Exhausted-String — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$3.47K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

99.4%

Resolved

Trades

2,289

lifetime

Volume

$599.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$262

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-03

last 08-11 20:06

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Politics

48% 0% $-16

Other

47% 75% +$3,482

Tech

3% — —

Sports

1% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Crypto

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

48 active days in 12wk • peak 42 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	69	$50.2K	46,876	18,872	+28,004	open	—	03-12 18:39
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	8	$45.3K	28,456	28,456	+0	open	—	08-06 19:32
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	5	$31.7K	31,952	270	+31,682	open	—	03-04 18:41
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	19	$22.1K	24,066	24,066	+0	open	—	06-25 15:08
will andy burnham labour win the gorton and denton by election	80	$21.4K	14,502	11,411	+3,090	open	—	02-04 22:48
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	12	$19.8K	20,000	0	+20,000	open	—	04-08 20:57
will eleven die in stranger things season 5	3	$14.9K	15,000	0	+15,000	open	—	01-03 01:23
Will Al Carns be a candidate in the next Labour Party leadership election?	10	$14.7K	7,501	7,501	+0	open	—	07-14 15:12
Will US crude oil reserves fall to 300M by May 1?	26	$13.9K	7,987	6,923	+1,064	open	—	04-03 03:03
Starmer out by May 31, 2026?	14	$13.9K	9,937	9,937	+0	open	—	05-22 14:08
uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	24	$12.2K	7,237	7,237	+0	open	—	07-29 22:58
internet access restored in iran by march 7 2026	10	$11.0K	5,540	5,540	+0	open	—	03-07 14:05
will starmer officially leave office by july 17 20260622151504653	15	$10.4K	6,556	5,205	+1,351	open	—	07-17 18:15
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	24	$9.1K	6,844	4,000	+2,844	open	—	04-04 03:02
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	11	$8.5K	13,193	4,605	+8,588	open	—	06-19 20:27
odds trump acquires greenland before 2027 hit 30 by march 31 645	14	$7.7K	4,428	4,428	+0	open	—	01-24 17:49
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	8	$7.3K	10,081	10,081	+0	open	—	07-15 20:55
will super typhoon dolphin hit china 20260730202351925	20	$7.2K	5,429	5,229	+200	open	—	08-06 01:09
peter mandelson charged by march 31	25	$7.0K	4,101	4,101	+0	open	—	03-26 18:44
israeli parliament dissolved by july 16 20260713154904805	18	$6.9K	4,185	4,182	+3	open	—	07-17 04:08
bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by august 31	16	$6.4K	9,077	9,077	+0	open	—	08-02 14:34
will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	12	$6.2K	3,373	3,373	+0	open	—	07-27 18:07
will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	3	$6.0K	3,501	3,501	+0	open	—	03-21 20:51
will trump talk to vladimir putin in january	9	$5.8K	5,800	700	+5,100	open	—	02-03 14:59
will 80 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day in march	7	$5.8K	2,970	2,970	+0	open	—	04-07 14:23
aws service disrupted by march 31 623	18	$5.6K	5,871	4,245	+1,626	open	—	03-24 02:41
starmer out by june 26 2026	16	$5.5K	4,445	4,445	+0	open	—	06-20 21:45
jesus christ return before 2027 odds 5 monday night 12 1 am	15	$5.2K	3,000	2,904	+96	open	—	02-14 19:45
Wes Streeting out as UK Health Secretary by May 15??	16	$5.1K	3,055	3,055	+0	open	—	05-14 16:06
Will US crude oil reserves fall to 350M by May 1?	16	$4.8K	4,030	2,894	+1,137	No	+$1,256	04-01 18:05

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-11 20:06:21	nigel farage out as reform uk leader in 2026 20260622233131512	Yes	BUY	762	20¢	$152	0x6d9910…
08-11 09:07:37	nigel farage out as reform uk leader in 2026 20260622233131512	Yes	BUY	6	20¢	$1	0x2603f9…
08-10 15:14:06	nigel farage out as reform uk leader in 2026 20260622233131512	Yes	BUY	194	20¢	$39	0x7b387f…
08-10 02:56:46	nigel farage out as reform uk leader in 2026 20260622233131512	Yes	BUY	37	20¢	$7	0xf39352…
08-08 03:28:43	another gta vi trailer released by august 31 20260629164610050	Yes	BUY	16	38¢	$6	0xd1e190…
08-08 03:16:57	another gta vi trailer released by august 31 20260629164610050	Yes	BUY	11	38¢	$4	0x257b8b…
08-08 03:00:31	another gta vi trailer released by august 31 20260629164610050	Yes	BUY	460	38¢	$175	0x143f39…
08-08 02:56:07	another gta vi trailer released by august 31 20260629164610050	Yes	BUY	593	40¢	$237	0xc511ff…
08-06 20:10:00	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	Yes	BUY	5,049	20¢	$1,003	0x2fc59b…
08-06 19:32:57	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	12,345	83¢	$10,246	0x6e7b8a…
08-06 19:32:06	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	Yes	SELL	2,000	17¢	$342	0xd96ab4…
08-06 18:42:33	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	Yes	BUY	1,000	19¢	$186	0xbf5aea…
08-06 18:17:38	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	BUY	229	74¢	$170	0xcae2de…
08-06 18:17:35	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	BUY	38	74¢	$28	0x9b8a54…
08-06 08:58:23	will super typhoon dolphin hit japan 20260730150614391	No	SELL	626	27¢	$168	0x0c1d82…
08-06 01:09:35	will super typhoon dolphin hit china 20260730202351925	Yes	SELL	2,468	95¢	$2,345	0xc79072…
08-05 20:02:11	will super typhoon dolphin hit china 20260730202351925	Yes	SELL	140	94¢	$132	0x09aa5e…
08-05 19:36:59	will super typhoon dolphin hit china 20260730202351925	Yes	SELL	3	94¢	$2	0x56b56b…
08-05 19:36:50	will super typhoon dolphin hit china 20260730202351925	Yes	SELL	3	94¢	$2	0x4b6072…
08-05 19:36:41	will super typhoon dolphin hit china 20260730202351925	Yes	SELL	2	94¢	$2	0x701e4c…
08-05 19:36:32	will super typhoon dolphin hit china 20260730202351925	Yes	SELL	3	94¢	$2	0xe02e8d…
08-05 19:36:23	will super typhoon dolphin hit china 20260730202351925	Yes	SELL	12	94¢	$11	0x82636f…
08-05 19:36:21	will super typhoon dolphin hit china 20260730202351925	Yes	SELL	350	94¢	$329	0x4911e3…
08-05 16:40:21	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	Yes	BUY	170	42¢	$72	0xc3c3a2…
08-05 16:21:00	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	Yes	BUY	830	42¢	$353	0x41747b…
08-05 14:17:32	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	Yes	SELL	986	42¢	$410	0x13f5f8…
08-05 14:17:24	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	Yes	SELL	14	42¢	$6	0x2fe685…
08-05 13:29:29	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	Yes	BUY	32	36¢	$12	0x248fe6…
08-05 13:29:18	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	Yes	BUY	968	36¢	$351	0x393121…
08-05 08:59:02	will super typhoon dolphin hit japan 20260730150614391	No	BUY	626	22¢	$138	0xd211a3…
08-04 16:42:36	0 ships transit hormuz on any date by july 31 20260626172559970	Yes	SELL	4,318	90¢	$3,902	0xa9824d…
08-04 13:53:53	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	12,345	81¢	$9,999	0xb55a0d…
08-04 10:21:44	nato downs another russian drone by july 31 20260726215001930	Yes	SELL	693	0¢	$1	0x191409…
08-04 09:26:05	will super typhoon dolphin hit china 20260730202351925	Yes	BUY	1,500	65¢	$975	0xb8f1aa…
08-03 19:25:03	will super typhoon dolphin hit china 20260730202351925	Yes	BUY	1,480	54¢	$797	0x2a0621…
08-03 15:02:26	will spider man brand new day beat avengers endgames opening weekend record 20260731162713556	Yes	BUY	3,917	99¢	$3,892	0x0a424c…
08-03 11:14:00	will us crude oil reserves fall to 350m by may 1 20260714141931929	Yes	BUY	100	59¢	$59	0xbda01a…
08-03 11:07:27	another critical cloudflare incident by august 31 2026 12	Yes	BUY	250	22¢	$56	0xfe95b3…
08-02 20:28:27	another critical cloudflare incident by august 31 2026 12	Yes	BUY	250	30¢	$75	0x9f93e2…
08-02 19:09:18	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	SELL	3,333	10¢	$333	0xcdfa67…
08-02 16:37:48	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	BUY	3,333	13¢	$433	0xe99b3c…
08-02 16:09:57	will trump speak to emmanuel macron in july 20260626154217431	No	SELL	377	62¢	$233	0x004265…
08-02 16:09:12	grok web outage by august 31 2026 20260728191715772	Yes	BUY	300	19¢	$56	0xd44329…
08-02 14:35:26	will super typhoon dolphin hit japan 20260730150614391	Yes	SELL	222	69¢	$153	0x16a550…
08-02 14:34:59	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by august 31	Yes	SELL	4,024	5¢	$201	0x177c3a…
08-02 03:30:17	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	15,883	80¢	$12,706	0x5918db…
08-02 03:28:23	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	125	80¢	$100	0xc8d737…
08-02 03:25:03	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	72	80¢	$57	0xcc4a00…
08-02 03:20:39	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	31	80¢	$25	0x824e08…
08-02 03:16:27	will trump speak to emmanuel macron in july 20260626154217431	No	BUY	100	30¢	$30	0xfde070…
08-02 02:29:09	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	SELL	1,007	11¢	$111	0x37c633…
08-02 02:28:30	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	SELL	182	11¢	$20	0xea662a…
08-02 02:23:51	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	SELL	45	11¢	$5	0x6ab310…
08-02 02:23:15	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	SELL	83	11¢	$9	0xe74835…
08-02 02:22:53	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	SELL	101	11¢	$11	0x712ebd…
08-02 02:20:00	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	SELL	583	11¢	$64	0xeb0749…
08-02 02:15:21	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	SELL	3,000	11¢	$330	0x5fd0cb…
08-02 02:10:45	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	5,000	79¢	$3,948	0x349e07…
08-02 02:09:05	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	BUY	5,000	9¢	$450	0x30d457…
08-02 01:48:00	will trump speak to emmanuel macron in july 20260626154217431	No	BUY	103	2¢	$2	0x92b940…
08-02 01:31:18	will super typhoon dolphin hit china 20260730202351925	Yes	SELL	2,209	67¢	$1,473	0xcd69b8…
08-02 01:29:08	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 2 20260727170555149	No	SELL	1,000	6¢	$60	0x3387d2…
08-01 23:47:27	will trump speak to emmanuel macron in july 20260626154217431	No	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xed72f5…
08-01 23:29:51	will trump speak to emmanuel macron in july 20260626154217431	No	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xf4250c…
08-01 23:28:57	will trump speak to emmanuel macron in july 20260626154217431	No	BUY	159	8¢	$13	0x5f9b50…
08-01 22:29:53	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 2 20260727170555149	No	BUY	765	25¢	$191	0xf3bfc1…
08-01 22:18:29	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 2 20260727170555149	No	BUY	212	23¢	$49	0xc13370…
08-01 22:17:41	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 2 20260727170555149	No	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0xaa01ea…
08-01 20:58:36	Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?	Yes	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0xd01f99…
08-01 15:29:53	will donald trump publicly insult emmanuel macron by july 31 2026 20260626210612731	No	SELL	749	80¢	$599	0x29ae44…
08-01 15:29:20	will donald trump publicly insult emmanuel macron by july 31 2026 20260626210612731	No	BUY	749	79¢	$590	0xac1bb5…
08-01 01:48:14	will super typhoon dolphin hit japan 20260730150614391	Yes	SELL	490	56¢	$274	0x2607c8…
07-31 20:52:05	will super typhoon dolphin hit china 20260730202351925	Yes	SELL	40	47¢	$19	0x152e7a…
07-31 19:39:29	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	685	26¢	$178	0xc402b9…
07-31 19:37:54	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	315	27¢	$85	0x918753…
07-31 16:56:17	will super typhoon dolphin hit japan 20260730150614391	Yes	BUY	222	55¢	$122	0x187984…
07-31 16:54:11	will super typhoon dolphin hit japan 20260730150614391	Yes	BUY	490	55¢	$269	0x931ede…
07-31 15:09:44	will super typhoon dolphin hit china 20260730202351925	Yes	BUY	20	52¢	$10	0x7082b3…
07-31 15:04:30	will super typhoon dolphin hit china 20260730202351925	Yes	BUY	75	57¢	$43	0x5daf58…
07-31 15:04:20	will super typhoon dolphin hit china 20260730202351925	Yes	BUY	125	57¢	$71	0xad81ea…
07-31 15:04:02	will super typhoon dolphin hit china 20260730202351925	Yes	BUY	100	58¢	$58	0xf19172…
07-31 15:00:15	will super typhoon dolphin hit china 20260730202351925	Yes	BUY	1,986	43¢	$854	0xba5b0a…
07-31 14:13:02	will super typhoon dolphin hit china 20260730202351925	Yes	BUY	23	55¢	$13	0x17b9e9…
07-31 13:51:17	will super typhoon dolphin hit china 20260730202351925	No	BUY	100	55¢	$55	0x228bb1…
07-31 13:49:48	will super typhoon dolphin make landfall at category 4 strength or higher 20260730204039278	No	BUY	15	93¢	$14	0xb06a93…
07-31 13:38:24	nato downs another russian drone by july 31 20260726215001930	Yes	BUY	72	10¢	$7	0x1bc06d…
07-31 13:03:23	0 ships transit hormuz on any date by july 31 20260626172559970	Yes	BUY	1,262	3¢	$37	0x026cdd…
07-31 01:39:53	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by august 31	Yes	SELL	71	7¢	$5	0x25f813…
07-31 00:05:14	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by august 31	Yes	SELL	286	7¢	$20	0xc21d8a…
07-30 22:31:51	will super typhoon dolphin hit japan 20260730150614391	No	SELL	187	39¢	$73	0xe6a66c…
07-30 22:18:18	will donald trump publicly insult vladimir putin by july 31 2026 20260626210612715	Yes	SELL	1,000	4¢	$39	0x95fbcc…
07-30 22:11:42	will super typhoon dolphin hit japan 20260730150614391	No	BUY	100	40¢	$40	0x74dfce…
07-30 22:11:30	will super typhoon dolphin hit japan 20260730150614391	No	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0xc69e44…
07-30 22:06:38	will super typhoon dolphin hit japan 20260730150614391	No	BUY	100	50¢	$50	0x4f69f4…
07-30 22:04:51	will donald trump publicly insult vladimir putin by july 31 2026 20260626210612715	Yes	BUY	107	2¢	$2	0x9f08a0…
07-30 22:04:41	will donald trump publicly insult vladimir putin by july 31 2026 20260626210612715	Yes	BUY	893	2¢	$21	0x319bff…
07-30 22:02:17	will donald trump publicly insult vladimir putin by july 31 2026 20260626210612715	Yes	SELL	1,311	0¢	$5	0x0f5947…
07-30 21:14:20	will donald trump publicly insult vladimir putin by july 31 2026 20260626210612715	Yes	BUY	1,111	72¢	$799	0xa705f3…
07-30 20:38:15	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by august 31	Yes	SELL	71	7¢	$5	0x7db53b…
07-30 20:34:41	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by august 31	Yes	SELL	40	7¢	$3	0x9c0b7e…