Exhausted-String — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$3.47K

Unrealized P&L

+$85

Hit rate

99.4%

Resolved

Trades

2,105

lifetime

Volume

$500.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$238

Open exposure

$244

3 positions

First seen

2026-01-03

last 07-22 18:07

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Other

49% 75% +$3,482

Politics

46% 0% $-16

Tech

4% — —

Sports

1% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Crypto

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

35 active days in 12wk • peak 42 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	Yes	+297	$121	58¢	$173	+$52	07-17 04:23
Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach 1.2m barrels per day in 2026?	No	+175	$38	41¢	$72	+$33	06-19 09:05
Will Trump pardon Diddy before 2027?	Yes	+2	$1	4¢	$0	$-1	07-03 19:36

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	69	$50.2K	46,876	18,872	+28,004	open	—	03-12 18:39
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	5	$31.7K	31,952	270	+31,682	open	—	03-04 18:41
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	19	$22.1K	24,066	24,066	+0	open	—	06-25 15:08
will andy burnham labour win the gorton and denton by election	80	$21.4K	14,502	11,411	+3,090	open	—	02-04 22:48
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	12	$19.8K	20,000	0	+20,000	open	—	04-08 20:57
will eleven die in stranger things season 5	3	$14.9K	15,000	0	+15,000	open	—	01-03 01:23
Will Al Carns be a candidate in the next Labour Party leadership election?	10	$14.7K	7,501	7,501	+0	open	—	07-14 15:12
Will US crude oil reserves fall to 300M by May 1?	26	$13.9K	7,987	6,923	+1,064	open	—	04-03 03:03
Starmer out by May 31, 2026?	14	$13.9K	9,937	9,937	+0	open	—	05-22 14:08
internet access restored in iran by march 7 2026	10	$11.0K	5,540	5,540	+0	open	—	03-07 14:05
will starmer officially leave office by july 17 20260622151504653	15	$10.4K	6,556	5,205	+1,351	open	—	07-17 18:15
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	24	$9.1K	6,844	4,000	+2,844	open	—	04-04 03:02
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	11	$8.5K	13,193	4,605	+8,588	open	—	06-19 20:27
odds trump acquires greenland before 2027 hit 30 by march 31 645	14	$7.7K	4,428	4,428	+0	open	—	01-24 17:49
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	8	$7.3K	10,081	10,081	+0	open	—	07-15 20:55
peter mandelson charged by march 31	25	$7.0K	4,101	4,101	+0	open	—	03-26 18:44
israeli parliament dissolved by july 16 20260713154904805	18	$6.9K	4,185	4,182	+3	open	—	07-17 04:08
will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	3	$6.0K	3,501	3,501	+0	open	—	03-21 20:51
will trump talk to vladimir putin in january	9	$5.8K	5,800	700	+5,100	open	—	02-03 14:59
will 80 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day in march	7	$5.8K	2,970	2,970	+0	open	—	04-07 14:23
bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by august 31	7	$5.7K	3,500	3,500	+0	open	—	07-21 10:35
aws service disrupted by march 31 623	18	$5.6K	5,871	4,245	+1,626	open	—	03-24 02:41
starmer out by june 26 2026	16	$5.5K	4,445	4,445	+0	open	—	06-20 21:45
jesus christ return before 2027 odds 5 monday night 12 1 am	15	$5.2K	3,000	2,904	+96	open	—	02-14 19:45
Wes Streeting out as UK Health Secretary by May 15??	16	$5.1K	3,055	3,055	+0	open	—	05-14 16:06
Will US crude oil reserves fall to 350M by May 1?	16	$4.8K	4,030	2,894	+1,137	No	+$1,256	04-01 18:05
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	10	$4.8K	3,000	2,119	+881	open	—	02-21 06:45
Will US crude oil reserves fall to 375M by May 1?	57	$4.6K	4,666	4,552	+113	No	+$2,047	03-21 21:39
netanyahu out by march 31 854	2	$3.9K	2,000	2,000	+0	open	—	03-28 13:13
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	18	$3.8K	29,363	29,363	+0	open	—	06-25 15:08

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-22 18:07:24	will trump meet with giorgia meloni in july 2026 20260626153701912	Yes	SELL	196	84¢	$164	0x649485…
07-22 18:00:33	will trump meet with giorgia meloni in july 2026 20260626153701912	Yes	SELL	1	84¢	$1	0x4b41cb…
07-22 18:00:33	will trump meet with giorgia meloni in july 2026 20260626153701912	Yes	SELL	34	84¢	$28	0x257d87…
07-22 12:06:25	will trump meet with giorgia meloni in july 2026 20260626153701912	Yes	BUY	38	77¢	$30	0x09a222…
07-22 09:14:49	will trump meet with giorgia meloni in july 2026 20260626153701912	Yes	BUY	141	77¢	$109	0xf9dcd3…
07-22 07:34:39	will trump meet with giorgia meloni in july 2026 20260626153701912	Yes	BUY	51	77¢	$39	0x28eed2…
07-21 23:56:31	iran successfully targets shipping on july 20	No	SELL	19	14¢	$3	0x540fda…
07-21 20:58:22	iran successfully targets shipping on july 20	No	BUY	169	12¢	$20	0xe2f856…
07-21 20:57:16	iran successfully targets shipping by july 15 20260718195951623	No	BUY	80	13¢	$10	0x02a770…
07-21 20:35:00	iran successfully targets shipping on july 20	No	BUY	221	10¢	$22	0xe732db…
07-21 18:59:25	will us crude oil reserves fall to 300m by may 1 20260714141931931	No	BUY	37	90¢	$33	0x2402f3…
07-21 15:34:24	iran successfully targets shipping by july 15 20260718195951623	No	BUY	406	11¢	$43	0xbe8527…
07-21 10:35:21	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by august 31	No	SELL	3,500	82¢	$2,870	0xc48b91…
07-21 10:26:22	iran successfully targets shipping on july 20	No	BUY	636	8¢	$54	0x9e8de5…
07-20 23:40:46	moscow air traffic suspended by july 22 20260720160032860	Yes	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0x2be45d…
07-20 22:42:18	will trump speak to andy burnham in july 20260720151658724	No	SELL	723	1¢	$6	0xe61977…
07-20 22:42:06	will trump speak to andy burnham in july 20260720151658724	No	SELL	359	1¢	$5	0xae5efd…
07-20 22:41:46	will trump speak to andy burnham in july 20260720151658724	No	SELL	448	1¢	$6	0x82ba3e…
07-20 22:37:16	will trump speak to andy burnham in july 20260720151658724	No	SELL	1,185	14¢	$166	0x9fef9e…
07-20 22:23:27	will trump speak to andy burnham in july 20260720151658724	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$5	0x3d3d90…
07-20 22:19:45	will trump speak to andy burnham in july 20260720151658724	No	BUY	1,715	1¢	$25	0x9eddad…
07-20 22:11:37	iran successfully targets shipping on july 17	No	BUY	18	72¢	$13	0xaab926…
07-20 22:06:45	iran successfully targets shipping on july 17	No	BUY	67	74¢	$50	0xb0fb31…
07-20 17:44:42	iran successfully targets shipping on july 20	No	BUY	50	13¢	$6	0x018bb0…
07-20 17:38:12	iran successfully targets shipping on july 20	No	BUY	119	15¢	$18	0x81a5c1…
07-20 14:11:24	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	Yes	SELL	2,899	62¢	$1,794	0xaf52cc…
07-20 14:07:21	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	Yes	SELL	61	74¢	$45	0x3494e5…
07-20 14:07:18	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	Yes	SELL	140	74¢	$104	0x6bfb66…
07-20 13:12:19	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	Yes	BUY	100	41¢	$41	0x680a34…
07-20 12:38:07	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 24	Yes	SELL	3,027	5¢	$151	0x961832…
07-20 12:33:03	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	Yes	BUY	547	55¢	$301	0xbe46c8…
07-20 11:03:57	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	Yes	BUY	416	18¢	$75	0x42afe2…
07-20 10:34:42	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	Yes	BUY	606	15¢	$91	0xf67b79…
07-20 10:24:37	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	Yes	BUY	421	15¢	$63	0x5dfb78…
07-19 14:09:19	will the houthis successfully target shipping by july 17 2026 20260708165455692	Yes	SELL	773	1¢	$4	0xffe6a0…
07-18 21:32:03	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by august 31	No	BUY	1,000	77¢	$770	0x4df9ab…
07-18 14:43:15	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 24	Yes	BUY	15	16¢	$2	0xf0eff7…
07-18 14:43:15	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 24	Yes	BUY	3,012	16¢	$478	0x41118c…
07-18 13:32:40	will the houthis successfully target shipping by july 17 2026 20260708165455692	Yes	BUY	763	5¢	$39	0x9d5ed2…
07-18 13:32:40	will the houthis successfully target shipping by july 17 2026 20260708165455692	Yes	BUY	10	8¢	$1	0x3e8450…
07-17 19:42:13	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by august 31	No	BUY	412	80¢	$329	0x05ac79…
07-17 19:40:27	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by august 31	No	BUY	10	80¢	$8	0x332234…
07-17 19:39:40	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by august 31	No	BUY	78	80¢	$63	0x40a524…
07-17 19:26:15	iran military action against a gulf state on july 15 20260708212322940	Yes	SELL	289	85¢	$245	0x155ed7…
07-17 18:40:48	iran military action against a gulf state on july 15 20260708212322940	Yes	BUY	289	63¢	$182	0xda8bea…
07-17 18:15:06	will starmer officially leave office by july 17 20260622151504653	No	SELL	180	100¢	$180	0xb7469a…
07-17 14:57:09	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by august 31	No	BUY	1,000	82¢	$820	0x28cd6f…
07-17 14:11:16	will jonathan reynolds be in the burnham cabinet 20260623004533215	Yes	BUY	69	93¢	$64	0x95e8aa…
07-17 11:19:54	will starmer officially leave office by july 17 20260622151504653	No	SELL	4,026	100¢	$4,022	0xf31bfa…
07-17 04:23:06	Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	Yes	BUY	150	40¢	$60	0x3230d6…
07-17 04:08:54	israeli parliament dissolved by july 16 20260713154904805	Yes	SELL	3,577	99¢	$3,541	0x1280b0…
07-17 03:20:01	israeli parliament dissolved by july 16 20260713154904805	Yes	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0x657605…
07-17 03:18:15	israeli parliament dissolved by july 16 20260713154904805	No	SELL	605	3¢	$18	0x42c41f…
07-17 03:07:45	israeli parliament dissolved by july 16 20260713154904805	Yes	BUY	99	85¢	$84	0x829f45…
07-17 03:07:42	israeli parliament dissolved by july 16 20260713154904805	Yes	BUY	478	84¢	$402	0x4fe332…
07-17 03:01:09	israeli parliament dissolved by july 16 20260713154904805	Yes	BUY	489	95¢	$466	0x77b5f8…
07-17 02:59:10	israeli parliament dissolved by july 16 20260713154904805	Yes	BUY	615	95¢	$586	0xb84f32…
07-17 02:58:36	israeli parliament dissolved by july 16 20260713154904805	Yes	BUY	895	95¢	$852	0xfd6a62…
07-17 02:23:54	israeli parliament dissolved by july 16 20260713154904805	No	BUY	42	1¢	$0	0x0deb33…
07-17 02:23:36	israeli parliament dissolved by july 16 20260713154904805	No	BUY	50	1¢	$0	0xb1a4c1…
07-17 02:23:36	israeli parliament dissolved by july 16 20260713154904805	No	BUY	50	1¢	$0	0x70b8ac…
07-17 02:23:30	israeli parliament dissolved by july 16 20260713154904805	No	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xc8a1ba…
07-17 02:23:30	israeli parliament dissolved by july 16 20260713154904805	No	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x2d3b97…
07-17 02:23:16	israeli parliament dissolved by july 16 20260713154904805	No	BUY	50	1¢	$0	0x7b5c91…
07-17 02:23:10	israeli parliament dissolved by july 16 20260713154904805	No	BUY	13	1¢	$0	0xdfac41…
07-17 01:52:16	israeli parliament dissolved by july 16 20260713154904805	No	BUY	100	40¢	$40	0xa4445e…
07-17 01:44:54	Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	Yes	BUY	8	40¢	$3	0xfbc3ba…
07-17 01:44:06	Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	Yes	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0x99d341…
07-17 01:38:07	Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	Yes	BUY	16	40¢	$6	0x0bdb40…
07-17 00:37:01	will starmer officially leave office by july 17 20260622151504653	No	BUY	5,417	100¢	$5,402	0xa5a5f0…
07-16 23:08:56	will the united states send warships through the strait of hormuz by july 31 2026 20260701001952741	Yes	SELL	496	30¢	$149	0x93b010…
07-16 22:46:38	Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	Yes	BUY	11	40¢	$4	0x2f1a5c…
07-16 22:26:05	Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	Yes	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xe835bf…
07-16 20:57:59	will us crude oil reserves fall to 350m by may 1 20260714141931929	No	SELL	98	30¢	$29	0xc23ed1…
07-16 20:57:07	israeli parliament dissolved by july 16 20260713154904805	No	BUY	100	48¢	$48	0xf510a8…
07-16 20:55:41	will us crude oil reserves fall to 350m by may 1 20260714141931929	No	SELL	229	37¢	$85	0x697322…
07-16 20:55:34	will us crude oil reserves fall to 350m by may 1 20260714141931929	No	SELL	317	37¢	$117	0xf306bd…
07-16 20:54:11	will us crude oil reserves fall to 350m by may 1 20260714141931929	No	BUY	90	40¢	$36	0xb546b1…
07-16 20:32:19	will wes streeting be in the burnham cabinet 20260623004533199	No	BUY	333	7¢	$22	0xb7a4a4…
07-16 20:21:32	Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	Yes	BUY	87	42¢	$37	0x2de836…
07-16 20:08:01	will us crude oil reserves fall to 350m by may 1 20260714141931929	No	BUY	10	34¢	$3	0x0af39c…
07-16 20:01:52	Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	Yes	BUY	10	42¢	$4	0x07a24f…
07-16 19:48:44	will us crude oil reserves fall to 350m by may 1 20260714141931929	No	BUY	544	25¢	$139	0xbb8217…
07-16 15:32:26	will the white house call a full lid by 630pm on july 15 20260708001726331	No	SELL	1,000	4¢	$40	0x2c303c…
07-16 15:22:52	Will Angela Rayner be a candidate in the next Labour Party leadership election?	No	SELL	222	100¢	$221	0xa3d1a0…
07-16 15:21:44	will the white house call a full lid by 630pm on july 15 20260708001726331	No	BUY	306	6¢	$19	0xe3d2e1…
07-16 15:20:02	will the white house call a full lid by 630pm on july 15 20260708001726331	No	BUY	694	6¢	$42	0x5ed180…
07-16 13:09:17	greater manchester mayoral election restore receives 10 first preference votes 20260713192957526	Yes	BUY	470	20¢	$96	0x838885…
07-16 02:48:58	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026 20260626152655082 171 832	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x575998…
07-16 01:17:16	chatgpt full outage by august 31 20260715010037673	Yes	BUY	245	35¢	$86	0xb1d991…
07-16 01:06:13	us charges hormuz fees by july 31 2026 20260713151243233	No	SELL	966	99¢	$953	0x8a7e55…
07-15 23:25:13	us charges hormuz fees by july 31 2026 20260713151243233	No	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0xf3a3cc…
07-15 23:09:46	us charges hormuz fees by july 31 2026 20260713151243233	No	SELL	27	99¢	$27	0x1e7a42…
07-15 20:58:11	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026 20260626152655082 171 832	No	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0x2a1acb…
07-15 20:57:59	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026 20260626152655082 171 832	No	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0xb1fddb…
07-15 20:57:52	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026 20260626152655082 171 832	No	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0xb2c989…
07-15 20:57:47	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026 20260626152655082 171 832	No	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0x0ef50b…
07-15 20:57:41	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026 20260626152655082 171 832	No	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0x477ebf…
07-15 20:57:34	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026 20260626152655082 171 832	No	SELL	10	95¢	$10	0x9bac14…
07-15 20:56:53	Will Wes Streeting be a candidate in the next Labour Party leadership election?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x79ee8a…