Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$398

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

42.4%

Resolved

Trades

170

lifetime

Volume

$6.95K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$41

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-07-06

last 10-20 15:50

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 21 days

Categories

Other

62% 31% +$15

Sports

21% 0% -$99

Politics

17% 0% -$314

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

15 active days in 12wk • peak 27 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (24) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by December 31?	16	$1.2K	1,577	1,577	+0	Yes	+$18	10-20 00:42
Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2026 World Series?	20	$1.0K	784	784	+0	No	-$49	10-08 01:26
Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	4	$662	11,391	11,391	+0	open	—	10-08 10:08
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by September 30?	21	$525	2,441	2,441	+0	No	+$40	09-23 01:07
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?	2	$365	532	532	+0	Yes	-$15	09-22 03:22
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?	4	$197	464	464	+0	open	—	09-10 22:41
Will the Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 World Series?	2	$195	448	448	+0	No	-$2	10-08 09:19
Will the Cleveland Guardians win the 2026 World Series?	2	$185	3,381	3,381	+0	No	-$15	10-08 09:49
will trump say economy during xi jinpings state arrival	3	$174	608	0	+608	No	-$174	09-24 12:42
Curfew in a major French city by October 31, 2026?	4	$156	108	108	+0	Yes	+$16	10-19 12:36
fifwc usa bel 2026 07 06 team to advance	2	$147	102	102	+0	Belgium	+$51	07-07 01:43
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?	4	$139	412	412	+0	open	—	09-14 22:05
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	2	$129	479	479	+0	open	—	10-20 15:49
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	4	$129	946	946	+0	No	-$6	09-14 22:15
Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival?	2	$119	439	0	+439	No	-$119	09-24 12:42
fifwc esp bel 2026 07 10 team total away 0pt5	3	$106	136	136	+0	Over	$0	07-10 13:12
Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	2	$106	204	204	+0	No	-$8	10-09 00:43
will aapl reach 320 in july 2026	3	$98	209	209	+0	Yes	+$6	07-07 20:44
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?	2	$97	263	263	+0	Yes	-$3	09-10 18:20
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	2	$87	236	236	+0	Yes	-$13	10-19 18:19
Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-07?	2	$87	181	181	+0	No	-$11	07-07 21:20
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?	3	$84	643	643	+0	open	—	10-19 22:04
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?	2	$75	61	61	+0	No	-$10	07-10 06:25
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?	3	$65	3,206	3,206	+0	open	—	10-20 15:50
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?	2	$55	562	562	+0	No	-$5	09-22 03:22
Will SSC Napoli vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?	1	$49	88	0	+88	No	+$39	09-09 20:24
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?	4	$45	158	158	+0	Yes	+$5	07-10 07:54
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$44	104	104	+0	Yes	$0	07-14 10:53
Curfew in a major French city by October 24, 2026?	2	$44	35	35	+0	Yes	+$4	10-19 12:36
Will the International Court of Justice win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	3	$44	418	418	+0	No	+$6	10-09 05:35

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-20 15:50:39	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?	Yes	SELL	3,206	1¢	$32	0xc19f28…
10-20 15:49:42	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	479	13¢	$62	0xb0bd3f…
10-20 15:27:15	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	479	14¢	$67	0xdc35e9…
10-20 00:43:08	Cleveland Guardians vs. Tampa Bay Rays	Cleveland Guardians	BUY	83	40¢	$33	0xb806ef…
10-20 00:42:23	Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by December 31?	Yes	SELL	131	27¢	$35	0x756daf…
10-19 22:23:24	Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by December 31?	Yes	BUY	131	28¢	$37	0xc79a58…
10-19 22:04:33	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?	Yes	SELL	643	6¢	$39	0x97d2d5…
10-19 18:43:18	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	Yes	SELL	386	1¢	$4	0x1a6ee5…
10-19 18:43:11	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	Yes	SELL	235	3¢	$8	0xe6822f…
10-19 18:43:03	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	Yes	SELL	87	17¢	$15	0x9b53b5…
10-19 18:23:09	Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,530	0¢	$2	0x72fab7…
10-19 18:22:57	Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x51b0e5…
10-19 18:22:48	Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	Yes	BUY	333	0¢	$1	0x19f501…
10-19 18:22:38	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	Yes	BUY	386	1¢	$5	0x22d1bd…
10-19 18:22:29	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	Yes	BUY	235	4¢	$10	0x5abf72…
10-19 18:22:18	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	Yes	BUY	87	20¢	$17	0x0cba58…
10-19 18:19:30	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	No	SELL	236	16¢	$37	0xea9c89…
10-19 17:43:33	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	No	BUY	236	21¢	$50	0x1aa3af…
10-19 15:44:41	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?	Yes	BUY	429	7¢	$30	0x985698…
10-19 15:30:17	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?	Yes	BUY	1,778	1¢	$23	0x08fe59…
10-19 15:05:06	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?	Yes	BUY	214	7¢	$15	0x575801…
10-19 15:04:54	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?	Yes	BUY	1,429	1¢	$10	0x2c6a51…
10-19 14:33:11	Florence: Miguel Damas vs Samuele Pieri	Samuele Pieri	BUY	27	91¢	$25	0xbce3e2…
10-19 12:43:03	Japan Women's Open: Katie Boulter vs Himeno Sakatsume	Katie Boulter	SELL	18	93¢	$17	0xa56188…
10-19 12:36:32	Curfew in a major French city by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	108	79¢	$86	0xea6a2c…
10-19 12:36:23	Curfew in a major French city by October 24, 2026?	Yes	SELL	35	69¢	$24	0x5a95dd…
10-19 11:38:36	Curfew in a major French city by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	19	60¢	$11	0x2b0b8b…
10-19 11:32:09	Curfew in a major French city by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	80	65¢	$52	0x4d7f21…
10-19 11:27:57	Curfew in a major French city by October 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	35	57¢	$20	0x1a0326…
10-19 11:27:38	Curfew in a major French city by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	68¢	$7	0x1d1bc0…
10-19 10:46:42	Lyon Open, Qualification: Pierre-Hugues Herbert vs Maxim Mrva	Pierre-Hugues Herbert	BUY	11	88¢	$10	0xf96151…
10-19 10:45:00	Japan Women's Open: Katie Boulter vs Himeno Sakatsume	Katie Boulter	BUY	18	94¢	$17	0x3a30a2…
10-09 05:37:18	Will Pope Leo XIV win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	BUY	494	3¢	$13	0x7d76a8…
10-09 05:36:17	Will Greta Thunberg win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	BUY	5,259	0¢	$10	0xbcb744…
10-09 05:35:08	Will the International Court of Justice win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	SELL	418	6¢	$25	0x88766b…
10-09 00:46:45	Will the International Court of Justice win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	BUY	342	4¢	$15	0x09f082…
10-09 00:46:15	Will Save the Children win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	BUY	319	5¢	$15	0xcdbfd9…
10-09 00:44:32	Will Mykola Kuleba win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	BUY	183	8¢	$15	0x6ee08c…
10-09 00:43:26	Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	SELL	204	24¢	$49	0x22cb60…
10-09 00:37:03	Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	BUY	204	28¢	$57	0xbcd17c…
10-08 21:28:45	Will the International Court of Justice win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	BUY	75	5¢	$4	0x470b02…
10-08 21:28:17	Will UNRWA win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	BUY	217	2¢	$5	0x2606bf…
10-08 21:27:35	Will Mykola Kuleba win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	BUY	196	10¢	$20	0x17f9d2…
10-08 21:27:00	Will Save the Children win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	BUY	233	9¢	$20	0x1bba0a…
10-08 10:08:12	Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	6,703	3¢	$185	0x44bafa…
10-08 09:49:39	Will the Cleveland Guardians win the 2026 World Series?	Yes	SELL	3,381	3¢	$85	0x45f58a…
10-08 09:19:18	Will the Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 World Series?	Yes	SELL	448	22¢	$97	0x6dc915…
10-08 09:18:53	Will the Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 World Series?	Yes	BUY	448	22¢	$98	0x47799d…
10-08 09:18:14	Will the Cleveland Guardians win the 2026 World Series?	Yes	BUY	3,381	3¢	$100	0x73d98a…
10-08 06:11:04	Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	6,703	3¢	$188	0xb25f32…
10-08 02:16:14	Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	4,688	3¢	$139	0x1103b0…
10-08 01:26:31	Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2026 World Series?	No	SELL	221	54¢	$119	0xbde0e9…
10-08 00:04:34	Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2026 World Series?	No	BUY	221	65¢	$143	0xf73698…
10-08 00:02:40	Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	4,688	3¢	$150	0xe4387f…
09-24 12:42:32	Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival?	Yes	BUY	347	27¢	$94	0x8171b4…
09-24 12:42:14	will trump say economy during xi jinpings state arrival	Yes	BUY	370	27¢	$100	0xe3b193…
09-24 12:37:17	will trump say economy during xi jinpings state arrival	Yes	BUY	157	31¢	$49	0x812da2…
09-24 12:36:49	Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival?	Yes	BUY	93	27¢	$25	0x408f30…
09-24 12:36:29	will trump say economy during xi jinpings state arrival	Yes	BUY	81	31¢	$25	0x2f5371…
09-23 01:47:01	Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by December 31?	Yes	SELL	190	48¢	$92	0xbc86fb…
09-23 01:45:53	Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by December 31?	Yes	SELL	40	61¢	$24	0x116831…
09-23 01:37:58	Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by December 31?	Yes	SELL	274	61¢	$167	0x7c1157…
09-23 01:07:53	Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by December 31?	Yes	BUY	281	47¢	$132	0xff8f56…
09-23 01:07:20	Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by September 30?	Yes	SELL	896	15¢	$134	0x6e1e46…
09-23 01:04:07	Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by December 31?	Yes	BUY	224	43¢	$96	0xe9c056…
09-22 03:22:44	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?	Yes	SELL	910	1¢	$5	0x7948bd…
09-22 03:22:35	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?	Yes	SELL	562	4¢	$25	0xc4ce31…
09-22 03:22:24	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?	Yes	SELL	532	33¢	$175	0x71b4d9…
09-22 03:01:33	Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by September 30?	Yes	BUY	27	7¢	$2	0xa4c925…
09-22 03:00:08	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xda5179…
09-22 02:59:53	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3,000	0¢	$3	0x293a63…
09-22 02:59:39	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,079	0¢	$5	0x48b848…
09-22 02:59:27	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	910	1¢	$10	0xa41573…
09-22 02:59:06	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	562	5¢	$30	0x387660…
09-22 02:58:48	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	532	36¢	$190	0x7cad0c…
09-20 13:18:55	Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by September 30?	Yes	BUY	60	9¢	$5	0x19d00f…
09-20 13:18:28	Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by September 30?	Yes	BUY	196	8¢	$16	0x110427…
09-20 13:16:52	Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by September 30?	Yes	BUY	104	7¢	$7	0x54ac5f…
09-20 13:16:22	Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by September 30?	Yes	BUY	20	7¢	$1	0xc6c629…
09-20 13:16:16	Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by September 30?	Yes	BUY	33	7¢	$2	0x0c5930…
09-20 13:16:10	Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by September 30?	Yes	BUY	20	7¢	$1	0xe39b0f…
09-20 13:15:51	Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by September 30?	Yes	BUY	7	7¢	$0	0xec5024…
09-20 13:15:49	Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by September 30?	Yes	BUY	170	7¢	$12	0x979381…
09-20 13:15:42	Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by September 30?	Yes	BUY	139	6¢	$8	0xbb2021…
09-20 13:14:46	Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by September 30?	Yes	BUY	120	5¢	$6	0xa77e24…
09-16 20:40:10	Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by September 30?	Yes	SELL	492	8¢	$41	0xa0bcfc…
09-16 10:30:34	Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by September 30?	Yes	BUY	492	10¢	$49	0x1da78f…
09-16 06:40:21	Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by September 30?	Yes	SELL	502	11¢	$53	0xf60475…
09-16 04:35:45	Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by September 30?	Yes	SELL	230	11¢	$26	0x35d1c8…
09-16 04:02:24	will maria corina machado enter venezuela by december 31 20260728195714929	Yes	SELL	22	37¢	$8	0x440ade…
09-16 03:57:58	will maria corina machado enter venezuela by december 31 20260728195714929	Yes	BUY	22	39¢	$9	0x7173eb…
09-16 03:42:36	Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by September 30?	Yes	SELL	30	13¢	$4	0xd553ae…
09-16 03:42:19	Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by September 30?	Yes	SELL	40	13¢	$5	0xbe35ee…
09-14 22:15:13	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	Yes	SELL	521	6¢	$29	0xda1586…
09-14 22:14:36	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?	No	SELL	353	4¢	$14	0x395c18…
09-14 22:06:25	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	Yes	BUY	521	6¢	$30	0x9f922d…
09-14 22:05:55	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?	Yes	SELL	212	14¢	$30	0x461c61…
09-14 22:05:09	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?	Yes	BUY	212	15¢	$32	0xced0c2…
09-14 22:02:19	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?	No	BUY	353	6¢	$20	0xaa54e1…
09-13 22:50:34	Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by September 30?	Yes	SELL	51	7¢	$4	0xb0ea53…