Likely-Yahoo — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$3.74K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

59.5%

Resolved

104

Trades

129

lifetime

Volume

$14.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$109

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-21

last 05-09 21:17

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 9 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 62% +$3,743

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-05-09).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-28 13:55 UTC	1	$795	949	0	+949	Down	+$154	03-28 13:56
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-28 14:10 UTC	1	$500	1,133	0	+1,133	Down	-$500	03-28 14:10
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-28 13:45 UTC	1	$400	908	0	+908	Down	-$400	03-28 13:45
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-22 15:30 UTC	2	$368	2,403	0	+2,403	Down	-$368	03-22 15:39
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-22 09:30 UTC	3	$358	1,545	0	+1,545	Up	-$358	03-22 09:38
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-22 09:45 UTC	1	$300	558	0	+558	Up	+$258	03-22 09:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-28 05:50 UTC	1	$300	562	0	+562	Up	+$262	03-28 05:50
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-28 14:15 UTC	1	$300	384	0	+384	Up	-$300	03-28 14:16
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-28 13:20 UTC	1	$300	439	0	+439	Down	-$300	03-28 13:21
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-28 04:45 UTC	2	$300	490	0	+490	Down	+$190	03-28 04:45
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-22 08:45 UTC	2	$275	514	0	+514	Up	+$239	03-22 08:54
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-21 09:15 UTC	3	$270	377	239	+138	Down	-$16	03-21 09:19
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-23 20:00 UTC	2	$250	433	0	+433	Up	+$183	03-23 20:06
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-21 15:15 UTC	3	$250	701	0	+701	Up	+$451	03-21 15:18
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-29 08:10 UTC	2	$230	731	0	+731	Down	-$230	03-29 08:12
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-22 06:15 UTC	2	$230	464	0	+464	Up	+$234	03-22 06:18
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-22 15:15 UTC	2	$219	479	0	+479	Down	-$219	03-22 15:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-24 00:15 UTC	2	$210	1,896	0	+1,896	Up	+$1,686	03-24 00:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-28 06:10 UTC	1	$200	402	0	+402	Up	+$202	03-28 06:10
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-28 13:35 UTC	1	$200	406	0	+406	Up	+$206	03-28 13:35
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-29 08:20 UTC	1	$200	511	0	+511	Up	-$200	03-29 08:20
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-22 12:30 UTC	2	$200	697	0	+697	Down	-$200	03-22 12:41
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-28 05:30 UTC	1	$200	385	0	+385	Up	+$185	03-28 05:30
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-29 08:05 UTC	1	$200	331	0	+331	Down	-$200	03-29 08:05
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-28 13:10 UTC	1	$200	300	0	+300	Down	-$200	03-28 13:12
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-28 05:00 UTC	1	$200	333	0	+333	Down	+$133	03-28 05:00
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-22 14:30 UTC	1	$200	392	0	+392	Up	+$192	03-22 14:30
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-21 12:15 UTC	2	$175	589	0	+589	Up	+$414	03-21 12:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-29 07:40 UTC	2	$173	424	0	+424	Up	+$251	03-29 07:41
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-22 07:00 UTC	1	$170	360	0	+360	Down	+$190	03-22 07:00

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-09 21:17:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	9	90¢	$8	0xd11b63…
05-09 21:10:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x918dd5…
05-09 21:10:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x108e92…
05-09 21:00:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	29	35¢	$10	0x1c76d4…
05-09 20:59:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	47	21¢	$10	0x2d642b…
04-09 15:30:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-09 15:30 UTC	Down	BUY	157	64¢	$100	0x2c5a0b…
04-09 15:27:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-09 15:25 UTC	Up	BUY	692	8¢	$53	0xa5f21f…
04-09 15:21:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-09 15:20 UTC	Up	BUY	154	65¢	$100	0x140871…
04-09 15:15:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-09 15:15 UTC	Down	BUY	241	21¢	$50	0x24fc09…
04-09 15:15:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-09 15:15 UTC	Down	BUY	180	28¢	$50	0x316e09…
04-09 15:10:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-09 15:10 UTC	Up	BUY	92	55¢	$50	0xc95219…
04-09 15:05:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-09 15:05 UTC	Down	BUY	112	45¢	$50	0x0f8116…
04-09 14:58:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-09 14:55 UTC	Up	SELL	56	9¢	$5	0xb803f2…
04-09 14:56:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-09 14:55 UTC	Up	BUY	185	54¢	$100	0x99d6e2…
03-30 03:21:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 03:20 UTC	Down	BUY	60	50¢	$30	0x0b2eb3…
03-30 03:17:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 03:15 UTC	Down	BUY	86	19¢	$16	0x774ff9…
03-30 03:11:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 03:10 UTC	Down	BUY	48	63¢	$30	0x82ff4c…
03-30 03:03:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 03:00 UTC	Down	BUY	24	84¢	$20	0x64d456…
03-30 02:51:36	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-30 02:45 UTC	Up	BUY	10	81¢	$8	0x81642e…
03-30 02:39:02	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-30 02:30 UTC	Down	BUY	9	96¢	$9	0x2b1d56…
03-29 20:43:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-29 20:40 UTC	Down	BUY	12	75¢	$9	0x6234f7…
03-29 20:29:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-29 20:25 UTC	Down	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0x56e578…
03-29 19:40:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-29 19:40 UTC	Down	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0x8ce22c…
03-29 19:38:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-29 19:35 UTC	Up	BUY	84	3¢	$3	0x5ad247…
03-29 19:35:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-29 19:35 UTC	Up	BUY	38	26¢	$10	0xc9d477…
03-29 19:30:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-29 19:30 UTC	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x2a9be2…
03-29 19:25:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-29 19:25 UTC	Up	BUY	17	60¢	$10	0x157d9c…
03-29 19:21:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-29 19:20 UTC	Down	BUY	14	73¢	$10	0xdb1953…
03-29 19:07:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-29 19:05 UTC	Up	BUY	17	61¢	$11	0xaddbe6…
03-29 18:54:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-29 18:50 UTC	Up	BUY	16	65¢	$10	0xa0c650…
03-29 08:20:14	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-29 08:20 UTC	Down	BUY	511	39¢	$200	0xc7f321…
03-29 08:12:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-29 08:10 UTC	Up	BUY	85	35¢	$30	0xe9197c…
03-29 08:12:32	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-29 08:10 UTC	Up	BUY	645	31¢	$200	0xaf033b…
03-29 08:05:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-29 08:05 UTC	Up	BUY	331	60¢	$200	0x90e744…
03-29 07:41:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-29 07:40 UTC	Up	BUY	417	41¢	$170	0xaad61d…
03-29 07:40:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-29 07:40 UTC	Up	BUY	7	41¢	$3	0x6abf92…
03-29 07:30:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-29 07:30 UTC	Down	BUY	276	36¢	$100	0x6b60c3…
03-28 14:16:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-28 14:15 UTC	Down	BUY	384	78¢	$300	0xc579a1…
03-28 14:10:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-28 14:10 UTC	Up	BUY	1,133	44¢	$500	0x9e91b3…
03-28 14:02:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-28 14:00 UTC	Up	BUY	1,428	11¢	$150	0xeb3f27…
03-28 13:56:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-28 13:55 UTC	Down	BUY	949	84¢	$795	0x0dceb2…
03-28 13:45:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-28 13:45 UTC	Up	BUY	908	44¢	$400	0xef1896…
03-28 13:35:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-28 13:35 UTC	Up	BUY	406	49¢	$200	0x9687e7…
03-28 13:21:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-28 13:20 UTC	Up	BUY	439	68¢	$300	0xc0c723…
03-28 13:12:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-28 13:10 UTC	Up	BUY	300	67¢	$200	0x8f6053…
03-28 06:10:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-28 06:10 UTC	Up	BUY	402	50¢	$200	0xe2b7cd…
03-28 05:50:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-28 05:50 UTC	Up	BUY	562	53¢	$300	0x5d1430…
03-28 05:45:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-28 05:45 UTC	Up	BUY	196	51¢	$100	0x3244e8…
03-28 05:30:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-28 05:30 UTC	Up	BUY	385	52¢	$200	0x127690…
03-28 05:00:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-28 05:00 UTC	Down	BUY	333	60¢	$200	0x876308…
03-28 04:45:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-28 04:45 UTC	Down	BUY	180	56¢	$100	0xfe7665…
03-28 04:45:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-28 04:45 UTC	Down	BUY	310	65¢	$200	0x7bbbb2…
03-28 04:35:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-28 04:35 UTC	Up	BUY	297	34¢	$100	0x8067cf…
03-28 04:30:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-28 04:30 UTC	Up	BUY	149	67¢	$100	0xa7f8c8…
03-28 04:25:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-28 04:25 UTC	Down	BUY	162	62¢	$100	0x772c5f…
03-24 06:50:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-24 06:50 UTC	Up	BUY	204	49¢	$100	0x74a143…
03-24 06:45:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-24 06:45 UTC	Up	BUY	225	44¢	$100	0xf2b2a7…
03-24 06:00:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-24 06:00 UTC	Up	BUY	233	43¢	$100	0x045cae…
03-24 05:40:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-24 05:40 UTC	Up	BUY	179	56¢	$100	0x651c3e…
03-24 05:35:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-24 05:35 UTC	Up	BUY	189	53¢	$100	0x1017f9…
03-24 05:20:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-24 05:20 UTC	Up	BUY	192	52¢	$100	0xddad05…
03-24 05:15:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-24 05:15 UTC	Up	BUY	162	62¢	$100	0x9e4dd0…
03-24 05:10:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-24 05:10 UTC	Up	BUY	154	61¢	$94	0x05db8d…
03-24 00:19:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-24 00:15 UTC	Up	BUY	1,000	1¢	$10	0x3f9f91…
03-24 00:16:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-24 00:15 UTC	Up	BUY	896	22¢	$200	0xdc993e…
03-24 00:13:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-24 00:10 UTC	Up	BUY	227	44¢	$100	0x98d788…
03-24 00:09:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-24 00:05 UTC	Up	BUY	1,328	4¢	$50	0xd3c526…
03-24 00:06:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-24 00:05 UTC	Up	BUY	254	39¢	$100	0x7c74a5…
03-23 23:55:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-23 23:55 UTC	Up	BUY	213	47¢	$100	0x86acc0…
03-23 23:45:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-23 23:45 UTC	Up	BUY	196	51¢	$100	0xa8829c…
03-23 23:35:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-23 23:35 UTC	Up	BUY	187	53¢	$100	0x11cfa6…
03-23 23:30:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-23 23:30 UTC	Up	BUY	196	51¢	$100	0x900c17…
03-23 23:25:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-23 23:25 UTC	Up	BUY	246	41¢	$100	0x6dbe77…
03-23 23:15:43	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-23 23:15 UTC	Up	BUY	234	43¢	$100	0x0a4356…
03-23 23:10:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-23 23:10 UTC	Up	BUY	174	57¢	$100	0x909f46…
03-23 23:00:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-23 23:00 UTC	Down	BUY	196	51¢	$100	0xe4bace…
03-23 22:50:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-23 22:50 UTC	Up	BUY	200	50¢	$100	0x2d8845…
03-23 22:40:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-23 22:40 UTC	Up	BUY	218	46¢	$99	0xea7c0f…
03-23 21:00:01	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-23 21:00 UTC	Up	BUY	197	51¢	$100	0xd81de8…
03-23 20:30:23	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-23 20:30 UTC	Up	BUY	274	55¢	$150	0x3e4206…
03-23 20:06:27	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-23 20:00 UTC	Up	BUY	106	47¢	$50	0x88cf29…
03-23 20:00:07	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-23 20:00 UTC	Up	BUY	326	61¢	$200	0x05c220…
03-23 19:50:51	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-23 19:45 UTC	Up	BUY	191	19¢	$36	0xcb9c3b…
03-23 19:45:23	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-23 19:45 UTC	Up	BUY	167	60¢	$100	0x246028…
03-23 19:30:25	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-23 19:30 UTC	Down	BUY	217	46¢	$100	0x9c509d…
03-23 18:45:43	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-23 18:45 UTC	Up	BUY	196	51¢	$100	0xc04b98…
03-23 18:30:27	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-23 18:30 UTC	Up	BUY	169	59¢	$100	0x429060…
03-23 18:16:07	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-23 18:15 UTC	Up	BUY	179	56¢	$100	0x1fbbeb…
03-23 18:00:45	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-23 18:00 UTC	Down	BUY	173	58¢	$100	0xdd5e44…
03-23 17:46:53	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-23 17:45 UTC	Up	BUY	185	54¢	$100	0x80860d…
03-22 15:39:23	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-22 15:30 UTC	Up	BUY	1,810	4¢	$68	0xff8e1e…
03-22 15:31:01	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-22 15:30 UTC	Up	BUY	593	51¢	$300	0x283b28…
03-22 15:29:13	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-22 15:15 UTC	Up	BUY	167	30¢	$50	0xc41930…
03-22 15:15:11	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-22 15:15 UTC	Up	BUY	313	54¢	$169	0xb81dd5…
03-22 14:30:11	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-22 14:30 UTC	Up	BUY	392	51¢	$200	0x69d77d…
03-22 13:17:51	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-22 13:15 UTC	Up	BUY	138	42¢	$58	0x6d9224…
03-22 13:15:07	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-22 13:15 UTC	Up	BUY	215	47¢	$100	0xd4835b…
03-22 13:00:17	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-22 13:00 UTC	Up	BUY	169	59¢	$100	0x132070…
03-22 12:44:57	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-22 12:45 UTC	Up	BUY	297	51¢	$150	0x6a66b1…
03-22 12:41:55	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-22 12:30 UTC	Up	BUY	326	15¢	$50	0xeeb6f0…