Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$101

Unrealized P&L

-$103

Hit rate

29.2%

Resolved

Trades

638

lifetime

Volume

$101.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$159

Open exposure

$366

1 position

First seen

2026-01-07

last 06-15 14:29

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

59% 100% +$70

Politics

24% — —

Crypto

11% 0% $-171

Sports

4% — —

Tech

1% — —

Pop-Culture

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

6 active days in 12wk • peak 14 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027?	Yes		-795	$-262	46¢	$-366	$-103	06-15 14:29

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	16	$3.7K	2,098	2,098	+0	open	—	04-09 21:51
Sentio FDV above $50M one day after launch?	6	$2.8K	2,138	2,138	+0	Yes	$-171	03-31 02:23
mex que jua 2026 02 22 que	4	$2.8K	1,859	1,859	+0	open	—	03-13 03:21
up only podcast released by february 28 2026	5	$1.8K	1,589	1,589	+0	open	—	02-05 22:37
will forsen beat xqcs minecraft speedrun record by april 30	3	$1.7K	978	978	+0	open	—	04-11 17:28
Will there be exactly 6 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?	2	$1.7K	985	985	+0	open	—	02-01 00:23
will anyone be charged over daycare fraud in minnesota by december 31	4	$1.6K	1,067	1,067	+0	open	—	02-02 16:49
houthi strike on israel by february 28	7	$1.6K	1,209	1,209	+0	open	—	02-09 04:53
will cold storage score at least 80 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer	4	$1.5K	1,123	1,123	+0	open	—	02-14 20:29
bun hsv b04 2026 01 13 btts	6	$1.4K	1,391	1,391	+0	open	—	02-24 17:38
will trump talk to nicols maduro in february	4	$1.4K	692	692	+0	open	—	02-19 06:43
will israel launch a major ground offensive in gaza by march 31	7	$1.3K	1,716	1,716	+0	open	—	02-05 16:40
U.S. x Iran Military Engagement by June 30, 2026?	6	$1.3K	877	877	+0	open	—	02-22 21:34
Will Finland be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?	4	$1.3K	2,382	2,382	+0	open	—	04-09 12:22
will laure lavalette be the next mayor of toulon	2	$1.3K	970	970	+0	open	—	03-22 06:56
will turnout in the 2025 honduran general election be between 60 and 61	6	$1.3K	1,498	1,498	+0	open	—	02-03 21:48
Will Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026?	3	$1.2K	817	817	+0	open	—	04-12 00:01
will larry page be 2nd richest person on march 31	7	$1.2K	845	845	+0	open	—	02-27 05:34
CDC issues Level 3 warning by December 31?	3	$1.2K	1,231	1,231	+0	open	—	03-22 06:44
will albin kurti be the next prime minister of kosovo	4	$1.2K	1,174	1,174	+0	open	—	02-04 23:55
another crypto hack over 100m before 2027	6	$1.2K	1,366	1,294	+72	open	—	03-19 02:02
another critical cloudflare incident by march 31 2026	4	$1.2K	948	948	+0	open	—	02-15 23:07
Will fewer than 140 tornadoes occur in the United States in April 2026?	2	$1.2K	700	700	+0	No	+$70	04-11 07:38
Will France be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	5	$1.2K	1,263	1,263	+0	open	—	04-09 11:36
will a new country join the abraham accords by march 31	6	$1.1K	1,158	1,158	+0	open	—	02-12 22:49
elon musk of tweets february 17 february 24 140 159	3	$1.1K	550	550	+0	open	—	02-15 17:21
will fewer than 5 ships be successfully targeted by iran by march 31	2	$1.1K	597	597	+0	open	—	03-24 06:49
transgender women be banned from the olympics before winter games	7	$1.0K	869	690	+179	open	—	01-11 17:34
will mrbeast say car or supercar during his next youtube video 324	6	$1.0K	777	777	+0	open	—	02-11 19:15
will global temperature increase by between 1pt05c and 1pt09c in january 2026	5	$1.0K	968	925	+43	open	—	01-30 01:12

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-15 14:29:58	SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027?	Yes	SELL	491	33¢	$162	0x4da3ae…
06-15 14:29:42	SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027?	Yes	SELL	304	33¢	$100	0x553494…
04-27 09:46:20	Will Trump name "Paxton" in April?	Yes	SELL	216	73¢	$158	0xfd4b6a…
04-23 12:21:02	Will Trump name "Paxton" in April?	Yes	BUY	216	19¢	$41	0x6a2c12…
04-13 13:17:25	Will SpaceX have exactly 13 launches in April?	No	BUY	647	81¢	$524	0x8c944b…
04-13 13:02:33	itsb cat mod 2026 03 17 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	72	46¢	$33	0x7e5956…
04-13 13:02:19	itsb cat mod 2026 03 17 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	600	46¢	$277	0xdd13b3…
04-13 05:18:05	will trump post ag or attorney general this week on truth social	Yes	SELL	462	60¢	$277	0x534ae1…
04-12 22:53:47	will trump post ag or attorney general this week on truth social	Yes	BUY	462	31¢	$143	0x59fb57…
04-12 21:07:03	arg riv cat 2026 03 08 draw	Yes	SELL	528	74¢	$391	0xcd2791…
04-12 21:06:49	arg riv cat 2026 03 08 draw	Yes	SELL	18	74¢	$13	0x488c71…
04-12 15:02:01	Will CSyD Defensa y Justicia win on 2026-03-05?	Yes	SELL	93	39¢	$36	0xf717e9…
04-12 15:01:49	Will CSyD Defensa y Justicia win on 2026-03-05?	Yes	SELL	484	39¢	$189	0x04c305…
04-12 12:13:29	arg riv cat 2026 03 08 draw	Yes	BUY	546	21¢	$115	0x234297…
04-12 01:38:09	Will Iran strike Abqaiq oil processing facility by April 30?	Yes	SELL	90	16¢	$14	0x538b17…
04-12 01:36:01	Will Iran strike Abqaiq oil processing facility by April 30?	Yes	SELL	49	16¢	$8	0x70cbdd…
04-12 00:01:41	Will Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	687	82¢	$563	0xa6d238…
04-12 00:00:51	Will Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	130	82¢	$107	0xabf172…
04-11 19:12:23	will tisza win at least 90 seats	No	SELL	44	17¢	$7	0xb8d0c0…
04-11 19:11:31	will tisza win at least 90 seats	No	SELL	155	17¢	$26	0x5ab82d…
04-11 19:10:41	will tisza win at least 90 seats	No	SELL	16	17¢	$3	0xd4cb8a…
04-11 19:09:35	will tisza win at least 90 seats	No	SELL	240	17¢	$41	0x2ab189…
04-11 17:28:53	will forsen beat xqcs minecraft speedrun record by april 30	No	SELL	978	88¢	$861	0x3c6345…
04-11 17:00:49	elc por ips 2026 01 04 draw	Yes	SELL	39	26¢	$10	0x9ee6ac…
04-11 17:00:31	elc por ips 2026 01 04 draw	Yes	SELL	723	26¢	$188	0xc72017…
04-11 16:27:23	will forsen beat xqcs minecraft speedrun record by april 30	No	BUY	365	89¢	$325	0xb4429d…
04-11 16:21:39	will forsen beat xqcs minecraft speedrun record by april 30	No	BUY	613	89¢	$546	0x3f27df…
04-11 15:51:37	will tisza win at least 90 seats	No	BUY	455	17¢	$77	0x1242bb…
04-11 14:40:37	Will Iran strike Abqaiq oil processing facility by April 30?	Yes	BUY	139	17¢	$24	0x22af60…
04-11 13:17:29	Will Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	817	68¢	$556	0xc3962f…
04-11 09:21:57	will juan pablo velasco win the 2026 santa cruz gubernatorial election 929	No	SELL	649	30¢	$195	0x1d5b58…
04-11 07:38:57	Will fewer than 140 tornadoes occur in the United States in April 2026?	No	SELL	700	88¢	$616	0x7f38f6…
04-10 13:30:43	will juan pablo velasco win the 2026 santa cruz gubernatorial election 929	No	BUY	649	51¢	$330	0x6b7170…
04-09 21:51:21	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	350	88¢	$308	0x23566c…
04-09 21:48:19	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	265	88¢	$233	0xca8533…
04-09 21:46:19	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	41	88¢	$36	0x702045…
04-09 21:45:05	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	76	88¢	$67	0x87bf84…
04-09 21:43:29	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	36	88¢	$32	0x70a2a0…
04-09 21:41:37	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	12	88¢	$11	0xe22a94…
04-09 21:40:11	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	11	88¢	$10	0x62166a…
04-09 21:38:27	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	20	88¢	$18	0x0c83c6…
04-09 21:32:57	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	63	88¢	$55	0x675425…
04-09 19:22:49	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	874	88¢	$769	0xef6ebc…
04-09 18:58:51	Will fewer than 140 tornadoes occur in the United States in April 2026?	No	BUY	700	78¢	$546	0x2c0a93…
04-09 17:19:43	elc por ips 2026 01 04 draw	Yes	BUY	762	25¢	$190	0x9e3b94…
04-09 14:20:17	Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 10, 2026?	Yes	SELL	737	11¢	$81	0x1b6a1a…
04-09 14:18:47	Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 10, 2026?	Yes	SELL	40	11¢	$4	0xc67d5e…
04-09 14:17:55	Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 10, 2026?	Yes	SELL	22	11¢	$2	0x987200…
04-09 14:16:39	Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 10, 2026?	Yes	SELL	127	12¢	$15	0xe60667…
04-09 12:22:23	Will Finland be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	844	26¢	$219	0xd3e4bb…
04-09 12:21:09	Will Finland be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	932	26¢	$242	0xdf1243…
04-09 12:19:47	Will Finland be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	606	26¢	$158	0x15c3bf…
04-09 11:36:47	Will France be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	289	25¢	$72	0xb98bec…
04-09 11:35:33	Will France be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	469	25¢	$117	0x686a26…
04-08 20:49:03	Manchester City FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	740	50¢	$370	0xf5eec4…
04-08 20:10:37	Will France be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	758	25¢	$190	0x9ce46c…
04-08 19:09:41	Will CSyD Defensa y Justicia win on 2026-03-05?	Yes	BUY	577	14¢	$81	0xb09610…
04-07 21:13:47	Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	926	57¢	$528	0xfa8f71…
04-07 16:04:03	Will Finland be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	2,382	27¢	$643	0x07aa3f…
03-31 02:23:03	Sentio FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	536	62¢	$332	0x8c99fb…
03-31 02:22:53	Sentio FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	710	62¢	$440	0x523c22…
03-31 02:22:35	Sentio FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	892	62¢	$553	0xf1a088…
03-30 17:28:17	will morality unity honour mech win at least one seat in the 2026 bulgarian parliamentary election	Yes	SELL	31	34¢	$11	0xcca1fe…
03-30 15:21:13	will bitcoin outperform nvidia nvda in march 2026	Yes	SELL	592	94¢	$556	0x097a51…
03-30 14:33:21	saudi arabia military action against yemen by april 30	Yes	SELL	52	37¢	$19	0x4297ea…
03-30 14:33:03	saudi arabia military action against yemen by april 30	Yes	SELL	620	37¢	$229	0xb54c42…
03-29 22:25:36	will bitcoin outperform nvidia nvda in march 2026	Yes	BUY	592	76¢	$450	0xb393b7…
03-29 20:45:32	saudi arabia military action against yemen by april 30	Yes	BUY	672	30¢	$202	0x4fdf2f…
03-29 15:31:02	Sentio FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	710	70¢	$497	0xfd2d6f…
03-29 15:30:42	Sentio FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	692	70¢	$484	0xb20e1d…
03-29 15:30:16	Sentio FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	736	70¢	$515	0x0d7e09…
03-29 14:49:20	will morality unity honour mech win at least one seat in the 2026 bulgarian parliamentary election	Yes	BUY	31	43¢	$13	0x27b2d4…
03-26 03:37:53	fif smr and 2026 03 31 smr	Yes	SELL	1,499	16¢	$240	0x2f4bce…
03-26 03:37:35	fif smr and 2026 03 31 smr	Yes	SELL	127	16¢	$20	0xc98829…
03-24 12:44:19	will jamie be said 3 times on the first joe rogan experience episode of the week march 29	Yes	BUY	724	91¢	$659	0xf5117f…
03-24 06:49:57	will fewer than 5 ships be successfully targeted by iran by march 31	Yes	SELL	597	91¢	$543	0xd4080d…
03-23 23:14:25	will fewer than 5 ships be successfully targeted by iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	597	91¢	$543	0x5b9ce6…
03-23 22:29:25	fif smr and 2026 03 31 smr	Yes	BUY	127	17¢	$22	0x10e854…
03-23 22:29:07	fif smr and 2026 03 31 smr	Yes	BUY	1,499	17¢	$255	0x0c9dc1…
03-22 06:56:13	will laure lavalette be the next mayor of toulon	No	SELL	970	64¢	$621	0xabcc31…
03-22 06:44:49	CDC issues Level 3 warning by December 31?	Yes	SELL	1,196	40¢	$478	0xaffb83…
03-22 06:44:29	CDC issues Level 3 warning by December 31?	Yes	SELL	35	40¢	$14	0xc42e00…
03-22 02:36:55	will iran strike uae again in march	Yes	SELL	355	99¢	$351	0xff1f92…
03-22 02:36:45	will iran strike uae again in march	Yes	SELL	174	99¢	$172	0x7bb21c…
03-20 14:24:25	CDC issues Level 3 warning by December 31?	Yes	BUY	1,231	59¢	$726	0x57093c…
03-19 04:11:39	ted cruz of tweets march 17 march 24 80 99	Yes	SELL	363	29¢	$105	0x5e776e…
03-19 03:23:45	another critical cloudflare incident by june 30 2026	No	SELL	24	16¢	$4	0xc76173…
03-19 02:02:01	another crypto hack over 100m before 2027	No	SELL	753	23¢	$173	0x5093f8…
03-18 16:23:03	will iran strike al zour refinery by march 31	Yes	SELL	551	34¢	$187	0x884f2a…
03-18 14:24:25	Will France be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	SELL	505	79¢	$399	0xc439c2…
03-17 23:40:41	another critical cloudflare incident by june 30 2026	No	BUY	24	16¢	$4	0x54ebb5…
03-17 23:08:37	elc sot nor 2026 03 07 sot	No	BUY	343	50¢	$172	0x64ea8e…
03-17 22:58:37	ted cruz of tweets march 17 march 24 80 99	Yes	BUY	363	18¢	$65	0xcc8906…
03-17 22:13:29	will iran strike al zour refinery by march 31	Yes	BUY	551	20¢	$110	0x56b408…
03-17 22:05:23	Will France be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	505	76¢	$384	0x107071…
03-17 21:16:15	another crypto hack over 100m before 2027	No	BUY	825	24¢	$198	0xcdf603…
03-17 20:10:37	will iran strike uae again in march	Yes	BUY	529	51¢	$270	0x56f8aa…
03-17 18:43:11	will ethena dip to 0pt08 by december 31 2026	Yes	BUY	156	14¢	$22	0xdbab2f…
03-17 18:22:37	will laure lavalette be the next mayor of toulon	No	BUY	970	66¢	$640	0xc5b49b…
03-16 11:04:49	will trump say no inflation this week march 22	Yes	SELL	201	61¢	$123	0xcb588c…