Ideal-Asphalt — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

+$16

Unrealized P&L

+$17

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved (90d)

Trades (90d)

19 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$3.45K

$3.45K lifetime

Avg / trade

$181

Open exposure

$251

4 positions

First seen

2026-05-06

last 05-17 05:52

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

85% 100% +$13

Politics

15% 100% +$3

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets (4)

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	No	+201	$179	88¢	$178	$-1	05-17 05:52
New Virginia congressional map used in the midterms?	No	+51	$29	95¢	$48	+$19	05-06 09:29
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?	Yes	-50	$-21	42¢	$-21	$-0	05-16 20:25
Will Jamie Davis Jr. be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Louisiana?	Yes	+5	$4	90¢	$4	$-0	05-17 01:07

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Romania win Eurovision 2026?	1	$951	1,003	0	+1,003	open	—	05-16 10:40
Will Romania advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	3	$717	730	0	+730	open	—	05-14 19:34
Will San Marino be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	1	$359	371	0	+371	No	+$12	05-12 19:22
Will Ukraine advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	1	$296	300	0	+300	open	—	05-14 20:32
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Jannik Sinner vs Daniil Medvedev	1	$184	200	0	+200	open	—	05-16 10:26
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	1	$179	201	0	+201	open	—	05-17 05:52
Will Poland be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	1	$177	208	0	+208	open	—	05-16 21:25
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Jannik Sinner vs Casper Ruud	1	$173	201	0	+201	open	—	05-17 05:42
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	1	$123	126	0	+126	No	+$3	05-06 08:36
Will Trump visit China by June 30?	1	$87	90	0	+90	open	—	05-06 08:39
Will "Europe" be said 10+ times during Eurovision?	1	$59	0	74	-74	open	—	05-16 21:25
Will Denmark be the best Nordic country at Eurovision 2026?	1	$42	49	0	+49	open	—	05-16 12:01
Will Armenia advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	1	$39	52	0	+52	open	—	05-14 20:07
New Virginia congressional map used in the midterms?	1	$29	51	0	+51	open	—	05-06 09:29
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?	1	$21	0	50	-50	open	—	05-16 20:25
Will Jamie Davis Jr. be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Louisiana?	1	$4	5	0	+5	open	—	05-17 01:07
Will Estonia advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	1	$4	5	0	+5	No	+$1	05-12 07:20

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-17 05:52:50	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	No	BUY	201	89¢	$179	0xfa3ec4…
05-17 05:42:54	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Jannik Sinner vs Casper Ruud	Jannik Sinner	BUY	201	86¢	$173	0x8aa670…
05-17 01:07:42	Will Jamie Davis Jr. be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Louisiana?	Yes	BUY	5	95¢	$4	0x8154d8…
05-16 21:25:55	Will Poland be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	208	85¢	$177	0x6dfaf7…
05-16 21:25:27	Will "Europe" be said 10+ times during Eurovision?	Yes	SELL	74	80¢	$59	0x7c0ba3…
05-16 20:25:15	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	42¢	$21	0xef0360…
05-16 12:01:43	Will Denmark be the best Nordic country at Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	49	86¢	$42	0xe57dfb…
05-16 10:40:45	Will Romania win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	1,003	95¢	$951	0xef0089…
05-16 10:26:35	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Jannik Sinner vs Daniil Medvedev	Jannik Sinner	BUY	200	92¢	$184	0xd98fc7…
05-14 20:32:05	Will Ukraine advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	Yes	BUY	300	98¢	$296	0x3a2325…
05-14 20:07:26	Will Armenia advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	No	BUY	52	74¢	$39	0xa3ab8e…
05-14 19:34:32	Will Romania advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	Yes	BUY	140	98¢	$137	0x7312ba…
05-14 19:31:49	Will Romania advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	Yes	BUY	90	98¢	$88	0xe5975c…
05-14 19:28:03	Will Romania advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	Yes	BUY	500	98¢	$491	0xb2b9b3…
05-12 19:22:24	Will San Marino be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	371	97¢	$359	0x918d43…
05-12 07:20:57	Will Estonia advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	No	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0x56ea3b…
05-06 09:29:36	New Virginia congressional map used in the midterms?	No	BUY	51	58¢	$29	0x017fb2…
05-06 08:39:42	Will Trump visit China by June 30?	Yes	BUY	90	97¢	$87	0xa6dc8d…
05-06 08:36:26	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	No	BUY	126	97¢	$123	0xc74bc4…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Lumpy-Hole 0x0336…4bb0	3	$10.6K	4	05-16 17:56
Wise-Keyboard 0x27ab…e521	3	$7.26K	187	05-15 23:50
Understated-Opossum 0x7a5d…54db	3	$708	3	05-16 22:51
Half-Mallet 0x4496…97c0	3	$643	4	05-14 21:15