Extra-Large-Dysfunction — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$69

Unrealized P&L

+$17

Hit rate

65.1%

Resolved

846

Trades

1,750

lifetime

Volume

$11.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$106

2 positions

First seen

2026-05-27

last 10-31 17:11

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 75 days

Categories

Crypto

97% 57% -$61

Other

1% 0% -$2

Pop-Culture

1% — —

Politics

1% 0% -$1

Sports

0% 20% -$2

Tech

0% 50% -$4

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

22 active days in 12wk • peak 18 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will a team from LPL (China) win LoL Worlds 2026?	Yes		+148	$22	38¢	$55	+$33	10-31 17:11
Will a team from LPL (China) win LoL Worlds 2026?	No		+81	$67	62¢	$51	-$17	10-31 12:48

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-28 14:00 UTC	8	$163	115	115	+0	Up	+$39	06-28 14:08
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-13 23:00 UTC	6	$119	79	79	+0	Up	+$39	07-13 23:14
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	14	$118	98	98	+0	Up	-$2	06-14 20:45
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-21 21:35 UTC	6	$99	120	51	+69	Up	+$4	06-21 21:38
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	11	$97	67	56	+12	Up	+$9	06-14 21:53
Will a team from LPL (China) win LoL Worlds 2026?	4	$90	229	0	+229	open	—	10-31 17:11
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-31 15:15 UTC	8	$79	93	27	+67	Down	+$5	07-31 15:19
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-14 21:30 UTC	16	$76	96	8	+87	Up	+$14	06-14 21:34
Will Trump pardon Ryan Salame before 2027?	2	$75	250	0	+250	open	—	10-30 08:39
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-01 22:00 UTC	8	$74	92	19	+73	Up	-$1	08-01 22:04
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	10	$74	57	57	+0	Up	+$4	06-14 14:20
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-14 10:30 UTC	7	$70	91	28	+63	Up	+$13	07-14 10:37
XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-21 21:35 UTC	5	$69	81	29	+52	Up	-$41	06-21 21:38
Will Rihanna have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026?	1	$67	218	0	+218	open	—	10-31 00:13
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-01 22:25 UTC	4	$65	35	35	+0	Up	+$5	08-01 22:29
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-21 17:30 UTC	6	$63	39	39	+0	Down	+$13	06-21 17:35
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	7	$61	36	36	+0	Up	+$7	06-14 21:44
SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-01 21:35 UTC	4	$61	38	38	+0	Down	+$1	08-01 21:37
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	14	$60	86	51	+34	Up	-$50	06-14 21:54
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	9	$58	50	50	+0	Up	-$8	06-14 15:30
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	6	$57	33	33	+0	Up	+$7	06-14 21:14
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-21 17:15 UTC	8	$57	39	39	+0	Down	+$7	06-21 17:18
SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-31 15:15 UTC	6	$54	60	25	+35	Down	-$11	07-31 15:18
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-08 07:40 UTC	2	$53	28	28	+0	Down	+$3	06-08 07:43
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	12	$51	61	42	+18	Down	$0	06-15 17:29
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-21 21:20 UTC	2	$51	27	27	+0	Up	+$1	06-21 21:22
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	6	$51	28	28	+0	Up	+$5	06-14 21:44
SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-14 21:20 UTC	10	$51	69	20	+49	Up	+$9	06-14 21:22
SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-09 15:25 UTC	5	$51	59	32	+27	Down	-$2	07-09 15:28
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	10	$51	47	47	+0	Up	-$3	06-15 17:15

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-31 17:11:16	Will a team from LPL (China) win LoL Worlds 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	15¢	$2	0x0809b9…
10-31 12:48:36	Will a team from LPL (China) win LoL Worlds 2026?	No	BUY	2	83¢	$2	0xd5a1cc…
10-31 11:56:15	Will a team from LPL (China) win LoL Worlds 2026?	No	BUY	79	83¢	$66	0x360445…
10-31 07:52:18	Will a team from LPL (China) win LoL Worlds 2026?	Yes	BUY	134	15¢	$20	0x11c97e…
10-31 00:13:30	Will Rihanna have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026?	Yes	BUY	218	31¢	$67	0x1f18c9…
10-30 08:39:15	Will Trump pardon Ryan Salame before 2027?	Yes	BUY	249	30¢	$75	0xd51905…
10-30 00:19:36	Will Travis Scott have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026?	Yes	BUY	65	23¢	$15	0xb4cccc…
10-29 21:05:10	Will Trump pardon Ryan Salame before 2027?	Yes	BUY	1	30¢	$0	0x542015…
10-29 16:53:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	SELL	8	84¢	$7	0x3500fb…
10-29 16:53:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x428610…
10-29 16:52:58	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	SELL	6	8¢	$0	0x029f08…
10-29 16:52:47	Solana Up or Down - October 29, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0xe676cb…
10-29 16:52:08	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0x236f99…
10-29 16:48:44	Solana Up or Down - October 29, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	SELL	14	97¢	$14	0x06289d…
10-29 16:48:26	Solana Up or Down - October 29, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	BUY	14	71¢	$10	0xc02fb4…
10-29 16:43:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0xc8d8e4…
09-12 02:23:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Down	BUY	11	58¢	$6	0xca2df1…
09-11 09:42:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0x3b7c6d…
09-11 09:13:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-11 09:10 UTC	Up	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0x505a73…
09-11 08:54:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	BUY	13	51¢	$7	0x6ba073…
09-11 07:23:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x12323c…
09-10 23:43:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	9	69¢	$6	0xc82d56…
09-10 23:37:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Up	BUY	4	72¢	$3	0xf24c9f…
09-10 23:37:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0x3c40b8…
09-10 20:27:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	11	50¢	$6	0x659b5b…
09-10 18:49:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	BUY	10	34¢	$3	0xca4aa5…
09-10 18:12:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	19	44¢	$8	0x5fd3ad…
09-10 18:11:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0xb5315c…
09-10 09:27:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0xdcb8e1…
09-10 09:27:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	16	58¢	$9	0x60866f…
09-10 04:23:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Down	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0x9914f3…
09-10 00:07:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	16	64¢	$10	0x12ecb0…
09-09 15:43:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0x905ea9…
09-09 07:02:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Up	BUY	14	61¢	$9	0x6e1aa6…
09-09 00:59:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	63¢	$6	0xb9de60…
09-09 00:59:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0xb37faa…
09-09 00:53:10	Ethereum Up or Down - September 8, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	BUY	19	49¢	$9	0xf6c43d…
09-08 22:52:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	BUY	15	68¢	$10	0x8610e2…
09-08 12:53:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	BUY	24	45¢	$11	0x5ddf42…
09-08 11:54:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	BUY	17	53¢	$9	0xc4df83…
09-08 11:52:19	Ethereum Up or Down - September 8, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0xdd4db9…
09-08 11:52:18	Ethereum Up or Down - September 8, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	BUY	10	60¢	$6	0x379c1d…
09-08 11:42:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	18	59¢	$11	0x9abc1e…
09-08 09:08:12	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-08 09:05 UTC	Up	BUY	22	49¢	$11	0xd7e0df…
09-08 08:12:34	Ethereum Up or Down - September 8, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	17	62¢	$11	0x3289e8…
09-08 05:07:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Up	BUY	16	68¢	$11	0xfaba45…
09-08 04:08:57	Ethereum Up or Down - September 8, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Up	BUY	11	49¢	$5	0x6d1c1f…
09-08 04:08:55	Ethereum Up or Down - September 8, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Up	BUY	3	49¢	$1	0xcf5430…
09-08 04:08:55	Ethereum Up or Down - September 8, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Up	BUY	11	49¢	$5	0x0fae41…
09-08 01:02:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Down	BUY	18	64¢	$12	0xc6a069…
09-07 23:33:57	Ethereum Up or Down - September 7, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	BUY	11	64¢	$7	0x8f54bb…
09-07 23:33:57	Ethereum Up or Down - September 7, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	BUY	7	64¢	$5	0x3675b9…
09-07 20:54:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	BUY	20	56¢	$11	0xe7edf7…
09-07 20:02:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	21	52¢	$11	0xa4db52…
09-07 15:11:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	4	67¢	$2	0x3effb4…
09-07 15:11:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	12	67¢	$8	0x1b15bf…
09-07 15:01:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	BUY	16	68¢	$11	0x618bae…
09-07 10:38:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Down	BUY	16	48¢	$8	0x998d73…
09-07 10:37:43	Ethereum Up or Down - September 7, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Down	BUY	14	54¢	$7	0x6f5986…
09-07 10:37:43	Ethereum Up or Down - September 7, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Down	BUY	6	54¢	$3	0x1ba24c…
09-07 07:06:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Up	BUY	17	63¢	$11	0xc503aa…
09-07 05:12:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	44¢	$1	0x4efc98…
09-07 05:12:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0x44e391…
09-07 01:19:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	BUY	20	55¢	$11	0x94bf8a…
09-06 19:28:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	21	51¢	$11	0xf7a4d8…
09-06 16:58:40	Ethereum Up or Down - September 6, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	16	49¢	$8	0x538e53…
09-06 16:58:39	Ethereum Up or Down - September 6, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xaf6443…
09-06 13:58:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	15	68¢	$10	0x6055bf…
09-06 09:58:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	15	57¢	$9	0x6afd02…
09-06 08:57:04	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-06 08:55 UTC	Down	BUY	17	61¢	$10	0x969a32…
09-06 06:11:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	13	56¢	$7	0xe75317…
09-06 06:11:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	6	56¢	$3	0xc03b39…
09-05 18:43:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	58¢	$4	0xdac3c1…
09-05 18:43:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	13	58¢	$7	0xd0156c…
09-05 15:52:09	Ethereum Up or Down - September 5, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Down	BUY	12	60¢	$7	0x735528…
09-05 15:37:57	Ethereum Up or Down - September 5, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x4066e6…
09-05 15:37:55	Ethereum Up or Down - September 5, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	BUY	11	49¢	$5	0xd4f5c7…
09-05 13:07:55	Ethereum Up or Down - September 5, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	14	53¢	$7	0x92b95a…
09-05 12:33:00	Ethereum Up or Down - September 5, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	10	66¢	$7	0xb8206c…
09-05 12:32:58	Ethereum Up or Down - September 5, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	1	65¢	$1	0xd2d9fa…
09-05 03:43:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	15	50¢	$8	0xd4a515…
09-04 22:14:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	11	65¢	$7	0x2d5dca…
09-04 21:29:09	Ethereum Up or Down - September 4, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	12	55¢	$7	0x737ded…
09-04 16:23:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	BUY	11	65¢	$7	0x7720f4…
09-04 14:47:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x6c9fd0…
09-04 14:47:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	7	63¢	$4	0x9ccd46…
09-04 13:08:24	Ethereum Up or Down - September 4, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	15	47¢	$7	0x30a740…
09-04 12:08:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	11	62¢	$7	0xc96ce6…
09-04 09:54:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0xf03b2c…
09-04 09:54:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	BUY	6	64¢	$4	0x4dd5df…
09-04 05:17:48	Ethereum Up or Down - September 4, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0xe4c766…
09-04 05:17:48	Ethereum Up or Down - September 4, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Up	BUY	6	63¢	$4	0x67c673…
09-04 01:27:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	11	63¢	$7	0xce03c6…
09-04 00:13:37	Ethereum Up or Down - September 3, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	8	41¢	$3	0xc9f36d…
09-04 00:13:36	Ethereum Up or Down - September 3, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	41¢	$4	0x006fec…
09-03 21:02:33	Ethereum Up or Down - September 3, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	11	68¢	$7	0x64cbca…
09-03 21:02:33	Ethereum Up or Down - September 3, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	0	68¢	$0	0x039db6…
09-03 20:47:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	11	61¢	$7	0xeb7571…
09-03 20:47:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	1	61¢	$1	0x395cd7…
09-03 20:37:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	12	59¢	$7	0x5f9c97…