Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$432

Unrealized P&L

+$80

Hit rate

60.6%

Resolved

575

Trades

1,926

lifetime

Volume

$10.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$335

4 positions

First seen

2026-06-08

last 10-31 08:57

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 57 days

Categories

Crypto

73% 34% -$309

Other

20% 25% +$54

Politics

3% — —

Sports

3% 9% -$178

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

27 active days in 12wk • peak 140 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (26) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 October 26-November 1?	No	+180	$98	87¢	$157	+$59	10-30 10:50
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	+350	$102	30¢	$103	+$2	10-31 08:57
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	+110	$35	42¢	$46	+$11	10-27 20:02
another fed rate hike in 2026	No	+100	$21	30¢	$30	+$8	09-16 20:30

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Lionel Messi finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	8	$1.1K	655	655	+0	Yes	+$209	10-26 23:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	2	$207	109	109	+0	Up	+$7	10-27 21:37
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	2	$206	110	110	+0	open	—	10-29 02:56
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?	2	$196	200	200	+0	Yes	+$193	07-07 15:50
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-09 07:30 UTC	26	$189	280	280	+0	Up	+$66	07-09 07:44
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-08 09:15 UTC	28	$173	190	180	+10	Up	+$49	07-08 09:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	11	$168	359	159	+200	Up	+$94	10-06 10:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	18	$153	1,288	218	+1,069	Down	+$65	10-06 09:29
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-09 07:45 UTC	16	$149	172	120	+52	Down	+$73	07-09 07:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-08 07:00 UTC	15	$145	150	150	+0	Up	+$82	07-08 07:13
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	2	$142	82	82	+0	Yes	+$22	10-26 23:02
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-09 08:15 UTC	20	$139	210	174	+37	Up	+$17	07-09 08:24
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	6	$126	458	0	+458	Yes	-$126	10-18 15:38
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-09 12:00 UTC	23	$119	223	153	+70	Down	+$96	07-09 12:15
Will over 50 Senators vote for the Clarity Act?	7	$116	170	170	+0	open	—	09-15 19:26
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-08 18:05 UTC	5	$113	225	111	+114	Up	+$69	06-08 18:09
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	1	$102	350	0	+350	open	—	10-31 08:57
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-08 17:00 UTC	17	$99	145	115	+30	Down	+$13	07-08 17:14
Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 October 26-November 1?	1	$98	180	0	+180	open	—	10-30 10:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	13	$95	114	87	+27	Up	+$35	10-06 19:29
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-10 04:45 UTC	10	$93	111	82	+29	Down	+$11	07-10 04:58
world cup most goals record broken 20260608192914170	9	$86	1,611	0	+1,611	No	-$86	07-09 17:05
SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-08 05:25 UTC	4	$80	61	61	+0	Up	+$20	06-08 05:27
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-11 10:00 UTC	3	$77	64	64	+0	Down	+$43	07-11 10:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-11 15:45 UTC	12	$76	203	121	+82	Down	+$6	07-11 15:49
SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-08 05:35 UTC	5	$74	115	86	+29	Down	+$4	06-08 05:39
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-08 11:15 UTC	8	$74	105	105	+0	Up	+$22	07-08 11:29
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-11 17:00 UTC	13	$73	275	49	+226	Up	-$25	07-11 17:13
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-09 08:00 UTC	10	$70	208	30	+178	Down	-$36	07-09 08:12
SOL Up/Down 4h · 2026-06-10 20:00 UTC	25	$65	325	50	+275	Down	-$51	06-10 22:49

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-31 08:57:01	Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	350	29¢	$102	0x1d62ba…
10-30 10:50:25	Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 October 26-November 1?	No	BUY	180	55¢	$98	0xb3a37a…
10-29 06:29:53	Solana Up or Down - October 29, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x748756…
10-29 06:29:34	Solana Up or Down - October 29, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Up	SELL	20	1¢	$0	0x4d0940…
10-29 06:28:46	Solana Up or Down - October 29, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xca4912…
10-29 06:28:37	Solana Up or Down - October 29, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Down	SELL	13	95¢	$12	0xbf6d93…
10-29 06:28:16	Solana Up or Down - October 29, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	13	79¢	$10	0xe2f4cf…
10-29 02:56:29	Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	110	96¢	$105	0xdef25c…
10-27 21:38:42	Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	110	92¢	$101	0x5ba544…
10-27 21:37:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Up	SELL	109	98¢	$107	0x99c4c2…
10-27 21:32:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	109	92¢	$100	0xb9252e…
10-27 21:29:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Up	SELL	5	90¢	$5	0xace547…
10-27 21:29:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Up	SELL	11	90¢	$10	0x77ac1d…
10-27 21:29:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Up	SELL	8	90¢	$7	0x57cfe3…
10-27 21:29:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	16	13¢	$2	0xe113c6…
10-27 21:28:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	9	22¢	$2	0x341b90…
10-27 21:13:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	379	1¢	$2	0xc951f6…
10-27 20:48:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Up	SELL	6	83¢	$5	0x5f59e2…
10-27 20:48:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Up	SELL	25	73¢	$18	0xa447a7…
10-27 20:40:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	49	51¢	$25	0x59812b…
10-27 20:02:54	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	100	32¢	$32	0xcc1582…
10-27 16:09:21	Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 29, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	26¢	$5	0x1c37de…
10-27 09:48:51	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	10	28¢	$3	0xbf573f…
10-26 23:02:14	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	82	100¢	$82	0x9d6772…
10-26 23:01:39	Will Lionel Messi finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	655	100¢	$654	0xfbd680…
10-26 22:59:53	Will Lionel Messi finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	146	0¢	$0	0x77f2f6…
10-26 18:24:36	Will Lionel Messi finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	27	74¢	$20	0xcc7de2…
10-26 17:43:50	Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	333	1¢	$2	0xe8d891…
10-26 17:42:33	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	82	73¢	$60	0x37ab64…
10-18 16:28:42	XRP Up or Down - October 18, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x38eb7d…
10-18 16:28:36	XRP Up or Down - October 18, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	57	2¢	$1	0x2b0184…
10-18 16:26:17	XRP Up or Down - October 18, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xf81c53…
10-18 16:26:08	XRP Up or Down - October 18, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xa7469d…
10-18 16:24:41	XRP Up or Down - October 18, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xe9d6cf…
10-18 16:22:56	XRP Up or Down - October 18, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x1bbc87…
10-18 16:22:36	XRP Up or Down - October 18, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Down	SELL	3	37¢	$1	0xc39a68…
10-18 16:22:29	XRP Up or Down - October 18, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x97d359…
10-18 16:21:44	Will SpaceXAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x1ca675…
10-18 16:21:36	Will SpaceXAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,010	0¢	$1	0xc84f58…
10-18 15:38:45	Will Kylian Mbappé finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0xa9d8fe…
10-18 15:38:05	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	No	BUY	38	26¢	$10	0x4c424a…
10-17 20:37:06	Will Lionel Messi finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	14	73¢	$10	0x0953fe…
10-17 20:36:50	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	No	BUY	22	22¢	$5	0xda376e…
10-17 20:36:29	Will Xiaomi have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	2,000	0¢	$2	0xe27511…
10-17 20:36:08	Will SpaceXAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	3,000	0¢	$6	0xb61a1b…
10-17 15:41:59	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 15:30 UTC	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xee4268…
10-17 15:20:05	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 15:15 UTC	Up	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xb0ee6f…
10-17 15:19:23	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 15:15 UTC	Up	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0x540f37…
10-17 12:57:18	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	No	BUY	20	26¢	$5	0xea8c25…
10-17 12:09:27	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	No	BUY	10	28¢	$3	0x86c576…
10-17 12:02:30	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	No	BUY	10	28¢	$3	0x33d691…
10-17 10:59:47	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 10:45 UTC	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xcf75f8…
10-17 09:58:29	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 09:45 UTC	Down	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xc31db3…
10-17 05:26:08	Will Lionel Messi finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	77	26¢	$20	0xb797de…
10-16 12:42:51	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 12:40 UTC	Down	SELL	17	25¢	$4	0xa644cf…
10-16 12:41:28	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 12:40 UTC	Down	BUY	17	12¢	$2	0x2e6b16…
10-16 11:29:13	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 11:15 UTC	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x000699…
10-16 11:29:09	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 11:15 UTC	Up	BUY	35	3¢	$1	0xc6a732…
10-16 11:28:25	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 11:15 UTC	Up	SELL	16	20¢	$3	0x70eae4…
10-16 11:28:04	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 11:15 UTC	Up	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x25a051…
10-16 11:26:16	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 11:15 UTC	Up	BUY	24	12¢	$3	0x02bc96…
10-15 10:55:31	Will SpaceXAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	2,488	0¢	$5	0x514d0d…
10-15 10:55:16	Will SpaceXAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	10,000	0¢	$20	0x7446a8…
10-15 10:47:12	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	No	BUY	357	28¢	$100	0x58f5ce…
10-13 12:53:52	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-13 12:45 UTC	Down	BUY	3	16¢	$0	0xb6e4aa…
10-13 12:53:49	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-13 12:45 UTC	Down	BUY	7	16¢	$1	0x2bc7af…
10-13 12:50:58	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-13 12:45 UTC	Down	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x36370b…
10-13 12:50:20	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-13 12:45 UTC	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x67e02e…
10-13 12:49:58	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-13 12:45 UTC	Down	BUY	12	25¢	$3	0x81cca6…
10-13 12:43:59	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-13 12:30 UTC	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xdad263…
10-13 12:43:44	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-13 12:30 UTC	Down	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x940af0…
10-13 12:43:01	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-13 12:30 UTC	Down	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xde19b0…
10-13 12:42:34	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-13 12:30 UTC	Down	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x46b874…
10-13 12:42:28	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-13 12:30 UTC	Down	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x2ff824…
10-13 12:42:04	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-13 12:30 UTC	Down	SELL	9	40¢	$4	0x6a08ad…
10-13 12:41:14	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-13 12:30 UTC	Down	SELL	12	30¢	$4	0x79409f…
10-13 12:38:02	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-13 12:30 UTC	Down	BUY	22	14¢	$3	0xfc6aae…
10-13 12:38:01	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-13 12:30 UTC	Down	BUY	25	12¢	$3	0x8a9178…
10-13 12:36:22	Will Lionel Messi finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	403	69¢	$278	0x438b59…
10-13 12:35:38	Will Lionel Messi finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	26	68¢	$18	0x6605c9…
10-12 13:31:41	Solana Up or Down - October 12, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	12	25¢	$3	0x7a225b…
10-12 13:30:02	Solana Up or Down - October 12, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xcbb43e…
10-11 17:35:16	Will Lando Norris finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Singapore Grand Prix?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xdb9db1…
10-11 14:00:37	Will Lionel Messi finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	14	67¢	$9	0xa12fa9…
10-11 13:59:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xe04a8b…
10-11 13:52:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	45	22¢	$10	0xf8e68c…
10-11 12:43:19	Will Lewis Hamilton finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Singapore Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0x2caee4…
10-11 12:43:10	Will Kimi Antonelli finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Singapore Grand Prix?	No	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0x1da8d4…
10-11 05:36:51	Ethereum Up or Down - October 11, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Down	SELL	2	60¢	$1	0xd2ece8…
10-11 05:36:51	Ethereum Up or Down - October 11, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Down	SELL	16	60¢	$10	0x9b790b…
10-11 05:36:02	Ethereum Up or Down - October 11, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Down	SELL	10	40¢	$4	0xdcaf59…
10-11 05:36:02	Ethereum Up or Down - October 11, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Down	SELL	5	40¢	$2	0x0ab5c2…
10-11 05:34:18	Ethereum Up or Down - October 11, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	13	23¢	$3	0x690cb7…
10-11 05:33:27	Ethereum Up or Down - October 11, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xbd4e3c…
10-11 05:33:09	Ethereum Up or Down - October 11, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x81e9fc…
10-11 05:32:59	Ethereum Up or Down - October 11, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x234723…
10-11 05:32:56	Ethereum Up or Down - October 11, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xfc8671…
10-11 05:32:51	Ethereum Up or Down - October 11, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	7	41¢	$3	0xd5a5e3…
10-10 21:50:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Down	SELL	11	50¢	$5	0x73f287…
10-10 21:49:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	12	26¢	$3	0xa3f9b3…