Insidious-Caboose — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$226

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

71.0%

Resolved

1,858

Trades

2,740

lifetime

Volume

$11.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-22

last 10-29 00:59

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 69 days

Categories

Crypto

99% 61% -$208

Other

1% 22% -$16

Politics

0% 0% -$2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

33 active days in 12wk • peak 246 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Ethereum reach $2,700 in September?	4	$94	147	147	+0	Yes	+$2	09-11 15:29
Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 in September?	4	$94	142	142	+0	No	-$2	09-14 16:58
Will Ethereum reach $2,900 in September?	4	$93	153	153	+0	No	+$7	09-11 13:56
Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in September?	4	$80	152	152	+0	No	+$2	09-11 15:29
will ethereum reach 2600 in september 2026	3	$51	83	83	+0	Yes	+$7	09-04 12:33
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-31 19:35 UTC	2	$51	113	0	+113	Down	+$5	08-31 19:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-01 03:00 UTC	2	$51	107	0	+107	Up	+$2	09-01 03:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-30 23:05 UTC	2	$51	107	0	+107	Up	+$2	08-30 23:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-31 03:25 UTC	2	$51	107	0	+107	Down	+$2	08-31 03:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-01 03:05 UTC	2	$51	106	0	+106	Down	+$2	09-01 03:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-31 12:15 UTC	2	$51	157	0	+157	Up	+$1	08-31 12:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-31 13:05 UTC	2	$51	104	0	+104	Up	+$1	08-31 13:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 30, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	2	$50	65	0	+65	Up	+$6	08-31 03:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-31 04:05 UTC	1	$50	54	0	+54	Up	+$4	08-31 04:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-31 15:55 UTC	1	$50	52	0	+52	Down	+$2	08-31 15:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-01 05:45 UTC	1	$50	54	0	+54	Up	-$50	09-01 05:49
Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in September?	2	$46	72	72	+0	Yes	+$4	09-06 04:24
Will Ethereum dip to $2,300 in September?	2	$41	72	72	+0	No	-$4	09-11 15:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-29 16:30 UTC	3	$38	53	0	+53	Up	-$11	08-29 16:32
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-30 09:20 UTC	4	$36	57	0	+57	Down	-$19	08-30 09:23
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-30 06:40 UTC	6	$36	56	0	+56	Up	-$6	08-30 06:43
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-30 15:15 UTC	3	$31	21	21	+0	Up	-$2	08-30 15:17
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-30 08:15 UTC	3	$30	43	0	+43	Up	$0	08-30 08:17
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-30 08:45 UTC	3	$30	44	0	+44	Up	-$16	08-30 08:47
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-30 08:25 UTC	3	$30	44	0	+44	Down	-$16	08-30 08:27
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-30 08:50 UTC	2	$28	40	0	+40	Down	+$2	08-30 08:52
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 14?	5	$28	44	44	+0	Up	-$1	05-13 20:47
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-30 07:45 UTC	2	$28	38	0	+38	Up	-$19	08-30 07:48
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-30 00:00 UTC	4	$28	48	0	+48	Down	-$1	08-30 00:02
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-30 07:55 UTC	2	$27	37	0	+37	Down	+$3	08-30 07:57

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-29 00:59:01	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	SELL	7	98¢	$7	0xd84436…
10-29 00:57:07	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0x987dbf…
10-29 00:43:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Up	SELL	6	98¢	$6	0x2d0206…
10-29 00:43:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0xa3b33b…
10-29 00:37:53	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	SELL	7	28¢	$2	0xfabc0b…
10-29 00:37:16	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0xa8c533…
10-29 00:18:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	SELL	6	98¢	$6	0x674030…
10-29 00:17:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x61d806…
10-28 23:58:25	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	SELL	6	98¢	$6	0x322109…
10-28 23:57:40	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0x59fa4b…
10-28 23:54:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x05a9da…
10-28 23:54:01	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Down	SELL	6	59¢	$3	0x208856…
10-28 23:53:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0x71d698…
10-28 23:53:05	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Down	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0xbbaa53…
10-28 23:33:47	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Down	SELL	6	27¢	$2	0x00c7d5…
10-28 23:32:14	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Down	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0x9a6ebe…
10-28 23:29:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Down	SELL	6	98¢	$6	0x29ffb3…
10-28 23:29:22	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Down	SELL	6	98¢	$6	0x9d22ee…
10-28 23:28:47	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0xf78746…
10-28 23:28:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x0da903…
10-28 23:23:43	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Up	SELL	6	98¢	$6	0x6ec4e4…
10-28 23:22:47	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Up	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0xc59e7c…
10-28 23:13:41	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	SELL	6	42¢	$3	0x2aaaed…
10-28 23:12:19	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0xd22922…
10-28 23:08:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Up	SELL	6	98¢	$6	0xb54d1a…
10-28 23:07:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Up	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0x70d08a…
10-28 22:49:41	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xa40692…
10-28 22:49:02	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	SELL	7	25¢	$2	0x7aaea6…
10-28 22:49:02	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0x182d64…
10-28 22:49:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	SELL	6	28¢	$2	0x12a3bc…
10-28 22:48:47	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0xac3343…
10-28 22:47:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0xb74854…
10-28 22:42:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	SELL	7	30¢	$2	0x22e77e…
10-28 22:42:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0x3dee94…
10-28 22:23:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	SELL	7	98¢	$7	0xa3a8f3…
10-28 22:22:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0xee39d2…
10-28 21:54:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	SELL	6	98¢	$6	0x4827b3…
10-28 21:53:13	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0x3d0b31…
10-28 21:52:16	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	SELL	6	40¢	$3	0x8f4513…
10-28 21:52:14	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0xa4534b…
10-28 21:52:05	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0xf21da6…
10-28 21:52:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0x903255…
10-28 21:38:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	SELL	6	54¢	$3	0x90efac…
10-28 21:37:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0xeb9b50…
10-28 21:24:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	SELL	7	98¢	$7	0x5eaea5…
10-28 21:22:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0x5a955a…
10-28 21:18:59	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0xf86e1e…
10-28 21:18:02	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0x380e48…
10-28 21:13:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	SELL	6	98¢	$6	0x1894c1…
10-28 21:12:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x181e80…
10-28 21:12:29	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	SELL	6	50¢	$3	0x2412fd…
10-28 21:12:08	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0x340208…
10-28 21:09:20	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	SELL	6	97¢	$6	0xe87a9e…
10-28 21:08:07	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0x672519…
10-28 21:04:02	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	SELL	7	98¢	$7	0xa73941…
10-28 21:03:29	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0x7e54da…
10-28 21:02:32	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	SELL	6	42¢	$3	0x86b805…
10-28 21:02:11	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0x3f88b3…
10-28 20:28:19	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	SELL	7	98¢	$7	0x0def1f…
10-28 20:27:58	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	SELL	6	97¢	$6	0xf18a32…
10-28 20:27:26	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0xb03305…
10-28 20:27:07	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0x23ddc1…
10-28 19:49:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0xc21d2c…
10-28 19:48:58	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	SELL	6	41¢	$2	0x090a32…
10-28 19:48:40	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0xfb531a…
10-28 19:48:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0x809f36…
10-28 19:43:07	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	SELL	6	98¢	$6	0x0fda3b…
10-28 19:42:26	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x9e6727…
10-28 19:33:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	SELL	6	98¢	$6	0xcf13d9…
10-28 19:33:05	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	SELL	6	98¢	$6	0x9236b7…
10-28 19:32:23	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0x77b825…
10-28 19:32:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x5aa79c…
10-28 19:24:37	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	SELL	6	95¢	$6	0x2562f1…
10-28 19:23:04	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0x102161…
10-28 19:09:31	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0x4dc457…
10-28 19:08:59	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0x22d3f0…
10-28 18:13:59	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	SELL	7	98¢	$7	0x8008e4…
10-28 18:13:11	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	SELL	6	42¢	$3	0x14d198…
10-28 18:12:52	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0xc138b0…
10-28 18:12:08	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0x6ff4c0…
10-28 17:43:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	SELL	6	98¢	$6	0x2f18c1…
10-28 17:42:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0xffb68d…
10-28 17:33:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	SELL	7	98¢	$7	0x740d32…
10-28 17:32:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0xb576b9…
10-28 17:27:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	SELL	6	37¢	$2	0x99d33e…
10-28 17:27:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0xc84313…
10-28 17:19:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0xcec23f…
10-28 17:18:50	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	SELL	6	48¢	$3	0x8d56bc…
10-28 17:18:40	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	SELL	5	43¢	$2	0x5027bd…
10-28 17:18:05	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0x729cdb…
10-28 17:18:04	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0x252a4a…
10-28 17:17:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x404594…
10-28 17:13:40	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	SELL	6	36¢	$2	0xa737b7…
10-28 17:13:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	SELL	6	43¢	$3	0x2772a7…
10-28 17:12:43	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0xcfe1ab…
10-28 17:12:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x6c95e0…
10-28 17:09:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0x180285…
10-28 17:09:02	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x0ad92e…
10-28 17:08:56	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	SELL	6	97¢	$6	0x6623ae…
10-28 17:07:37	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0x9c831d…