Substantial-Numeric — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$15.7K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

93.4%

Resolved

2,194

Trades

3,170

lifetime

Volume

$760.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$240

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-17

last 05-06 22:12

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 77 days

Categories

Other

93% 96% -$9,948

Crypto

7% 59% -$5,788

Politics

0% 100% +$12

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-05-06).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
highest temperature in nyc on march 16 2026 56 57f	2	$4.5K	5,265	0	+5,265	No	-$3,039	03-17 01:25
highest temperature in dallas on march 28 2026 56 57f	2	$4.2K	4,307	0	+4,307	Yes	-$4,219	03-28 16:41
highest temperature in chicago on march 17 2026 18 19f	2	$4.2K	2,109	2,109	+0	No	+$19	03-17 19:08
highest temperature in sao paulo on march 18 2026 28c	3	$3.4K	1,694	1,694	+0	No	+$31	03-18 17:44
highest temperature in shanghai on march 17 2026 13c	2	$3.3K	1,693	1,693	+0	No	+$85	03-17 15:34
highest temperature in buenos aires on march 19 2026 26c	5	$3.0K	1,516	1,516	+0	No	+$19	03-19 17:34
highest temperature in dallas on march 17 2026 58 59f	2	$2.9K	1,482	1,482	+0	No	+$13	03-17 20:15
highest temperature in buenos aires on march 26 2026 25c	5	$2.9K	1,471	1,471	+0	No	+$25	03-26 15:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	3	$2.9K	1,913	1,913	+0	Up	+$912	05-06 20:04
highest temperature in nyc on march 22 2026 53forbelow	4	$2.7K	1,363	1,363	+0	No	+$31	03-22 19:37
highest temperature in london on march 18 2026 17c	4	$2.6K	1,337	1,337	+0	No	+$62	03-18 13:36
highest temperature in munich on march 18 2026 10c	3	$2.5K	1,257	1,257	+0	No	+$49	03-18 15:28
highest temperature in buenos aires on march 20 2026 25c	5	$2.5K	1,239	1,239	+0	No	+$13	03-20 17:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	3	$2.5K	1,839	1,839	+0	Up	+$453	05-06 18:40
highest temperature in seattle on march 18 2026 52 53f	2	$2.4K	1,216	1,216	+0	No	+$5	03-18 19:14
highest temperature in seattle on march 16 2026 46 47f	3	$2.3K	2,269	0	+2,269	No	+$14	03-16 17:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	4	$2.1K	1,878	1,878	+0	Up	+$136	05-06 13:10
highest temperature in seoul on march 26 2026 16corhigher	3	$2.1K	1,040	1,040	+0	No	+$10	03-26 12:29
highest temperature in seoul on march 26 2026 7c	3	$2.0K	1,027	1,027	+0	No	+$25	03-26 01:58
highest temperature in dallas on march 20 2026 84 85f	2	$2.0K	1,013	1,013	+0	No	+$12	03-20 21:14
highest temperature in panama city on april 6 2026 38corhigher	5	$2.0K	1,011	1,011	+1	No	+$10	04-07 01:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	4	$2.0K	3,583	0	+3,583	Down	-$2,000	05-06 21:50
highest temperature in madrid on march 25 2026 19c	5	$1.9K	939	939	+0	No	+$9	03-25 15:03
highest temperature in shanghai on march 26 2026 20c	2	$1.9K	931	931	+0	No	+$9	03-26 12:29
highest temperature in buenos aires on march 23 2026 22c	3	$1.8K	918	918	+0	No	+$11	03-23 17:04
highest temperature in shenzhen on march 24 2026 30corhigher	2	$1.8K	882	882	+0	No	+$12	03-24 12:28
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 23°C on April 29?	5	$1.7K	1,721	0	+1,721	No	+$21	04-29 13:41
highest temperature in nyc on march 13 2026 40 41f	33	$1.6K	1,033	1,033	+0	No	-$350	03-13 18:41
highest temperature in warsaw on march 26 2026 12c	3	$1.6K	830	830	+0	No	+$12	03-26 23:39
highest temperature in shanghai on march 16 2026 11c	2	$1.6K	836	836	+0	No	+$31	03-16 02:01

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-06 22:12:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0x784776…
05-06 22:11:23	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 61°F or below on May 6?	No	SELL	202	2¢	$5	0x1d362b…
05-06 22:03:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	1,546	53¢	$817	0xd1abeb…
05-06 22:03:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	91	55¢	$50	0x1f58bc…
05-06 22:02:45	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on May 6?	No	SELL	302	99¢	$298	0x35af43…
05-06 22:02:42	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 90-91°F on May 6?	No	SELL	301	100¢	$301	0x752819…
05-06 21:50:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1,132	55¢	$617	0xad49d8…
05-06 21:50:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	94	63¢	$59	0x8f7984…
05-06 21:50:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	837	51¢	$430	0x7f6e34…
05-06 21:50:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1,520	59¢	$894	0x762b44…
05-06 21:43:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	1,003	50¢	$500	0x245d56…
05-06 21:01:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	949	52¢	$492	0xd14495…
05-06 21:01:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	923	55¢	$508	0x29276a…
05-06 20:49:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	1,808	55¢	$1,000	0x94b45a…
05-06 20:10:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	913	55¢	$500	0x8100ee…
05-06 20:04:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	1,383	53¢	$736	0x8e7371…
05-06 20:04:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	462	57¢	$264	0x84cc94…
05-06 20:04:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	SELL	1,913	99¢	$1,894	0xf60d83…
05-06 19:58:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	1,634	51¢	$834	0x693572…
05-06 19:58:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	279	53¢	$148	0xcf70b4…
05-06 19:54:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1,936	52¢	$1,000	0x7af2c9…
05-06 19:50:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	SELL	730	69¢	$503	0x47660e…
05-06 19:50:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	BUY	730	68¢	$500	0x49776a…
05-06 19:44:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	981	51¢	$500	0xa959ab…
05-06 19:44:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	SELL	363	95¢	$345	0xc49ae3…
05-06 19:39:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	363	55¢	$200	0xd02e28…
05-06 19:39:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	SELL	671	99¢	$664	0xee8093…
05-06 19:35:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	156	60¢	$93	0xf05208…
05-06 19:35:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	515	54¢	$276	0xe877e4…
05-06 19:29:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	BUY	1,844	54¢	$1,000	0x9f2f02…
05-06 19:29:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	SELL	1,074	86¢	$919	0x632efb…
05-06 19:29:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	SELL	207	83¢	$171	0x01fd8f…
05-06 19:25:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1,128	39¢	$437	0xb4fa19…
05-06 19:25:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	153	41¢	$63	0x837298…
05-06 19:19:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	1,094	46¢	$500	0xfac5d9…
05-06 19:19:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	SELL	936	96¢	$895	0x62fe3e…
05-06 19:13:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	936	53¢	$500	0xf259b0…
05-06 19:09:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	936	53¢	$500	0x6aad05…
05-06 19:09:20	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 29°C on May 6?	No	SELL	204	100¢	$204	0x752f90…
05-06 19:09:18	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on May 6?	No	SELL	111	100¢	$111	0x71c032…
05-06 19:09:13	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on May 6?	No	SELL	108	100¢	$108	0x103fca…
05-06 19:09:09	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 92-93°F on May 6?	No	SELL	301	100¢	$301	0xf29b10…
05-06 19:09:04	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 22°C on May 6?	No	SELL	102	100¢	$102	0xc234a7…
05-06 19:09:02	Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on May 6?	No	SELL	303	100¢	$302	0x69b2fb…
05-06 19:06:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	SELL	1,134	65¢	$733	0x52bb1a…
05-06 19:05:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	BUY	1,134	44¢	$500	0x9b51d7…
05-06 19:04:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	SELL	697	98¢	$683	0x5223fb…
05-06 19:00:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	697	72¢	$500	0x4517ea…
05-06 18:54:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	938	53¢	$500	0x75861b…
05-06 18:54:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	SELL	1,011	99¢	$1,001	0x7d96de…
05-06 18:50:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	611	48¢	$295	0x91bbe6…
05-06 18:50:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	400	51¢	$205	0x4ff9f8…
05-06 18:44:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	BUY	1,842	54¢	$1,000	0x049d84…
05-06 18:40:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	SELL	494	78¢	$386	0x8c11aa…
05-06 18:40:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	SELL	1,345	79¢	$1,067	0x1b67c9…
05-06 18:38:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1,839	54¢	$1,000	0x573a8d…
05-06 18:34:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	1,873	53¢	$1,000	0x1311f4…
05-06 18:29:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	947	53¢	$500	0x740fbe…
05-06 18:05:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	BUY	1,062	70¢	$744	0xa27e35…
05-06 18:05:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	BUY	360	71¢	$256	0x619bbb…
05-06 18:00:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	858	58¢	$500	0xdd8c3b…
05-06 17:59:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	592	84¢	$500	0xce773d…
05-06 17:05:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	1,211	40¢	$489	0xc3302e…
05-06 17:05:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	26	42¢	$11	0x0fa69d…
05-06 17:00:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	502	41¢	$208	0x76a1e2…
05-06 17:00:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	725	40¢	$292	0x22401f…
05-06 16:57:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	721	69¢	$500	0x444a77…
05-06 16:33:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	BUY	75	52¢	$39	0xfae98d…
05-06 16:33:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	BUY	1,928	49¢	$948	0xb46ed2…
05-06 16:26:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	848	59¢	$500	0x8459a6…
05-06 16:15:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	BUY	377	53¢	$200	0x85d584…
05-06 15:48:45	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 17°C or higher on May 6?	No	SELL	302	100¢	$302	0x2f5701…
05-06 15:34:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	SELL	864	99¢	$855	0x628acb…
05-06 15:30:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	864	58¢	$500	0xac16f1…
05-06 15:25:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	998	50¢	$500	0xb7c6c2…
05-06 15:22:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	SELL	944	83¢	$781	0x3df987…
05-06 15:19:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	BUY	944	53¢	$500	0xc17fad…
05-06 15:15:51	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 50-51°F on May 6?	No	SELL	302	100¢	$302	0xcb47a2…
05-06 15:15:44	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 19°C on May 6?	No	SELL	220	100¢	$220	0xd48f6b…
05-06 15:12:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	230	87¢	$200	0x40a5ee…
05-06 15:01:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	120	45¢	$54	0x6221a0…
05-06 14:58:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	SELL	122	82¢	$100	0x0e0d42…
05-06 14:56:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	122	44¢	$54	0x501269…
05-06 14:54:16	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 48-49°F on May 6?	No	SELL	202	100¢	$201	0xa94961…
05-06 14:54:11	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C or higher on May 6?	No	SELL	302	99¢	$300	0x9b00ef…
05-06 14:47:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	86	63¢	$54	0x40cd5f…
05-06 14:40:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	93	58¢	$54	0x883786…
05-06 14:35:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	79	68¢	$54	0xfcac1e…
05-06 14:33:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	SELL	86	94¢	$81	0x6c5dbc…
05-06 14:30:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	86	63¢	$54	0x914806…
05-06 14:28:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	SELL	95	94¢	$90	0xb2e32f…
05-06 14:25:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	95	55¢	$52	0xbce297…
05-06 14:18:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	67	33¢	$22	0xbcb144…
05-06 14:10:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	52	42¢	$22	0x199e76…
05-06 14:05:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	41	54¢	$22	0xf3a8d5…
05-06 13:55:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	37	59¢	$22	0xf0e407…
05-06 13:50:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	52	41¢	$21	0x932f77…
05-06 13:43:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	87	50¢	$43	0x111c76…
05-06 13:36:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	554	45¢	$250	0x4c1d0c…
05-06 13:31:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	314	80¢	$250	0x01a709…