Hospitable-Scooter — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$4

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

94.0%

Resolved

Trades

425

lifetime

Volume

$14.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$33

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-03

last 06-10 18:11

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

69% — —

Other

24% 50% $-4

Politics

6% — —

Sports

1% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

55 active days in 12wk • peak 7 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?	No		+10	$3	32¢	$3	$-0	06-11 14:53

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
eth updown 15m 1769535000	4	$428	223	222	+0	open	—	01-27 17:44
eth updown 15m 1770307200	2	$410	208	208	+0	open	—	02-05 16:14
eth updown 15m 1770305400	2	$406	206	206	+0	open	—	02-05 15:42
eth updown 15m 1769539500	2	$396	199	199	+0	open	—	01-27 18:59
eth updown 15m 1770831000	3	$311	285	158	+127	open	—	02-11 17:37
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	12	$311	235	235	+0	open	—	03-06 18:11
eth updown 15m 1770571800	2	$308	164	163	+0	open	—	02-08 17:42
btc updown 15m 1770648300	5	$242	190	182	+7	open	—	02-09 14:58
eth updown 15m 1770539400	1	$226	226	0	+226	open	—	02-08 08:44
eth updown 15m 1770477300	1	$225	227	0	+227	open	—	02-07 15:29
ethereum up or down january 20 12pm et	2	$225	116	116	+0	open	—	01-20 17:52
eth updown 15m 1770471900	1	$218	221	0	+221	open	—	02-07 13:59
eth updown 15m 1770397200	1	$204	206	0	+206	open	—	02-06 17:14
eth updown 15m 1769883300	1	$202	204	0	+204	open	—	01-31 18:29
btc updown 15m 1770649200	2	$196	115	114	+0	open	—	02-09 15:05
btc updown 15m 1770304500	1	$194	202	0	+202	open	—	02-05 15:26
eth updown 15m 1769710500	1	$192	194	0	+194	open	—	01-29 18:26
ethereum up or down january 19 12pm et	5	$188	178	124	+54	open	—	01-19 17:52
eth updown 15m 1769622300	1	$187	189	0	+189	open	—	01-28 17:55
us x iran ceasefire by april 15	2	$186	110	110	+0	open	—	04-06 19:41
kharg island no longer under iranian control by march 31	3	$179	97	97	+0	open	—	03-24 19:37
cricipl raj che 2026 03 30	2	$177	91	91	+0	open	—	03-30 19:02
eth updown 15m 1770562800	6	$173	182	105	+77	open	—	02-08 15:14
will saudi arabia strike iran by march 31	2	$172	90	90	+0	open	—	03-29 22:50
Indian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Royal Challengers Bengaluru	2	$171	88	88	+0	open	—	04-27 15:38
eth updown 15m 1769881500	4	$170	118	117	+1	open	—	01-31 17:57
ethereum up or down january 20 1pm et	3	$163	95	95	+0	open	—	01-20 18:57
eth updown 15m 1769964300	6	$161	137	124	+13	open	—	02-01 16:59
eth updown 15m 1770230700	1	$159	161	0	+161	open	—	02-04 18:58
over 50m committed to the ranger public sale nd7b 655	4	$153	94	94	+0	open	—	01-10 15:35

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-11 14:53:46	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?	No	BUY	10	33¢	$3	0x92bf4f…
06-10 18:11:36	aapl close above 295 on june 10 2026	Yes	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0x222541…
06-10 13:46:09	nba sas nyk 2026 06 10	Knicks	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0x0131fa…
06-08 18:39:16	aapl close above 300 on june 8 2026	No	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x8af5c8…
06-05 19:20:43	aapl up or down on june 5 2026	Down	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0x326404…
06-05 17:33:34	aapl up or down on june 5 2026	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x484f09…
06-01 15:36:12	Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 1, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0x3daa48…
06-01 15:29:58	Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 1, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x078433…
05-28 17:42:26	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?	Yes	SELL	3	40¢	$1	0x41b1f4…
05-28 14:37:38	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?	Yes	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x1be6f4…
05-26 19:36:52	Spurs vs. Thunder	Spurs	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xb2fd53…
05-25 15:13:47	Knicks vs. Cavaliers	Knicks	BUY	4	57¢	$2	0x012786…
05-24 15:04:21	Thunder vs. Spurs	Spurs	BUY	4	57¢	$2	0x4ecfe5…
05-23 09:47:47	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	No	SELL	83	60¢	$50	0xd861b5…
05-22 22:10:11	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	No	BUY	83	6¢	$5	0x4cbb43…
05-22 17:10:59	Thunder vs. Spurs	Spurs	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0xafc40c…
05-21 19:24:58	Cavaliers vs. Knicks	Cavaliers	SELL	14	35¢	$5	0xf0e482…
05-21 17:58:08	Cavaliers vs. Knicks	Cavaliers	BUY	28	36¢	$10	0xd155e8…
05-20 18:38:59	Will Deere Q2 revenue be above $12.5B?	Yes	SELL	7	48¢	$3	0x02c90e…
05-17 18:46:06	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	105	2¢	$2	0xcfb2a9…
05-17 14:06:45	Will Deere Q2 revenue be above $12.5B?	Yes	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x4c53a6…
05-17 14:06:36	Will Deere Q2 revenue be above $12.0B?	Yes	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0xa82515…
05-16 15:56:13	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	30	4¢	$1	0xec646c…
05-15 15:09:06	MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase May 12-18?	No	SELL	56	34¢	$19	0xa342ec…
05-14 13:06:25	Will Trump say "Peng" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	9	2¢	$0	0xbe309e…
05-14 13:04:47	Will Trump say "Peng" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0x15897e…
05-14 13:04:40	Will Trump say "Peng" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xd37ce3…
05-13 18:33:54	Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bangalore vs Kolkata Knight Riders	Royal Challengers Bangalore	BUY	79	99¢	$78	0x89d864…
05-12 06:18:45	Will Trump Insult Xi this week?	Yes	BUY	72	4¢	$3	0x23e055…
05-11 12:24:09	MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase May 12-18?	No	BUY	56	9¢	$5	0x7f294a…
05-09 14:36:15	UFC: Khamzat Chimaev to Land 1st Minute Takedown?	No	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0x18c267…
05-07 15:40:11	Indian Premier League: Lucknow Super Giants vs Royal Challengers Bangalore	Royal Challengers Bangalore	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x439fcc…
05-06 09:11:56	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	36	14¢	$5	0x609ea9…
05-06 08:56:10	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	36	14¢	$5	0x1e82a7…
05-01 18:38:20	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?	Yes	SELL	24	75¢	$18	0x07684c…
05-01 18:35:22	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?	Yes	BUY	24	42¢	$10	0x3fa201…
04-30 07:27:02	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	Yes	BUY	333	0¢	$1	0x4dd8b8…
04-27 15:38:14	Indian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Royal Challengers Bengaluru	Royal Challengers Bengaluru	SELL	88	99¢	$87	0xea90d5…
04-27 14:46:18	Indian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Royal Challengers Bengaluru	Royal Challengers Bengaluru	BUY	88	95¢	$84	0x34227b…
04-23 17:01:04	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	Yes	BUY	29	17¢	$5	0x2ae6c1…
04-22 19:42:36	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	Yes	SELL	100	14¢	$14	0x551d52…
04-22 19:39:34	USD.AI FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	BUY	15	20¢	$3	0x014fe4…
04-22 19:12:40	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	Yes	BUY	100	20¢	$20	0xf4e6fc…
04-22 18:56:00	USD.AI FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	SELL	76	7¢	$5	0xa17825…
04-22 18:49:34	USD.AI FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	BUY	76	13¢	$10	0xd98ebd…
04-22 16:19:56	OpenGradient FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	149	1¢	$1	0xb91e9f…
04-22 16:06:46	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xc43388…
04-21 20:19:52	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	12	85¢	$10	0x3d8f22…
04-21 17:57:14	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	12	83¢	$10	0xcd38b7…
04-20 18:55:26	Will Trump post "Make Iran Great Again" or "MIGA" on Truth Social this week?	Yes	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x93b81e…
04-20 18:30:16	spx up or down on april 20 2026	Up	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xcc122f…
04-20 08:09:36	Another 7.0 or above earthquake by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x5afb7a…
04-19 17:12:58	us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 20 2026	Yes	SELL	56	15¢	$8	0xdc25f5…
04-19 12:12:24	us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 20 2026	Yes	BUY	56	53¢	$30	0x688ed1…
04-18 13:50:40	Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bangalore vs Delhi Capitals	Royal Challengers Bangalore	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0x7d9adc…
04-18 10:13:18	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	19	70¢	$13	0x9628b9…
04-17 14:05:44	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0x3f537f…
04-16 09:12:36	Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	29	39¢	$11	0x02c2ac…
04-16 05:09:44	Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	29	34¢	$10	0xb9677f…
04-15 17:06:16	cricipl roy luc 2026 04 15	Lucknow Super Giants	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0xffe72a…
04-15 15:52:42	cricipl roy luc 2026 04 15	Royal Challengers Bangalore	SELL	59	94¢	$55	0xfe0270…
04-15 15:23:22	cricipl roy luc 2026 04 15	Royal Challengers Bangalore	BUY	59	85¢	$50	0x1a9e22…
04-12 18:08:57	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	Yes	BUY	77	13¢	$10	0x283f6a…
04-12 17:07:11	cricipl mum roy 2026 04 12	Royal Challengers Bangalore	SELL	42	86¢	$36	0x5ce4f1…
04-12 15:40:25	cricipl mum roy 2026 04 12	Royal Challengers Bangalore	BUY	42	71¢	$30	0x35df90…
04-11 14:36:11	will trump praise allah again by april 15	Yes	SELL	62	100¢	$62	0x264199…
04-10 20:26:27	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	Yes	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0x33712f…
04-10 20:26:15	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	Yes	BUY	33	30¢	$10	0xd7807a…
04-09 17:42:31	cricipl kol luc 2026 04 09	Kolkata Knight Riders	SELL	44	72¢	$32	0xc716db…
04-09 17:19:05	cricipl kol luc 2026 04 09	Kolkata Knight Riders	BUY	44	91¢	$40	0xc9c590…
04-08 18:37:33	jd vance diplomatic meeting with iran by april 10	No	SELL	59	78¢	$46	0xa480b6…
04-08 17:54:43	us x iran meeting by april 10 2026 895	Yes	SELL	15	29¢	$4	0x084794…
04-08 17:50:33	us x iran meeting by april 10 2026 895	Yes	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0x6b4373…
04-08 17:46:43	jd vance diplomatic meeting with iran by april 10	No	BUY	59	68¢	$40	0x0459ff…
04-07 19:12:49	trump announces hormuz deadline extension today	No	SELL	9	66¢	$6	0x24de78…
04-07 17:01:45	trump announces hormuz deadline extension today	No	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0xee7609…
04-07 14:30:11	will trump praise allah again by april 15	Yes	BUY	62	16¢	$10	0x306713…
04-06 19:41:21	us x iran ceasefire by april 15	No	SELL	110	85¢	$93	0x340e2d…
04-06 14:47:37	us x iran ceasefire by april 15	No	BUY	110	85¢	$93	0xab5d4a…
04-05 13:38:35	cricipl sun luc 2026 04 05	Sunrisers Hyderabad	BUY	24	8¢	$2	0x6ccc35…
04-04 11:44:11	cricipl del mum 2026 04 04	Delhi Capitals	SELL	25	73¢	$18	0x58bc12…
04-04 10:01:17	cricipl del mum 2026 04 04	Delhi Capitals	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0x9a06d8…
04-03 16:03:31	cricipl che pun 2026 04 03	Chennai Super Kings	SELL	18	61¢	$11	0x6b85d0…
04-03 15:27:53	cricipl che pun 2026 04 03	Chennai Super Kings	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0x6b5ca1…
04-03 15:20:33	cricipl che pun 2026 04 03	Chennai Super Kings	SELL	20	44¢	$9	0xd012ad…
04-03 13:57:27	cricipl che pun 2026 04 03	Chennai Super Kings	BUY	20	41¢	$8	0x4b3a98…
04-02 19:15:37	aapl up or down on april 2 2026	Up	SELL	11	39¢	$4	0x3daef5…
04-02 19:01:35	aapl up or down on april 2 2026	Up	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x6ee159…
04-01 18:58:17	EdgeX FDV above $700M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	8	40¢	$3	0x80245f…
04-01 18:57:31	EdgeX FDV above $700M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xbc9460…
04-01 18:01:27	EdgeX FDV above $700M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	7	27¢	$2	0xb9160c…
03-31 19:32:43	will elon musks net worth be between 640b and 650b on march 31	Yes	SELL	3	90¢	$3	0x0172be…
03-31 19:26:07	will elon musks net worth be between 640b and 650b on march 31	Yes	SELL	11	90¢	$10	0xe6e413…
03-31 17:19:29	will elon musks net worth be between 640b and 650b on march 31	Yes	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0x56d22b…
03-30 19:31:05	djia up or down on march 30 2026	Down	SELL	3	61¢	$2	0xd39fb2…
03-30 19:04:29	djia up or down on march 30 2026	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x843230…
03-30 19:02:11	cricipl raj che 2026 03 30	Rajasthan Royals	SELL	91	100¢	$91	0x0155d8…
03-30 15:59:13	cricipl raj che 2026 03 30	Rajasthan Royals	BUY	91	95¢	$86	0x98d602…
03-29 22:50:26	will saudi arabia strike iran by march 31	No	SELL	90	96¢	$86	0xb081d1…
03-29 17:12:22	will saudi arabia strike iran by march 31	No	BUY	90	96¢	$86	0xa10ec1…