Exhausted-String — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$3.47K

Unrealized P&L

+$71

Hit rate

99.4%

Resolved

Trades

1,915

lifetime

Volume

$439.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$229

Open exposure

$2.37K

5 positions

First seen

2026-01-03

last 07-01 12:30

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Politics

48% 0% $-16

Other

46% 75% +$3,482

Tech

4% — —

Sports

1% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Crypto

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

27 active days in 12wk • peak 42 trades/day

Open positions (5) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Al Carns be a candidate in the next Labour Party leadership election?	No	+1,412	$1,284	98¢	$1.4K	+$96	06-23 17:51
Will Wes Streeting be a candidate in the next Labour Party leadership election?	No	+665	$611	98¢	$653	+$43	06-22 20:38
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+1,000	$350	28¢	$275	$-75	06-30 20:09
Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach 1.2m barrels per day in 2026?	No	+175	$38	32¢	$56	+$18	06-19 09:05
Will Andy Burnham be a candidate in the next Labour Party leadership election?	No	+66	$11	1¢	$1	$-10	06-22 08:24

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	69	$50.2K	46,876	18,872	+28,004	open	—	03-12 18:39
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	5	$31.7K	31,952	270	+31,682	open	—	03-04 18:41
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	19	$22.1K	24,066	24,066	+0	open	—	06-25 15:08
will andy burnham labour win the gorton and denton by election	80	$21.4K	14,502	11,411	+3,090	open	—	02-04 22:48
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	12	$19.8K	20,000	0	+20,000	open	—	04-08 20:57
will eleven die in stranger things season 5	3	$14.9K	15,000	0	+15,000	open	—	01-03 01:23
Will US crude oil reserves fall to 300M by May 1?	26	$13.9K	7,987	6,923	+1,064	open	—	04-03 03:03
Starmer out by May 31, 2026?	14	$13.9K	9,937	9,937	+0	open	—	05-22 14:08
internet access restored in iran by march 7 2026	10	$11.0K	5,540	5,540	+0	open	—	03-07 14:05
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	24	$9.1K	6,844	4,000	+2,844	open	—	04-04 03:02
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	11	$8.5K	13,193	4,605	+8,588	open	—	06-19 20:27
odds trump acquires greenland before 2027 hit 30 by march 31 645	14	$7.7K	4,428	4,428	+0	open	—	01-24 17:49
peter mandelson charged by march 31	25	$7.0K	4,101	4,101	+0	open	—	03-26 18:44
will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	3	$6.0K	3,501	3,501	+0	open	—	03-21 20:51
will trump talk to vladimir putin in january	9	$5.8K	5,800	700	+5,100	open	—	02-03 14:59
will 80 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day in march	7	$5.8K	2,970	2,970	+0	open	—	04-07 14:23
aws service disrupted by march 31 623	18	$5.6K	5,871	4,245	+1,626	open	—	03-24 02:41
starmer out by june 26 2026	16	$5.5K	4,445	4,445	+0	open	—	06-20 21:45
jesus christ return before 2027 odds 5 monday night 12 1 am	15	$5.2K	3,000	2,904	+96	open	—	02-14 19:45
Wes Streeting out as UK Health Secretary by May 15??	16	$5.1K	3,055	3,055	+0	open	—	05-14 16:06
Will US crude oil reserves fall to 350M by May 1?	16	$4.8K	4,030	2,894	+1,137	No	+$1,256	04-01 18:05
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	10	$4.8K	3,000	2,119	+881	open	—	02-21 06:45
Will US crude oil reserves fall to 375M by May 1?	57	$4.6K	4,666	4,552	+113	No	+$2,047	03-21 21:39
netanyahu out by march 31 854	2	$3.9K	2,000	2,000	+0	open	—	03-28 13:13
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	18	$3.8K	29,363	29,363	+0	open	—	06-25 15:08
moltbook ai agent sues a human by feb 28	13	$3.7K	2,216	2,477	-261	open	—	02-02 22:51
us strikes iran by february 19 2026 992	4	$3.7K	2,000	2,000	+0	open	—	02-18 20:06
qatarenergy resumes lng production by march 14	12	$3.6K	2,136	1,979	+157	open	—	03-10 21:54
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by March 31?	13	$3.5K	1,900	1,900	+0	open	—	04-01 21:12
will norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 winter olympics	2	$3.4K	2,000	2,000	+0	open	—	02-13 16:47

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-01 12:30:22	will trump agree to iranian transit fees in the strait of hormuz by june 30	Yes	SELL	466	2¢	$8	0x7c1eea…
07-01 12:29:53	will trump agree to iranian transit fees in the strait of hormuz by june 30	Yes	SELL	4,234	2¢	$72	0xb26949…
07-01 12:29:14	will trump agree to iranian transit fees in the strait of hormuz by june 30	Yes	SELL	246	2¢	$4	0x62a96b…
07-01 09:13:11	iran successfully targets shipping on july 1 20260625225210242	Yes	SELL	837	5¢	$42	0x92a821…
07-01 09:10:22	iran successfully targets shipping on july 1 20260625225210242	Yes	SELL	303	9¢	$26	0x16be18…
07-01 09:09:41	iran successfully targets shipping on july 1 20260625225210242	Yes	BUY	1,140	8¢	$91	0xcbfd9a…
07-01 08:06:46	will trump agree to iranian transit fees in the strait of hormuz by june 30	Yes	SELL	10,300	1¢	$69	0xcfe245…
06-30 20:09:04	Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	35¢	$350	0x80bbab…
06-30 19:46:40	will donald trump publicly insult benjamin netanyahu by june 30 2026	Yes	SELL	8	32¢	$3	0x9976d9…
06-30 19:45:38	will donald trump publicly insult benjamin netanyahu by june 30 2026	Yes	SELL	92	32¢	$29	0x730d1c…
06-30 19:30:25	will donald trump publicly insult benjamin netanyahu by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	100	36¢	$36	0xf1a821…
06-30 16:22:41	will donald trump publicly insult jimmy kimmel by june 30 2026	No	BUY	250	59¢	$148	0x7d3a47…
06-27 18:54:56	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	16	22¢	$3	0x94f7bf…
06-27 18:54:53	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	84	22¢	$19	0x60112b…
06-27 18:45:28	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	100	23¢	$23	0x9e552c…
06-27 10:01:56	will the united kingdom send warships through the strait of hormuz by june 30 2026	Yes	SELL	1,251	1¢	$16	0x6c5fb7…
06-26 22:44:26	israel withdraws from lebanon by december 31 2026	Yes	SELL	10	27¢	$3	0xabedbf…
06-26 22:29:10	israel withdraws from lebanon by december 31 2026	Yes	BUY	10	27¢	$3	0x4742a8…
06-26 20:59:25	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	Yes	SELL	2,090	50¢	$1,045	0xe0837d…
06-26 17:26:02	will starmer officially leave office by july 17 20260622151504653	Yes	SELL	999	10¢	$98	0x1b6cd2…
06-26 16:50:22	will starmer officially leave office by july 17 20260622151504653	Yes	BUY	44	50¢	$22	0xdb97a0…
06-26 16:50:22	will starmer officially leave office by july 17 20260622151504653	Yes	BUY	24	50¢	$12	0xba98aa…
06-26 16:50:22	will starmer officially leave office by july 17 20260622151504653	Yes	BUY	39	50¢	$20	0x943e66…
06-26 16:50:22	will starmer officially leave office by july 17 20260622151504653	Yes	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x908a16…
06-26 16:50:22	will starmer officially leave office by july 17 20260622151504653	Yes	BUY	47	50¢	$24	0x35ba6e…
06-26 16:50:22	will starmer officially leave office by july 17 20260622151504653	Yes	BUY	276	50¢	$138	0x090ac1…
06-26 16:50:22	will starmer officially leave office by july 17 20260622151504653	Yes	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x073b9c…
06-26 16:50:22	will starmer officially leave office by july 17 20260622151504653	Yes	BUY	63	50¢	$32	0x0582c7…
06-26 16:24:19	iran successfully targets shipping by june 27 20260625215135368	Yes	SELL	648	14¢	$90	0x1fbb70…
06-26 16:09:38	iran successfully targets shipping by june 27 20260625215135368	Yes	BUY	228	26¢	$59	0x20b997…
06-26 16:04:05	iran successfully targets shipping by june 27 20260625215135368	Yes	BUY	420	32¢	$132	0xc119b0…
06-25 16:03:19	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	2,090	52¢	$1,087	0xc6b223…
06-25 15:08:28	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	13,363	11¢	$1,449	0x485f0d…
06-25 15:08:10	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	SELL	11,166	38¢	$4,209	0xefcbfc…
06-25 15:02:55	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	SELL	2,495	55¢	$1,372	0xb9e9dc…
06-25 14:56:16	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	SELL	5	55¢	$3	0x45fa3b…
06-25 14:49:04	will trump agree to iranian transit fees in the strait of hormuz by june 30	Yes	BUY	15,000	2¢	$292	0x095a30…
06-25 13:51:05	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	SELL	1,000	55¢	$550	0x079917…
06-25 13:48:37	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	SELL	1,000	55¢	$550	0x1f87ed…
06-25 13:48:31	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	SELL	122	53¢	$65	0x161476…
06-25 13:40:53	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	SELL	877	53¢	$465	0xbfe816…
06-25 13:40:13	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	SELL	1	53¢	$1	0xa36af8…
06-25 13:22:46	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	1,000	17¢	$168	0xdf4735…
06-25 10:12:23	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	1,616	6¢	$99	0xdc5c36…
06-25 09:53:20	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	100	6¢	$6	0x353039…
06-25 09:53:16	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	21	6¢	$1	0x12ee6a…
06-25 09:52:20	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	100	6¢	$6	0x197b87…
06-25 09:52:02	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	61	6¢	$4	0x82786d…
06-25 09:50:52	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	6	6¢	$0	0x16dbb5…
06-25 09:48:46	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	164	6¢	$10	0xb7e3dc…
06-25 09:47:46	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	5	6¢	$0	0x691163…
06-25 09:46:34	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	246	6¢	$15	0x1363ff…
06-25 09:46:29	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	100	6¢	$6	0x350684…
06-25 09:46:04	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	81	6¢	$5	0xb4f664…
06-24 19:57:46	will the next uk prime minister be appointed by july 19 20260622183223871	Yes	SELL	558	90¢	$502	0x429fcd…
06-24 19:56:22	will the next uk prime minister be appointed by july 19 20260622183223871	Yes	SELL	185	90¢	$167	0x73fbe5…
06-24 15:25:04	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	1	3¢	$0	0xda9fa2…
06-24 15:24:55	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	16,636	3¢	$449	0xd224a5…
06-24 15:24:55	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	225	3¢	$6	0x995ca7…
06-24 14:00:11	will starmer officially leave office by july 31 20260622151504654	Yes	BUY	100	81¢	$81	0x108ce7…
06-24 13:04:47	burnham unopposed in 2026 labour leadership contest 20260622161338971	Yes	SELL	509	90¢	$458	0x2c4999…
06-24 11:51:46	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	BUY	16,666	24¢	$4,000	0x15abdb…
06-24 11:39:34	will trump agree to iranian transit fees in the strait of hormuz by june 30	Yes	SELL	4,000	2¢	$80	0x5d0cb7…
06-24 09:27:02	will donald trump publicly insult someone on june 21 2026	Yes	SELL	600	2¢	$11	0x37c862…
06-24 09:02:43	will donald trump publicly insult someone on june 21 2026	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x650334…
06-24 09:02:41	will donald trump publicly insult someone on june 21 2026	Yes	BUY	31	21¢	$7	0x6a4823…
06-24 09:02:40	will donald trump publicly insult someone on june 21 2026	Yes	BUY	64	21¢	$14	0xc72c53…
06-24 08:35:26	will donald trump publicly insult someone on june 21 2026	Yes	BUY	500	30¢	$150	0x9a44e3…
06-24 08:03:08	will starmer officially leave office by july 17 20260622151504653	Yes	BUY	499	78¢	$389	0xd1a4c9…
06-23 21:23:43	will trump agree to iranian transit fees in the strait of hormuz by june 30	Yes	BUY	5,000	2¢	$114	0xaeb895…
06-23 17:55:13	will the united kingdom send warships through the strait of hormuz by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	1,251	2¢	$31	0xdc6960…
06-23 17:51:25	will the next uk prime minister be appointed by july 19 20260622183223871	Yes	BUY	539	69¢	$373	0x7d0d6b…
06-23 17:51:07	Will Al Carns be a candidate in the next Labour Party leadership election?	No	BUY	568	92¢	$522	0x50d97d…
06-23 17:04:50	will starmer officially leave office by july 31 20260622151504654	Yes	SELL	230	85¢	$196	0x760856…
06-23 16:31:22	will starmer officially leave office by july 31 20260622151504654	Yes	SELL	20	85¢	$17	0x9b1316…
06-23 16:29:38	will starmer officially leave office by july 31 20260622151504654	Yes	SELL	250	84¢	$210	0xb03365…
06-23 14:51:31	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	SELL	2,642	76¢	$2,015	0xcae854…
06-23 14:51:10	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	SELL	13	78¢	$10	0x905cab…
06-23 14:47:44	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	SELL	6	78¢	$5	0x5f6e45…
06-23 14:27:26	will the next uk prime minister be appointed by july 19 20260622183223871	Yes	BUY	4	64¢	$3	0x55b61d…
06-23 14:27:13	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	SELL	6	78¢	$5	0xd80773…
06-23 14:26:50	will starmer officially leave office by july 31 20260622151504654	Yes	SELL	10	83¢	$8	0xe8ce1c…
06-23 14:22:29	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	SELL	71	78¢	$55	0x6cbb88…
06-23 14:22:10	will starmer officially leave office by july 31 20260622151504654	Yes	SELL	10	83¢	$8	0xc22bdb…
06-23 14:22:02	will starmer officially leave office by july 31 20260622151504654	Yes	SELL	26	82¢	$22	0x66926f…
06-23 14:21:44	will starmer officially leave office by july 31 20260622151504654	Yes	SELL	204	82¢	$167	0x3e5947…
06-23 14:21:44	will starmer officially leave office by july 31 20260622151504654	Yes	SELL	20	82¢	$16	0x071951…
06-23 14:21:40	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	SELL	31	78¢	$24	0x1024b4…
06-23 14:19:20	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	SELL	1,131	77¢	$871	0x7919d7…
06-23 14:17:32	will starmer officially leave office by july 31 20260622151504654	Yes	SELL	20	83¢	$17	0x310b1d…
06-23 14:15:44	will starmer officially leave office by july 31 20260622151504654	Yes	SELL	78	83¢	$65	0xbf82ce…
06-23 14:07:43	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	SELL	10	78¢	$8	0xaf733c…
06-23 14:07:28	will the next uk prime minister be appointed by july 19 20260622183223871	Yes	BUY	166	65¢	$108	0xf48551…
06-23 14:07:28	will the next uk prime minister be appointed by july 19 20260622183223871	Yes	BUY	28	65¢	$18	0xba3d59…
06-23 14:07:28	will the next uk prime minister be appointed by july 19 20260622183223871	Yes	BUY	6	65¢	$4	0x2af88f…
06-23 14:06:34	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	SELL	3,490	78¢	$2,722	0xc99537…
06-23 14:06:10	will starmer officially leave office by july 17 20260622151504653	No	BUY	40	43¢	$17	0xe7047c…
06-23 14:01:28	will starmer officially leave office by july 17 20260622151504653	No	BUY	100	55¢	$55	0x2c8232…
06-23 13:45:40	will starmer officially leave office by july 31 20260622151504654	Yes	SELL	30	80¢	$24	0x34075a…
06-23 13:45:29	will starmer officially leave office by july 31 20260622151504654	Yes	SELL	30	80¢	$24	0xde5fb3…