Frightening-Shorts — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$89

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

39.2%

Resolved

Trades

599

lifetime

Volume

$2.49K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-16

last 05-27 19:17

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

94% 38% $-89

Other

3% — —

Sports

3% — —

Politics

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

11 active days in 12wk • peak 159 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (8) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 5m 1771200600	2	$200	495	0	+495	open	—	02-16 00:11
the masters 2026 rory mcilroy vs scottie scheffler	2	$64	220	0	+220	open	—	04-11 21:51
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	3	$48	30	30	+0	open	—	03-08 00:58
Will Alex Fitzpatrick finish in the Top 10 at the 2026 Truist Championship?	2	$29	24	24	+0	open	—	05-11 01:02
btc updown 5m 1771629600	3	$27	35	17	+18	open	—	02-20 23:24
btc updown 5m 1773339000	2	$23	15	15	+0	open	—	03-12 18:14
btc updown 5m 1771341600	2	$23	13	13	+0	open	—	02-17 15:24
btc updown 5m 1772222100	2	$23	14	14	+0	open	—	02-27 19:59
btc updown 5m 1771343700	2	$23	15	15	+0	open	—	02-17 15:58
btc updown 5m 1771532700	2	$21	18	17	+0	open	—	02-19 20:26
btc updown 5m 1771619400	4	$21	29	10	+19	open	—	02-20 20:34
btc updown 5m 1771203000	3	$20	71	0	+71	open	—	02-16 00:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	3	$16	23	23	+0	open	—	05-27 19:17
btc updown 5m 1771270800	2	$15	37	0	+37	open	—	02-16 19:43
btc updown 5m 1771202700	2	$15	57	0	+57	open	—	02-16 00:48
btc updown 5m 1771201200	2	$15	44	0	+44	open	—	02-16 00:21
will bitcoin reach 80000 in february 298	2	$13	67	67	+0	open	—	02-19 20:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	4	$12	67	0	+67	open	—	05-15 18:28
us x iran ceasefire by march 2	2	$10	144	144	+0	open	—	03-02 20:05
btc updown 5m 1771263300	1	$10	17	0	+17	open	—	02-16 17:39
bitcoin above 70k on february 16	1	$10	42	0	+42	open	—	02-16 00:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	1	$9	18	0	+18	Up	+$9	05-13 14:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	1	$9	14	0	+14	Down	$-9	05-13 14:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	1	$6	12	0	+12	Down	+$6	05-11 18:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	1	$6	14	0	+14	Down	+$8	05-11 18:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	2	$6	10	0	+10	open	—	05-16 07:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	1	$6	11	0	+11	Up	$-6	05-11 21:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	1	$6	11	0	+11	Down	$-6	05-11 14:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	1	$6	10	0	+10	Up	+$4	05-11 15:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	1	$6	13	0	+13	Up	$-6	05-11 17:55

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-27 19:17:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	SELL	23	28¢	$6	0x773067…
05-27 19:16:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0x3416d8…
05-27 19:15:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0xbc9564…
05-18 01:30:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0xe2cec1…
05-18 01:22:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Up	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0xbd3f95…
05-18 01:14:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0xa384ee…
05-18 00:28:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	8	36¢	$3	0x56f0f3…
05-18 00:15:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0xb7b59e…
05-18 00:00:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x48a29c…
05-17 23:59:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	8	40¢	$3	0x7bde7f…
05-17 23:51:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0x7ef9c1…
05-17 23:18:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0x681ba7…
05-17 22:31:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x0a3b6d…
05-17 22:20:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0xd21862…
05-17 22:15:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	7	42¢	$3	0xefff57…
05-17 22:14:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	8	40¢	$3	0x19ce30…
05-17 22:05:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	7	45¢	$3	0xe01d0b…
05-17 21:56:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0x9b3c88…
05-17 21:49:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	8	37¢	$3	0x0015d4…
05-17 21:37:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	9	35¢	$3	0x1283d9…
05-17 21:34:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	BUY	6	48¢	$3	0xe649dc…
05-17 21:27:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	9	35¢	$3	0x615cb6…
05-17 21:02:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0x2b392b…
05-17 20:59:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0x189eb5…
05-17 20:43:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x1cf6bd…
05-17 20:34:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	8	36¢	$3	0xe39845…
05-17 20:25:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	8	40¢	$3	0xb746ce…
05-17 19:52:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0x1fff14…
05-17 19:35:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0x0f2868…
05-17 19:33:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	BUY	8	37¢	$3	0x508e2a…
05-17 19:26:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0x268870…
05-17 19:21:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0x0a5b49…
05-17 19:01:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	7	41¢	$3	0x6976ac…
05-17 18:50:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0xd432bc…
05-17 18:45:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	BUY	7	44¢	$3	0x21b4b2…
05-17 18:40:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0xe531a0…
05-17 18:30:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0x23b737…
05-17 18:07:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	BUY	6	48¢	$3	0xd11432…
05-17 18:00:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	7	43¢	$3	0x0dd36f…
05-17 17:45:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0x38184f…
05-17 17:43:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x42e4d7…
05-17 17:38:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	7	43¢	$3	0xaba220…
05-17 17:33:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	12	26¢	$3	0x70b65c…
05-17 17:28:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0xb79c9b…
05-17 16:54:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	BUY	8	38¢	$3	0xa5bb89…
05-17 16:45:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0xcf3714…
05-17 16:40:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0xd94c27…
05-17 16:30:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0x55667d…
05-17 16:06:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	BUY	10	31¢	$3	0xf7dc95…
05-17 16:00:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	31	10¢	$3	0x3acb06…
05-17 15:52:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x05d5ec…
05-17 15:22:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	BUY	10	31¢	$3	0xc9c687…
05-17 14:53:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	6	54¢	$3	0xdbc1ac…
05-17 13:40:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0x4dd3ae…
05-17 12:53:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0x506a01…
05-17 12:45:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	BUY	7	46¢	$3	0xbcd425…
05-17 12:40:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	7	46¢	$3	0x8b6e6a…
05-17 12:35:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0xdc66fe…
05-17 12:30:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0xbad7be…
05-17 12:25:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0xdd7cd5…
05-17 12:15:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	8	37¢	$3	0x15a409…
05-17 12:10:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	29¢	$3	0x775c00…
05-17 12:08:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	BUY	8	36¢	$3	0x00901e…
05-17 12:00:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	BUY	8	37¢	$3	0x5297e9…
05-17 11:55:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	6	48¢	$3	0xd9ea24…
05-17 11:46:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0xbed9b1…
05-17 11:35:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x872168…
05-17 11:27:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	8	37¢	$3	0x559b11…
05-17 11:20:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0x392665…
05-17 11:10:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0x4a2370…
05-17 11:08:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0x1f9ff4…
05-17 11:00:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x45062f…
05-17 10:55:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0xded62c…
05-17 10:50:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Up	BUY	9	35¢	$3	0x04c2bd…
05-17 10:26:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0x1e8a74…
05-17 10:15:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	8	39¢	$3	0x58f943…
05-17 10:00:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	BUY	9	34¢	$3	0xcff935…
05-17 09:55:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	8	37¢	$3	0x07ec91…
05-17 09:38:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	BUY	8	37¢	$3	0xbab16e…
05-17 09:30:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	BUY	9	34¢	$3	0x9dc322…
05-17 09:19:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	BUY	7	43¢	$3	0xfe864a…
05-17 09:10:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	8	39¢	$3	0x44fd6b…
05-17 09:05:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	8	39¢	$3	0x743d65…
05-17 09:00:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	BUY	9	35¢	$3	0x2e7ca6…
05-17 08:58:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	8	39¢	$3	0x20cba1…
05-17 08:54:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x09f628…
05-17 08:46:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	6	48¢	$3	0xe38e80…
05-17 08:40:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	BUY	300	1¢	$3	0xce9ee5…
05-17 08:15:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x8e4bee…
05-17 08:05:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0x4e3ca6…
05-17 08:00:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	BUY	7	46¢	$3	0xf7e981…
05-17 07:55:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	6	48¢	$3	0x4b2fce…
05-17 07:51:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0xbfbde1…
05-17 07:15:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0xbcc6b6…
05-17 07:09:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Down	BUY	7	45¢	$3	0xada929…
05-17 07:01:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Up	BUY	7	41¢	$3	0xe0ac5a…
05-17 06:55:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	8	37¢	$3	0xfdab99…
05-17 06:35:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0xdfdec6…
05-17 06:30:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Up	BUY	6	54¢	$3	0x04e921…
05-17 06:25:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	9	34¢	$3	0x0b74c4…