Dead-Dare — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$7.29K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

66.1%

Resolved

4,493

Trades

15,167

lifetime

Volume

$290.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$19

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-26

last 10-27 05:26

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 167 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 51% -$7,286

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

53 active days in 12wk • peak 251 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-04 04:15 UTC	7	$3.5K	2,019	2,008	+11	Down	+$409	03-04 04:30
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-25 21:15 UTC	32	$3.4K	4,602	4,602	+0	Up	+$304	09-25 21:27
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-01 02:00 UTC	53	$2.3K	2,319	2,325	-6	Up	-$243	03-01 02:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-11 23:15 UTC	10	$1.7K	1,288	1,284	+4	Down	-$137	02-11 23:29
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-11 23:30 UTC	9	$1.7K	1,581	1,570	+10	Up	-$644	02-11 23:44
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-03 08:15 UTC	15	$1.4K	934	924	+10	Down	+$461	03-03 08:27
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-25 21:00 UTC	30	$1.4K	964	964	+0	Down	+$413	09-25 21:12
bitcoin up or down march 3 12am et	2	$1.4K	700	700	+0	Down	+$24	03-03 05:58
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-02 00:45 UTC	19	$1.3K	1,260	1,246	+14	Up	-$63	03-02 00:48
bitcoin up or down march 3 4pm et	4	$1.3K	720	720	+0	Down	+$108	03-03 21:58
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-11 03:15 UTC	30	$1.3K	980	886	+94	Down	-$47	02-11 03:30
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-04 05:00 UTC	69	$1.3K	1,901	1,876	+25	Up	-$392	03-04 05:10
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-03 06:00 UTC	42	$1.2K	955	943	+12	Up	+$556	03-03 06:13
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-03 04:50 UTC	32	$1.2K	866	853	+13	Up	+$423	03-03 04:54
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-04 05:15 UTC	37	$1.2K	790	786	+4	Down	+$356	03-04 05:28
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-01 05:45 UTC	17	$1.1K	768	756	+12	Down	+$398	03-01 05:58
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-01 23:45 UTC	5	$1.1K	862	851	+12	Up	+$327	03-01 23:58
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-01 20:45 UTC	20	$1.0K	669	666	+3	Up	+$283	03-01 21:01
bitcoin up or down march 7 12am et	9	$1.0K	602	596	+6	Down	+$139	03-07 05:58
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-03 04:30 UTC	58	$1.0K	742	731	+11	Down	+$420	03-03 04:42
bitcoin up or down march 6 11pm et	8	$990	602	596	+6	Down	+$137	03-07 04:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-01 04:45 UTC	88	$977	674	663	+11	Down	+$308	03-01 04:57
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-10 00:30 UTC	5	$971	650	645	+5	Down	+$95	02-10 00:45
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-03 16:30 UTC	60	$953	615	613	+2	Down	+$216	03-03 16:37
bitcoin up or down february 10 12am et	17	$930	500	500	+0	Down	+$60	02-10 05:47
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-02 02:00 UTC	4	$918	641	632	+9	Down	+$348	03-02 02:11
bitcoin up or down march 3 3pm et	2	$910	605	605	+0	Down	+$300	03-03 21:28
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-04 03:30 UTC	1	$855	900	0	+900	Down	+$45	03-04 03:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	20	$854	915	915	+0	Down	-$147	05-02 22:25
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-11 00:15 UTC	2	$838	440	439	+1	Up	+$39	02-11 00:31

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 05:26:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Down	SELL	0	23¢	$0	0x35f220…
10-27 05:26:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Down	SELL	19	23¢	$4	0x9f6390…
10-27 05:24:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	19	77¢	$15	0x07ce70…
10-27 04:24:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	17	86¢	$15	0xb3e551…
10-27 03:23:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	18	85¢	$15	0x855ebc…
10-27 03:08:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	17	88¢	$15	0x348fb4…
10-27 02:55:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	16	93¢	$15	0x66ac39…
10-27 02:43:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	18	85¢	$15	0xc7a688…
10-27 02:23:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	16	94¢	$15	0x3d7710…
10-27 02:08:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	20	74¢	$15	0x809b77…
10-27 01:38:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	13	75¢	$10	0x809e5e…
10-27 01:11:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	12	80¢	$10	0x6062d8…
10-27 00:56:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	12	83¢	$10	0x7885a0…
10-27 00:41:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Up	SELL	13	21¢	$3	0x0c9974…
10-27 00:38:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	13	76¢	$10	0xd177b4…
10-26 18:25:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	12	84¢	$10	0xee6a3d…
10-26 18:10:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	11	87¢	$10	0x86dacf…
10-26 17:55:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	13	74¢	$10	0xcac6ba…
10-26 17:40:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	13	76¢	$10	0x24e03e…
10-26 16:38:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0xa2ba11…
10-26 16:25:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	12	77¢	$9	0x345724…
10-26 16:08:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	11	86¢	$10	0x6e1aff…
10-26 15:38:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0xc3ee58…
10-26 15:08:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	12	81¢	$10	0x3cef64…
10-26 14:53:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0x8d2614…
10-26 14:38:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	12	79¢	$10	0x78a741…
10-26 14:26:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	12	79¢	$9	0xceb0a2…
10-26 14:09:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	11	86¢	$10	0x875861…
10-26 13:53:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	13	77¢	$10	0x9fbe77…
10-26 13:40:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Up	SELL	14	23¢	$3	0xcf835f…
10-26 13:38:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	14	72¢	$10	0xb10719…
10-26 13:23:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	11	86¢	$10	0x19b283…
10-26 13:10:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0x55ed90…
10-26 12:38:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	11	86¢	$10	0xa32826…
10-26 12:09:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	11	86¢	$10	0x0f4e13…
10-26 11:53:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	12	78¢	$10	0xdaba11…
10-26 11:39:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	11	88¢	$10	0x556387…
10-26 11:24:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	10	92¢	$9	0x82d2ab…
10-26 09:58:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Down	SELL	12	21¢	$3	0xb6c379…
10-26 09:53:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	12	80¢	$10	0x2c81ef…
10-26 09:43:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Down	SELL	11	24¢	$3	0xeba5b9…
10-26 09:40:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0x513d8c…
10-26 09:14:08	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-26 09:00 UTC	Up	SELL	11	26¢	$3	0xb117d0…
10-26 09:12:41	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-26 09:00 UTC	Up	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0x8a28e3…
10-26 08:58:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Up	SELL	13	18¢	$2	0x6d5045…
10-26 08:56:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	13	75¢	$10	0x377bc6…
10-26 08:39:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0x62b014…
10-26 07:41:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	12	79¢	$10	0x5ffcdb…
10-26 06:25:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	12	83¢	$10	0xb3605d…
10-26 05:38:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	13	75¢	$10	0x3b8fb0…
10-26 05:23:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	12	82¢	$10	0x4d00bc…
10-26 05:12:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	13	74¢	$9	0xef4f3a…
10-26 04:53:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0x6cbc65…
10-26 03:58:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Down	SELL	11	22¢	$2	0x29d89d…
10-26 03:53:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0xfbeaed…
10-25 15:46:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11AM ET	Up	BUY	166	58¢	$96	0xe951db…
10-25 10:23:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0x8ae69f…
10-25 09:12:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0x810fb6…
10-25 06:38:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0xd55788…
10-25 06:12:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Up	SELL	10	20¢	$2	0xc86a91…
10-25 06:10:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	89¢	$9	0x286845…
10-25 01:39:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0x0e8041…
10-25 01:24:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	12	82¢	$10	0xd21761…
10-25 00:43:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Up	SELL	12	22¢	$3	0x389a13…
10-25 00:38:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	12	78¢	$9	0x998623…
10-24 18:27:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Down	SELL	11	25¢	$3	0xb3011a…
10-24 18:23:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0xd5ed06…
10-24 18:10:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	91¢	$9	0xc16e36…
10-24 17:43:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0x57dd74…
10-24 17:09:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	12	81¢	$10	0x3eb241…
10-24 16:12:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Down	SELL	13	25¢	$3	0x325ff6…
10-24 16:10:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	13	79¢	$10	0xf5688d…
10-24 15:40:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	12	83¢	$10	0x830b0c…
10-24 15:23:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	11	88¢	$10	0xab7bb6…
10-24 14:56:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	14	73¢	$10	0x155b95…
10-24 14:41:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	SELL	12	23¢	$3	0xea3d78…
10-24 14:39:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	12	82¢	$10	0xf2f05a…
10-24 14:23:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0x918dea…
10-24 14:12:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	12	81¢	$10	0x41a92a…
10-24 12:12:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0xcbfbb4…
10-24 10:12:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	11	88¢	$10	0x18b491…
10-24 09:38:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	11	88¢	$10	0x9dc751…
10-24 08:38:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	13	79¢	$10	0x906287…
10-24 07:55:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	12	76¢	$9	0x7ab1e5…
10-24 06:12:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	12	79¢	$10	0xa135ee…
10-24 00:38:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0x240786…
10-24 00:08:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xe5c973…
10-23 23:08:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	6	76¢	$5	0x2cf319…
10-23 21:09:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0xd77c7d…
10-23 20:28:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x16d72e…
10-23 20:09:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0xa01abc…
10-23 19:24:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	6	76¢	$5	0xa5815a…
10-23 19:08:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0xa12dca…
10-23 18:58:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x29642e…
10-23 18:23:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	188	51¢	$96	0x9e343a…
10-23 17:23:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x9c2a54…
10-23 17:10:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0xbee434…
10-23 16:24:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x172dff…
10-23 16:11:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0x373a21…
10-23 15:24:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0xdcd417…