Realized P&L
-$613
Unrealized P&L
+$83
Hit rate
13.7%
Resolved
387
Trades
2,918
lifetime
Volume
$22.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$8
Open exposure
$848
30 positions
First seen
2026-08-20
last 09-30 23:47
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 60 days
Categories
Other
60% 17% -$364
Politics
31% 5% -$219
Sports
4% 17% -$1
Tech
3% 19% -$33
Pop-Culture
1% 100% +$4
Crypto
0% 0% $0
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
40 active days in 12wk • peak 294 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Kash Patel out by December 31? No +139 $111 80¢ $112 +$1 09-20 09:34
Blue wave in 2026? Yes +74 $62 88¢ $65 +$3 09-22 17:12
Will Badr bin Hamad Al Busaidi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? No +80 $69 73¢ $58 -$11 09-20 11:14
Will the Republican Party win the NC-09 House seat? Yes +80 $59 66¢ $52 -$6 09-27 14:29
Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 25 bps at the November 2026 meeting? Yes +40 $15 93¢ $37 +$22 09-20 11:30
Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide? No +42 $31 88¢ $37 +$6 09-22 11:14
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by June 30, 2027? No +55 $34 59¢ $32 -$2 09-19 03:02
will an ai lab announce another millennium prize solution by december 31 2026 No +40 $25 74¢ $30 +$5 09-08 23:35
Will the Republican Party win the NC-09 House seat? No +80 $21 34¢ $28 +$6 09-27 14:29
Kash Patel out by December 31? Yes +139 $29 20¢ $27 -$2 09-20 09:34
Skin cancer vaccine FDA approved by December 31, 2027? Yes +40 $25 60¢ $24 -$1 09-26 14:41
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by June 30, 2027? Yes +55 $20 41¢ $22 +$2 09-19 03:02
Will the Democratic Party win the AL-02 House seat? No +40 $27 56¢ $22 -$5 09-27 09:34
Will Badr bin Hamad Al Busaidi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? Yes +80 $12 27¢ $22 +$10 09-20 11:14
Will no one leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027? No +32 $13 62¢ $20 +$7 09-19 11:37
houthis enter aden by october 31 2026 No +20 $11 100¢ $20 +$9 09-11 02:57
Will J.D. Vance attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? No +26 $20 74¢ $19 -$1 09-25 19:13
No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the November 2026 meeting? No +20 $6 94¢ $19 +$13 09-20 15:11
Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by December 31, 2026? No +20 $15 92¢ $18 +$4 09-20 13:48
Will the Democratic Party win the AL-02 House seat? Yes +40 $13 44¢ $18 +$5 09-27 09:34
Will the Rhine River return to normal levels between October 1 and October 31, 2026? No +18 $9 100¢ $18 +$8 09-07 21:34
will openai announce another millennium prize solution by december 31 2026 No +20 $16 86¢ $17 +$2 09-09 22:30
Will Bad Bunny be the top artist for 2026? Yes +20 $17 85¢ $17 $0 09-19 06:36
houthis enter aden by december 31 2026 No +20 $10 84¢ $17 +$7 09-11 01:48
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31? Yes +20 $17 82¢ $16 -$1 09-18 16:32
Will "End of Beginning – Djo" be the top song for 2026? Yes +20 $14 82¢ $16 +$3 09-12 10:11
Will the Republican Party win the FL-25 House seat? No +20 $14 80¢ $16 +$2 09-25 13:02
China x Philippines military clash before 2027? No +20 $15 80¢ $16 +$1 09-19 21:47
Skin cancer vaccine FDA approved by December 31, 2027? No +40 $17 40¢ $16 -$1 09-26 14:41
Will Ishaq Dar attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? No +20 $17 79¢ $16 -$1 09-22 00:45