Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.17K

Unrealized P&L

-$424

Hit rate

48.0%

Resolved

Trades

1,165

lifetime

Volume

$14.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$12

Open exposure

$619

4 positions

First seen

2026-05-23

last 10-28 07:34

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 41 days

Categories

Politics

55% 38% -$1,168

Other

45% 34% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

62 active days in 12wk • peak 36 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (20) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?	Yes	+4,568	$757	8¢	$343	-$414	10-27 19:26
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	+231	$99	75¢	$172	+$73	10-28 07:33
Israeli airspace closed by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+213	$91	34¢	$71	-$20	10-28 07:34
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?	Yes	+240	$96	14¢	$32	-$63	10-27 01:11

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?	92	$1.8K	9,026	4,458	+4,568	open	—	10-27 19:26
Cuban regime falls in 2026?	100	$1.3K	4,771	4,771	+0	open	—	09-15 01:16
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	72	$1.1K	27,420	286	+27,134	No	-$998	06-30 23:13
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 15, 2026?	34	$1.1K	1,858	712	+1,146	Yes	+$12	09-15 23:10
us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 10 2026 20260622191708360	159	$1.0K	27,939	27,939	+0	No	-$85	07-10 17:29
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?	69	$968	4,576	4,336	+240	open	—	10-27 01:11
Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?	27	$566	568	568	+0	No	+$98	09-20 18:06
Israeli airspace closed by December 31, 2026?	34	$562	1,379	1,166	+213	open	—	10-28 07:34
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 18, 2026?	27	$462	1,595	256	+1,339	Yes	-$79	09-15 23:34
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	8	$435	1,567	1,567	+0	Yes	+$161	06-21 11:26
us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 19 2026 475	15	$399	260	260	+0	No	+$106	06-19 12:30
us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 436	20	$371	580	580	+0	Yes	+$190	06-08 17:11
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	13	$327	467	467	+0	open	—	10-27 07:42
us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 21 2026	24	$275	1,633	1,133	+500	Yes	-$165	06-21 11:27
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	9	$226	352	121	+231	open	—	10-28 07:33
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?	17	$197	1,875	1,875	+0	open	—	09-20 23:24
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 17, 2026?	12	$193	523	0	+523	Yes	-$193	09-15 23:13
us iran hormuz agreement by august 15 20260804222025506 211	15	$156	162	162	+0	No	+$62	08-10 16:55
us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 17 2026 20260625223459704	34	$154	375	375	+0	No	+$6	07-11 23:35
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 13, 2026?	12	$153	914	914	+0	No	-$54	09-10 23:56
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 30?	9	$143	144	144	+0	Yes	+$83	07-30 07:32
will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by july 31 2026	9	$141	200	200	+0	Yes	+$41	06-08 19:42
iran military action against a gulf state on july 15 20260708212322940	17	$140	195	187	+8	No	-$1	07-19 04:33
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by December 31?	12	$139	673	371	+302	open	—	10-15 20:36
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 31?	12	$138	370	94	+275	No	-$43	08-01 23:40
will riyadh airport reopen by october 31 2026	9	$127	168	168	+0	open	—	10-17 06:10
Will Saudi airspace be closed by December 31?	6	$114	251	251	+0	open	—	10-13 06:22
Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 31?	7	$103	419	419	+0	Yes	+$5	09-29 18:56
Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by November 15?	5	$102	169	96	+73	Yes	-$27	10-06 05:57
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 23?	14	$85	107	107	+0	No	+$33	07-28 23:42

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 07:34:05	Israeli airspace closed by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	92	30¢	$28	0xb52e75…
10-28 07:33:40	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	38	74¢	$28	0x1e7d59…
10-27 19:28:21	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	52	45¢	$23	0xf8b5a8…
10-27 19:26:39	Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?	Yes	SELL	292	8¢	$23	0x57b561…
10-27 07:43:44	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	35	46¢	$16	0x7ff0d0…
10-27 07:42:53	Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	SELL	49	33¢	$16	0x0ee1a2…
10-27 07:21:11	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	53	48¢	$26	0xefbca7…
10-27 07:16:51	Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	SELL	77	33¢	$26	0x39993c…
10-27 06:52:23	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	54	47¢	$26	0x111b3b…
10-27 06:51:06	Israeli airspace closed by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	99	26¢	$26	0xb8bc9c…
10-27 01:33:26	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	35	45¢	$16	0x26b8b4…
10-27 01:32:36	Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	SELL	47	34¢	$16	0xca38ea…
10-27 01:11:09	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?	Yes	BUY	121	13¢	$16	0x15aee4…
10-27 01:10:51	Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	SELL	46	34¢	$16	0xdad1af…
10-26 22:56:26	Israeli airspace closed by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	12	30¢	$3	0x6efdcf…
10-26 21:20:03	Israeli airspace closed by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	48	31¢	$15	0x227972…
10-26 21:13:45	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?	Yes	BUY	73	15¢	$11	0x89b89f…
10-26 20:33:41	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	60	43¢	$26	0x32518d…
10-26 20:26:51	Israeli airspace closed by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	33	31¢	$10	0x78382f…
10-26 20:19:08	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	23	43¢	$10	0x75dc9d…
10-26 20:06:14	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?	Yes	BUY	47	15¢	$7	0x4328a5…
10-26 20:05:29	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	122	45¢	$56	0x957226…
10-26 20:01:29	Israeli airspace closed by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0x3209e1…
10-26 20:01:00	Israeli airspace closed by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	18	30¢	$5	0xa26ef4…
10-26 19:55:02	Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	BUY	220	36¢	$79	0xe92c9a…
10-26 14:58:32	Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?	Yes	BUY	23	9¢	$2	0xd64920…
10-26 14:56:09	Israeli airspace closed by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	31	29¢	$9	0xae53a3…
10-25 22:55:38	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?	Yes	SELL	45	14¢	$6	0x8538e8…
10-25 18:47:21	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?	Yes	SELL	99	13¢	$13	0xf7d962…
10-21 23:42:02	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?	Yes	SELL	138	10¢	$14	0xb13a2f…
10-21 07:41:33	Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?	Yes	BUY	81	8¢	$6	0xdfbbba…
10-21 07:41:03	Israeli airspace closed by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	17	25¢	$4	0xa175ca…
10-21 07:40:47	Will Yemeni forces enter Sanaa by November 30?	Yes	SELL	56	4¢	$2	0x46feb4…
10-20 20:53:05	Israeli airspace closed by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	17	24¢	$4	0x6a01b4…
10-20 03:23:39	Israeli airspace closed by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	125	24¢	$30	0x43a321…
10-19 20:42:39	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by March 31, 2027?	Yes	SELL	134	22¢	$29	0xfb36f8…
10-17 21:46:33	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?	Yes	BUY	75	13¢	$10	0x50720f…
10-17 21:46:03	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in October?	Yes	SELL	160	7¢	$11	0xa39303…
10-17 06:42:59	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in October?	Yes	BUY	21	9¢	$2	0x3d08ac…
10-17 06:42:29	Will Yemeni forces enter Sanaa by November 30?	Yes	BUY	56	6¢	$3	0x72a3d7…
10-17 06:40:35	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by March 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	91	22¢	$20	0x2343a4…
10-17 06:38:12	Israeli airspace closed by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	103	25¢	$26	0x9c6203…
10-17 06:37:44	Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?	Yes	SELL	649	8¢	$52	0x2da5cb…
10-17 06:11:19	Israeli airspace closed by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	24¢	$12	0xe0fc3c…
10-17 06:10:55	will riyadh airport reopen by october 31 2026	No	SELL	33	36¢	$12	0x4148f1…
10-17 05:42:43	Israeli airspace closed by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	46	24¢	$11	0xe4c9c3…
10-17 05:41:35	will riyadh airport reopen by october 31 2026	No	SELL	31	36¢	$11	0x9ed0c0…
10-17 05:05:58	Israeli airspace closed by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	24¢	$12	0x4cf531…
10-17 05:05:01	will riyadh airport reopen by october 31 2026	No	SELL	33	36¢	$12	0x0c21a1…
10-17 05:00:49	Israeli airspace closed by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	63	24¢	$15	0xacf7c8…
10-17 05:00:31	will riyadh airport reopen by october 31 2026	No	SELL	42	36¢	$15	0x119154…
10-17 04:43:56	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in October?	Yes	BUY	139	7¢	$10	0x3b7fbe…
10-17 04:42:49	will riyadh airport reopen by october 31 2026	No	SELL	28	36¢	$10	0x922321…
10-16 00:42:30	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?	Yes	BUY	208	12¢	$25	0x67badf…
10-16 00:42:13	Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?	Yes	SELL	325	8¢	$26	0x6ee858…
10-15 23:58:57	will riyadh airport reopen by october 31 2026	No	BUY	16	41¢	$7	0x959045…
10-15 23:58:33	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?	Yes	SELL	62	11¢	$7	0xb2de3d…
10-15 20:37:08	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?	Yes	BUY	62	12¢	$7	0xcf0540…
10-15 20:36:41	Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by December 31?	Yes	SELL	75	11¢	$8	0xa04aaf…
10-15 20:35:29	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by March 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	43	23¢	$10	0xacec57…
10-15 20:34:51	Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by December 31?	Yes	SELL	100	11¢	$11	0x648e38…
10-15 17:36:08	will riyadh airport reopen by october 31 2026	No	BUY	34	44¢	$15	0x459900…
10-14 21:30:15	will riyadh airport reopen by october 31 2026	No	BUY	8	40¢	$3	0xebad7e…
10-14 21:29:18	will riyadh airport reopen by october 31 2026	No	BUY	110	38¢	$42	0xdf6869…
10-14 21:28:39	Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?	Yes	SELL	302	9¢	$27	0x78f0f1…
10-14 21:27:21	Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by December 31?	Yes	SELL	195	10¢	$19	0x0c20ca…
10-14 06:59:35	Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?	Yes	BUY	156	10¢	$16	0x940431…
10-14 06:58:50	Israeli airspace closed by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	65	24¢	$16	0xc42cea…
10-14 06:31:08	Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?	Yes	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0xdd3c6b…
10-14 06:29:56	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by March 31, 2027?	Yes	SELL	12	17¢	$2	0x2dee56…
10-14 06:25:53	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by March 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	12	19¢	$2	0x4b2e7c…
10-14 06:25:17	Israeli airspace closed by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	65	27¢	$18	0x16a21f…
10-13 21:31:27	Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?	Yes	BUY	13	10¢	$1	0xdb1850…
10-13 21:31:10	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?	Yes	SELL	13	10¢	$1	0x403cdb…
10-13 21:29:33	Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?	Yes	BUY	44	10¢	$4	0x08e733…
10-13 21:27:52	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by March 31, 2027?	Yes	SELL	27	17¢	$5	0x59588d…
10-13 06:25:03	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?	Yes	BUY	13	11¢	$1	0x151512…
10-13 06:23:19	Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?	Yes	BUY	23	11¢	$3	0xe2dcfc…
10-13 06:22:54	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by March 31, 2027?	Yes	SELL	19	17¢	$3	0x0572f9…
10-13 06:22:33	Will Saudi airspace be closed by December 31?	Yes	SELL	5	16¢	$1	0xfe9099…
10-13 03:25:09	Will Saudi airspace be closed by December 31?	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xb42ed0…
10-13 03:24:47	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by March 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	46	18¢	$8	0xe54f4d…
10-11 04:33:35	Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?	Yes	BUY	53	10¢	$5	0xf315c9…
10-11 04:31:50	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?	Yes	SELL	61	9¢	$5	0x6ca32a…
10-11 04:31:03	Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?	Yes	BUY	150	10¢	$15	0x673f3e…
10-11 04:30:29	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?	Yes	SELL	174	9¢	$16	0x431636…
10-09 22:35:14	Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?	Yes	BUY	90	10¢	$9	0x19961f…
10-09 22:34:47	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?	Yes	SELL	2	9¢	$0	0x4f01c6…
10-09 22:34:11	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?	Yes	SELL	102	9¢	$9	0x387ca3…
10-09 22:27:32	Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?	Yes	BUY	103	10¢	$10	0x1ab963…
10-09 22:27:04	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?	Yes	SELL	119	9¢	$11	0x9adefc…
10-09 07:55:03	Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?	Yes	BUY	89	11¢	$10	0x12c848…
10-09 07:54:31	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in October?	Yes	SELL	31	32¢	$10	0x6fd697…
10-09 07:50:01	Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?	Yes	BUY	100	11¢	$11	0x314c54…
10-09 07:49:39	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in October?	Yes	SELL	35	32¢	$11	0xee3c02…
10-09 07:42:01	Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?	Yes	BUY	207	11¢	$23	0x77e14e…
10-09 07:41:31	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?	Yes	BUY	136	11¢	$15	0xeb11f9…
10-09 07:36:55	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in October?	Yes	BUY	27	34¢	$9	0x4a0bbb…
10-09 07:36:49	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in October?	Yes	BUY	25	33¢	$8	0x9ef076…
10-09 07:35:28	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in October?	Yes	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0x9da093…