Fumbling-Cable — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$598

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

67.4%

Resolved

2,339

Trades

3,562

lifetime

Volume

$16.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-28

last 10-30 22:20

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 251 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 52% -$597

Tech

0% 0% -$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

75 active days in 12wk • peak 33 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	9	$146	101	101	+0	Up	+$46	09-13 17:55
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-12 13:30 UTC	14	$140	96	96	+0	Up	+$40	08-12 13:44
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-11 11:00 UTC	4	$138	98	98	+0	Up	+$38	08-11 11:01
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-15 14:00 UTC	1	$128	256	0	+256	Down	-$128	03-15 13:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	2	$116	78	78	+0	Down	+$36	09-09 14:58
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-27 17:45 UTC	3	$116	199	199	+0	Up	-$84	09-27 17:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	9	$113	131	131	+0	Up	+$23	09-11 12:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	2	$104	70	70	+0	Up	+$24	05-06 14:25
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-03 18:45 UTC	5	$103	70	69	+1	Down	+$4	02-03 18:56
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-17 14:00 UTC	4	$102	143	67	+76	Up	-$36	03-17 14:08
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-28 16:45 UTC	3	$100	63	63	+1	Down	+$21	02-28 16:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-25 17:30 UTC	1	$100	197	0	+197	Up	-$100	09-25 17:17
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-05 15:30 UTC	2	$99	78	78	+0	Down	+$19	07-05 15:41
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-12 11:45 UTC	5	$98	64	64	+0	Down	+$28	03-12 11:54
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-25 09:15 UTC	4	$95	73	69	+4	Up	+$22	02-25 09:29
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-02 17:00 UTC	3	$92	66	63	+2	Up	+$20	04-02 17:04
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-23 14:30 UTC	2	$88	59	59	+0	Down	+$28	07-23 14:43
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-03 18:45 UTC	2	$88	61	61	+0	Up	+$28	08-03 18:55
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-15 13:45 UTC	3	$85	233	129	+104	Up	-$63	03-15 13:55
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-23 14:30 UTC	2	$81	123	121	+2	Up	-$47	03-23 14:44
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-13 12:30 UTC	2	$80	57	55	+2	Down	+$22	04-13 12:41
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-28 20:15 UTC	2	$77	57	57	+0	Down	+$17	07-28 20:23
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-21 11:00 UTC	2	$77	50	49	+1	Down	+$19	04-21 11:10
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-29 11:30 UTC	2	$73	49	49	+0	Down	+$13	07-29 11:36
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-14 11:45 UTC	2	$72	49	49	+0	Down	+$22	09-14 11:54
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-25 16:45 UTC	1	$70	137	0	+137	Down	-$70	09-25 16:36
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-17 14:45 UTC	5	$67	45	45	+0	Up	+$17	08-17 14:51
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-08 17:00 UTC	1	$64	105	0	+105	Up	-$64	04-08 16:57
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-21 17:15 UTC	2	$64	43	42	+1	Up	+$16	03-21 17:21
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-17 19:15 UTC	4	$60	63	37	+26	Down	+$15	02-17 19:29

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-30 22:20:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x4f9f5d…
10-30 22:06:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Up	SELL	6	94¢	$6	0xeff0cb…
10-30 21:59:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0x221729…
10-30 21:54:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Down	SELL	9	92¢	$8	0x7e5f5a…
10-30 21:47:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	9	33¢	$3	0x194041…
10-30 13:14:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0xb380c7…
10-30 12:30:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x25b6b9…
10-30 09:15:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0xff5a51…
10-29 21:29:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x2c9fda…
10-29 21:04:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	7	44¢	$3	0xdae574…
10-29 19:51:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0x0e1c20…
10-29 13:54:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	8	50¢	$4	0x057938…
10-29 13:32:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x64e089…
10-29 13:16:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x6c0c89…
10-29 12:00:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0x2dbb28…
10-28 14:16:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xf41306…
10-28 12:00:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0x2802de…
10-28 11:14:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0xfc8e01…
10-28 10:33:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0xa9012e…
10-26 10:16:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0xbc0516…
10-26 07:55:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0xa73a2b…
10-22 22:01:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0xd8b1d8…
10-20 22:31:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x782aea…
10-20 13:13:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x95fc50…
10-18 02:31:17	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-18 02:30 UTC	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x93fdef…
10-16 01:45:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	7	54¢	$4	0xbb608b…
10-16 01:15:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x215d98…
10-15 10:30:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0xd58753…
10-15 01:15:11	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-15 01:15 UTC	Down	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0x541937…
10-14 14:15:03	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 14:15 UTC	Up	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x32c4fc…
10-13 23:14:45	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-13 23:15 UTC	Up	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0xc56371…
10-13 23:01:30	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-13 23:00 UTC	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x455684…
10-12 15:29:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xe210aa…
10-12 11:49:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Up	SELL	4	18¢	$1	0xad2605…
10-12 11:45:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0x9b38b9…
10-12 11:00:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0x3046b2…
10-12 10:35:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x55dea9…
10-12 10:14:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0xbe7388…
10-12 09:50:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	4	76¢	$3	0x6d407c…
10-12 00:18:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0xc84e43…
10-11 23:30:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	7	56¢	$4	0xd92c0a…
10-11 19:30:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x86a188…
10-11 19:12:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0x63a817…
10-11 18:04:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	12	52¢	$6	0x4389a6…
10-11 12:43:57	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-11 12:45 UTC	Up	BUY	8	51¢	$4	0xcc9316…
10-11 00:30:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0xce2a11…
10-10 18:18:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	12	48¢	$6	0xedd500…
10-10 16:59:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0xd6d6aa…
10-10 16:30:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	54¢	$3	0x3fd919…
10-10 13:47:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x0417a1…
10-10 02:02:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0xfaca01…
10-10 02:02:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	14	73¢	$10	0x573d6d…
10-10 01:45:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0xdb1d59…
10-10 01:12:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x7326e9…
10-09 22:45:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	7	41¢	$3	0x2b9556…
10-09 20:44:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0x992221…
10-09 19:45:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0xf1e26e…
10-09 18:27:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	12	52¢	$6	0xa20806…
10-09 17:47:40	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-09 17:45 UTC	Down	BUY	4	67¢	$3	0x1d735a…
10-09 16:44:59	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-09 16:45 UTC	Up	BUY	8	53¢	$4	0x42f3df…
10-09 16:15:01	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-09 16:15 UTC	Up	BUY	8	51¢	$4	0x5d9070…
10-09 14:06:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	8	49¢	$4	0xfdf815…
10-09 13:45:40	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-09 13:45 UTC	Up	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0x3454c4…
10-09 11:17:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xa3ba6a…
10-09 11:15:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x57f6f4…
10-09 10:45:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0x8d8588…
10-09 09:47:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0x1e32f1…
10-09 09:31:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0xdd5561…
10-09 09:00:01	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-09 09:00 UTC	Down	BUY	4	57¢	$2	0x477569…
10-08 21:15:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x8dc20b…
10-08 21:11:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Down	SELL	5	92¢	$4	0x8e0dfb…
10-08 21:00:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x93c7e7…
10-08 20:59:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Down	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x463f99…
10-08 20:46:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0x49ded6…
10-08 18:38:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x3932b9…
10-08 16:59:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0x67b281…
10-08 15:30:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x9b367c…
10-08 15:01:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0xb1a0f3…
10-08 14:16:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	7	44¢	$3	0x478891…
10-08 13:45:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x79a4d9…
10-08 13:00:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	9	47¢	$4	0x592988…
10-08 12:15:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	7	45¢	$3	0x9868d4…
10-08 11:45:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x99d13a…
10-08 11:15:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	7	46¢	$3	0xe58d20…
10-08 10:33:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0xcea8cf…
10-07 23:48:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x1f57b3…
10-07 21:40:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Down	SELL	7	89¢	$6	0xe2647c…
10-07 21:31:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	7	55¢	$4	0xc80e6d…
10-07 20:59:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	9	46¢	$4	0xfc477a…
10-07 20:14:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	8	48¢	$4	0x7abd85…
10-07 19:45:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0x04da85…
10-07 19:43:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x37ca9e…
10-07 19:04:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	48¢	$3	0x95fbd6…
10-07 17:45:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	7	46¢	$3	0x279d7d…
10-07 16:55:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x6c6871…
10-07 16:08:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Down	SELL	6	6¢	$0	0x2acc2f…
10-07 15:58:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0x9e00cc…
10-07 15:57:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Up	SELL	16	97¢	$15	0x45956f…
10-07 15:35:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	16	51¢	$8	0xc653ab…
10-07 15:15:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0xa9b0cb…