Ugly-Ease — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$17

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

233

lifetime

Volume

$13.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$56

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-23

last 06-12 18:52

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Other

98% 100% +$17

Politics

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

38 active days in 12wk • peak 12 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $400 on April 28?	6	$465	240	239	+1	open	—	04-28 20:00
Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $400 on April 27?	10	$446	226	226	+0	open	—	04-27 19:51
msft close above 420 on march 16 2026	2	$370	186	186	+0	open	—	03-16 22:10
msft close above 380 on march 13 2026	2	$365	184	184	+0	open	—	03-13 20:03
msft close above 430 on march 10 2026	2	$351	177	177	+0	open	—	03-10 20:44
msft close above 430 on march 9 2026	2	$347	175	175	+0	open	—	03-09 14:00
msft close above 390 on march 6 2026	4	$341	172	172	+0	open	—	03-06 20:53
msft close above 380 on march 5 2026	6	$338	170	170	+0	open	—	03-05 20:56
msft close above 420 on march 4 2026	3	$331	167	167	+0	open	—	03-04 20:25
msft close above 420 on march 2 2026	2	$329	165	165	+0	open	—	03-02 20:36
msft close above 380 on february 27 2026	2	$325	164	164	+0	open	—	02-27 21:21
msft close above 420 on february 23 2026	2	$319	160	160	+0	open	—	02-23 17:09
msft close above 380 on february 18 2026	2	$312	157	157	+0	open	—	02-18 21:07
msft close above 380 on march 17 2026	2	$306	153	153	+0	open	—	03-17 20:02
Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $430 on May 1?	8	$227	230	0	+230	open	—	05-01 15:07
msft close above 410 on march 20 2026	2	$226	114	114	+0	open	—	03-20 19:37
msft close above 410 on april 23 2026	2	$215	217	0	+217	open	—	04-23 13:31
msft close above 440 on april 22 2026	1	$215	217	0	+217	open	—	04-22 16:16
msft close above 440 on april 21 2026	1	$213	215	0	+215	open	—	04-21 05:11
msft close above 400 on april 20 2026	1	$211	214	0	+214	open	—	04-18 04:32
msft close above 390 on april 17 2026	1	$210	211	0	+211	open	—	04-17 03:35
Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $440 on April 30?	4	$210	215	0	+215	open	—	04-30 08:50
msft close above 390 on april 16 2026	1	$208	210	0	+210	open	—	04-16 08:27
msft close above 350 on april 13 2026	2	$205	207	0	+207	open	—	04-11 08:10
msft close above 350 on april 10 2026	2	$204	206	0	+206	open	—	04-09 23:28
msft close above 340 on march 31 2026	1	$198	198	0	+198	open	—	03-31 11:18
msft close above 380 on march 30 2026	2	$195	197	0	+197	open	—	03-29 14:47
msft close above 350 on march 26 2026	1	$192	194	0	+194	open	—	03-26 10:48
msft close above 350 on march 27 2026	2	$192	194	0	+194	open	—	03-27 13:38
msft close above 400 on march 23 2026	2	$189	192	0	+192	open	—	03-20 19:38

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-12 18:52:13	googl up or down on june 12 2026	Up	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x9c5db5…
06-12 18:52:12	googl up or down on june 12 2026	Up	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x0fd32b…
06-12 18:52:10	googl up or down on june 12 2026	Up	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x40f2c7…
06-12 18:48:46	googl up or down on june 12 2026	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x37ff79…
06-11 18:50:39	msft above 440 on june 12 2026	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xa10e52…
06-10 18:04:33	msft close above 410 on june 10 2026	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x6e427d…
06-02 19:20:36	Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on June 2?	Down	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0xcc020e…
06-02 19:19:35	Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $265 on June 2?	No	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0xbec888…
06-02 19:16:24	Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $450 on June 2?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x8d849d…
06-02 19:15:00	NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on June 2?	Down	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0x3753c2…
05-23 23:03:54	Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $400 on May 26?	Yes	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0xb40a1f…
05-18 15:09:46	msft close above 400 on may 19 2026	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x4a381c…
05-18 15:09:28	msft close above 440 on may 19 2026	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x109a81…
05-18 15:09:09	Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $430 on May 18?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x52954e…
05-15 16:58:04	Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $400 on May 15?	Yes	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x2b82bb…
05-15 14:08:40	Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $400 on May 15?	Yes	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0xd8fe9e…
05-15 13:37:15	Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $400 on May 15?	Yes	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0xa9a06e…
05-15 04:49:50	Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $420 on May 15?	No	BUY	7	98¢	$7	0x242407…
05-15 04:49:41	Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $420 on May 15?	No	BUY	14	98¢	$13	0xd25348…
05-15 04:49:36	Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $420 on May 15?	No	BUY	11	98¢	$11	0x1056d3…
05-15 04:49:29	Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $420 on May 15?	No	BUY	11	98¢	$11	0x87e576…
05-14 19:23:15	Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $430 on May 15?	No	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x106610…
05-14 19:23:06	Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $430 on May 15?	No	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x186b0a…
05-14 19:22:57	Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $430 on May 15?	No	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0xfc367f…
05-14 19:22:48	Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $430 on May 15?	No	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x72d69b…
05-14 17:09:29	Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $390 on May 15?	Yes	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x0e64cc…
05-14 15:39:15	Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $400 on May 14?	Yes	BUY	60	99¢	$59	0x44d90a…
05-14 10:11:05	Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $420 on May 14?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xd4fa88…
05-13 19:03:46	Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $390 on May 14?	Yes	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xf5ed3a…
05-13 19:02:45	Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $400 on May 13?	Yes	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0xd0fcd2…
05-13 18:24:13	Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $410 on May 13?	No	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0xf0f1ad…
05-13 17:48:14	Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $410 on May 13?	No	BUY	23	96¢	$22	0xe8b7da…
05-13 17:12:23	Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $410 on May 13?	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xd27443…
05-13 16:53:59	Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $420 on May 13?	No	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0xb7c27a…
05-13 14:41:25	Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $430 on May 14?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x637985…
05-12 19:24:31	Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $410 on May 12?	No	BUY	20	90¢	$18	0x47ced4…
05-12 19:20:11	Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $410 on May 12?	No	BUY	20	93¢	$19	0x488779…
05-12 18:47:13	Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $390 on May 13?	Yes	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x2bca88…
05-12 17:25:21	Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $390 on May 13?	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x46142e…
05-12 17:25:14	Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $390 on May 13?	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x8af231…
05-12 15:15:53	Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $430 on May 13?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x303164…
05-12 13:33:20	Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $430 on May 13?	No	BUY	40	98¢	$39	0xd762f4…
05-12 09:16:27	Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $430 on May 12?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x5f826c…
05-11 17:24:45	Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $430 on May 12?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xa36b63…
05-11 14:06:35	Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $430 on May 12?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x32740d…
05-11 14:06:21	Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $430 on May 12?	No	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0xfa339c…
05-11 14:06:11	Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $430 on May 12?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xdde67f…
05-11 14:05:36	Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $440 on May 12?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xfd44bd…
05-11 14:05:24	Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $440 on May 12?	No	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0xc34a3f…
05-11 14:05:10	Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $440 on May 12?	No	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x59518a…
05-11 14:04:29	Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $440 on May 12?	No	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0xb1d86b…
05-11 14:04:19	Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $440 on May 12?	No	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x41d5b7…
05-11 08:11:55	Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $400 on May 11?	Yes	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x90fb3f…
05-11 08:11:52	Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $400 on May 11?	Yes	BUY	28	97¢	$27	0xde66c8…
05-10 20:03:50	Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $400 on May 11?	Yes	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x63bd05…
05-10 06:51:33	Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $400 on May 11?	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xd3cd09…
05-09 20:38:49	Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $400 on May 11?	Yes	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0x64b5e3…
05-09 13:46:28	Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $440 on May 11?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x104977…
05-09 13:46:22	Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $440 on May 11?	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x2721d3…
05-09 06:35:44	Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $400 on May 11?	Yes	BUY	9	98¢	$9	0x8e7ed1…
05-09 06:35:35	Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $400 on May 11?	Yes	BUY	9	98¢	$9	0x5c78ab…
05-09 06:35:26	Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $400 on May 11?	Yes	BUY	8	98¢	$7	0x210708…
05-09 05:25:24	Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $440 on May 11?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x03adf7…
05-09 05:25:14	Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $440 on May 11?	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x631b28…
05-09 05:25:05	Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $440 on May 11?	No	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0xe00fb0…
05-09 05:24:53	Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $440 on May 11?	No	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x69a90e…
05-09 05:24:44	Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $440 on May 11?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x77b5fb…
05-08 14:37:35	Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $400 on May 8?	Yes	BUY	24	99¢	$24	0xbf9926…
05-08 14:36:56	Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $430 on May 8?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x661cdc…
05-08 13:46:55	Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $430 on May 8?	No	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0xf2db33…
05-08 13:33:30	Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $430 on May 8?	No	BUY	60	98¢	$59	0x5c1d2b…
05-08 09:20:38	Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $400 on May 8?	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x1e3d86…
05-08 09:20:29	Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $400 on May 8?	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xa3c932…
05-08 09:01:19	Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $400 on May 8?	Yes	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0x5d2d50…
05-08 06:48:25	Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $400 on May 8?	Yes	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0x3c7681…
05-08 05:51:37	Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $400 on May 8?	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x839cc7…
05-08 05:51:29	Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $400 on May 8?	Yes	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0xe89626…
05-08 05:51:18	Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $400 on May 8?	Yes	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0xd0a887…
05-08 05:51:08	Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $400 on May 8?	Yes	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x391821…
05-07 14:40:29	Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $430 on May 7?	No	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0x25a47c…
05-07 14:36:24	Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $430 on May 7?	No	BUY	50	96¢	$48	0x26e389…
05-07 14:36:03	Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $430 on May 7?	No	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0xd1adef…
05-07 05:32:21	Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $390 on May 7?	Yes	BUY	16	99¢	$16	0x093d6a…
05-07 05:32:11	Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $390 on May 7?	Yes	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xddb97a…
05-06 14:41:19	Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $400 on May 7?	Yes	BUY	110	98¢	$108	0xd56119…
05-06 14:22:22	Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $430 on May 7?	No	BUY	30	98¢	$29	0x7b234e…
05-06 11:25:52	Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $430 on May 6?	No	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0xa038e2…
05-06 10:47:08	Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $400 on May 6?	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x08697a…
05-06 10:32:02	Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $400 on May 6?	Yes	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0xc68a5e…
05-06 01:37:14	Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $430 on May 6?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x588080…
05-04 08:00:08	Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $400 on May 4?	Yes	BUY	35	99¢	$35	0xa10f42…
05-04 07:59:26	Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $400 on May 4?	Yes	BUY	29	99¢	$29	0xda88fd…
05-03 07:31:20	Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $390 on May 4?	Yes	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0xb288dd…
05-03 07:30:58	Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $390 on May 4?	Yes	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0xc46aa7…
05-03 07:30:16	Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $400 on May 4?	Yes	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x14a510…
05-03 06:50:44	Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $390 on May 4?	Yes	BUY	29	99¢	$28	0x8f5897…
05-03 05:52:40	Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $390 on May 4?	Yes	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x8be382…
05-02 12:08:16	Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $400 on May 4?	Yes	BUY	7	98¢	$7	0x5c4f89…
05-02 12:08:08	Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $400 on May 4?	Yes	BUY	37	98¢	$36	0x07200c…
05-02 07:08:42	Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $430 on May 4?	No	BUY	7	98¢	$7	0x02201e…