Frosty-Rule — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$107

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

81.8%

Resolved

Trades

118

lifetime

Volume

$3.62K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$31

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-05

last 08-28 08:23

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 39 days

Categories

Other

45% 98% -$83

Sports

35% 100% +$4

Politics

18% 50% +$184

Tech

2% 100% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?	11	$770	407	407	+0	No	+$4	04-17 05:29
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 27, 2026?	1	$524	708	0	+708	No	+$184	04-23 10:51
will crude oil cl hit high 180 by end of march 692	7	$458	241	241	+0	No	-$1	03-14 07:30
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	4	$396	208	208	+0	No	+$1	03-29 07:51
will global temperature increase by less than 1pt05c in february 2026	2	$198	99	99	+0	No	+$0	03-11 06:24
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 15th 962 364 677	2	$117	836	836	+0	No	+$0	04-12 14:17
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?	5	$102	419	419	+0	No	+$0	04-17 14:33
elon musk of tweets february 5 february 7 40 64	1	$85	87	0	+87	Yes	-$85	02-05 08:15
elon musk of tweets january 30 february 6 380 399	1	$84	85	0	+85	No	+$1	02-05 08:14
will chatgpt be out as the 1 free app in the us apple store by february 5	1	$79	79	0	+79	No	+$1	02-05 08:14
will the total number of tsa passengers for february 7 be less than 1500000	1	$77	78	0	+78	No	+$1	02-05 08:15
will deepseek have the 1 ai model at the end of february 2026	1	$76	76	0	+76	No	+$0	02-28 08:01
will seattle have less than 3 inches of precipitation in february	1	$67	68	0	+68	Yes	+$0	02-28 08:02
will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	6	$18	247	247	+0	No	+$1	03-14 07:32
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on July 6?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	07-06 06:55
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C or below on June 13?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	06-12 08:20
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 39°C on July 6?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	07-06 07:00
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C or below on July 3?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	07-03 02:06
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 28°C or below on July 9?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	07-08 03:36
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on June 16?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	06-16 09:27
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 18°C or below on July 1?	1	$9	10	0	+10	No	+$0	07-01 06:56
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 12°C or below on July 7?	1	$9	9	0	+9	No	+$0	07-06 06:53
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 36°C or higher on July 20?	1	$9	9	0	+9	No	+$0	07-20 03:39
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be 49°F or below on June 16?	1	$9	9	0	+9	No	+$0	06-16 09:25
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 31°C on June 30?	1	$9	9	0	+9	No	+$0	06-30 10:05
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 16°C or below on July 20?	1	$9	9	0	+9	No	+$0	07-20 03:43
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 35°C on July 6?	1	$9	9	0	+9	No	+$0	07-06 06:58
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 21°C or below on July 28?	1	$9	9	0	+9	No	+$0	07-27 06:25
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 27°C or higher on June 24?	1	$9	9	0	+9	No	+$0	06-23 08:30
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 34°C or below on July 21?	1	$9	9	0	+9	No	+$0	07-20 03:45

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-28 08:23:46	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 29°C on August 29?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xd327ce…
08-28 08:21:01	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 15°C on August 29?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6ca073…
08-28 08:10:36	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 16°C on August 29?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xc2cdb3…
07-27 06:25:16	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 21°C or below on July 28?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xaa3386…
07-27 06:22:55	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C or below on July 28?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xba5d09…
07-27 06:11:25	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 40°C or higher on July 28?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x3ef504…
07-20 03:47:55	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 38°C or higher on July 21?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xad6fd7…
07-20 03:46:45	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 25°C on July 21?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$7	0xd4d709…
07-20 03:45:21	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 34°C or below on July 21?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x9e49c6…
07-20 03:43:48	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 16°C or below on July 20?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x253895…
07-20 03:39:19	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 36°C or higher on July 20?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x8cdd33…
07-20 03:37:58	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C on July 20?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$8	0x5626b7…
07-09 07:05:08	Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C or below on July 10?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xaa5e37…
07-09 07:02:58	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 41°C or higher on July 10?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x2b42ae…
07-09 06:59:49	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 21°C or below on July 10?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x715180…
07-09 06:57:22	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 26°C on July 10?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x121802…
07-08 03:39:20	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C or below on July 9?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xb87921…
07-08 03:38:16	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C or below on July 9?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4c56f9…
07-08 03:36:58	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 28°C or below on July 9?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x3bf0bd…
07-07 07:43:32	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C or below on July 7?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x5676bc…
07-07 07:42:25	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 22°C or below on July 7?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x7d43ba…
07-07 07:31:58	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 41°C or higher on July 7?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x016c79…
07-06 07:02:05	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 15°C on July 6?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x08316a…
07-06 07:00:32	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 39°C on July 6?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xcfd1cd…
07-06 06:59:35	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 28°C on July 7?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x953ba9…
07-06 06:58:02	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 35°C on July 6?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x1eb5bf…
07-06 06:55:37	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on July 6?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf670fb…
07-06 06:53:43	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 12°C or below on July 7?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x0b7fa4…
07-03 02:11:58	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 24°C on July 4?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x844668…
07-03 02:10:47	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C or higher on July 3?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xfa4ac8…
07-03 02:09:04	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 25°C on July 4?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7772c7…
07-03 02:07:49	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 13°C on July 3?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x47cf09…
07-03 02:06:31	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C or below on July 3?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe85047…
07-03 02:05:25	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 25°C or below on July 4?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xedb9de…
07-01 06:58:11	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on July 1?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe5f7bb…
07-01 06:56:59	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 18°C or below on July 1?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$9	0xd34644…
07-01 06:55:59	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 20°C or below on July 2?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x81add5…
06-30 10:08:58	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on July 1?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3d67e0…
06-30 10:07:52	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 27°C or below on July 1?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x56ed79…
06-30 10:06:26	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 35°C on July 1?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x279f65…
06-30 10:05:16	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 31°C on June 30?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x5fa78d…
06-30 10:03:11	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 32°C on July 1?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x47cf71…
06-30 10:02:07	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 18°C or below on July 1?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x0accc6…
06-29 08:45:23	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on June 30?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x19946b…
06-29 08:43:43	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C or below on June 30?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x42b6fb…
06-29 08:41:37	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C or below on June 30?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x53c084…
06-23 08:30:49	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 27°C or higher on June 24?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x23b67b…
06-23 08:29:14	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 36°C or below on June 24?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3dca19…
06-23 02:14:25	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 37°C on June 23?	No	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x4e60c9…
06-23 02:12:38	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 23?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xddb5c7…
06-23 02:11:29	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 22°C on June 23?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x2fe1ef…
06-23 02:10:05	Will the lowest temperature in London be 28°C or higher on June 24?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3e8e1a…
06-23 02:08:11	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 18°C on June 23?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xe81036…
06-23 02:06:13	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 19°C on June 23?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xafadd4…
06-18 08:56:43	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on June 19?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x5bf926…
06-18 08:55:29	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 27°C on June 19?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x9be0fd…
06-18 08:53:55	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 32°C on June 18?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xd68346…
06-17 09:17:59	Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C or below on June 18?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xd975a3…
06-17 09:16:56	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C or below on June 18?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$7	0x169fd7…
06-17 09:15:41	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on June 18?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xf6a2b1…
06-16 09:29:33	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on June 17?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xa701ec…
06-16 09:28:37	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 22°C on June 17?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x74176f…
06-16 09:27:37	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on June 16?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x2d1966…
06-16 09:26:28	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on June 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe00dab…
06-16 09:25:28	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be 49°F or below on June 16?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x87a504…
06-16 09:23:37	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on June 16?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xbc6a5e…
06-12 08:20:04	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C or below on June 13?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x20e49a…
06-12 08:18:58	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 19°C or below on June 13?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xb2a908…
06-12 08:17:51	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 19°C on June 13?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x24c5a2…
05-22 02:42:05	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 35°C or higher on May 23?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x334915…
05-22 02:41:48	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 26°C on May 23?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x3d22a9…
05-22 02:41:14	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 25°C or below on May 23?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xe49512…
05-22 02:40:22	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on May 23?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xd4c02e…
05-22 02:39:17	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C or below on May 23?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x41da24…
04-23 10:51:08	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 27, 2026?	No	BUY	708	74¢	$524	0x7e8acd…
04-17 14:33:38	Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	SELL	419	12¢	$51	0x0f5e56…
04-17 05:29:20	Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	44	95¢	$41	0xd61970…
04-17 05:28:42	Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	132	95¢	$125	0x4cd669…
04-17 05:28:02	Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	6	95¢	$6	0x5dc86f…
04-17 05:27:22	Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	60	95¢	$57	0xf16d70…
04-17 05:26:58	Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	18	95¢	$17	0x25c5fa…
04-17 05:26:16	Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	35	95¢	$34	0xd6b7f3…
04-17 05:25:08	Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	20	95¢	$19	0x055bff…
04-17 05:22:56	Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	92	95¢	$88	0xf7257e…
04-16 07:43:48	Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	19	12¢	$2	0x4bea11…
04-16 07:43:46	Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	16	12¢	$2	0x11fa74…
04-16 07:43:40	Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	23	12¢	$3	0x043634…
04-16 07:43:06	Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	361	12¢	$44	0x87f501…
04-16 07:32:14	Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	360	94¢	$339	0xd0bf22…
04-16 07:32:10	Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	6	94¢	$6	0xfc0f8a…
04-16 07:32:10	Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	41	94¢	$39	0xa39fcb…
04-12 14:17:03	trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 15th 962 364 677	Yes	SELL	836	7¢	$59	0xa1b16b…
04-12 12:55:51	trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 15th 962 364 677	Yes	BUY	836	7¢	$59	0xa5f0c6…
03-29 07:51:26	Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	24	96¢	$23	0xaf8e56…
03-29 07:41:34	Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	161	96¢	$154	0x659de7…
03-29 07:35:40	Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	22	96¢	$21	0x07c88b…
03-28 10:19:43	Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	208	95¢	$198	0xf3f75e…
03-14 07:32:29	will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	Yes	SELL	237	4¢	$9	0xf503d1…
03-14 07:30:35	will crude oil cl hit high 180 by end of march 692	No	SELL	187	95¢	$177	0x1bb4da…
03-14 07:23:05	will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	Yes	SELL	10	4¢	$0	0xc4277f…