Ugly-Ease — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$73

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

98.2%

Resolved

312

Trades

958

lifetime

Volume

$43.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$45

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-23

last 07-27 10:33

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 107 days

Categories

Other

99% 97% -$87

Politics

1% 100% +$13

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-27).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on July 2?	5	$797	406	406	+0	No	+$14	07-02 11:58
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on June 27?	8	$752	384	384	+0	No	+$15	06-27 13:40
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 25?	4	$650	329	329	+0	No	+$7	06-25 12:32
Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on June 25?	9	$613	307	307	+0	Yes	+$1	06-25 19:23
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on June 29?	3	$546	278	278	+0	No	+$8	06-29 15:03
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on June 9?	5	$535	270	270	+0	No	+$4	06-09 08:14
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 28°C on June 8?	8	$532	269	269	+0	No	+$6	06-08 16:14
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on June 8?	5	$517	261	261	+0	No	+$5	06-08 08:55
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C on July 10?	8	$495	254	254	+0	No	+$13	07-11 04:20
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on June 28?	3	$487	409	86	+323	No	+$8	06-28 10:30
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 26°C on June 2?	8	$485	250	250	+0	No	+$15	06-02 17:27
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on July 9?	3	$480	246	246	+0	No	+$10	07-09 15:30
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on June 6?	3	$477	240	240	+0	Yes	+$2	06-06 14:43
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 32°C on July 1?	8	$470	239	239	+0	No	+$7	07-01 14:28
Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $400 on April 28?	6	$465	240	239	+1	Yes	+$14	04-28 20:00
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on May 31?	6	$460	233	233	+0	Yes	+$5	06-01 04:15
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on June 1?	4	$454	230	230	+0	Yes	+$5	06-01 07:53
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C or higher on June 2?	2	$452	230	230	+0	Yes	+$7	06-02 12:34
Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $400 on April 27?	10	$446	226	226	+0	Yes	+$6	04-27 19:51
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on June 30?	4	$443	224	224	+0	No	+$5	06-30 09:30
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C or higher on May 31?	5	$437	223	223	+0	No	+$8	05-31 15:23
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on June 23?	10	$432	220	220	+0	No	+$7	06-23 12:14
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C on July 12?	4	$432	220	220	+0	No	+$8	07-13 04:00
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 27°C on June 21?	16	$415	214	214	+0	No	+$10	06-21 14:55
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on June 30?	6	$412	210	210	+0	No	+$8	06-30 09:30
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 31°C on July 4?	2	$389	256	136	+120	No	+$2	07-05 05:00
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on July 12?	4	$377	192	192	+0	No	+$7	07-12 08:40
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on June 24?	12	$372	188	188	+0	No	+$4	06-24 16:01
msft close above 420 on march 16 2026	2	$370	186	186	+0	No	+$3	03-16 22:10
msft close above 380 on march 13 2026	2	$365	184	184	+0	Yes	+$2	03-13 20:03

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-27 10:33:46	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on July 27?	No	BUY	27	99¢	$27	0x0e2560…
07-14 12:30:22	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 29°C on July 14?	No	BUY	12	96¢	$12	0x9ab3a7…
07-14 12:29:49	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 29°C on July 14?	No	BUY	46	96¢	$44	0x463f9b…
07-14 12:29:35	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 29°C on July 14?	No	BUY	50	94¢	$47	0x9d1da9…
07-14 12:29:34	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 29°C on July 14?	No	BUY	22	93¢	$20	0x67196d…
07-14 12:29:17	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 30°C on July 14?	No	SELL	136	99¢	$135	0xbcdd4a…
07-14 12:29:10	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on July 14?	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x46c94b…
07-14 11:34:31	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 29°C on July 14?	No	BUY	18	93¢	$17	0xa3b106…
07-14 11:33:07	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 29°C on July 14?	No	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0x2cf143…
07-14 11:33:05	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 29°C on July 14?	No	BUY	90	90¢	$81	0x7316f0…
07-14 11:32:49	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 29°C on July 14?	No	BUY	30	89¢	$27	0x5ca439…
07-14 11:32:13	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 29°C on July 14?	No	BUY	8	84¢	$6	0xb03376…
07-14 11:31:40	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 29°C on July 14?	No	BUY	52	82¢	$42	0x8f4593…
07-14 11:24:35	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 30°C on July 14?	No	BUY	20	96¢	$19	0x09ee45…
07-14 11:24:29	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 30°C on July 14?	No	BUY	50	96¢	$48	0xcb6188…
07-14 11:24:23	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 30°C on July 14?	No	BUY	18	96¢	$17	0x9219ae…
07-14 11:24:13	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 30°C on July 14?	No	BUY	30	96¢	$29	0x139307…
07-14 11:24:08	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 30°C on July 14?	No	BUY	18	96¢	$17	0x99e1a6…
07-14 04:29:10	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C on July 13?	No	SELL	183	100¢	$182	0xadd4b5…
07-14 04:05:40	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on July 14?	No	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0x164a10…
07-13 17:12:58	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C on July 13?	No	BUY	183	98¢	$179	0x79ec9f…
07-13 16:02:05	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on July 13?	No	BUY	100	97¢	$97	0x7343b5…
07-13 16:00:14	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on July 13?	No	BUY	42	98¢	$41	0x8a0fa9…
07-13 09:07:13	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on July 13?	No	SELL	102	100¢	$102	0x8ca547…
07-13 09:07:02	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on July 13?	Yes	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0xee3eda…
07-13 05:14:46	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on July 13?	Yes	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0x768b17…
07-13 04:01:49	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on July 13?	No	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0xc4d4bc…
07-13 04:01:16	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on July 13?	No	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0x98a0b3…
07-13 04:01:07	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on July 13?	No	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0x606425…
07-13 04:00:49	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C on July 12?	No	SELL	220	100¢	$220	0x426dab…
07-13 04:00:31	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on July 13?	No	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0x893133…
07-12 19:11:22	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C on July 12?	No	BUY	188	97¢	$182	0xddf58a…
07-12 18:26:16	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C on July 12?	No	BUY	24	92¢	$22	0x6ce8e8…
07-12 18:26:07	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C on July 12?	No	BUY	8	91¢	$7	0xc90257…
07-12 17:17:58	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 24°C on July 12?	No	BUY	33	97¢	$32	0x77565e…
07-12 08:48:07	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on July 12?	No	BUY	45	98¢	$44	0xc72452…
07-12 08:41:35	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on July 12?	No	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0x000672…
07-12 08:40:07	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on July 12?	No	SELL	192	100¢	$192	0xcd7f25…
07-12 05:05:58	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on July 12?	No	BUY	17	94¢	$16	0x34c235…
07-12 05:02:16	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on July 12?	No	BUY	33	95¢	$31	0x947390…
07-12 04:29:59	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on July 12?	No	BUY	92	98¢	$90	0x8404d9…
07-12 04:08:02	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on July 12?	No	BUY	50	94¢	$47	0x2734a8…
07-12 04:07:52	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on July 12?	No	BUY	50	94¢	$47	0x77de03…
07-11 17:54:47	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 29°C on July 11?	No	BUY	77	98¢	$75	0xc59428…
07-11 17:40:22	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 29°C on July 11?	No	BUY	54	97¢	$52	0x858cdb…
07-11 08:07:19	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C on July 11?	No	BUY	172	97¢	$167	0xc20269…
07-11 08:06:55	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C on July 11?	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x04b883…
07-11 07:15:13	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C on July 11?	No	BUY	113	96¢	$109	0xffacca…
07-11 04:20:26	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C on July 10?	No	SELL	254	100¢	$254	0x5e9aca…
07-10 19:59:16	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C on July 10?	No	BUY	137	98¢	$134	0xc36b1a…
07-10 18:14:04	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C on July 10?	No	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0xcdd066…
07-10 18:13:58	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C on July 10?	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xda4b9e…
07-10 18:13:47	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C on July 10?	No	BUY	7	93¢	$6	0x6cf658…
07-10 18:06:56	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C on July 10?	No	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xa471f8…
07-10 18:06:52	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C on July 10?	No	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xda5668…
07-10 18:06:46	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C on July 10?	No	BUY	84	91¢	$76	0x15b977…
07-10 05:05:34	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on July 10?	No	BUY	161	94¢	$152	0xe2064a…
07-10 05:05:19	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on July 10?	No	BUY	94	93¢	$88	0xafe1c6…
07-10 04:25:29	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on July 10?	No	BUY	12	98¢	$12	0x1e44bc…
07-09 15:31:14	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 40°C on July 9?	No	BUY	252	97¢	$245	0xde02f6…
07-09 15:30:20	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on July 9?	No	SELL	246	100¢	$245	0x0384fe…
07-09 03:50:26	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on July 9?	No	BUY	179	96¢	$171	0x06c3a4…
07-09 03:49:34	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on July 9?	No	BUY	67	96¢	$64	0x03880b…
07-08 18:23:02	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 23°C on July 8?	No	BUY	50	97¢	$48	0x81cdec…
07-08 18:13:35	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 23°C on July 8?	No	BUY	76	98¢	$74	0x8db95a…
07-08 05:20:52	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on July 8?	No	BUY	26	97¢	$26	0xd47788…
07-08 05:20:34	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on July 8?	No	BUY	37	97¢	$36	0x278b78…
07-08 05:20:11	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on July 8?	No	BUY	100	97¢	$97	0x990e85…
07-08 04:09:59	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on July 8?	No	BUY	69	92¢	$64	0xa64121…
07-07 04:49:59	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on July 7?	No	BUY	222	94¢	$209	0x0b0856…
07-06 04:42:04	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on July 6?	No	BUY	35	96¢	$34	0xf09c20…
07-06 04:41:02	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on July 6?	No	BUY	41	97¢	$40	0x3d067e…
07-06 04:40:56	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on July 6?	No	BUY	0	97¢	$0	0x7b2ff8…
07-06 04:39:56	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on July 6?	No	BUY	108	97¢	$105	0x6be8ad…
07-06 04:38:47	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 33°C on July 5?	No	SELL	125	100¢	$125	0x561fe2…
07-06 04:38:16	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on July 6?	No	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0xa55853…
07-06 04:38:16	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on July 6?	No	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x8dacd1…
07-06 04:37:44	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on July 6?	No	BUY	214	97¢	$208	0x3e83f6…
07-06 04:37:29	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on July 6?	No	BUY	56	96¢	$54	0x748e63…
07-06 03:34:40	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on July 6?	No	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x1fd48c…
07-05 18:48:55	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 33°C on July 5?	No	BUY	17	94¢	$16	0x91e178…
07-05 18:33:13	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 33°C on July 5?	No	BUY	25	94¢	$24	0x1b38e4…
07-05 18:08:37	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 33°C on July 5?	No	BUY	8	94¢	$8	0x6a44a4…
07-05 18:08:01	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 33°C on July 5?	No	BUY	25	98¢	$24	0x947e8f…
07-05 17:54:50	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 33°C on July 5?	No	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0xec835a…
07-05 13:57:14	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 26°C on July 5?	No	BUY	64	97¢	$62	0x389fa1…
07-05 13:55:41	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 26°C on July 5?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x28d977…
07-05 13:52:35	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 26°C on July 5?	No	BUY	46	96¢	$44	0x430dd6…
07-05 13:51:11	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 26°C on July 5?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x24753d…
07-05 13:50:44	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on July 5?	No	SELL	116	100¢	$116	0x57c5a7…
07-05 13:49:44	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 26°C on July 5?	No	BUY	67	95¢	$64	0x60c5d1…
07-05 13:15:47	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C on July 5?	No	SELL	61	100¢	$61	0xdafabb…
07-05 06:30:58	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on July 5?	No	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0x6600f4…
07-05 06:30:35	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on July 5?	No	BUY	20	97¢	$19	0x0057d6…
07-05 06:07:46	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on July 5?	No	BUY	83	98¢	$81	0x50aeb1…
07-05 06:07:32	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on July 5?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x721f32…
07-05 06:07:26	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on July 5?	No	BUY	124	97¢	$120	0x5d732b…
07-05 05:00:44	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 31°C on July 4?	No	SELL	136	100¢	$136	0x41fbf1…
07-05 03:26:14	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on July 5?	No	BUY	83	96¢	$80	0xd7fa7d…
07-05 03:25:58	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on July 5?	No	BUY	33	95¢	$31	0x7b2b26…