Probable-Tab — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$42

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

66.3%

Resolved

4,064

Trades

5,467

lifetime

Volume

$17.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-15

last 11-06 15:25

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 100 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 53% -$42

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

40 active days in 12wk • peak 126 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 12:45 UTC	11	$27	42	42	+0	Up	+$4	06-13 12:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	12	$22	109	107	+2	Down	+$8	06-13 13:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-27 07:20 UTC	2	$22	12	12	+0	Up	+$2	06-27 07:23
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-22 12:00 UTC	3	$22	12	12	+0	Up	+$2	06-22 12:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-23 18:10 UTC	2	$22	12	12	+0	Up	+$2	06-23 18:13
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-25 23:20 UTC	3	$22	12	12	+0	Up	+$2	06-25 23:23
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-22 16:50 UTC	2	$22	12	12	+0	Up	+$2	06-22 16:53
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-22 09:00 UTC	2	$22	12	12	+0	Up	+$2	06-22 09:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-25 04:20 UTC	2	$22	12	12	+0	Up	+$2	06-25 04:23
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-25 04:50 UTC	4	$22	12	12	+0	Up	+$2	06-25 04:52
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-27 03:45 UTC	3	$22	12	12	+0	Up	+$2	06-27 03:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-22 15:30 UTC	3	$22	12	12	+0	Up	+$2	06-22 15:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-27 21:20 UTC	5	$22	12	12	+0	Up	+$2	06-27 21:23
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-26 13:50 UTC	3	$22	12	12	+0	Up	+$2	06-26 13:53
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-22 16:10 UTC	2	$22	12	12	+0	Up	+$2	06-22 16:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-26 17:40 UTC	2	$22	12	12	+0	Up	+$2	06-26 17:43
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-22 11:25 UTC	2	$22	12	12	+0	Up	+$2	06-22 11:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-22 12:10 UTC	2	$22	12	12	+0	Up	+$2	06-22 12:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-23 19:10 UTC	2	$22	12	12	+0	Up	+$2	06-23 19:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-24 14:30 UTC	2	$22	12	12	+0	Up	+$2	06-24 14:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-25 08:45 UTC	2	$22	12	12	+0	Up	+$2	06-25 08:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-23 18:20 UTC	2	$22	12	12	+0	Up	+$2	06-23 18:25
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-25 21:30 UTC	2	$22	12	12	+0	Up	+$2	06-25 21:32
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-27 22:30 UTC	2	$22	12	12	+0	Up	+$2	06-27 22:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-25 23:30 UTC	2	$22	12	12	+0	Up	+$2	06-25 23:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-23 16:30 UTC	2	$22	12	12	+0	Up	+$2	06-23 16:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-26 23:55 UTC	2	$22	12	12	+0	Up	+$2	06-27 00:00
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-27 15:35 UTC	2	$22	12	12	+0	Up	+$2	06-27 15:38
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-24 01:50 UTC	2	$22	12	12	+0	Up	+$2	06-24 01:53
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-25 03:50 UTC	2	$22	12	12	+0	Up	+$2	06-25 03:54

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-06 15:25:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x066a33…
11-06 15:25:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x1fac3d…
11-06 15:25:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xeea544…
11-06 15:13:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x49f1c4…
11-06 15:11:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x741b49…
11-06 15:10:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x247702…
10-31 12:48:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xcd1ab1…
10-31 12:46:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x696a52…
10-31 12:26:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	40	5¢	$2	0xbd0abb…
10-31 11:11:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x4c52b0…
10-31 10:08:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x7c56e9…
10-31 10:05:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x632c33…
10-13 05:50:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x72a7bc…
10-13 05:15:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x7e2dca…
10-13 05:10:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0xb4b40d…
10-13 04:20:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0xa5ddc5…
10-13 03:30:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0xded60b…
10-13 02:35:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x38f5f8…
10-13 01:50:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x3b1f91…
10-12 18:35:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0xe27534…
10-12 18:05:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xa0d6e8…
10-12 17:45:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0xfd2328…
10-12 17:40:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0xfba300…
10-12 17:15:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xf4d0d5…
10-12 16:35:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xdd7357…
10-12 15:35:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xe557cb…
10-12 15:15:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x83d630…
10-12 14:50:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x21b41e…
10-12 14:45:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0xfdce03…
10-12 14:35:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0xc46e84…
10-12 13:55:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x5de0dd…
10-12 13:50:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x36994d…
10-12 13:40:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x1763cc…
10-12 13:20:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0xecc6a9…
10-12 10:40:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0xbdaca6…
10-12 09:40:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0x2b6af5…
10-12 09:30:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x03200b…
10-12 09:15:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x0f9882…
10-12 09:05:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x691ecf…
10-12 05:55:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x6e06c6…
10-12 05:25:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x6f7334…
10-12 05:10:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0x572f67…
10-12 05:05:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0x6a8ac2…
10-12 04:35:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x92efeb…
10-12 03:35:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xa721b2…
10-12 02:35:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0xd36253…
10-12 02:05:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0x7b5ae1…
10-12 01:25:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x12992a…
10-12 01:00:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x12cce3…
10-12 00:35:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0x121f2b…
10-11 22:10:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x3b9237…
10-11 22:05:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0x1eeb7f…
10-11 21:35:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0x0da191…
10-11 20:25:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x286a1b…
10-11 18:40:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0xfb493f…
10-11 18:00:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xf6599e…
10-11 16:35:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x6be1b9…
10-11 16:15:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x57737e…
10-11 16:05:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-11 16:05 UTC	Up	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0x88138b…
10-10 06:35:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0xd2c4ce…
10-10 05:15:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0x0632d1…
10-10 01:30:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0xe7e85f…
10-10 00:10:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xc111b2…
10-09 23:45:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0x32f169…
10-09 22:25:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x85c4e9…
10-09 21:10:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0x816140…
10-09 20:10:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x22be74…
10-09 19:50:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xbccdb3…
10-09 19:35:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x6860b6…
10-09 18:15:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-09 18:15 UTC	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xc9acd7…
10-09 17:30:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x077c1a…
10-09 16:50:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x0be754…
10-09 16:20:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x7df5af…
10-09 15:25:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x712684…
10-09 14:45:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x6e5180…
10-09 14:35:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-09 14:35 UTC	Down	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x74f778…
10-09 13:55:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-09 13:55 UTC	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x940528…
10-09 13:40:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x5d3d56…
10-09 12:05:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-09 12:05 UTC	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x047a98…
10-09 11:50:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-09 11:50 UTC	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x55af2a…
10-09 11:40:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-09 11:40 UTC	Down	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x161370…
10-09 10:45:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x14de9f…
10-09 10:35:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-09 10:35 UTC	Up	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0x0caf62…
10-09 09:05:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0xb661a2…
10-09 08:25:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x1c3c97…
10-09 08:05:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x4cb8ec…
10-09 07:55:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0xe6334b…
10-09 03:55:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0xb14da6…
10-09 01:30:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0x7734ee…
10-09 01:10:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x2f0739…
10-09 00:20:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0xe6c3f1…
10-08 23:25:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xacfd89…
10-08 23:00:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0xb0c22f…
10-08 22:20:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x6297ba…
10-08 22:10:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x1aa401…
10-08 20:50:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0xd73002…
10-08 20:20:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0x046405…
10-08 18:40:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x0db2ca…
10-08 18:15:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0x9df9d4…
10-08 17:50:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0x52f697…