Agitated-Brook — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$160

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

45.0%

Resolved

1,166

Trades

2,616

lifetime

Volume

$11.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$11

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-26 16:33

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 133 days

Categories

Crypto

69% 63% -$148

Sports

24% 0% -$3

Other

5% 48% -$5

Politics

1% 0% -$4

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

66 active days in 12wk • peak 68 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes		+17	$11	56¢	$10	-$1	10-14 01:33
Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes		-15	-$3	6¢	$-1	+$2	06-16 11:09

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	69	$2.9K	3,253	3,253	+0	No	-$3	06-19 05:27
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in April?	8	$266	150	150	+1	Yes	-$1	04-14 07:34
will israel or the us target isfahan nuclear technology center nuclear facility	8	$122	62	62	+0	Yes	$0	04-03 09:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	6	$121	66	66	+0	Up	+$1	09-04 12:28
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	6	$79	54	53	+1	No	-$1	04-04 16:20
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-14 03:10 UTC	5	$75	59	36	+24	Up	-$5	08-14 03:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	5	$73	61	36	+25	Down	-$19	09-04 17:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	12	$66	334	245	+89	Down	-$6	05-19 11:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	3	$65	57	36	+21	Down	+$2	09-04 17:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	6	$64	39	31	+8	Up	-$2	09-04 12:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-31 10:10 UTC	3	$63	40	40	+0	Up	+$13	07-31 10:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-18 02:40 UTC	3	$61	44	32	+12	Down	-$1	08-18 02:43
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-13 07:10 UTC	4	$58	35	35	+0	Down	+$4	08-13 07:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-16 02:30 UTC	2	$57	34	34	+0	Up	+$7	08-16 02:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	6	$56	33	33	+0	Down	+$2	10-13 02:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-31 10:00 UTC	3	$56	38	26	+12	Down	-$4	07-31 10:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-31 16:05 UTC	3	$53	31	28	+2	Down	-$1	08-31 16:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-30 02:20 UTC	3	$53	30	26	+4	Down	-$1	08-30 02:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-14 03:20 UTC	2	$53	37	37	+0	Down	+$3	08-14 03:22
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-27 08:15 UTC	3	$53	29	26	+3	Up	-$1	07-27 08:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-18 15:10 UTC	3	$52	30	27	+3	Up	-$2	08-18 15:13
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-03 10:00 UTC	2	$51	26	26	+0	Up	+$1	09-03 10:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-19 03:00 UTC	1	$50	90	0	+90	Up	-$50	08-19 03:02
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-19 02:50 UTC	2	$50	951	0	+951	Down	-$5	08-19 02:53
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-25 14:45 UTC	3	$50	37	22	+15	Up	+$5	09-25 14:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	14	$48	412	62	+350	Down	-$22	06-02 06:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	2	$48	39	39	+0	Down	+$30	09-20 17:25
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-25 14:25 UTC	3	$47	40	23	+18	Up	-$2	09-25 14:30
cricipl mum pun 2026 04 16	9	$46	39	39	+1	Punjab Kings	+$2	04-16 17:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	2	$46	28	28	+0	Up	-$2	09-04 16:57

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-26 16:33:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	SELL	50	12¢	$6	0x8d80c4…
10-26 16:33:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	BUY	50	4¢	$2	0x39b004…
10-26 15:55:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x2d9d3e…
10-24 16:49:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xa53b44…
10-24 16:48:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0xded03d…
10-24 16:46:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	SELL	4	68¢	$2	0x215128…
10-24 16:45:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0x14dda2…
10-24 16:39:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0xe3913e…
10-24 16:39:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	SELL	3	98¢	$3	0xc76fd3…
10-24 16:38:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x7fb8ef…
10-24 16:35:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0xb3e7d0…
10-24 16:33:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	SELL	6	62¢	$4	0xb4d836…
10-24 16:32:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0x2fe17a…
10-24 02:47:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Up	SELL	4	83¢	$4	0xf9ebbe…
10-24 02:45:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Up	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0xaa5914…
10-24 02:42:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	12	16¢	$2	0x137b4c…
10-24 02:40:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0x61eece…
10-23 02:31:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Up	SELL	3	98¢	$2	0xabaea5…
10-23 02:30:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Up	BUY	3	79¢	$2	0x2fd1a9…
10-23 02:29:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x469285…
10-23 02:26:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	82¢	$2	0x5d487e…
10-23 02:21:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Up	SELL	2	96¢	$2	0xf48bef…
10-23 02:21:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	83¢	$2	0x1fa9ed…
10-23 02:19:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xd7c8d8…
10-23 02:15:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x844b54…
10-23 02:12:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0x82e8cf…
10-23 02:10:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0xada1ce…
10-23 02:01:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Up	BUY	8	26¢	$2	0x265f73…
10-22 03:30:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Up	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0x2ba91b…
10-22 03:29:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Up	SELL	6	42¢	$2	0xc42212…
10-22 03:27:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0xad7c63…
10-21 17:18:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	SELL	3	91¢	$2	0x7caee2…
10-21 17:17:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	BUY	3	76¢	$2	0xe4c00d…
10-21 16:49:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x64b79e…
10-21 16:48:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0xcb419c…
10-21 16:48:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	SELL	3	30¢	$1	0xcbde04…
10-21 16:46:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0x6e4bbf…
10-21 16:42:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0x185eb2…
10-21 16:41:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x7eed93…
10-21 16:41:09	Axis Robotics FDV above $250M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	3	40¢	$1	0xa36dd2…
10-21 16:39:59	Axis Robotics FDV above $250M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0xa922ae…
10-21 16:32:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Down	SELL	3	96¢	$3	0xa47e70…
10-21 16:30:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Down	BUY	3	72¢	$2	0x22d4f4…
10-21 16:29:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	SELL	16	99¢	$16	0xc9d087…
10-21 16:28:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	16	93¢	$15	0x241e7a…
10-21 16:25:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x568ab7…
10-21 16:21:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x7945cb…
10-14 07:40:44	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 07:40 UTC	Down	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0x4f39e1…
10-14 07:36:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 07:35 UTC	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xcc690d…
10-14 02:32:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 02:30 UTC	Down	SELL	4	98¢	$4	0x882d0b…
10-14 02:31:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 02:30 UTC	Down	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0xa71735…
10-14 02:31:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 02:30 UTC	Down	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x29177c…
10-14 02:31:32	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 02:30 UTC	Down	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0xaf16c2…
10-14 02:30:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 02:30 UTC	Up	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xdc743b…
10-14 02:29:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 02:25 UTC	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xa14408…
10-14 02:28:26	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 02:25 UTC	Down	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x6ace83…
10-14 02:09:08	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 02:05 UTC	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x1a22bf…
10-14 02:08:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 02:05 UTC	Down	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xa9360a…
10-14 02:01:56	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 02:00 UTC	Up	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xed8e91…
10-14 02:01:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 02:00 UTC	Up	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0xcd7a7c…
10-14 01:57:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 01:55 UTC	Down	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x4afd24…
10-14 01:57:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 01:55 UTC	Down	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0xc2f092…
10-14 01:48:50	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 01:45 UTC	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xd05581…
10-14 01:48:14	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 01:45 UTC	Down	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0xef2cf5…
10-14 01:39:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 01:35 UTC	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xa29fdd…
10-14 01:35:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 01:35 UTC	Down	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xd937a8…
10-14 01:33:38	Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0xf6269e…
10-13 02:55:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xdbf076…
10-13 02:50:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Down	BUY	15	60¢	$9	0xb3b060…
10-13 02:49:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	SELL	9	99¢	$9	0x2a264d…
10-13 02:48:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	BUY	9	96¢	$9	0xb04739…
10-13 02:48:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	SELL	10	87¢	$8	0xb52285…
10-13 02:47:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0xd0d3d4…
10-13 02:47:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	SELL	14	82¢	$11	0x463964…
10-13 02:45:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	BUY	14	65¢	$9	0x6b4df2…
10-13 02:43:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	SELL	41	16¢	$6	0x3c304c…
10-13 02:42:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	41	25¢	$10	0x9e77d8…
10-13 02:41:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	SELL	15	39¢	$6	0xfd2360…
10-13 02:40:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0xb1ec9d…
10-13 02:36:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Down	BUY	11	18¢	$2	0x9cd571…
10-13 02:35:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0xf32a5e…
10-13 02:33:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0x72ac19…
10-13 02:31:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xdfad27…
10-13 02:31:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x04b53a…
10-13 02:27:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	SELL	13	96¢	$13	0xbaf8a5…
10-13 02:25:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	13	66¢	$9	0x5573ce…
10-13 02:24:47	Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	16	58¢	$9	0x80bee5…
10-13 02:10:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	25	35¢	$9	0x751254…
10-13 02:07:42	Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	35	28¢	$10	0x2a9f22…
10-13 02:05:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	BUY	19	51¢	$10	0x1e957e…
10-13 02:00:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	BUY	12	57¢	$7	0x5dacc4…
10-13 01:55:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0xf4437b…
10-13 01:50:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0xcf822a…
10-13 01:49:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	SELL	3	96¢	$3	0xf35314…
10-13 01:48:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0xe8e893…
10-13 01:47:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	SELL	4	79¢	$3	0x7df11f…
10-13 01:46:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0xbd12a1…
10-12 17:43:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0x96f23e…
10-12 17:42:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0x27c872…
10-12 17:09:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	SELL	3	96¢	$3	0x0de2cd…