Noxious-Caliber — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$12

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

79.0%

Resolved

2,748

Trades

3,808

lifetime

Volume

$4.87K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-26

last 10-05 05:43

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 80 days

Categories

Crypto

63% 80% +$6

Other

32% 94% -$11

Sports

3% 92% -$2

Politics

1% 76% -$4

Tech

0% 50% -$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

44 active days in 12wk • peak 350 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (20) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Ethereum Up or Down - September 11, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	18	$50	45	40	+5	Down	-$3	09-11 20:43
Will Yui Hasegawa finish in the top 10 of the 2026 Women's Ballon d'Or?	8	$40	59	59	+0	No	-$2	10-01 12:58
Ethereum Up or Down - September 11, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	20	$38	50	50	+0	Down	-$2	09-12 00:26
Ethereum Up or Down - September 11, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	17	$37	37	35	+2	Down	-$2	09-11 21:40
Ethereum Up or Down - September 11, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	15	$37	33	30	+3	Up	+$2	09-11 23:41
Ethereum Up or Down - September 11, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	14	$32	35	35	+0	Up	+$0	09-11 22:41
Ethereum Up or Down - September 11, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	17	$27	42	40	+2	Down	-$4	09-12 00:56
Ethereum Up or Down - September 11, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	9	$26	25	20	+5	Down	-$4	09-12 01:26
Ethereum Up or Down - September 11, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	12	$26	28	27	+1	Down	-$2	09-11 21:27
Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 30?	2	$25	20	20	+0	open	—	10-03 03:52
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 5.09% in October?	2	$24	20	20	+0	Yes	-$2	10-02 12:05
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.32% in October?	2	$23	20	20	+0	open	—	10-02 12:58
Will there be at least 4700 measles cases in the U.S. by October 31, 2026?	2	$22	20	20	+0	open	—	10-03 17:25
Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.14% in October?	2	$21	20	20	+0	open	—	10-02 12:58
Will Christian McCaffrey have 10+ rushing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	2	$20	20	20	+0	open	—	10-01 07:08
will gabriel moreno win a 2026 nl gold glove award	4	$20	40	40	+0	open	—	10-01 10:56
Ethereum Up or Down - September 11, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	10	$19	25	24	+1	Up	$0	09-12 00:06
Ethereum Up or Down - September 11, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	5	$19	15	10	+5	Up	+$1	09-11 20:04
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.41% in October?	3	$19	20	20	+0	open	—	10-02 12:44
Counter-Strike: FlyQuest RED vs Marsborne (BO3) - ESL Challenger League North America Cup #2 Playoffs	18	$18	18	0	+18	Marsborne	+$0	09-23 01:12
Ethereum Up or Down - September 11, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	6	$18	15	15	+0	Up	-$1	09-11 21:05
Ethereum Up or Down - September 11, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	6	$16	15	15	+0	Up	-$1	09-12 01:06
Ethereum Up or Down - September 11, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	5	$16	15	10	+5	Down	-$4	09-11 22:26
Will Taylor Swift's daily YouTube view count hit 24M in October?	5	$15	20	20	+0	open	—	10-03 06:51
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Jerome Powell by October 31, 2026?	2	$15	20	20	+0	Yes	-$5	10-01 18:44
Ethereum Up or Down - September 11, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	10	$15	25	25	+0	Down	-$1	09-12 00:40
Ethereum Up or Down - September 11, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	7	$14	17	15	+2	Down	-$2	09-11 23:26
Ethereum Up or Down - September 11, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	5	$13	15	9	+6	Up	+$1	09-11 23:11
Will Muse be available on Meta glasses by December 31, 2026?	3	$13	20	20	+0	open	—	10-04 02:32
Will Jeremiyah Love finish as a top-12 RB in the 2026-27 NFL season?	2	$12	20	20	+0	open	—	10-01 14:23

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-05 05:43:40	will chatgpt dots be available on the free plan by december 31 2026	Yes	SELL	20	11¢	$2	0xdde8fb…
10-04 17:11:20	will chatgpt dots be available on the free plan by december 31 2026	Yes	BUY	20	31¢	$6	0x5359f7…
10-04 02:32:31	Will Muse be available on Meta glasses by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	15	26¢	$4	0x4cb8c8…
10-04 02:29:23	will muse be available on meta glasses by december 31 2026	No	SELL	5	30¢	$2	0x6cf19f…
10-04 02:23:37	will muse be available on meta glasses by december 31 2026	No	BUY	20	36¢	$7	0x248828…
10-04 00:01:26	Will the USS George Washington depart CENTCOM by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	6	39¢	$2	0xf24a61…
10-03 23:55:40	Will the USS George Washington depart CENTCOM by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	6	41¢	$2	0xe26b7c…
10-03 17:25:15	Will there be at least 4700 measles cases in the U.S. by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	20	51¢	$10	0x2d1ae9…
10-03 17:19:29	Will there be at least 4700 measles cases in the U.S. by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	61¢	$12	0xd4ce19…
10-03 06:51:56	Will Taylor Swift's daily YouTube view count hit 24M in October?	Yes	SELL	5	34¢	$2	0x163076…
10-03 06:46:06	Will Taylor Swift's daily YouTube view count hit 24M in October?	Yes	SELL	5	35¢	$2	0x51f546…
10-03 06:44:11	Will Taylor Swift's daily YouTube view count hit 24M in October?	Yes	SELL	5	38¢	$2	0xa17790…
10-03 06:43:53	Will Taylor Swift's daily YouTube view count hit 24M in October?	Yes	SELL	5	40¢	$2	0x4638e6…
10-03 06:38:32	Will Taylor Swift's daily YouTube view count hit 24M in October?	Yes	BUY	20	39¢	$8	0xba17e9…
10-03 03:52:21	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 30?	No	SELL	20	60¢	$12	0xcaf8b2…
10-03 03:47:09	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 30?	No	BUY	20	66¢	$13	0xbb97c6…
10-02 12:58:23	Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.14% in October?	Yes	SELL	20	49¢	$10	0x5f48b6…
10-02 12:58:17	Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.32% in October?	Yes	SELL	20	51¢	$10	0x20889b…
10-02 12:57:32	Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.14% in October?	Yes	BUY	20	57¢	$11	0x30a593…
10-02 12:50:03	Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.32% in October?	Yes	BUY	20	65¢	$13	0x3773c3…
10-02 12:44:14	Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.41% in October?	Yes	SELL	20	40¢	$8	0x6007d0…
10-02 12:39:23	Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.41% in October?	Yes	BUY	1	54¢	$0	0xc58704…
10-02 12:39:23	Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.41% in October?	Yes	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0x2595e8…
10-02 12:05:14	Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 5.09% in October?	No	SELL	20	55¢	$11	0xa6517a…
10-02 12:04:23	Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 5.09% in October?	No	BUY	20	63¢	$13	0x2b1647…
10-02 05:21:27	Will M80 qualify to PGL Major Singapore 2026?	No	SELL	20	0¢	$0	0xb3378c…
10-01 18:44:17	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Jerome Powell by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	25¢	$5	0x9ab82f…
10-01 18:43:14	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Jerome Powell by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x71e474…
10-01 16:47:27	Will M80 qualify to PGL Major Singapore 2026?	No	BUY	20	39¢	$8	0xc6d94b…
10-01 14:23:45	Will Jeremiyah Love finish as a top-12 RB in the 2026-27 NFL season?	No	SELL	20	15¢	$3	0x0350e3…
10-01 14:01:54	Will Jeremiyah Love finish as a top-12 RB in the 2026-27 NFL season?	No	BUY	20	45¢	$9	0x35311f…
10-01 12:58:56	Will Yui Hasegawa finish in the top 10 of the 2026 Women's Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	2	30¢	$1	0xbaa6c4…
10-01 12:58:09	Will Yui Hasegawa finish in the top 10 of the 2026 Women's Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	2	37¢	$1	0x5f1c78…
10-01 12:54:38	Will Yui Hasegawa finish in the top 10 of the 2026 Women's Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	20	39¢	$8	0x0b164c…
10-01 12:53:47	Will Yui Hasegawa finish in the top 10 of the 2026 Women's Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	20	41¢	$8	0x9f0d8a…
10-01 12:01:18	Will the peak water level at La Jolla be 8.10 ft MLLW or more?	Yes	SELL	20	24¢	$5	0xf8cece…
10-01 12:00:24	Will the peak water level at La Jolla be 8.10 ft MLLW or more?	Yes	BUY	20	30¢	$6	0xd02e5f…
10-01 10:56:12	will gabriel moreno win a 2026 nl gold glove award	Yes	SELL	20	22¢	$4	0x0dd91e…
10-01 10:54:00	will gabriel moreno win a 2026 nl gold glove award	Yes	BUY	20	23¢	$5	0x0f07ee…
10-01 08:54:53	will yui hasegawa finish in the top 10 of the 2026 womens ballon dor	No	SELL	17	24¢	$4	0x20c1d2…
10-01 08:51:30	will yui hasegawa finish in the top 10 of the 2026 womens ballon dor	No	BUY	17	26¢	$4	0xf38324…
10-01 08:19:33	will yui hasegawa finish in the top 10 of the 2026 womens ballon dor	No	SELL	20	32¢	$6	0x2a4910…
10-01 08:09:30	will yui hasegawa finish in the top 10 of the 2026 womens ballon dor	No	BUY	20	40¢	$8	0x0591b4…
10-01 07:57:09	will gabriel moreno win a 2026 nl gold glove award	Yes	SELL	20	24¢	$5	0xd151b8…
10-01 07:53:44	will gabriel moreno win a 2026 nl gold glove award	Yes	BUY	20	32¢	$6	0x661812…
10-01 07:08:47	Will Christian McCaffrey have 10+ rushing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	SELL	20	35¢	$7	0xafd620…
10-01 07:03:08	Will Cameron Dicker finish as a top-12 K in the 2026-27 NFL season?	Yes	SELL	20	22¢	$4	0x527ac8…
10-01 05:30:06	Will Cameron Dicker finish as a top-12 K in the 2026-27 NFL season?	Yes	BUY	20	20¢	$4	0x93871a…
10-01 05:03:59	Will Christian McCaffrey have 10+ rushing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	BUY	20	66¢	$13	0x98b525…
10-01 03:37:33	Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.50 and $2.75 on September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1	0¢	$0	0x878dda…
10-01 03:36:08	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 30?	Yes	SELL	1	0¢	$0	0x1fd179…
10-01 03:35:57	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on September 30?	No	SELL	1	0¢	$0	0xb8a364…
10-01 03:28:00	Will MLSTP win the most seats in the 2026 São Tomé and Príncipe parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0x5f9ace…
10-01 03:27:59	Will Monika Piątkowska win the 2026 Kraków mayoral election?	No	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0xb9189e…
10-01 03:27:59	Will "Avengers: Endgame Encore" be #1 Box Office this weekend?	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xb003eb…
10-01 03:27:59	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on September 27?	Yes	SELL	1	87¢	$1	0x64fd4a…
10-01 03:27:57	Israel military action against Syria by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xc307b3…
10-01 03:27:57	Will Łukasz Gibała win the 2026 Kraków mayoral election?	Yes	SELL	1	89¢	$1	0x0dd1bd…
10-01 03:27:57	Will ADI win the most seats in the 2026 São Tomé and Príncipe parliamentary election?	No	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0x06f4a1…
10-01 03:27:56	xrp above 1pt4 on october 2 2026	Yes	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0xd5a974…
10-01 03:27:56	us x iran diplomatic meeting by march 31 2027 20260922	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x88bac1…
10-01 03:27:56	bitcoin above 86k on october 1 2026	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x00f7c9…
10-01 03:27:54	Will Tesla deliver between 475000 and 500000 vehicles in Q3 2026	Yes	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0xb19b51…
10-01 03:27:54	bitcoin above 82k on october 1 2026	Yes	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x7768ef…
10-01 03:27:54	bitcoin above 86k on october 2 2026	No	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0x18df3c…
10-01 03:27:53	Will Solana dip to $110 in September?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xc653ef…
10-01 03:27:53	will bitcoin reach 87k on september 30 2026	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x3aec3c…
10-01 03:27:53	Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x24863c…
10-01 03:27:51	ufc ilibul erivis 2026 09 29 visconde win by ko tko	No	SELL	1	73¢	$1	0xcc27ce…
10-01 03:27:51	Will OpenAI’s valuation be between $1.00T and $1.10T at the end of September 2026?	No	SELL	1	86¢	$1	0x3e3c5f…
10-01 03:27:50	will bitcoin reach 87pt5k in september 2026	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xe37ea8…
10-01 03:27:50	ufc ilibul erivis 2026 09 29 win by submission	No	SELL	1	70¢	$1	0x99d7a4…
10-01 03:27:50	Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $5.50 and $6.00 on September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x97b8fd…
10-01 03:27:48	Will the Ornn RTX 5090 Index be between $0.55 and $0.60 on September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xb78288…
10-01 03:27:48	Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in September?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x1c52ef…
10-01 03:27:47	ethereum above 2800 on october 1 2026	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xedea92…
10-01 03:27:47	Will OpenAI’s valuation be between $900B and $1.00T at the end of September 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	84¢	$1	0x20fe70…
10-01 03:27:47	Iran charges Hormuz fees by September 30?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x18793c…
10-01 03:27:45	will bitcoin dip to 82pt5k in september 2026	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xe8182e…
10-01 03:27:45	Will Wales win on 2026-10-01?	No	SELL	1	86¢	$1	0xe51739…
10-01 03:27:45	bitcoin above 82k on october 2 2026	Yes	SELL	1	80¢	$1	0xb01444…
10-01 03:27:44	will bitcoin dip to 82k on september 30 2026	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xf46b5b…
10-01 03:27:44	Will Elon tweet 880-919 times in September 2026?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xe56ba5…
10-01 03:27:44	Will Taylor Brown win Big Brother season 28?	No	SELL	1	85¢	$1	0x7fde24…
10-01 03:27:44	ethereum above 2600 on october 2 2026	Yes	SELL	1	87¢	$1	0x6a7a48…
10-01 03:27:42	Will Russia enter Mykolaivka by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1	1¢	$0	0xd615fb…
10-01 03:27:42	LoL: KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas vs Golden Lions - Game 3 Winner	KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas	SELL	1	50¢	$1	0xaff380…
10-01 03:27:42	Will the Ornn RTX 5090 Index be at least $0.60 on September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x82aced…
10-01 03:27:42	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on October 1?	No	SELL	1	14¢	$0	0x2cf5c9…
10-01 03:27:41	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?	No	SELL	1	69¢	$1	0x095c5e…
10-01 03:27:39	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?	No	SELL	1	84¢	$1	0x7c4e53…
10-01 03:22:47	Will Pam Alexis win the next Abbotsford-Mission by-election?	No	SELL	2	92¢	$2	0xea7ed5…
10-01 03:22:41	Will Kerry-Lynne Findlay win the next Abbotsford-Mission by-election?	No	SELL	2	94¢	$2	0xaad221…
10-01 03:22:33	will bitcoin dip to 80k in september 2026 from september 18	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x0043df…
10-01 03:22:26	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 22°C on October 1?	Yes	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x3ca924…
10-01 03:22:17	will ethereum reach 2800 on september 30 2026	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x14ec58…
10-01 03:22:06	Will Ethereum dip to $2,600 in September?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x3ea6d2…
10-01 03:19:54	will bitcoin reach 86k on september 30 2026	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x23bf00…
10-01 03:19:44	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 22°C on October 1?	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x21f02b…
10-01 03:19:33	saudi oil pipeline east west restarts by september 30	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x55ca4f…