51d1e7…
07-07 21:10:37	btc updown 5m 1783458600	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x097705…
07-07 21:05:29	btc updown 5m 1783458300	Down	BUY	4	40¢	$2	0xec7e31…
07-07 21:05:29	btc updown 5m 1783458300	Down	BUY	1	40¢	$0	0xb72858…
07-07 21:00:19	btc updown 5m 1783458000	Down	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x3cd65e…
07-07 20:40:17	btc updown 5m 1783456800	Down	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x8fdb57…
07-07 20:35:35	btc updown 5m 1783456500	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x20c7fb…
07-07 20:30:35	btc updown 5m 1783456200	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x79126f…
07-07 20:25:37	btc updown 5m 1783455900	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xb08c06…
07-07 20:20:16	btc updown 5m 1783455600	Up	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x175a07…
07-07 20:15:25	btc updown 5m 1783455300	Up	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x349077…